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☆ Top pollster Ann Selzer to retire after bombshell Iowa poll ended in historic miss
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Liam Reilly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Top pollster J. Ann Selzer will retire from the Des Moines Register’s famed Iowa Poll and the survey will “evolve” after it failed to accurately capture former President Donald Trump’s strong support in the 2024 election, resulting in a 16-point miss. Trump ultimately swept to victory over Harris in the state by a 13-point margin, winning the actual vote 56-43%. Prior to the 2024 survey, the Iowa Poll under her stewardship had been considered by many to be the methodological gold standard. As of June 2024, election forecaster Nate Silver gave Selzer an A+ rating. In an op-ed for the Register, Selzer said that her decision to part ways with the poll predated the erroneous results.

Persons: Ann Selzer, Donald Trump’s, Selzer, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, ’, ” Kristin Roberts, ”, ” Roberts, “, John Kerry, Republican George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Nate Silver, ” Selzer, I’m, Carol Hunter, ” Hunter, Iowans Organizations: New, New York CNN, Des Moines Register’s, Iowa, Trump, Republican, Gannett Media, Des Moines Register, CNN, ”, Iowa Poll, Selzer Locations: New York, Des, Iowa, West Des Moines

☆ The common national experience that explains Trump’s 2024 gains
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

Biden in 2020 did not gain ground across the country in as large a percentage of counties as Trump did in 2024. In 2020, Biden won Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the three former “blue wall” states that decided the election, by a combined 257,029 votes. “In 2020, Biden picks up everywhere. In 2020, Biden won only a little more than one-sixth of the nation’s counties, but the places he captured generated over 70% of the nation’s total economic output. The highest-output counties Trump flipped were almost entirely in the Sun Belt: from Hillsborough (Tampa) and Tarrant (Fort Worth) to Maricopa (Phoenix).

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Trump, Joe Biden’s, Trump hasn’t, Biden, ”, Alan Abramowitz, Harris, Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Republican George W, Bush, Lynn Vavreck, “, Barack Obama, John Kerry’s, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Abramowitz, That’s, Vavreck, Trump’s, —, ” Vavreck, Mark Muro, Muro, Brookings, Elon Musk, ” Muro, NORC Organizations: CNN, Trump, Emory University, GOP, Biden, Republican, UCLA, Daily, Rural Studies, Michigan, White, Colorado and, Brookings Metro, Republicans, Democratic, Truman, Elon, Edison Research, Associated Press Locations: nation’s, nonmetropolitan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado, Colorado and Virginia, Trump, Hillsborough, Tampa, Tarrant, Fort Worth, Maricopa, Phoenix

☆ Muslim voters once abandoned the GOP. Now they may leave the Democrats.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Alex-Seitz-Wald-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Alex Seitz-Wald | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

Arab and Muslim voters moved away from the Democratic Party this year in ways that led some community leaders to warn of a lasting shift from a voting bloc that has been reliably Democratic for two decades since it abandoned the GOP. Muslim voters backed Republican George W. Bush in 2000, but fled the GOP in response to the Bush administration’s post-9/11 military interventions abroad and anti-terror policies at home, which they felt unfairly targeted people of Islamic faith. In the two decades since then, Muslim Americans have broken roughly 2-to-1 for Democrats, while groups representing the community institutionally aligned themselves with Democrats, much like other groups representing voters of color. Nationally, the Council on American-Islamic Relations, one of the largest Muslim advocacy groups in the country, which has been sharply critical of Biden’s foreign policy, conducted its own postelection survey of Muslim voters. “Our pleas, demands and warnings were ignored by President Biden and then by Vice President Harris.

Persons: Donald Trump, ”, Layla Elabed, Joe Biden’s, Republican George W, Bush, Trump, Jill Stein, Harris, Stein, Bill Bazzi, Biden, “, Robert S, McCaw, Benjamin Netanyahu, Dearborn, You’re, ” Sen, John Fetterman, Rania Batrice, President Biden, ” Trump, Tiffany Trump’s, Rabiul Chowdhury, Ruwa, Abdullah Hammoud Organizations: Democratic Party, GOP, Trump, Democratic, Republican, Democrats, Green, Islamic, American, CAIR National Government, Palestinian, Palestinian American Democratic, Democratic National Convention, Muslim Democratic, Palestinian American Democrat Locations: Gaza, American, Dearborn , Michigan, —, Dearborn, Dearborn Heights, Arab, Palestinian American, Lebanese, Pennsylvania , Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia

Tim Walz said he believes his rival for vice president, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, wants to solve the nation’s immigration crisis, but he questioned whether former President Donald Trump really does. Vance acknowledged that Walz wants to solve the problem, too, but he questioned whether Vice President Kamala Harris really does. Vance said he and Walz “probably agree that we need to do better” on addressing gun violence. “I think Tim Walz agreed with JD Vance significantly more times in this debate. “Look, I’ve known Tim Walz 16 years, and that’s who he is,” Colorado Gov.

Persons: Tim Walz, Sen, JD Vance, Ohio, Donald Trump, Vance, Walz, Kamala Harris, ”, ’, Walz “, — Vance, —, “, ” Walz, Tuesday’s, Harris, Dick Cheney, Joe Lieberman, Cheney, Republican George W, Bush, ” Rep, Byron Donalds, they're, Jasmine Crockett, Wajahat Ali, ” Ali, Dems, ” Symone Sanders, ” Sanders, that’s, Jared Polis, ” Vance, Tim, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris ’, “ Donald Trump, Margaret Brennan, scrutinizing, “ I’ve, Brennan, Trump, Biden, It’s Organizations: Minnesota Gov, Republican, CBS News, ”, NBC, Democratic Party, MSNBC, Democrat, NBC News, Washington Post, U.S . Capitol, White Locations: Minnesota, Springfield , Ohio, Trump, D, Texas, Colorado, Springfield, American, Mexico, America, Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Walz

☆ Vance and Walz bring a dose of civility to a heated campaign: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Tim Walz said he believes his rival for vice president, Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, wants to solve the nation’s immigration crisis, but he questioned if former President Donald Trump really does. Vance acknowledged that Walz wants to solve the problem, too, but he questioned if Vice President Kamala Harris really does. Walz agreed with “a lot of what Sen. Vance said” about Americans not trusting Republicans on abortion. Vance replied, “Who has been the vice president for the last three and a half years? “Kamala Harris’ Day One was Donald Trump’s failure on Covid that led to the collapse of our economy.

Persons: Sen, JD Vance, Tim Walz, Vance, Walz, Henry J, Gomez, Allan Smith, Ohio, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ”, Walz “, — Vance, —, Tuesday’s, Harris, Dick Cheney, Joe Lieberman, Cheney, Republican George W, Bush, Read, Allan →, Sahil Kapur, assail “ Donald Trump’s, “, Trump, “ Kamala Harris ’, Donald Trump’s, ” Walz, Tim, Hitler ”, I’ve, ” Vance Organizations: Minnesota Gov, Republican, CBS News, Trump, ”, GOP, Biden Locations: Ohio, Israel, Sahil

☆ Harris’ Georgia challenge: reassembling Biden’s diverse 2020 coalition
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( John King | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +12 min

Georgia voter Christine Nguyen and John King in Decatur, Georgia CNNRebel Teahouse is in Decatur, in reliably blue suburban DeKalb County just outside Atlanta. It is one of the places that helped Biden to his stunning, razor-thin 2020 Georgia win and is now a key test of whether Harris can assemble a similar winning coalition. “Absolutely no,” was Gardner’s answer when we asked whether the switch from Biden to Harris would make him rethink. Republican George W. Bush won 66% in Gwinnett in 2004; in 2020, Biden carried the county with 58%. CNNLike Ngyuen, Hallmon sometimes finds herself in debates over whether Harris or Trump is better for small business and the overall economy.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Christine Nguyen, “, ” Nguyen, That’s, Nguyen, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Harris, –, John King, Biden, Trump, Biden’s, Kamala, ” Harris, ”, Jan Gardner, ” John King, Suresh Sharma, CNN Suresh Sharma, ” Sharma, Sharma, Republican Mitt Romney, Cobb, ‘, Harris Chantá Villano, Willis, Villano, I’ve, ” Villano, ” Willis, ” Kim Cavaliere, Republican George W, Bush, Cavaliere, ” Cavaliere, ” Hallmon, Hallmon, ’ Hallmon, Martin Luther King Jr, Lakeysha Hallmon, that’s Organizations: Georgia CNN, Biden, Trump, Democratic, Decatur , Georgia CNN, Black, White, CNN, Statewide, American, Pacific Islanders, NASA, General Electric, Republican, Republican Party, Washington, Retail, Sears, Ward Locations: Decatur, Georgia, battlegrounds, Decatur , Georgia, DeKalb County, Atlanta, United States, India, Jamaica, Vietnam, Marietta, Cobb County, Mexico, Powder Springs, MAGA, cryptocurrencies . Georgia, Powder Springs , Georgia, Massachusetts, Gwinnett County, Gwinnett, Ponce City, Atlanta’s

☆ An unexpected generational realignment is scrambling the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —A truism of American politics is that older voters prefer the Republican and younger voters prefer the Democrat. In 2012, Republican Mitt Romney lost the election, but he did better than Democrat Barack Obama among voters 45 and older. Older voters are gravitating to Biden, and younger voters are taking a look at Trump. But older voters have gone in the opposite direction, and instead of favoring Trump, are nearly split in the Marist poll. Despite the shift of older voters in the direction of Biden (and younger voters away from him), I was surprised to see older voters still have reservations about Biden’s age.

Persons: Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, —, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Republican Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, haven’t, George H.W, Bush, Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, Republican George W, gravitating, Biden, “ Joe isn’t, ”, Jill Biden, CNN’s Jeff Zeleny, Eric Bradner, Bradner, Linda Van, “, I’d, Ronald Brownstein Organizations: CNN, Democrat, Republican, Electoral, Voters, Trump, Marist, Quinnipiac University, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, ”

The case is the court’s most direct involvement in a presidential election since Bush v. Gore, a decision delivered a quarter-century ago that effectively delivered the 2000 election to Republican George W. Bush. Both the Colorado Supreme Court and the Maine secretary of state’s rulings are on hold until the appeals play out. In 2000, in Bush v. Gore, the court and the parties were divided over whether the justices should intervene at all. Justice Clarence Thomas is the only sitting member of the court who was on the bench for Bush v. Gore. Kavanaugh and Barrett were elevated to the Supreme Court by Trump, who also appointed Justice Neil Gorsuch.

Persons: “, Bush, Gore, Republican George W, Trump, Democrat Joe Biden, Shenna Bellows, ”, Donald Sherman, Donald Trump, ” Sherman, Clarence Thomas, John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett, Roberts, Kavanaugh, Barrett, Neil Gorsuch, Thomas, Ginni Thomas, Mark Meadows, Jack Smith Organizations: Republican, Democrat, U.S . Capitol, Colorado, Trump, Democratic, Colorado Supreme Court, Associated Press, Washington, Bush, Capitol Locations: Colorado, Colorado , Maine, Maine, Bush, Washington

WASHINGTON (AP) — Lawyers for former President Donald Trump on Thursday urged the Supreme Court “to put a swift and decisive end” to efforts to kick him off the 2024 presidential ballot over his efforts to overturn his 2020 election loss. The Colorado court noted that Trump had held a rally outside the White House and exhorted his supporters to “fight like hell” before they walked to the Capitol. Trump's Supreme Court team is led by Texas-based lawyer Jonathan Mitchell, who devised aspects of the anti-abortion legislation that largely shut down abortions in Texas months before the Supreme Court overturned the Roe v. Wade decision in June 2022. Colorado’s Supreme Court, by a 4-3 vote, ruled last month that Trump should not be on the Republican primary ballot. Both the Colorado Supreme Court and the Maine secretary of state’s rulings are on hold until the appeals play out.

Persons: Donald Trump, “, Trump, ”, Jonathan Mitchell, Roe, Wade, Mitch McConnell, Mike Johnson, Shenna Bellows, Bush, Gore, Republican George W, Clarence Thomas, Jack Smith Organizations: WASHINGTON, —, Colorado Supreme, Republican, U.S . Capitol, White, Capitol, Trump, Republicans, Colorado’s, Democratic, Colorado Supreme Court Locations: Colorado, Texas, Congress, Maine, Washington

☆ Former US Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’Connor dead at 93
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +8 min

[1/5] U.S. Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O'Connor speaks during an interview with Reuters Editor-in-Chief Stephen Adler at the 92nd Street Y in New York March 15, 2012. Chief Justice John Roberts recalled O'Connor as having "blazed an historic trail as our nation’s first female justice." "We at the Supreme Court mourn the loss of a beloved colleague, a fiercely independent defender of the rule of law, and an eloquent advocate for civics education." Her 1981 appointment by Republican President Ronald Reagan made her the Supreme Court's first woman justice nearly two centuries after the Supreme Court was established in 1789 but her place in history went beyond breaking men-only barriers. The Supreme Court, which has had a 6-3 conservative majority since 2020, overturned the landmark Roe ruling in 2022.

Persons: Sandra Day O'Connor, Stephen Adler, Shannon Stapleton, Sandra Day O’Connor, O'Connor, John Roberts, Roberts, George W, Bush, Samuel Alito, Ronald Reagan, you’ve, Roe, Wade, Republican George W, Democrat Al Gore, O’Connor, Harry, Ada Mae, Rehnquist, John, Warren Burger, Reagan, Jimmy Carter, Justice Potter Stewart, “, Barack Obama, Bill Trott, Daniel Wallis Organizations: U.S, Supreme, Reuters, REUTERS, Rights, Republican, Democrat, Chicago Tribune, Stanford University, Arizona, Democratic, Senate, Ladies, White, Thomson Locations: New York, Phoenix, Arizona, Georgia, Texas, Florida, El Paso , Texas, Los Angeles, San Mateo County , California, United States, West, Reuters Washington

☆ Long-serving US Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein dead at 90
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Will Dunham | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Feinstein was a Washington trailblazer who, among other accomplishments, became the first woman to head the influential Senate Intelligence Committee. Feinstein joined the Senate in 1992 after winning a special election and was reelected five times, including in 2018, along the way becoming the longest-serving woman senator ever. Health issues slowed Feinstein late in her career, when she was the oldest senator at the time. She ran for governor in 1990, winning the Democratic primary but losing to Republican Pete Wilson in the general election. Feinstein then ran in 1992 for the Senate seat that Wilson had previously held, easily defeating the Republican appointed to the seat.

Persons: Sen, Dianne Feinstein, William Barr, Department's, Feinstein, Dianne, Francisco’s, Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi, George Moscone, Harvey Milk, Milk, Dan White, Ramsay Hunt, al, Osama Bin Laden, John McCain of, Edward Snowden, Republican George W, Bush's, Lindsey Graham, Donald Trump's, Amy Coney Barrett, Trump, Joe Biden's, She, Francisco's, Republican Pete Wilson, Wilson, Feinstein's, Bertram Feinstein, Richard Blum, Will Dunham, Susan Heavey, Scott Malone, Diane Craft, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Committee, Democratic U.S, Washington trailblazer, Intelligence, Senate, U.S, Francisco's, of Supervisors, Moscone, Republicans, Health, Republican, CIA, AMERICA, National Security Agency, NSA, Capitol, Stanford University, San, Supervisors, Democratic, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, WASHINGTON, California, Washington, San Francisco County, Connecticut, United States, al Qaeda, Pakistan, John McCain of Arizona, Vietnam, America, Iraq, San Francisco

☆ ‘A day that changed history': US marks 22 years since 9/11 attacks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Peltz | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +5 min

Commemorations stretch from the attack sites — at New York's World Trade Center, the Pentagon and Shanksville, Pennsylvania — to Alaska and beyond. But a sense of connection is enshrined in a local memorial incorporating steel from the World Trade Center’s destroyed twin towers. As another way of marking the anniversary, many Americans do volunteer work on what Congress has designated both Patriot Day and a National Day of Service and Remembrance. First lady Jill Biden is due to lay a wreath at the 9/11 memorial at the Pentagon. Educators with a total of more than 10,000 students have registered for access to the free “National Day of Learning” program, which will be available through the fall, organizers say.

Persons: Joe Biden, Eddie Ferguson, Jessica Leigh Sachs, “ We’re, ”, Joe Maurath, Kamala Harris, James Giaccone, Joseph Giaccone, ” James Giaccone, Andrew Siff, “, ” Biden, Republican George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Obama, Jill Biden, Harris ’, Doug Emhoff, Katherine Hostetler Organizations: Trade Center, Pentagon, Washington , D.C, NBC New, Boy Scouts and Girl Scouts, Trade, Congress, of Service, Democrat, Republican, National Park Service Locations: firehouses, New, Shanksville, Pennsylvania —, Alaska, Anchorage, Washington ,, India, Vietnam, Virginia’s Goochland County, NBC New York, New York, Columbus , Indiana, Fenton , Missouri, St, Louis, Jersey's Monmouth, U.S, Fort Meade, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Stoystown

Commemorations stretch from the attack sites — at New York's World Trade Center, the Pentagon and Shanksville, Pennsylvania — to Alaska and beyond. But a sense of connection is enshrined in a local memorial incorporating steel from the World Trade Center’s destroyed twin towers. In Columbus, Indiana, 911 dispatchers broadcast a remembrance message to police, fire and EMS radios throughout the 50,000-person city, which also holds a public memorial ceremony. At ground zero, Vice President Kamala Harris is due to join the ceremony on the National Sept. 11 Memorial and Museum plaza. First lady Jill Biden is due to lay a wreath at the 9/11 memorial at the Pentagon.

Persons: Joe Biden, Eddie Ferguson, Jessica Leigh Sachs, “ We’re, ”, Joe Maurath, Kamala Harris, James Giaccone, Joseph Giaccone, ” James Giaccone, “, ” Biden, Republican George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Obama, Jill Biden, Harris ’, Doug Emhoff, Katherine Hostetler Organizations: Trade Center, Pentagon, Washington , D.C, Boy Scouts and Girl Scouts, Trade, Congress, of Service, Democrat, Republican, National Park Service Locations: firehouses, New, Shanksville, Pennsylvania —, Alaska, Anchorage, Washington ,, India, Vietnam, Virginia’s Goochland County, New York, Columbus , Indiana, Fenton , Missouri, St, Louis, Jersey's Monmouth, U.S, Fort Meade, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Stoystown

RALEIGH, N.C. – The 2024 election promises to feature several major battlegrounds, but for sheer breadth of competitive contests, North Carolina next year will be hard to beat. Recent presidential contests in North Carolina have been close: In 2020, Donald Trump won North Carolina by about 74,000 votes out of more than 5.5 million cast. In other words, in 2024, North Carolina will be one of the centers of the political universe – important in part because it’s a uniquely competitive state. “North Carolina has proved to be a purple state, but not necessarily a swing state,” says Cooper, the political scientist. For the better part of two decades, Georgia, like North Carolina, had voted consistently Republican in key federal races – until 2020.

Persons: Donald Trump, Tricia Cotham, Roy Cooper, Cooper, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Stein, Robinson, ”, Chris Cooper, Kay Hagan, Barack Obama, Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, Biden, Warnock, Republican George W, Bush, Gore, Charlotte don’t, Al Gore, Charlotte, “ There’s, “, Mac McCorkle, Rachel Salzberg, Carolina’s Cooper, don’t, Anderson Clayton, ” Anderson, –, Rob Schofield, Clayton, Ferrel Guillory, Robinson doesn’t, Dale Folwell, Mark Walker, Andy Wells, Jesse Thomas, he’s, Michael Bitzer, sidestepped Cooper’s, Robinson’s, McCorkle, ” John Hood, John William Pope, ” Hood, Trump Organizations: North, North Carolina, GOP, Democrat, Republican, Democratic Gov, Democratic, Gov, UNC, Duke, Western Carolina University, Republicans, Atlanta, Biden, Carolina’s, Trump, Georgia –, state’s, of Science, Technology, Innovation, Duke University's Sanford School of Public Policy, Democratic Party, Appalachian State University, The Washington Post, Senate, University of North, Dartmouth, Harvard, Catawba College, “, Affordable, John William Pope Foundation Locations: RALEIGH, N.C, North Carolina, “ North Carolina, Carolina, Georgia, Atlanta, Carolina’s Raleigh, Durham, Wake, Raleigh, Cary, Charlotte, Mecklenburg County, Atlanta’s, Texas, Mecklenburg, North Carolina’s, Clayton, Union County, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill

☆ The chance of Trump winning another term is very real
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Similarly, Clinton’s edge was in the single digits over Obama in South Carolina at this stage of the campaign. Of course, winning the primary is one thing for Trump, who has led in almost every single Republican primary poll published in the past eight years. A poll out last week from Marquette University Law School had Biden and Trump tied percentage-wise (with a statistically insignificant few more respondents choosing Trump). The good news for Democrats is that general election polling, unlike primary polling, is not predictive at this point. But for now, the chance that Trump is president in less than two years time is a very real possibility.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Democrat Al Gore, Republican George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Gore, Clinton, Ron DeSantis, George McGovern, Jimmy Carter, Barack Obama, Obama, Republican John McCain, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Romney couldn’t, McCain, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democrat, Florida Gov, Trump, Marquette University Law School, Biden, ABC News, Washington Post, Quinnipiac University, Democrats Locations: Bush, Trump’s, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Clinton, Iowa, New Hampshire, Marquette, Pennsylvania, Erie, Quinnipiac

☆ US House rebuffs bid by Republican hardliners to end some sanctions
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( David Morgan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

WASHINGTON, July 18 (Reuters) - The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives on Tuesday turned back a bid by hardline conservatives to end five presidential emergency declarations that allow for sanctions against America's enemies in the Middle East and Africa. Trump, a hero to Republican hardliners, did use a 2019 national emergency declaration to fund construction of a wall at the U.S.-Mexico border over the opposition of congressional Democrats. "Trump was probably the first president to use the National Emergency Act and national emergency declarations for the express purpose of getting around Congress on a question of long term policy," Goitein said. Both Republicans and Democrats said they agreed with the objective of improving the national emergency system. "While I understand my colleagues' desire to reform the national emergency process, empowering terrorists, corrupt officials and war criminals is not the answer.

Persons: Lauren Boebert, Matt Gaetz, Paul Gosar, Eli Crane, Republican George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump's, Biden, Hardliner, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, somebody's, Gosar, Elizabeth Goitein, Trump, Goitein, Mike Lawler, David Morgan, Scott Malone, Lincoln Organizations: Republican, House, Four Republican, Democratic, Republicans, Democrats, Washington, Colorado firebrand, Hardliner Republicans, Freedom Caucus, Brennan Center for Justice, New York University, Trump, Emergency, Thomson Locations: East, Africa, Syria, Yemen, Iraq, Libya, Democratic Republic of Congo, Colorado, Iran, U.S, Mexico

☆ Why Biden worries about a third-party rival in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-16 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

This would normally be the part of the story where I’d tell you that a third-party candidate has little chance of winning next year – and I am telling you that. It’s also true, however, that 2024 is shaping up to be the kind of election Biden could lose primarily because of a third-party candidacy. This year it’s pretty clear that such a portion of third-party voters probably already exists for a simple reason: Biden and Trump are historically unpopular. The headlines and the fears Democrats have about a third-party candidate are, at least partially, a tacit acknowledgement that Biden is unpopular. So why aren’t we hearing Republicans worry about a third-party candidate?

Persons: CNN —, Joe Biden’s, ”, Cornel West’s, Joe Manchin, It’s, Biden, Let’s, Donald Trump, Democrat Al Gore, Ralph Nader’s, Gore, Republican George W, Bush, Nader, Trump, Hillary Clinton, don’t, FiveThirtyEight’s Geoffrey Skelley, We’re, Gary Johnson Organizations: CNN, ’, Democratic, Trump, Democrat, Florida –, Green Party, Republican, Biden, Republican Party, Quinnipiac University, Independent Locations: New Hampshire

☆ Biden's approval rating lingers at 40%, economy remains top worry, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-12 | by ( Josephine Walker | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON, July 12 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden's public approval rating held steady at 40% in early July, close to the lowest levels of his presidency, as economic worries continued to trouble Americans, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll this week. and ended on Monday, showed a marginal decrease from his 41% approval rating a month earlier, within the survey's three percentage point margin of error. Respondents were evenly split in their views of the Supreme Court's decision last month to strike down Biden's student loan forgiveness program, with 49% supporting the decision and 48% opposed. The poll was conducted following the high court’s term, which saw the court strike down college affirmative action programs as well as Biden's student debt plan. The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, and collected responses from 1,028 adults, using a nationally representative sample.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Joe Biden, Donald Trump's, Barack Obama, Republican George W, Bush, Josephine Walker, Scott Malone, Alistair Bell Organizations: Reuters, Democratic, Republican, Supreme, Thomson

☆ Supreme Court rules against Republicans in North Carolina elections dispute
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Lawrence Hurley | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The justices ruled on a 6-3 vote that the North Carolina Supreme Court was acting within its authority in concluding that the map constituted a partisan gerrymander under the state constitution. As a result of the North Carolina Supreme Court's ruling, that map is likely to tilt heavily toward Republicans. The North Carolina case was being closely watched for its potential impact on the 2024 presidential election. Republicans led by Tim Moore, the speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives, invoked the theory after the state Supreme Court struck down the congressional district map in February of last year. Moore and other Republicans immediately asked the Supreme Court to reinstate the maps, saying the state court had overstepped its authority.

Persons: William Rehnquist, Gore, Republican George W, Bush's, Donald Trump, Tim Moore, Moore, John Eastman, Mike Pence, Joe Biden's, Biden's Organizations: Republicans, North Carolina, Democratic, Supreme, Republican, North Carolina House of, U.S, Democrats Locations: North Carolina, Bush, Carolina, —

☆ Left-wing philosopher Cornel West launches long-shot 2024 presidential bid
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Tim Reid | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/2] Political activist Cornel West announces his candidacy for the U.S. presidency via social media, as the candidate for the People's Party, June 5, 2023, in this still image obtained from a social media video. CornelWest via REUTERSJune 5 (Reuters) - Cornel West, a progressive political activist and philosopher, announced on Monday that he is launching a third-party 2024 bid for the U.S. presidency. "I want to reintroduce America to the best of itself – the dignity, courage and creativity of precious everyday people," West declared on his People's Party website. Bush to Democrat Bill Clinton, as Perot siphoned off a chunk of Republican voters in the nearly 20 million votes he received. In 2000, many analysts believe Democratic presidential candidate Al Gore would have beaten Republican George W. Bush if Green Party candidate Ralph Nader had not run.

Persons: Cornel West, West, Joe Biden, Ross Perot's, George H.W, Bush, Bill Clinton, Perot, Al Gore, Republican George W, Ralph Nader, Nader, Tim Reid, Alistair Bell Organizations: U.S, People's Party, REUTERS, Twitter, White, Democratic, Party, Republican, Green Party, Union Theological Seminary, Harvard, Princeton, Thomson Locations: America, Florida, New York

Florida lawmakers sent DeSantis a bill that would let him stay governor while running for president. "I don't think we have seen a six-month stretch that has ever been this productive in the history of our state," DeSantis said at the Florida Capitol in Tallahassee on Friday. Should DeSantis be successful in a presidential run, he would follow in the footsteps of Democrat Bill Clinton and Republican George W. Bush. Ron DeSantis speaks during an election night watch party at the Convention Center in Tampa, Florida, on November 8, 2022. During a press conference in Panama City, Florida, on Thursday, DeSantis continued to play coy about his intentions.

REUTERS/Adrees Latif/File PhotoWASHINGTON, May 2 (Reuters) - President Joe Biden's administration will temporarily send 1,500 additional troops to help secure the U.S.-Mexico border, the Pentagon said on Tuesday, in preparation for a possible rise in illegal immigration when COVID-19 border restrictions lift later this month. Biden, a Democrat running for reelection in 2024, has grappled with record numbers of migrants caught illegally crossing the U.S.-Mexico border since he took office in 2021. The 1,500 troops could arrive at the U.S.-Mexico border by May 10, Ryder said during a briefing. U.S. military troops have been used to help secure the border during previous presidential administrations, including Republican George W. Bush, Democrat Barack Obama and Trump, who deployed thousands of active-duty and National Guard troops. Immigration advocates have criticized previous efforts to send troops to the border.

In their appeal to the Supreme Court, the Republicans argued that North Carolina's top court usurped their authority by throwing out the map. In that context - a fight over counting ballots in Florida - Rehnquist said the U.S. Constitution limits the authority of state courts. "This court has never second-guessed state court interpretations of their own constitution," said Katyal. Thomas Wolf, an attorney at New York University School of Law's Brennan Center for Justice, said if the Supreme Court gives itself too much leeway to intervene in state court disputes, it risks appearing politically motivated and lawless. The Supreme Court's ruling is due by the end of June.

☆ Florida no longer looks like a swing state after DeSantis, Rubio lead big Republican wins
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Once considered the nation's biggest swing state, Florida is looking more and more like a Republican stronghold. The state's Republican governor, Ron DeSantis, and Sen. Marco Rubio both glided to victory against their respective Democratic opponents. The number of active registered Republican voters, meanwhile, rose to 5,259,406 in the same period — a gain of more than 150,000. In this month's midterms, older Florida voters came out in droves, while young voters stayed home, NBC's exit polls show. And the GOP extended its gains in the Florida state Legislature, clinching supermajorities in both chambers.

☆ Trump replies to DeSantis' endorsement of a Colorado Republican who discouraged GOP from supporting a Trump 2024 bid: 'Big Mistake'
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-25 | by ( Hannah Getahun | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Former President Trump said Florida Gov. Trump called O'Dea, a GOP candidate for Senate in Colorado, a "RINO," or a Republican in Name Only. Ron DeSantis endorsed anti-Trump Republican candidate Joe O'Dea, taking to his Truth Social platform on Sunday evening to say it was "A Big Mistake." Colorado, please vote for Joe O'Dea," DeSantis says in the recorded message O'Dea posted on Twitter. Representatives for DeSantis, Trump, and O'Dea did not immediately respond to Insider's requests for comment.

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