The Times/Siena College battleground polls released on Sunday and Monday were conducted over the past week in six swing states that are likely to decide the election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Five of the states were won by Donald J. Trump in 2016 and then flipped by Joseph R. Biden Jr. in 2020.
Nevada, which has always been a close state, came down to less than one percentage point in the 2022 U.S. Senate election.
These states also contain some of the coalitions that will be crucial next fall: younger, more diverse voters in states like Arizona, Georgia and Nevada; and white working-class voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin who helped swing the election to Trump in 2016, and were central to Mr. Biden’s 2020 victory.
They also provide some geographic diversity.
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