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China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Chinese IPOs in the U.S. and Hong Kong are set to increase next year, analysts said, as some high-profile listings outside the mainland this year raise investor optimism over profitable exits. Last week, Horizon Robotics — a Chinese artificial intelligence and auto chip developer — and state-owned bottled water company CR Beverage went public in Hong Kong. The firm noted that Chinese delivery giant SF Express is planning for a Hong Kong IPO next month, while Chinese automaker Chery aims for one next year. Still, the overall pace of Hong Kong IPOs this year is slightly slower than expected, George Chan, global IPO leader at EY, told CNBC in an interview earlier this month. Hong Kong, then New York
Persons: Pony.ai, Didi, Marcia Ellis, Morrison Foerster, George Chan, Chan Organizations: Nasdaq, China News Service, Getty, U.S, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CR Beverage, Renaissance, Hong, Chery, CNBC, IPOs Locations: BEIJING, U.S, Hong Kong, China, New York, Mainland China, New
Ingram Micro began trading Thursday at the NYSE under the symbol INGM, surging as much as 17% from its $22 initial public offering price . Still no signs of IPO life, despite record highs for stocks Unfortunately, Ingram is not going to change the IPO dynamic. Pre-covid, a normal year would see roughly $50 billion raised. Recent large IPOs (amount raised, and gain from IPO price) KinderCare $576 m. +20.7% StandardAero $1.4 b. In 2021, private capital was able to raise record funding for tech companies, which became benchmarks for private valuations.
Persons: Imgram, Ingram, Matt Kennedy, BlackRock, Kennedy Organizations: Ingram Micro, NYSE, Tianjin Tianhai Investment Company, HNA, Equity, KinderCare, Renaissance Capital, HPS Investment Partners Locations: Tianjin, IPOs, China
4 trends to watch this bank earnings season
  + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Expect lots of questions about how lower rates will affect business going forward. JPMorgan and Wells Fargo will kick off earnings on Friday, followed by Goldman Sachs, Citi, and Bank of America on Tuesday. Related storiesHere are the top four things to look for this bank earnings season. AdvertisementGoldman Sachs CEO David Solomon described a "more challenging macro environment, particularly in the month of August," and said the bank's trading business was "trending down close to 10%." In good news, the compensation expert Johnson Associates sees bonuses up this year across the board, an analysis that's reflected in part of Wall Street's earnings results so far this year.
Persons: Wells Fargo, , Daniel Pinto, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, What's, David Solomon, Solomon, Pinto, Banks, Johnson Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, Citi, Bank of America, Investment, LSEG, Renaissance, Barclays Financial Services Conference, Lending, Fed, Wall, Barclays
The company is seeking to sell 60 million shares at a price range of $20 to $23 per share. StandardAero previously filed to offer 46.5 million shares at the same $20 to $23 per share range. StandardAero will be a large IPO, likely raising about $1.3 billion at the midpoint. The IPO raise has been sub-par for three years running. IPO watchers note childcare provider KinderCare and digital health marketplace company Solera both could raise $500 million or more.
Persons: Safran, StandardAero, Carlyle, IPOs, StubHub Organizations: Dow Jones, Cerebras, StandardAero, New York Stock Exchange, GE Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, Royce, Honeywell, Amer Sports, Ingram, Dunkin, Brands, Inspire Brands Locations: U.S
Many companies raised money two to four years ago in private funding rounds at very high valuations. Many of these companies are now trying to go public, and investors are balking at the high valuations and demanding haircuts. Another tough year No matter how you slice it, 2024 is turning out to be the third consecutive year of subpar IPO markets. "Public investors are not willing to pay 2021 valuations," Matt Kennedy from Renaissance Capital said. Companies that want an up-round are going to be disappointed, but companies willing to take a haircut can get deals done."
Persons: Matt Kennedy Organizations: Nasdaq, Viking Holdings, Renaissance Capital, Companies
Experts say Shein's U.S. IPO is all but dead
  + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Ece Yildirim | In Ecedyildirim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The Shein logo can be seen on a smartphone, while the Chinese online retailer's website is open on a laptop. China-founded e-commerce company Shein's hopes of going public in the United States are growing slimmer by the day, according to experts, as rising tensions between Beijing and the U.S. roil business and trade. A London IPO could, in theory, be easier than a U.S. offering, according to Bochanis. If Shein's London IPO succeeds, it is unlikely to keep pursuing a U.S. offering, said University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter, who studies IPOs. It became one of the first prominent Chinese companies to do so in the U.S. even as the Biden administration has increasingly cracked down on Chinese-made electric vehicles.
Persons: Shein's, confidentially, Angelo Bochanis, Bochanis, Jay Ritter, Zeekr, Biden Organizations: U.S, National Retail Federation, CNBC, TJX Companies, UBS, Target, Walmart, Renaissance, Securities and Exchange Commission, London Stock, University of Florida Locations: China, United States, Beijing, U.S, London
Trump Media shares are in free fall
  + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +3 min
New York CNN —Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group has gone ice-cold. The weeks-long selloff accelerated in recent days as Trump Media announced it received approval from regulators for a move that threatens to water down the holdings of shareholders. The problem is that even after the recent selloff, Trump Media is still valued in the billions of dollars, and yet it generates very little revenue. Not only that, but Truth Social remains a tiny player in social media, dwarfed by Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter), Reddit and even Instagram’s Threads. “Today marks another milestone for Truth Social,” Trump Media CEO Devin Nunes said in a statement on Tuesday.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Jay Ritter, Elon Musk’s, Matthew Kennedy, that’s, Kennedy, Devin Nunes, Ritter, Trump Organizations: New, New York CNN, Truth, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump, Trump Media, University of Florida, Renaissance, GameStop, AMC, Securities and Exchange Commission, ” Trump Media Locations: New York
Tempus AI = AI in healthcare Tempus AI is seeking to sell 11 million shares at $35-$37 in its IPO and is slated to begin trading this Friday. Intelligent Diagnostics use AI, including generative AI, to make laboratory tests more accurate, tailored, and personal. AI IPOs: few and far between While AI is again the big investment theme of 2024, AI-themed IPOs have been few and far between. But the appetite for AI IPOs is large, and investors are scanning for new investments. Although the anticipated flood of AI IPOs has not yet materialized, Matt Kennedy is confident more are coming.
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Howe Ng, Ng, IPOs Organizations: Nasdaq, Astera Labs, Renaissance Capital, Nvidia, Cerebras Systems, Citigroup, Tempus, Forge Global Holdings
Yet new data shows its main product — the conservative-friendly social network Truth Social — remains a very tiny player in its industry, and it’s getting even smaller. “If your entire social circle is on a social media platform, that’s a strong pull to sign up. ‘Meme stock’ argumentTrump recently received another 36 million shares of Trump Media as part of a bonus known as earnout shares. Including those new shares, Trump owns 114.75 million shares of Trump Media — a stake valued at $5.6 billion. Of course, Kennedy notes that there is a counter argument that Trump Media is not a typical social media stock, and so traditional metrics like growth and revenue don’t really matter.
Persons: Donald Trump, it’s, , Matthew Kennedy, Kennedy, , Trump, Shannon Devine, ” Devine, Similarweb, Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta, Gettr, Tom Liu, Musk, ” Kennedy Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, CNN, Trump, Truth, Renaissance, Social, ” Trump Media, Elon Musk Locations: New York, Similarweb
The Viking Holdings Ltd. IPO, which starts trading today on the New York Stock Exchange, will be the biggest IPO of 2024 so far. Viking is only the biggest in a month of standouts. Eighteen IPOs raised a combined $5.3 billion in April, according to Renaissance Capital, the busiest month for IPOs since November 2021. The stock market had a miserable April, with the S & P 500 down 4% and, unsurprisingly, many recent IPOs were down. All of the larger, most recent IPOs remain above their initial offering price.
Persons: Del Organizations: Viking Holdings, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance Capital, IPOs, Viking, Holdings, Epic Locations: Bermuda, Del Monte
Last night data security firm Rubrik priced 23.5 million shares at $32, above the price talk of 23 million shares at $28-$31, raising $752 million. Rubrik is the first tech unicorn IPO since last fall. Marex Group, a UK-based financial services company known for its global clearing business, priced 15.4 million shares at $19, the midpoint of the price talk of $18-$21, raising $292 million. Loar Holdings, which makes aerospace and defense components, priced 11 million shares at $28, above the range of $24-$26, raising $308 million. All eyes on Rubrik Rubrik is an important test of the tech IPO market.
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Rubrik, Kennedy, Ingram, Del Organizations: Marex, Nasdaq, Loar Holdings, New York Stock Exchange, Viking Holdings, Arm Holdings, Renaissance Capital, UL, Astera Labs, Forge, Companies, Ingram Micro, Epic Locations: Del Monte
As long as Trump Media & Technology Group’s share price doesn’t spectacularly implode before Tuesday’s closing bell, Trump is on track to receive another 36 million shares as the owner of Truth Social. Even though Trump Media is losing money and Truth Social is very tiny, those new shares Trump is in line to receive would be valued at about $1.3 billion at current prices. Of course, Trump Media’s share price is subject to extreme volatility, meaning the value of this stake can swing wildly. ‘Grossly overvalued’Even though Trump Media’s share price has retreated since spiking to $66 last month, experts warn it remains overvalued based on fundamental metrics. Ritter, who has been studying IPOs for four decades, expects Trump Media’s share price to eventually plunge to just $1 or $2 per share.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Michael Ohlrogge, , Matthew Kennedy, Kennedy, Jay Ritter, University of Florida . Ritter, Peter Byrne, Cooley Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology, Truth, Trump Media, Trump, SEC, NYU School of Law, Renaissance, Facebook, Meta, University of Florida, NYU Locations: New York
For proof that the market for initial public offerings continues to open up despite the downdraft in the market, just look at this week. This spring reopening, however, is threatened by the specter of higher interest rates. Why higher interest rates hurt IPOs The major headwind: higher for longer interest rates. technology) are more sensitive to a change in interest rates, because their cash flow projections are further out. Still, most admit higher rates make it more difficult to get investors excited about IPOs.
Persons: Ibotta, Rubrik, Matt Kennedy, IPOs, That's, Kennedy, Santosh Rao Organizations: Centuri Holdings, Southwest Gas Holdings, UL Solutions, Group, Renaissance Capital, Loar Holdings, Manhattan Venture Partners
New York CNN —Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group are in free fall. Trump Media is now trading below $31. Trump owns a dominant stake of 78.8 million shares in the company, which generates little revenue and is losing users. At the closing high for Trump Media’s stock price, the former president’s stake was valued at $5.2 billion. Trump Media disclosed losing $58 million in 2023 on very light revenue of just $4.1 million.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump, , Shannon Devine, Capital’s Matthew Kennedy, Billionaire Barry Diller, ” Shannon Devine, it’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, Nasdaq, Trump, Big Tech, ” Trump Media, CNN, Expedia, People Magazine, IAC, CNBC Locations: New York
Two months ago, I wrote a story entitled, "The IPO market is looking very shaky and facing challenges galore." Two months later, the IPO market is still shaky, but there are definite signs of improvement. Second, three $100 million IPOs have filed to go public in the past week, including Viking (the cruise line operator) and Rubrik, a data management platform. Greg Martin at Rainmaker Securities told me that the recent performance of Reddit and Astera Labs, "Were nice shots in the arm for the IPO market. Even with markets at new highs, the specter of interest rates creeping up is still hanging over the IPO market.
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Reddit, Greg Martin, Ibotta, Ingram, Del, Viking, Howe Ng, I'm, Martin, Rainmaker, Santosh Rao Organizations: IPOs, Viking, Renaissance Capital, Astera Labs, Rainmaker Securities, NYSE, UL Solutions, Underwriters Laboratories, Nursing, Centuri Holdings, Labs, Companies, Ingram Micro, Epic, Manhattan Venture Partners Locations: IPOs, Del Monte
You might miss a massive move in Trump Media & Technology Group’s stock price. Trump Media is so turbulent that it makes bitcoin’s volatility look tame. There are many reasons why Trump Media shares have been so volatile, including the fact that the company is inextricably linked to the former president. This dynamic makes it easier for investors to place bullish bets, sending Trump Media shares surging. But that has been trickier with Trump Media, allowing its stock to spike in its early days.
Persons: Donald Trump, it’s Trump, , Matthew Tuttle, Michael Ohlrogge, Matthew Kennedy, Kennedy, , it’s, Bob Sloan, Tuttle, Charles Schwab, ” Tuttle, Ohlrogge, Trump, Renaissance’s Kennedy, Jonathan Macey, ” Macey Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Trump, Tuttle Capital Management, Trump Media’s, NYU School of Law, Similarweb, Renaissance, Facebook, Meta, “ Traders, Companies, S3 Partners, CNN, NYU, MBT, Yale Law School Locations: New York
Jamie Dimon, one of the world’s most influential business leaders, is worried. The PE boom: The shrinking public market has private equity to blame — funds that pool money from investors to acquire or invest in companies. When a PE fund buys a public company, it takes that company private. The number of private companies in the US backed by PE firms has grown from 1,900 to 11,200 over the last two decades, according to JPMorgan data. Dimon’s company, of course, makes a huge amount of money from taking companies public, so he’s not exactly an impartial observer.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Matthew Kennedy, Dimon, , it’s, Russell, Lewis, Glass Lewis, Wells, aren’t, Matt Egan, Donald Trump’s, That’s, Reddit, , Read, Biden, Joe Biden’s, Sam Fossum, Anna Cooban, ” Biden Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, Renaissance, PE, ” Companies, Companies, Harvard Law, Corporate, Institutional, Services, Deutsche Börse, Peloton Capital, CNN, ISS, Social, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump, Trump Media, Twitter, White, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Locations: New York, United States, America, German, Arizona,
Truth Social had just 494,000 monthly active US users on iOS and Android combined in February, according to Similarweb stats provided to CNN. Even Threads had more than 10 times the number of monthly active users that Truth Social had in February, according to Similarweb. The last Trump company to go public, Trump Hotels and Casino Resorts in 1995, used the same DJT ticker symbol. Like any social media business, Truth Social faces pressure to grow its user base, expand its advertising business and build a subscription service. “If he wins in November, Truth Social will probably be the primary means of presidential communication,” said Kennedy.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, , , Jay Ritter, Ritter, , Reddit, Matthew Kennedy, Kennedy, Jonathan Macey, that’s, ’ Matthew Tuttle, Tuttle, it’s Trump, you’ve, ” “, I’m, Donald Trump, Trump, “ Donald J, TMTG, skeptically Organizations: New, New York CNN, Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump Media, University of Florida’s Warrington College of Business, GameStop, AMC, Trump, Renaissance, Truth, CNN, Facebook, Yale, Digital, Tuttle Capital Management, SEC, Trump Hotels, Casino Resorts, New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York, , United States
Truth Social owner Trump Media will begin trading Tuesday as the merger closesCNN —Investors have approved a deal on Friday to make Truth Social owner Trump Media a publicly traded company. The new company will be called Trump Media & Technology Group and trade under the ticker DJT, Trump’s initials. Shareholders voted to approve Trump Media’s merger with a blank-check company, following years of legal and regulatory obstacles. Trump will own a dominant stake in a public company, with shares worth more than $3 billion at current market prices. First, experts say the market is drastically overvaluing Trump Media based on the company’s fundamentals.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Trump won’t, , Matthew Kennedy, Kennedy, Charles Whitehead, Jonathan Macey, Jay Ritter, Ritter, Whitehead, , Xavier Kowalski, Schulte Roth, Zabel, ” Banks, ” Whitehead, , Organizations: Social, Trump Media, CNN, Digital, Corp, Trump Media & Technology Group, Shareholders, Trump, Renaissance Capital, Cornell Law School, SEC, University of Florida, Locations: New, Manhattan, ” Yale
There are various ETFs that hold recent IPOs, including the Renaissance Capital Greenwich Funds' Renaissance IPO ETF (IPO) . The 200-day moving average is the most popular long-term moving average and one of the best long-term trend indicators. The IPO ETF bounced from the line last fall and has been trading above it through the first two months of 2024. Seeing IPO stay above the upward sloping 200-day moving average is the best-case scenario. Two IPO Holdings Investors should be aware the IPO ETF isn't very liquid, meaning that its average daily volume isn't robust.
Persons: RYAN, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: Renaissance Capital Greenwich Funds, RSI, Ryan Specialty Holdings
The IPO market is looking very shaky and confronted with a host of challenges that are holding it back. Regardless, recent IPO performances have been poor across the board. IPO investors cheered the advance by bidding up the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF (IPO), a basket of recent IPOs, in December, assuming the IPO market would open up. CNBC's Jim Cramer, speaking early Thursday on Squawk on the Street , highlighted another obstacle for IPO buyers: investors are getting comfortable returns elsewhere with far lower risk. When David Faber asked why the IPO market was off to such a slow start with the markets so strong, Cramer replied, "I think it's the five percent solution," he said, referring to the ocean of money still sitting in money market funds.
Persons: Jay Powell's, Birkenstock, Smith Douglas, Amer, Greg Martin, Martin, Matt Kennedy, Kennedy, What's, Rainmaker, Del, CNBC's Jim Cramer, David Faber, Cramer Organizations: Amer, Wilson, NYSE, Smith Douglas Homes, BrightSpring, Renaissance Capital, Rainmaker Securities, Renaissance, Microsoft Locations: EBITDA, Squawk
On Friday, BrightSpring Health Services, a home and community-based healthcare services provider, went public on the Nasdaq, pricing 53.3 million shares at $13, below the price talk of $15-$18. The company originally filed in October 2021 but pulled the deal, according to Renaissance Capital. Kaspi.kz, a Kazakhstan-based "super-app," went public last week and is still trading slightly below its initial offering price of $92. After two ugly years, big hopes for 2024 The IPO market has been on a roller-coaster ride for the last several years. The Nasdaq is off to a strong start, up nearly 3% this month heading into Friday, but the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF (IPO), a basket of recent debuts, is down 8%.
Persons: homebuilder, Douglas, Matt Kennedy Organizations: BrightSpring Health Services, Nasdaq, Renaissance, Douglas Homes, NYSE, Renaissance Capital, Arm Holdings Locations: Kazakhstan
Yet the main IPO ETF, the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF ( IPO ), has been for sale most of the month. "For the IPO market to open up, it would help not to have our IPO ETF down 9%," he said. Forge Global maintains a Private Market Index , a measure of 75 late-stage pre-IPO companies. "This tells you valuations are getting reset in the private market," Ng told me. Can AI save the IPO market?
Persons: Matt Kennedy, Homebuilder Smith Douglas, Don Short, Salomon, Wilson, Howe Ng, Ng, Del, Waystar, Kim Kardashian's, Short, Vincent Harrison Organizations: Renaissance Capital, Nasdaq, Amer Sports, Arc'teryx, Forge, SEC, Companies, Reuters, Auto, Turo, CNBC, Microsoft, Gaming, SpaceX, Forge Global Locations: Kazakhstan, IPOs, Pitchbook
Another year, another lousy IPO market. The 2023 IPO market is closing with a whimper, not a bang. You'd think the IPO market would be bubbling, but it's dead quiet. Source: Renaissance Capital For a good part of the year, the excuse was interest rates were rising, the market was too volatile, and the after market performance of 2023 IPOs was terrible. The November rally is too little too late to save the IPO market Unfortunately, it all came a little too late to rescue 2023.
Persons: Birkenstock, You'd, Rivian, Doordash, IPOs, Matt Kennedy, Don Short, you've, haven't, confidentially, Waystar, Kim Kardashian's, Musk, Howe Ng, Ng, Kyle Stanford, Instacart, it's, James Ulan, Stanford, Pitchbook, Greg Martin Organizations: Renaissance, That's, IPOs, Hertz, Sotera, ARM, Renaissance Capital, Klarna, Microsoft, Forge Global, Bloomberg, SpaceX, Nvidia, Rainmaker Securities Locations: Pitchbook
While not strictly an IPO, the listing was soon followed by Vietnamese tech unicorn VNG's filing to list on the Nasdaq. As local companies grow, "they are outgrowing the ability of those markets to provide the capital that they need," said Drew Bernstein, co-chairman of accounting firm MarcumAsia. Since the fallout over Didi in the summer of 2021, regulation and a tepid U.S. IPO market have stalled most Chinese listing plans. She said given the success of Southeast Asian ride-hailing company Grab , more Vietnamese companies are starting to look beyond the domestic market to regional business. George Chan, global IPO leader at EY, expects "a lot" of companies from Southeast Asia will reach the IPO stage in the next 12 to 18 months, and might also consider the Hong Kong exchange.
Persons: Scott Mlyn, VinFast, Johan Annell, VNG, Drew Bernstein, It's, Bernstein, who'd he'd, Didi, Gary Dvorchak, Blueshirt, Nguyen Nguyen, Vu Van, ELSA, Van, George Chan Organizations: New York Auto Show, CNBC BEIJING, U.S, Spade, Nasdaq, ARC Group, China -, Renaissance Capital, Investor, CNBC, World Bank, Southeast Asia — Locations: Asia, U.S, Vietnam, Beijing, Cayman Islands, Malaysia, China, China - U.S, Thailand, Indonesia, Singapore, Southeast Asia, Hong Kong
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