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Nvidia stock continued to move lower following a big rally last week. With earnings season over, it's a quiet week on the macro front for investors. The biggest data release this week is Fed's preferred PCE inflation gauge on Friday. AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Monday as investors gear up for a new set of inflation data later in the week. With earnings season over, investors will turn their attention to the PCE inflation data set to be released on Friday, which happens to be the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
Persons: Stocks, Fed's, , David Morrison Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Trade Nation, Federal, PCE Locations: Here's
Cramer's optimistic about the homebuilding sector
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Julie Coleman | )   time to read: +2 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday reviewed recent earnings from two major homebuilding companies, Lennar and KB Home , saying he feels good about the sector as a whole even though Wall Street favored the latter last week. "Even though Lennar went down and KB Home went up after both reported last week, I'm pretty positive on both stories, and the homebuilders more generally," Cramer said. "While this should theoretically be a tough space if rates stay higher for longer, the housing shortage hasn't gone anywhere." Wall Street seems unsure of how to treat these stocks, Cramer said, as they started the year strong when investors thought several rate cuts were on the horizon. Cramer said he likes KB Home and feels "more sanguine" about Lennar than Wall Street, adding the two are using two different strategies.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Lennar, Cramer, Lennar's Organizations: KB, Wall, Federal Reserve
Equity markets have been rallying in the past week, with the S & P 500 benchmark briefly hitting a high of 5,500 last week before losing traction. That movement has raised concerns on whether valuations are stretched, but Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon has maintained his bullish stance on the stock market. "But what's important to remember is that the S & P 500 has rallied 7 of the last 8 months and is up 40% from the October lows. One merit of large-cap stocks is that they "have better earnings revisions than the small-caps," since they buy back their stocks more aggressively, he explained. Three stocks Slimmon likes right now include investment bank JPMorgan Chase , insurance company Progressive Corp and Irish building materials company CRH .
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Andrew Slimmon, I'm, CNBC's, Slimmon Organizations: Morgan Stanley Investment Management, CNBC, U.S . Federal Reserve, JPMorgan Chase, Progressive Corp
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed seems very much stuck in a backward-looking data-dependent mode, says former Fed economistClaudia Sahm, New Century Advisors chief economist and former Federal Reserve economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss economic data, outlook on the Fed, and more.
Persons: Claudia Sahm Organizations: Claudia Sahm , New Century Advisors, Federal Reserve Locations: Claudia Sahm ,
Gold edges higher on softer yields; U.S. inflation data in focus
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( )   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices edged up on Monday as Treasury yields fell, while investors awaited key U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve officials' comments through the week for fresh clues on the potential timing of the central bank's interest rate cut. Gold prices edged up on Monday as Treasury yields fell, while investors awaited key U.S. inflation data and Federal Reserve officials' comments through the week for fresh clues on the potential timing of the central bank's interest rate cut. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $2,325.53 per ounce as of 0333 GMT, after falling more than 1% on Friday. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields edged down, making non-yielding bullion more attractive for investors. There are at least five Fed officials speaking this week, including San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and Fed Governors Lisa Cook and Michelle Bowman.
Persons: Kyle Rodda, Rodda, Mary Daly, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman Organizations: Federal Reserve, Treasury,, Traders, San Francisco Fed Locations: .
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%The 10-year Treasury yield was flat 4.257% on Monday. The 2-year Treasury yield was fractionally higher at 4.736%. Treasurys were muted entering the final week of June, with investors set to zero in on Friday's key inflation report. With a summer interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve seemingly off the table, markets are hunting for more signs that September may be the month. That may come in the form of Friday's personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Lisa Cook Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reuters, Traders Locations: U.S
Fixed-income investors may want to consider making a few tweaks to their portfolio as the second half of the year gets underway. But the central bank is expected to start cutting rates in the coming months, perhaps as soon as September. However, many on Wall Street still believe two cuts are likely this year, including Charles Schwab. Jones anticipates better returns for fixed income in the second half but believes volatility will remain high. Investors can have a barbell portfolio with Treasurys on one end and investment-grade bonds and an agency MBS on the other, she suggested.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Kathy Jones, Jones, Sameer Samana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, nab, MBS, JPMorgan, Treasury, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana, munis
Gold prices could hit $3,000 per ounce over the next 12 to 18 months if demand increases among large institutional investors, according to Bank of America commodity strategists. Central bank demand is also a positive sign, according to Bank of America. Monetary authorities are planning to increase their purchases of gold, according to the World Gold Council's central bank survey . Central banks are increasing gold reserves as a hedge against inflation, according to the survey. Monetary authorities are also reducing U.S. Treasury holdings and increasing gold reserves amid worries about the dominance and health of the dollar, according to Bank of America.
Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, Bullion Market, Bank of America, Monetary, World Gold, Treasury Locations: Central, China, Beijing, @GC
Don't expect rate cuts from the Federal Reserve before the November election, according to David Rubenstein. "Generally the Fed wants to stay out of politics," the co-founder and co-chairman of The Carlyle Group told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin on " Squawk Box " Monday. "I've always said that I think the Fed is not likely to cut rates before the election because it would just cause too much political turmoil." Rubenstein noted that the Fed likely recognizes it would be "heavily criticized" by former President Donald Trump if it starts cutting ahead of the election. "I suspect the market is probably more right than wrong when it says the rate cuts are likely to come after the election," he said.
Persons: David Rubenstein, CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin, I've, Rubenstein, Donald Trump, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, The Carlyle Group, Traders, The Kennedy Center, Democrat
CNBC's Jim Cramer guided investors through this week's most important Wall Street action, highlighting earnings reports from Micron , Walgreens and General Mills . Wednesday brings a slew of earnings reports, including Micron , General Mills , Levi Strauss , AeroVironment and Jefferies Financial . Cramer noted some segments that drive General Mills' business — including snacks, cereal and dough — could be vulnerable because of the rising popularity of weight loss drugs. Walgreens will report on Thursday, and Cramer said Wall Street doesn't have great expectations for the company. McCormick also reports that day, and Cramer said analysts are taking down price targets due to sluggish growth.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Mills, Cramer, else's, it's, General Mills, Levi Strauss, AeroVironment, Jefferies, Tim Wentworth, McCormick Organizations: Micron, Walgreens, Big Tech, Carnival, FedEx, Royal, General, Jefferies Locations: Royal Caribbean
Asia-Pacific markets fell on Monday, ahead of inflation data from Australia and Japan later this week. Special attention will be paid to Australia's May consumer price index figures on Wednesday, after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michelle Bullock revealed the central bank discussed hiking rates at its last meeting. Should inflation come in higher than expected and spur the RBA to raise rates, it would be the first major Asia-Pacific central bank to do so in an environment where investors are waiting for rate cuts, barring Japan. The RBA has two inflation readings to consider — June 26 and July 31— before its next meeting on Aug. 6.
Persons: Michelle Bullock Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Japan
Dollar steady ahead of inflation reading; yen teeters toward 160
  + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( )   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The dollar was steady on Monday as traders looked ahead to fresh clues on the U.S. inflation path that will likely influence interest rates, while talk from Japanese authorities did little to temper the yen's decline back the round number of 160. The yen weakened to 159.94 per dollar in early trade on Monday, its lowest since April 29, when the yen touched a 34-year low of 160.245 leading to Japanese authorities spending some 9.8 trillion yen to support the currency. "The combination of slowing activity, a loosening labor market and slower inflation readings make us increasingly confident that the Fed will begin reducing policy rates in September," Citi said. The Australian dollar was last at $0.6640 and the New Zealand dollar was little changed at $0.6113.
Persons: Masato Kanda, Carol Kong, Emmanuel Macron, Christopher Wong Organizations: Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Reuters, Citi, Fed, National, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S
A rebound in inflation risks prompting another rate hike from the Fed, Rob Arnott told Bloomberg TV. The Fed's projected 25-basis point rate cut won't be enough to stimulate the economy, he noted. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The legendary investor is forecasting that inflation will be 3.5%-5% by the end of the year, he told Bloomberg TV.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Organizations: Fed, Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg TV, Research, Business
Against that uncertain backdrop, Wall Street analysts are focused on identifying stocks with solid fundamentals and strong long-term growth prospects. In that climate, here are three stocks favored by the Street's top pros, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance. Finally, Feinseth mentioned Microsoft's strong financial position, which supports enhanced shareholder returns and enables investments in the company's AI ambitions. The company's Zscaler Zero Trust Exchange platform securely connects users, devices and applications by protecting them from cyberattacks and data loss. Following the Zenith Live 2024 event, Baird analyst Shrenik Kothari reaffirmed a buy rating on Zscaler stock with a price target of $260.
Persons: Kevin Scott, TD Cowen, Helane Becker, Becker, TipRanks, OpenAI, Ivan Feinseth, Feinseth, Baird, Shrenik Kothari, Zscaler, Kothari Organizations: Microsoft, Technology, Artificial, Seattle Convention Center, Federal Reserve, Street, Delta Air, Delta Air Lines, DAL, Delta, Activision Blizzard, Zero, Zenith Locations: Seattle, Seattle , Washington, Toronto, Delta
10'000 Hours | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesThere are areas in the U.S. that are considered to be the least difficult places to buy a home, according to a new real estate indicator. When the counties are sorted by index rank, Iroquois County, Illinois is the least difficult market to buy a home, according to the NBC News Home Buyer Index. Economic Instability: Macon County, Tennessee has the most stable local economy among measured areas. And finally, economic instability considers an area's market volatility, unemployment levels and interest rates. The NBC News Home Buyer Index was developed by NBC News alongside housing experts, such as a real estate industry analyst and a bank economist from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Persons: Joe Murphy, , Murphy, Danielle Hale, Jacob Channel, Hale Organizations: NBC, U.S ., Finance, NBC News, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, U.S . Department of Housing, Urban Development, . Census, Federal, Fed, who've Locations: U.S, Iroquois County , Illinois, Somervell County , Texas, Imperial County , California, Macon County , Tennessee
America’s housing crisis continues to worsen
  + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( Bryan Mena | )   time to read: +6 min
Washington CNN —Homeowners in America aren’t the only ones struggling with an unaffordable housing market. A report from Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies released last week showed that both homeowners and renters in recent years have become increasingly burdened by climbing housing costs. That’s all part of a broader struggle in the US housing market, and recent data shows that it hasn’t gotten any better. But there’s a problem: ChatGPT — soon to be integrated into Siri — is banned in China, reports my colleague Samantha Murphy Kelly. The Chicago Fed releases its National Activity Index for May.
Persons: ” Lael Brainard, , , Brainard, Biden, ” Brainard, ChatGPT —, Siri —, Samantha Murphy Kelly, OpenAI, Siri, ChatGPT, Read, Christopher Waller, Lisa Cook, Michelle Bowman, General Mills, Levi Strauss, Tom Barkin Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, Washington CNN — Homeowners, America aren’t, Harvard University’s, for Housing Studies, Harvard, , White, Economic Council, Urban Institute, Administration, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Samsung, Cyberspace Administration, FedEx, Chicago Fed, Global, Index, Board, Micron, General, US Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Nike, McCormick, Walgreens, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, Richmond Fed, University of Michigan Locations: Washington, America, Congress, China
Former President Donald Trump on Saturday gave a brief glimpse of the ammunition he is loading up against President Joe Biden's handling of the economy ahead of the first presidential debate next week. On inflation specifically, Trump foreshadowed a tactic he said he might use at the upcoming debate against Biden on June 27. Maybe I should save it for the debate," Trump said moments before taking out a miniature box of Tic Tac candies and holding a regular sized box next to it. But I will end the Biden inflation nightmare." But something like Trump's Tic Tac stunt will not be permitted at the Thursday debate where props and pre-written notes are prohibited.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, gesturing, Harris, Sarafina Chitika Organizations: U.S, Republican, Saturday, Freedom Coalition, Biden, Federal Reserve, Social, Social Security Locations: Racine , Wisconsin, U.S
AdvertisementFor example, earlier this year, I paid about $100 to snag aisle seats on Finnair flights between New York and Helsinki. I want the freedom to move about the cabin wheneverThe reason I'll pay extra for the aisle seat is two-fold. I opted for a center-section aisle seat on an Air India flight in January, paying an extra $50 for it. The aisle seat lets me stretch an arm or leg out when needed, giving me just enough wiggle room. I paid for my aisle seat for a reason, so I'm within my right to say no.
Persons: , I've, Taylor Rains, I'm Organizations: Service, Delta Air Lines, All Nippon Airways, Atlantic Airways, Spirit Airlines, Business, Air India, Norse Atlantic Airways, Air, British Airways, Ryanair Locations: New York, Helsinki, Air India
But it's popular to pair with chicken, too: Sweetgreen has a hot honey chicken protein bowl, Cava sells harissa honey chicken, and KFC serves Sriracha honey nuggets. At Starbucks' upmarket Reserve locations, you can get hot honey in an affogato or espresso martini. So Kurtz started experimenting with chili-infused honey in his college apartment, where he created Mike's Hot Honey in 2004. Zalat PizzaUK canned and bottled cocktail company Tom Savano Cocktails has been experimenting with hot honey in the drinks department. Cooking magazines and TikTokers alike have been scrambling to find new ways to incorporate hot honey into dishes.
Persons: , Lizzy Freier, Sweetgreen, Cava, Grace Dean, Roberta's, Mike Kurtz, Kurtz, Paul Giannone, Paulie Gee's, Matt Wessel, Wessel, Maison Pickle, Emilia Aghamirzai, Maison, Jacob Hadjigeorgis, there's, Khanh Nguyen, Nguyen, Savano, Scotch Bonnet, James Kerslake, Kerslake Organizations: Service, Business, KFC, Starbucks, Bee, The New York Times, Brooklyn, Foods, Milwaukee Pretzel Company Locations: Manhattan, New Orleans, Chicago, Brazil, Brooklyn, Dallas
Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Sunday as the market is set to enter the last week of June and 2024's first half near record highs. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures were both little changed. The S&P 500 scored an intraday record of 5,505.53 on Thursday and posted another winning week. The equity benchmark gained 0.6% last week, notching its eighth positive week in nine. The S&P 500 has advanced almost 15% this year after notching 31 record closes.
Persons: Katie Nixon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, U.S ., Trust Wealth Management, Federal, FedEx, Micron, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Nike
Nvidia had some strong moves in the days after its 10-for-1 stock split traded in the market on June 10. Tuesday brought weaker-than-expected May retail sales , which the stock market took in stride, perhaps on the view that softness helps the view that the Federal Reserve will indeed cut interest rates later this year. Ultimately, the economic readings this past week signal that while U.S. growth remains resilient, things are slowing, which is an ideal setup for stock market bulls. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge and the tail end of earning season will be drivers of the market in the week ahead. ET: New Home Sales Before the bell: General Mills (GIS), Paychex (PAYX), UniFirst (UNF) After the bell: Micron (MU), BlackBerry (BB), Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, June 27 8:30 a.m.
Persons: we're, Levi Strauss, Mills, LEVI, McCormick, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Emily Elconin Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Broadcom, Energy, West Texas, Utilities, Federal, Juneteenth, FedEx, Nike, Micron, UniFirst, UNF, BlackBerry, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Outdoor Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Shoppers, Getty Locations: U.S, Oaks, Novi , Michigan
For example, a call that the S & P 500 would rise 100 points on a positive consumer price index print came true last year. That's true so far, with the S & P 500 jumping 4.8% in May after finishing April down 4.2%. As equities struggled, (the S & P 500 fell almost 20% in 2022), Lee felt like the risk of inflation was being mispriced. Because of that, he foresaw a rebound in 2023, a year that sent the S & P 500 more than 24% higher. "There was a pretty widely-held view that the Fed had to crash the economy in order to contain inflation," Lee said.
Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Lee, it's, that's, Lee doesn't, Russell, hiccups, Salomon Smith Barney Organizations: Fundstrat, CNBC Pro, Wharton School, selloff, Apple, Netflix, Nasdaq, JPMorgan
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThere are two major similarities between today's stock market environment and the dot-com bubble era, says RIA Advisors CIO Lance Roberts. RIA Advisors/AccentureAnd two, there is a small group of firms leading the overall stock market rally, just as it was in 2000. He's a bit more optimistic this time around because of the robust earnings performance fueling the few stocks leading the market. Advertisement"We are again experiencing another of these speculative 'booms,' as anything related to artificial intelligence grips investors' imaginations," Roberts said.
Persons: , Lance Roberts, Roberts, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Service, RIA, Business, Accenture, Nvidia, UBS, Investors, Federal Reserve
Read previewAmerica's stimulus-fueled shopping spree looks just about over — and lower spending could be a signal that a consumer-led downturn is on the horizon, economic experts say. Retail spending ticked 0.1% higher in May, but sales volume has dropped 1.3% year-over-year over the last three months, US Census data shows. That adds to a 4% decline in retail sales in the first quarter — and it's a strong sign the long-awaited consumer recession is on the horizon, economist David Rosenberg said recently. "Early signs of a consumer recession finally coming to the fore." AdvertisementThe US has 52% chance of slipping into recession by May of next year, according to projections from the New York Fed.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Stephanie Pomboy, Ian Shepherdson Organizations: Service, Business, McKinsey, Deutsche Bank, Consumer, Federal Reserve, New York Fed, Pantheon Macroeconomics
Banking regulators on Friday disclosed that they found weaknesses in the resolution plans of four of the eight largest American lenders. The Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation said that the so-called living wills — plans for unwinding huge institutions in the event of distress or failure — of Citigroup , JPMorgan Chase , Goldman Sachs and Bank of America filed in 2023 were inadequate. Regulators found fault with the way each of the banks planned to unwind their massive derivatives portfolios. The living wills are a key regulatory exercise mandated in the aftermath of the 2008 global financial crisis. "We are fully committed to addressing the issues identified by our regulators," New York-based Citigroup said in a statement.
Persons: Jane Fraser, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, credibly, we've Organizations: Citigroup, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Nations Largest Banks, Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Regulators, Wall, Goldman, Bank of, FDIC, Citi Locations: New York
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