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☆ Market sentiment could be a threat to the bull market in early 2025, says Renaissance's Jeff deGraaf
▼ + stars: | 2024-12-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket sentiment could be a threat to the bull market in early 2025, says Renaissance's Jeff deGraafJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro research chairman head of technical research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the technicals behind the bull market.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf Jeff deGraaf

☆ What the market says about the state of semiconductors
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat the market says about the state of semiconductorsJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research chairman, joins CNBC's 'Closing Bell' to discuss what the markets are showing with the post-election rally pause, why semiconductors are moving down, and more.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf Organizations: Macro

☆ Why the October jobs report on Friday could sink the market's soft-landing narrative
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

September's payrolls report exceeded expectations, but economists see weak gains for October. Even with lower expectations, a poor print could reset the market's narrative around a soft landing. AdvertisementThe narrative around ongoing labor-market strength revived with September's payrolls report, which topped economists' expectations by over 100,000 jobs. "The October jobs report will likely show a severe but short-lived hit from hurricanes Helene and Milton," Adams said. Another sign that September's jobs numbers may have been overstated is that other employment indicators haven't started to trend upwards.

Persons: September's, —, Hurricanes Milton, Helene, Tom Essaye, Ben McMillan, McMillan, Goldman Sachs, there's, Goldman, Claudia Sahm, Michael Cuggino, Bill Adams, Milton, Adams, Neil Dutta, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Dutta Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, IDX Advisors, of Labor Statistics, Comerica, Funds, Federal Reserve, Macro, BLS, PMI

☆ Don't let September's jobs report fool you — the labor market is still deteriorating at a worrying rate, economists warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Small businesses also face tight credit conditions and are slowing hiring. AdvertisementThe September payrolls report seemed to switch the investor narrative around the labor market on a dime. Given the usual lags involved between changes in rates and activity, things will probably get worse for small businesses before they get better." "The labor market is not out of the woods just yet, and I continue to see another hiccup in the jobs market before year-end," Dutta wrote. AdvertisementStill, it's unclear how much pressure the labor market will come under in the months ahead.

Persons: —, bearish David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Samuel Tombs, Tombs, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, September's, Rosenberg Research, Pantheon, Macro Research, The Conference Board

☆ Why Chinese stocks will climb another 50% from current levels, research CEO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese stocks are poised for a huge run-up in the next year, according to Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf. Other notable investors have been looking to buy the dip in Chinese stocks amid continued stimulus efforts. Other traders on Wall Street have shown interest in buying the dip in Chinese equities, despite fear that Beijing's economic slowdown could stick around. Other strategists on Wall Street have made bullish calls on Chinese equities in recent weeks, with eyes on continued stimulus measures in Beijing. Goldman Sachs predicted China's stock market could rally another 20%, thanks to "more substantial policy measures" and Chinese stocks being oversold, strategists said in a note.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf, —, deGraaf, Beijing didn't, Mario Draghi, Michael Hartnett, Yuan Wei, Yuan, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Macro, CSI, Bloomberg, Beijing, Investors, Bank of America, Investment Fund Management Co Locations: —, Beijing, China, Wall, Shenzhen, Hong Kong

☆ Investors slam the brakes on the hottest trade going in the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."

Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S

☆ China has unabashed momentum and it's very, very bullish, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina has unabashed momentum and it's very, very bullish, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraafJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro chairman and head of technical research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss deGraaf's recent note on China, why the rally in Chinese stocks may just be getting started, and much more.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf Jeff deGraaf Organizations: China Locations: China

☆ There's more upside gain than downside risk in China rally, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's more upside gain than downside risk in China rally, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraafJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro chairman, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the rally in China stocks and if now is the time to get into the market.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf Jeff deGraaf Locations: China

☆ US stocks test record highs as Powell says 'the time has come for policy to adjust'
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks tested record highs as Fed chairman Jerome Powell delivered his speech at Jackson Hole. "The time has come for policy to adjust," Powell said, confirming imminent interest rate cuts. AdvertisementUS stocks tested record highs on Friday as Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell delivered remarks at the Jackson Hole economic symposium. AdvertisementOf note about Powell's Jackson Hole speech, according to Renaissance Macro Research, is that it didn't include the word "gradual." AdvertisementIf Friday's surge higher holds, it could buck the trend of the stock market's reaction to Powell's previous Jackson Hole speeches.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, —, Susan Collins, Raphael Bostic, Powell's Jackson, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Federal, Treasury, CNBC, Macro, Interactive Brokers

☆ I have no confidence the unemployment rate will stay where it is, says Renaissance's Dutta
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailI have no confidence the unemployment rate will stay where it is, says Renaissance's DuttaNeil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research, joins 'Taking Stock' to talk what to expect from the Federal Reserve going forward.

Persons: Renaissance's Dutta Neil Dutta Organizations: Macro, Federal Reserve

For now, Fed officials think the ongoing slowdown in hiring and a recent tick up in joblessness suggest the labor market is returning to normal after a few years of booming hiring. But while that approach is cautious when it comes to price increases, it could prove to be risky when it comes to the labor market. But that chain reaction can come at a serious cost to the job market. For now, Fed officials think that the ongoing slowdown in hiring and a recent tick up in joblessness signal that labor market conditions are returning to normal after a few years of booming hiring. Fed rate moves take time to work, so if the central bank only starts to cut borrowing costs when the job market is showing serious signs of strain, it could be moving too late.

Persons: ” Jerome H, Powell, Mr, Neil Dutta, ” Mr, “, ” Organizations: Federal Reserve, Macro Locations: joblessness, “

☆ Good opportunity to buy into weakness with the Nikkei, says Renaissance's Jeff DeGraaf
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGood opportunity to buy into weakness with the Nikkei, says Renaissance's Jeff DeGraafJeff DeGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk bitcoin, copper, the Japanese Nikkei and more.

Persons: Jeff DeGraaf Jeff DeGraaf Organizations: Nikkei, Macro, Japanese Nikkei Locations: Japanese

☆ Stock market today: US stocks trade mixed as tech losses deepen and investors await PCE
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks gave back gains to trade mixed on Thursday amid more tech weakness. GDP grew 2.8% in the second quarter, according to advanced estimates from the Commerce Department, well-above the 2.1% growth economists had expected. PCE inflation rose 2.6%, down from the prior reading of 3.7%. Mega-cap tech stocks continued to slide after Tesla and Alphabet delivered disappointing results for the second quarter. Alphabet was down for a second day, dropping another 3% on Thursday.

Persons: —, Neil Dutta Organizations: PCE, Service, Dow Jones, Treasury, Commerce Department, Fed, Macro, Meta, Microsoft, Here's

☆ Markets broaden as investors sell tech winners, but further turbulence may be on the way
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-20 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The four best-performing stocks in the S & P 500 year to date were down an average of 13.5% last week. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500's performance in the past five trading days. The anchoring effect of a persistently strong half-dozen $1-trillion to $3-trillion companies atop the S & P 500 while most stocks wallowed had the effect of suppressing index volatility. The S & P 500 is now about 3% off its record, and the Nasdaq 100 is in a roughly 5% retreat from its high. History says when the S & P 500 has been up more than 10% in the first half of a year , as in 2024, it has gone to further highs by year's end nearly every time.

Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, Cash, Parag Thatte, Thatte, Goldman Sachs, wallowed, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Axonic Capital, Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq

☆ Market rotation builds momentum
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket rotation builds momentumJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research founder and chairman, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the latest market moves and predictions.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf Organizations: Macro Research

☆ A famed economist who called the 2008 recession shares 5 signs the US is on the brink of a downturn — all while the stock market shows concerning weakness beneath the surface of record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But don't bet on a soft landing outcome for the US economy as the Fed gets set to cut rates, says famed economist David Rosenberg. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchRosenberg's downbeat views on the labor market come amid his skepticism about the impressive rallies in major stock-market indexes like the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500. Still, as Rosenberg points out, some say the Fed needs to act urgently as the labor market weakens. Waiting too long to lower interest rates to support the economy will only increase the odds of the job market breaking down." Rosenberg has been consistently bearish on the US economy in recent months, while the labor market has continued to prove him wrong.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch's, Eli Lilly, Russell, Neil Dutta, Dutta Organizations: Service, Fed, Rosenberg Research, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics ', Survey, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Macro

☆ Investors bet a Fed rate cut to spur rotation from crowded stocks to neglected as bull market continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Last Thursday, 87% of S & P 500 stocks outperformed the index itself, which Goldman Sachs called "the most in the history of our data set." Its total gain of 57%, measured by the S & P 500, is almost exactly half the post-1929 average too. For good measure, this year the S & P 500 has posted the best-ever start to a presidential election year. Arguably something close to it is already priced in to a considerable degree, with the S & P 500 pushing 22-times forward earnings again. The elevated sentiment backdrop is par for the course for a bull market, but sometimes associated with pauses or pullbacks.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, it's, It's Organizations: Strategas, New York Stock Exchange, CPI, Federal, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve, Treasury Locations: superlatives, Bull

☆ The case for cutting is strong, says Renaissance's Neil Dutta
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe case for cutting is strong, says Renaissance's Neil DuttaNeil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research head of U.S., joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what he expects to see from the Federal Reserve this year and why he thinks we could see at least two cuts.

Persons: Renaissance's Neil Dutta Neil Dutta Organizations: Federal Reserve

☆ Semiconductor stocks just capped off a strong start to 2024. What to expect in the second half
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Wall Street is sticking with semiconductor stocks after its hot start to the year. SMH YTD mountain Share performance in 2024 That said, many investors and analysts expect another strong glide path for the industry in the second half. "The AI theme continues to remain very strong," said CFRA Research analyst Angelo Zino, who holds a buy rating on Nvidia. Many on Wall Street view this upcycle as a significant tail wind for Micron Technology as the industry edges out of its trough. But many on Wall Street viewed the sell-off as a buying opportunity , with Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari expecting market share gains in high-bandwidth memory.

Persons: frothiness, Angelo Zino, you've, Ken Mahoney, John Belton, we're, Management's Paul Meeks, that's, Harlan Sur, Baird, Ted Mortonson, Jeff deGraaf, CNBC's, Gabelli's Belton, Belton, Meeks, Goldman Sachs, Toshiya Hari, Hari, CFRA, Zino, Baird's Mortonson Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, Nvidia, Devices, CFRA, Gabelli Funds, Broadcom, JPMorgan, KLA Corp, Cadence Design Systems, Micron Technology, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple Locations: unchartered

☆ S&P 500 returns 15% in the first half in an unusually smooth ride
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A 15% year-to-date total return in the S & P 500 is the 21 st best run through June since 1900, according to Goldman Sachs. The S & P 500 since the October 2023 correction low is up 33% for an annualized total return pace of 56%. The S & P has gone eight sessions without a move of as much as half a percent. True in magnitude: The market-cap-weighted S & P 500 has outgained its equal-weighted version by more than ten percentage points this year. Not only haven't up days been broadly inclusive, the direction of the S & P 500 has been running inverse to the daily breadth over the past month.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sharpe, it's, we'd, I've, What's, Jeff deGraaf, Trump, We've, Poor's, what's Organizations: Nvidia, Walgreens, Nike, Apple, Technology, Communication Services Locations: hiccups

☆ The summer is historically tough for semis, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraaf
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe summer is historically tough for semis, says Renaissance Macro's Jeff deGraafJeff deGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market rotation and the headwinds for the semiconductor sector.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf Jeff deGraaf Organizations: Macro

☆ Stock futures are little changed after Nasdaq Composite registers worst day since April: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., June 24, 2024. Stock futures were flat in overnight trading after a selloff in favored technology names brought the Nasdaq Composite to its worst day since April. During the regular session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked Monday's selloff, adding nearly 261 points, or 0.67%. The S&P 500 dropped 0.31%, while the Nasdaq Composite shed 1.09% for its worst day since April as investors rotated out of semiconductors. Wall Street is looking ahead to earnings from FedEx and Carnival on Tuesday as the season nears its end.

Persons: Jeff deGraaf, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, SolarEdge Technologies, Pool Corp, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Broadcom, FedEx, Richmond Fed Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Nvidia will be key to market's direction as Wall Street heads into the summer with May jobs report on deck
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Nvidia is the key to how stocks will perform in the next few months as investors head into a seasonally weak period for markets, with the macroeconomic picture once again a center of attention. Stocks capped a winning month in May after a strong earnings season and signs of easing inflation buoyed investor optimism. .VIX YTD mountain CBOE Volatility Index In fact, the CBOE Volatility Index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, is currently at 14. The broad market index was last around 5,220. Traders will have to rely on macroeconomic data for the next several weeks, including the May jobs report that's on deck next Friday.

Persons: Stocks, what's, Olivier Sarfati, Sarfati, Jensen Huang's, Josh Brown, Jonathan Krinsky, Jeff deGraff, CNBC's, deGraff, Rob Ginsberg, JC O'Hara, Roth, Dow Jones, Thomas Urano, Jobs, Cook Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Ritholtz Wealth, Semiconductors, VanEck Semiconductor, Macro, Wolfe Research, Advisory, PMI, Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Body, Services PMI, Labor, Girls Global, University of, District of Columbia, Consumer Credit Locations: Smucker, Washington

☆ There's a lot of rotation in tech, says Renaissance's Jeff deGraff
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere's a lot of rotation in tech, says Renaissance's Jeff deGraffJeff deGraff, Renaissance Macro head of technical research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss market pullback and his technical playbook.

Persons: Jeff deGraff Jeff deGraff

☆ Stock futures inch lower as investors review earnings, brace for inflation report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. stock futures ticked lower Thursday night as investors reviewed a flurry of corporate earnings ahead of a key inflation report. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 42 points, or 0.11%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.15% and 0.20%, respectively. The S&P 500 has climbed roughly 10% this year, but the equal-weighted index is up by about 3%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect a 2.7% year-over-year increase for core PCE, down slightly from the 2.8% gain in the previous read.

Persons: Nordstrom, Salesforce, Dow, They're, Jeff deGraff, CNBC's, deGraff, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Traders, Dell Technologies, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Macro, Qualcomm

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