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David Dee Delgado | Getty ImagesAmericans this holiday season say they are seeing a ghost of Christmas past: inflation. The CNBC All-America Economic Survey finds inflation is still haunting the buying public, leading to what's shaping up to be just an average season for retailers. In all, 46% of Americans say they have arrived at the holiday season with a some or a lot of debt and they also plan to spend less than most. A brief holiday shopping seasonAnother factor for shoppers to negotiate this season: Thanksgiving fell on Nov. 28, the latest date possible, meaning a shorter season. It may be that late shoppers could be waiting for bargains: The group tends to be not just men, but also lower income Americans who plan to spend less this holiday season than last.
Persons: David Dee Delgado, Republican pollsters, Jay Campbell Organizations: Herald, Getty, CNBC, America Economic Survey, America Economic, Hart Research, Republican, Democratic, Consumers Locations: New York City, procrastination
When the votes are counted in U.S. presidential election, will it be the gender gap, the income gap, the Latino vote or the media and marketing campaigns that turned out to be decisive? CNBC Senior Economics Reporter Steve Liesman sat down with four polling experts for an in-depth look into the data to see which ones could turn the election to either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump. The panel included Steve Kornacki, NBC News national political correspondent; Mark Murray, NBC News senior political editor; Micah Roberts, Public Opinion Strategies partner and CNBC's Republican pollsters; and Jay Campbell, Hart Research partner and CNBC's Democratic pollster. Yes, it's likely to be the economy. See the full video above to hear the discussion.
Persons: Steve Liesman, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Steve Kornacki, Mark Murray, Micah Roberts, Jay Campbell, Hart, it's Organizations: CNBC, NBC News, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, Democratic
In 2013, the share of self-identified liberals among young women exceeded the share among young men by 5 percentage points; by 2023, that gap was nearly four times as large. (In that survey, young men were substantially more likely than young women to say they rely on YouTube as a major source of news.) (In the Harvard poll, one-fourth of young women identified in some way as LGBTQ, more than double the share of young men.) “He’s got to make up for the defection of young men by winning young women by more, and he’s got to get every young woman he can out to vote,” said Lake, the Democratic pollster. Biden’s best hope of avoiding a catastrophic decline in his youth support is that the number of young women Trump repels exceeds the number of young men he attracts.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, John Burn, Murdoch, , Harvard University’s John F, Daniel Cox, William Frey, Melissa Deckman, Gen, , Trump, John Della Volpe, Joe Biden doesn’t, Della Volpe, White, Deckman, aren’t, Cox, Dobbs, Anna Dean, Dean, ” Della Volpe, he’s, don’t, ” Cox, “ Donald Trump, “ He’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Pew Research Center, Financial, NBC, Democratic, Republican, GOP, Institute of Politics, Harvard University’s, Kennedy, Republican Party, Harvard, Democrats, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Biden didn’t, Brookings Metro thinktank, Religion Research Institute, Biden’s, YouTube, Pew, AEI, Blacks, Harvard Poll, Biden won’t Locations: Gaza, New York, Bentonville , Arkansas, America
Evelyn Hockstein | David Swanson | ReutersAmericans' views on the economy have improved modestly, according to the latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey, helping President Biden pull even with Donald Trump in a head-to-head matchup. But former President Trump holds a commanding lead on several economic issues, like inflation, taxes and immigration, that voters say are most important in this election. The survey of 1,001 Americans across the country showed 46% of voters choose Trump and 45% picking Biden in a one-on-one match with 10% undecided. Younger Democrats, in fact, are evenly split on the presidents handling of foreign policy. While those issues look to be dragging on the president's approval, he has received a boost from somewhat better overall views on the economy.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Evelyn Hockstein, David Swanson, Biden, Trump, Jay Campbell, Hart, Micah Roberts, it's, they've Organizations: Reuters, CNBC, America Economic Survey, Trump, Biden, Hart Research, Democratic, Republican
That's how majorities of the public responded when the CNBC All-America Economic Survey asked if President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump should run again for president. And 70% say Biden should not run for a second term with just 19% supporting a run. CNBC's Democratic and Republican pollsters both believe Democrats will likely support Biden if he's the nominee and that Republicans will support Trump. While Trump has announced he's running, President Biden has yet to officially do so. Just 8% say age is a major reason they don't back another run for Trump, who is 76.
Jonathan Ernst | ReutersThe third-quarter CNBC All-America Economic Survey finds some modest improvements in economic attitudes and in President Joe Biden's approval ratings across the country, but Americans still harbor mostly negative views on the economy and give the GOP double-digit leads on key economic and financial issues ahead of the November elections. President Biden's overall approval rating improved 10 points from the July survey with 46% approving and 50% disapproving. Approval of Biden's handling of the economy also rose 10 points, with 40% approving and 56% disapproving. The gap is the same as the prior survey, which came in at 44%-42%. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards CNBC All-America Economic Survey
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