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☆ How Harris could secure a historic winning record for Democrats in November – and still lose
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +20 min

By contrast, the modern day Democrats’ historic success at winning the popular vote hasn’t translated into nearly as much governing power for them. Over this record run of popular vote success, Democrats have already twice lost the Electoral College – and thus the White House – while winning more votes. Amazingly, Republicans won unified control of government in two elections when Democrats won a plurality of the national presidential vote: 2000 and 2016. The Democrats’ popular vote winning stretch began in 1992 with Clinton’s victory over George H.W. The highest share of the popular vote Democrats have won over this period is the 52.9% that Obama garnered in 2008.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin D, Roosevelt, –, ”, Paul Pierson, Harris isn’t, Trump, Joe Biden, Harris, Evan Vucci, Grover Cleveland, Kyle Kondik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Biden, Lee Drutman, Dwight Eisenhower, Eisenhower, Truman, “, Pierson, Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, Mark Schiefelbein, George H.W, Clinton, Al Gore, Obama, Hillary Clinton, George W . Bush, William McKinley, Teddy Roosevelt’s, William Howard Taft’s, Warren Harding, Calvin Coolidge, Herbert Hoover, Harding, Lyndon B, FDR, John Sides, Lynn Vavreck, Michael Tesler, Kondik, that’s, Drutman, Mitch McConnell, ” Drutman, Mitt Romney’s, Nikki Haley, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, centrists, Jim Kessler, Reagan, H.W, H.W . Bush, haven’t, ” Pierson, Ruffini Organizations: CNN, Democrats, Deal, TR Republicans, FDR Democrats, Electoral College –, TR, Supreme, University of California, Electoral, House, Senate, AP, Republican Senate, Democratic, University of Virginia’s Center, Politics, FDR, White, White House, “ Republicans, New America, Republicans, Republican, Dort Financial, Electoral College, Trump, GOP, kinks, Democratic Party, “ Party, The Locations: Berkeley, Butler , Pennsylvania, LBJ, Dort, Flint , Michigan, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Vermont, Arkansas, North Carolina, –, ”, H.W .

☆ Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +21 min

Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. But, as in other states, Democrats have been concerned about the risk of depressed turnout and some gains for Trump among Black voters in Philadelphia. Eight years later, the two states split again, when Roosevelt comfortably won Pennsylvania and Michigan narrowly went to Republican Wendell Willkie. This trio of states has arguably become the most consistent tipping point in American politics. In the nine elections since 1920 when they split their vote, the candidate who carried two of these three states won seven times.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Bob Shrum, Shrum, Tad Devine, “, Biden, PRRI, William Frey, Tim Marema, don’t, Mason, Dixon, Barack Obama, Tony Evers, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Dane County, Ben Wikler, Pete Giangreco, ”, You’ve, That’s, Gene Ulm, Roe, Wade, Whitmer, Branden Snyder, It’s, Clinton, Dante Chinni, White, ” Chinni, they’ve, They’ve, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Ruffini, “ I’m, ” Ruffini, Geoff Garin, Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, James Buchanan, John C, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, Republican Wendell Willkie, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Theodore Roosevelt’s, Al Gore, John Kerry, Republican Thomas Dewey, Hubert Humphrey, Garin Organizations: CNN, White House, Democratic, Michigan, Wisconsin, AdImpact, Trump, Center, University of Southern, “, Republicans, Survey, Blacks, of Labor Statistics, Public Religion Research, Whites, GOP, Brookings Metro, for Rural, doesn’t, Keystone State, Republican, Center for Rural, Democrats, Biden, Black, White, Wisconsin , Michigan Democrats, Detroit, Electoral, American Communities Project, …, Democrat, Pennsylvania, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Flint , Michigan, University of Southern California, California , New York, Illinois, Texas, Florida, Ohio, . Michigan, Wisconsin’s, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Eau Claire, Appleton, La Crosse, Outagamie, Winnebago, Green Bay, Green, Chicago, Scranton, Wilkes, Barre, ” Michigan, “ Michigan, Gaza, Wisconsin , Michigan, United States, “ Pennsylvania, Ulm, Pittsburgh, Butler , Pennsylvania, Republican George H.W ., Fremont, North Carolina, Michigan , Pennsylvania, “

☆ Opinion | Is There a Post-Religious Right?
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Ross Douthat | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

My one-liner “captured a widely shared assumption” that Trump’s rise signaled “the birth of an irreligious right animated by white racial grievance,” he wrote. The old religious right may have suffered a fatal blow in 2016. But what succeeded it was not a post-religious racialist party, as some feared and others hoped. was preparing to establish white supremacy now are more likely to denounce its ambitions as “Christian nationalist.” Whatever else one makes of this charge, it implies an acknowledgment that a post-religious right has failed to materialize. But when Schmitz says a post-religious right has “failed to materialize” I have to strongly disagree.

Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Schmitz, “, ”, that’s, Schmitz, Mitt Romney, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Vance, George W, Bush, Trump, Norman Vincent Peale Organizations: Republican, Trump, Christian, Republican Party Locations: American, Ohio

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