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☆ CNBC Daily Open: Is higher-than-expected CPI just a 'janky' data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. But Bostic acknowledged it's important to see whether individual data points cohere into a larger pattern, or if they're just "janky," as Bostic put it.

Persons: Justin Sullivan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: San Rafael , California

☆ CNBC Daily Open: CPI’s higher than expected. Is it just a “janky” data point?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

SeongJoon Cho | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "I am totally comfortable with skipping [rate cuts for] a meeting if the data suggests that's appropriate," Bostic told The Wall Street Journal in an interview Thursday. The data suggests so. "This choppiness to me is along the lines of maybe we should take a pause in November," said Bostic, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.

Persons: SeongJoon Cho, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Joseph Brusuelas, Jeff Cox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim Organizations: AMD, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Federal, Market, RSM Locations: Pike, Seattle , Washington, US

☆ Good news: The ‘hard landing’ forecasters got it wrong
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

But as we wind down 2024, one thing appears clear: The naysayers on Team Hard Landing got it wrong. The “soft landing” versus “hard landing” metaphor — perhaps overused but visually handy — refers to the economy as an airplane and the Fed as the pilot. Pull the right levers at the right time, and you get a nice comfortable soft landing, with inflation cooling and the labor market thriving. He was far from alone in thinking that a soft landing was little more than a fantasy. “We should just drop the soft landing versus hard landing discourse and start talking about a robust expansion at mid-cycle,” Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM, told Schwab Network in an interview.

Persons: CNN Business ’, everyone’s, ”, Sung Won Sohn, we’d, ” Aaron, “, there’s, Justin Wolfers, Bill Dudley, “ I’ve, Dudley, Larry Summers, they’re, Joe Brusuelas Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Loyola Marymount University, Fed, . Upjohn Institute, Employment Research, ICYMI, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg, RSM, Schwab Network Locations: New York, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Port strike could reignite inflation, with larger economic impact dependent on how long it lasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Port of Miami dockworkers strike near the port entrance and demand a new labor contract, on October 1, 2024 in Miami, Florida. One rule of thumb is that for each strike day, it takes nearly a week to get ports operating at normal levels. watch now"We think fears around the potential economic impacts are overdone," wrote Bradley Saunders, North America economist at Capital Economics. "Frequent shocks to supply chains in recent years have left producers more attuned to the risks of running low inventories. "There is little chance that the administration would risk jeopardizing its recent economic successes less than two months before a tightly-contested election," he said.

Persons: Giorgio Viera, Joe Biden, Taft, Hartley, Joseph Brusuelas, Andrew Hollenhorst, Bradley Saunders, Saunders, there's Organizations: Afp, Getty, International Longshoreman's Association, U.S . Maritime Alliance, Labor, RSM, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Citigroup, New, New York Fed, Capital Economics, ILA Locations: Miami, Miami , Florida, East, Gulf, U.S, United States, West Coast, New York, North America

☆ Trump likely wouldn’t need Congress to approve his most controversial trade policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —It’s easy to dismiss many presidential candidates’ campaign promises as empty, because Congress would need to approve them. Alex Durante, an economist at the Tax Foundation, a right-leaning think tank, told CNN that 100% tariffs would threaten the economy. It’s possible he is floating 100% tariffs as just a threat designed to change the behavior of other countries. ‘No question it’s inflationary’The Trump campaign did not provide an explanation to CNN about how Trump would implement 100% tariffs nor what the trigger would be. He said Trump’s tariff plan, if enacted, would risk setting off a market panic like former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss did in 2022.

Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Trump, “, you’re, ” Maury Obstfeld, Obstfeld, ” Obstfeld, Christine McDaniel, George W, Bush, ”, McDaniel, George Mason University’s, Alex Durante, ” Durante, Brian Hughes, ” Hughes, ‘, Harris, Kamala Harris, ” Kent Smetters, Smetters, Wharton “, it’s, ” Wharton, Liz, Joe Brusuelas, ” “ I’m, Joe Biden, Biden, Brusuelas, Liz Truss, Matt Priest, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Peterson Institute for International Economics, CNN, International Monetary Fund, Trump, United States Trade Representative, Commerce Department, Tax Foundation, University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, Penn Wharton Budget, Wharton, ABC, RSM, Democratic, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America Locations: New York, Wisconsin, United States, China, Russia, “, American

☆ Friday’s jobs report will likely determine the size of the Fed’s rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

CNN —The US economy appears to be on a knife’s edge, and Friday’s jobs report will be the deciding factor as to the next direction. Economists are expecting that the August report should reaffirm that the labor market is merely cooling versus outright weakening. Inflation had cooled, and the labor market was rolling right along and doing its part to keep consumers spending and the economy churning. Friday’s jobs report should provide further reassurance that the labor market is merely softening and not collapsing, economists predict. “It would be a mistake to define the labor market as being excessively weak at this stage.”Instead, the signals indicate that the labor market has moved from being extremely strong and into better balance, she said.

Persons: ” Tuan Nguyen, —, ” Karin Kimbrough, “, ” Oliver Allen, ” Allen, ”, Andrew Challenger, Nick Bunker, Pantheon’s Allen, Beryl “, Mike Skordeles Organizations: CNN, RSM, Federal, LinkedIn, Labor, Department of Labor, “ Companies, Pantheon Macroeconomics, BLS, Employers, ADP, Challenger, Technology, “, North America, Bank of America Locations: US, Michigan, Texas

☆ The Fed’s favorite inflation indicator increased 0.2% in July, as expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-30 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core PCE also increased 0.2% for the month but was up 2.6% from a year ago. Core prices less housing, another key metric for the Fed, increased just 0.1% on the month. Elsewhere in the report, the department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said personal income increased 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate, while consumer spending rose 0.5%, in line with the forecast. Markets reacted little to the news, with equity futures pointing to a slightly higher open on Wall Street and Treasury yields higher as well. In recent days, policymakers such as Chair Jerome Powell have expressed confidence that inflation is progressing back to the Fed's 2% goal.

Persons: Dow, Joseph Brusuelas, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow Jones, Fed, department's, BEA, Treasury, RSM

☆ Harris and Trump both hate inflation. Their economic proposals could cause prices to go higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-19 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Both candidates’ plans would probably raise the deficit and increase demand, including through government spending and tightening the labor market, Joe Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US, told CNN via email. Trump has so far not released as detailed an economic plan as Harris. Risks of fueling demandA central part of Harris’ economic plan is making housing more affordable. “The problem right now is too many people chasing too few houses,” Justin Wolfers, professor of public policy and economics at the University of Michigan, told CNN. Economists have told CNN that businesses would be forced to raise wages and prices.

Persons: what’s, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Harris ’, ” Marc Goldwein, ” Goldwein, “, ”, Biden, Joe Biden, ” Justin Wolfers, Michelle Holder, Holder, …, ’ Trump, ” Harris Organizations: CNN, RSM, Budget, Child Tax, “, Federal Reserve, Tax Foundation, Social Security, University of Michigan, John Jay College, Center, American Progress Fund, Peterson Institute for International Economics, National Guard Locations: ”, New York, China

☆ Unemployment rate may rise slightly more this year, but won't break the economy: RSM's Joe Brusuelas
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUnemployment rate may rise slightly more this year, but won't break the economy: RSM's Joe BrusuelasJoe Brusuelas, Chief Economist at RSM, joins 'Fast Money' to talk a big week for consumer data ahead.

Persons: Joe Brusuelas Joe Brusuelas Organizations: RSM

☆ The Fed isn't really concerned about the recent uptick in unemployment, says RSM's Joe Brusuelas
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed isn't really concerned about the recent uptick in unemployment, says RSM's Joe BrusuelasJoseph Brusuelas, RSM U.S. principal and chief economist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, what to expect from the Fed's policy meeting this week, rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Joe Brusuelas Joseph Brusuelas Organizations: RSM U.S

☆ Markets now pricing in three rate cuts before the end of the year following better inflation news
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-26 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Improving news on inflation again has raised investors' hopes that the Federal Reserve soon will start to aggressively lower interest rates. Futures market pricing now indicates that while the Fed will remain on hold at next week's policy meeting, it will commence cutting in September and move again in November and December. The market-implied probability for a September cut nudged up to about 90% Friday morning, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool that measures fed funds futures pricing. Traders in early 2024 were pricing in at least six cuts this year, but the central bank's rate-setting group has remained on hold for a year. Following the two-day meeting that concludes next Wednesday, the Fed meeting schedule is empty for August, save for the all-important annual conclave in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Persons: Joseph Brusuelas, —, Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: Federal Reserve, Friday's Commerce Department, RSM, Traders, Federal Open, Fed Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Your bank is about to reveal key information about the US economy’s health
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-11 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Dave Sekera, chief US market strategist at Morningstar, says that he’s watching for insights on banks’ delinquency rates. Consumers have increasingly fallen behind on or missed payments in recent months as they get squeezed by high interest rates. But banks could see higher losses compared to 2023 if the economy were to experience a downturn, the Fed warned. Investors are wagering that the central bank will begin easing rates as soon as September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. “The worst outcome for all of us is what you call stagflation: higher rates and recession,” Dimon said in an interview with CNBC.

Persons: Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Dave Sekera, Stocks, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Matt Egan, it’s, ”, Joe Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, “, Jerome Powell, Erika Tulfo, “ It’s, Neil Saunders, Abrigo, Gen Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, United, United States ’, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Morningstar, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Fed, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, JPMorgan, CNBC, Federal, RSM, “, Moody’s, CNN, GlobalData, Apple Locations: New York, United States, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, China

In this gilded echo chamber, Mr. Trump enjoys unwavering devotion — and collects the staggering price of admission. During the 2014-15 season — the last before Mr. Trump officially entered politics — The Times counted 52 fund-raiser events at Mar-a-Lago. More than two dozen midterm candidates had already held fund-raisers on the property when Mr. Trump made that statement. But that changed when Letitia James, the New York attorney general, sued Mr. Trump for exaggerating the value of his properties. And, unlike when Mr. Trump was president, “he was there a lot,” Mr. Rustmann said.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, MAGA, Matt Gaetz, “, Sebastian Gorka, ”, Forgiato, Donald Trump, Ryan Garcia, “ Donald Trump, Glenn Beck, Roger Stone, Liz Crokin, Michael T, Flynn, We’re, —, Vivek Ramaswamy, Matthew DePerno, Frank Pavone, Kari Lake, Joe Kent, ” Cameron Moore, Alex Stone, Stone, Roger J, Stone Jr, Roseanne Barr, don’t, Abraham Lincoln, Lago, Thomas D, Homan, ” Sebastian Gorka, Gorka, Abraham Lincoln ”, Trump’s, ” Mr, Vernon Jones, Letitia James, galas, Laurence Hirsh, James, Greg Christovich, Christovich, Christovich’s, Michael Barnett, Barnett, ” Frank Vain, Fred Rustmann, Mr, Rustmann Organizations: Gravity, House, New York Times, Mar, U.S.A, Times, Trump, Palm, Republican Party of Palm, Lincoln, Breakers, Policy Institute, America’s, Inc, White, Mr, America, of, Republican, Republicans, Republican National Committee, Democratic Senatorial, Trump Organization, New, U.S ., Secret Service, U.S . Department of State, Records, The Trump Organization, Republican Party of, RSM, Republican Party Locations: Mar, Jan, America, Palm Beach, Lago, Charlottesville, Va, Beach, Georgia’s, “, New York, Republican Party of Palm Beach County, Florida

☆ The US economy faces a new threat
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

‘The labor market may be turning’To be clear, the jobs market is by no means imploding. Powell highlighted these changes, telling lawmakers that recent indicators “send a pretty clear signal that labor market conditions have cooled considerably” from two years. The current risk is that the Fed is injecting inflation-fighting medicine into an economy that no longer needs it. “A balanced labor market with too restrictive rates from the Fed will not remain balanced for long,” Brusuelas said. “Equally as worrisome for the Fed should be the potential for a sharper deterioration in the labor market and economic activity.

Persons: it’s, ”, Joe Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, ” Zandi, “, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Jobs, Powell, ” Brusuelas, Ken Kim, Kim, ” Kim, Donald Trump’s, Zandi, Fed Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, RSM, “, Moody’s, Fed, CNN, KPMG Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine

☆ Why the Fed is stressed about presidential elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent investors mixed messages on Tuesday during his semiannual testimony to Congress. Powell is stressed about the election: Powell was asked by multiple senators about White House politics, which he dodged. While the Fed head noted that policy decisions are data dependent, “elevated inflation is not the only risk we face,” he said. The September Fed meeting will be “live”: Powell noted multiple times that every Fed policy decision is made “live” using the latest available economic data – in other words, decisions aren’t made in advance. About 75% of investors think the Fed will cut rates, and about 25% think they’ll remain the same.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, “, Donald Trump, reappoint Powell, ”, Joseph Brusuelas, Trump, Gregory Daco, Chris Larkin, Morgan Stanley, Larkin, don’t, aren’t, David Rubenstein, he’ll, Airbnb, Isabelle Chapman, Majlie, Puy Kamp, Audrey Ash, Chris Isidore . Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Federal, White, “, Reserve, RSM, Federal Reserve, US Consumer, Treasury, Fed, Economics, Washington DC, Jackson, CNN, Boeing, Alaska Airlines Locations: New York, Powell, Washington, Alaska

☆ The problem with Biden’s and Trump’s economic records: They’re really messy
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

“Interpreting economic data is like interpreting a Monet painting in the best of times,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told CNN in an interview. “When President Biden takes credit for all jobs and says Trump lost all the jobs? “And until it does, we won’t have a real good sense of what the new metrics are that reflect the direction in the economy and consumer confidence.”Twenty years ago, presidential elections came down to “jobs, jobs, jobs,” Brusuelas said. “They’re going to be thinking, ‘Wait a minute, all this money’s going into this and can replace the job that guys like me do? For the average person, the economic data only means so much anyways, Brusuelas said, adding that it comes down to “protein and petrol” versus percentage points.

Persons: Monet, ” Mark Zandi, it’s, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, “ Trump, Biden, ” Zandi, “, Trump, ”, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, “ That’s, It’s, They’re, ’ ”, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Moody’s, Trump, RSM, Democrat, Nvidia, “ Locations: what’s

☆ The good economic news this week was just that … good news
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —“Good news is bad news” has been a common refrain for a while now. When economic reports are released that are solid, they have all too often been clouded with concerns that good news for the economy actually means a longer wait before the Federal Reserve rolls out rate cuts. Inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index cooled more than expected in May, with prices holding flat on the month for the first time since July 2022. The markets don’t seem to be buying the one-cut plan, especially after the Producer Price Index on Thursday showed that wholesale prices fell from April to May and the BLS’ Import and Export Price Index showed that US imports prices fell 0.4% in May after rising 0.9% in April. And more good news is likely on the way this next week and later this month, Brusuelas said.

Persons: CNN —, ”, Joe Brusuelas, —, ” Brusuelas, spoilsport, Price, ” Chris Rupkey, “, ” Rupkey, Brusuelas Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, RSM US, New York Fed, National Federation of Independent, Consumer, Index, BLS, Price, FwdBonds, CPI, PPI

☆ Trump has promised an immigration crackdown if reelected. That could backfire on the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New York CNN —If voters return former President Donald Trump to the White House, he’s promised to launch an unprecedented crackdown on immigration and even conduct mass deportations. Trump recently told Time that he would aim to deport 15 million to 20 million people, perhaps by using the National Guard. Even though consumer prices are no longer skyrocketing, the cumulative impact of three years of high inflation is painful. “Most Americans view high inflation and high prices as unfair. But immigration remains a major concern for voters in the 2024 election and Trump has made it a centerpiece of his campaign.

Persons: Donald Trump, he’s, Trump, —, Mark Zandi, “ It’s, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, You’d, ”, Karoline Leavitt, Joe Biden “, ” Leavitt, “, Joe Biden, Zandi, Trump’s, criminologists, Biden, Jerome Powell, Brusuelas, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Wendy Edelberg, Edelberg, that’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, White, National Guard, Federal Reserve, CNN, RSM, Trump, Social Security, University of Michigan, Labor Department ., The Hamilton, ”, Hamilton, Security, Congressional, Office, The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, China, Covid, Mexico, United States

☆ What Biden’s tariffs on Chinese imports may mean for American jobs, the economy and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-14 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Biden’s tariff plan likely won’t move the needle for monetary policy, said Ryan Sweet, chief US economist at Oxford Economics. “Consumers and producers often pay higher prices when tariffs are implemented.”That’s because tariffs tax imports when they come ashore, adding costs for US distributors, retailers and, ultimately, consumers. Worse, some businesses appeared to take advantage of the trade war by bumping up prices even higher. Container shipping imports from China to Mexico rocketed higher by 60% in January and 34% for the first quarter, Xeneta data shows. “It’s obvious that imports to this extent are not only for domestic purposes in Mexico,” he said.

Persons: Biden, Joe Brusuelas, Donald Trump’s, Trump, —, Ryan Sweet, ” Sweet, Sweet, George W, Bush, Barack Obama, Goldman Sachs, ”, Wells, Nicole Cervi, “ There’s, ” Cervi, Peter Sand, “, Sand, “ It’s Organizations: CNN, RSM US, stoke, Oxford Economics, Biden, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Trump, Federal, “, US International Trade Commission, New, New York Fed, National Bureau of Economic Research, Republican, ramped, Container Locations: China, New York, “, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam, Wells, Mexico

☆ Unflappable Scottie Scheffler clinches second Masters title with virtuoso display
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-14 | by ( Jack Bantock | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —Scottie Scheffler clinched his second Masters title in style on Sunday, cementing the American’s status as the preeminent force in men’s golf. I love you,” Scheffler replied when asked by Augusta National chairman Fred Ridley if he had a message for his wife. The ball was still amongst the shrubbery when Scheffler rolled in for par on the same green shortly after, extending his lead to three. His first Masters triumph had ended in a shaky – albeit inconsequential – four-putt, but there were no such blips this time round. After a standing ovation on his walk to the 18th green, Scheffler signed off with a simple putt for par.

Persons: Scottie Scheffler, Sweden’s Ludvig Åberg, Scheffler, Meredith, “ I’m, I’ll, ” Scheffler, Fred Ridley, “, can’t, ”, Brooks Koepka, Scheffler toasts, Warren Little, Woods, Åberg, –, Jack Nicklaus, Seve Ballesteros, Tiger Woods, ” Woods, ” Åberg, Fuzzy Zoeller, Europe’s, Andrew Redington, Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, England’s Tommy Fleetwood, Rory McIlroy’s, Spain’s Jon Rahm, Ominously, Morikawa, Homa, Mike Segar, Rahm, Jamie Squire, Aberg, Ted Scott Organizations: CNN, Augusta National, Augusta, Golf, PGA Championship, RSM, Getty Locations: Butler, Augusta, Rome, Homa

☆ How Trump’s tariff plans could kill jobs and worsen inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Trump has floated a 10% across-the-board tariff on imports, a 60% tariff on imports from China and a 100% tariff on foreign cars – including from Mexico. Trump’s proposals, if enacted, could easily set off a new trade war with China and potentially other nations, too. Some economists are warning Trump’s trade agenda and the ensuing retaliation from trading partners would hurt the US economy by worsening inflation, killing jobs, depressing growth and spooking investors. It’s hard to say exactly because there is a lot of uncertainty over how much of Trump’s proposed agenda would actually be enacted. That’s because tariffs tax imports when they come ashore, adding costs for US distributors, retailers and, ultimately consumers.

Persons: he’s, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Alex Durante, Trump’s, ”, Mark Zandi, Goldman Sachs, ” Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, ” Goldman, Janet Yellen, Joe Biden’s, Karoline Leavitt, ” “, ” Leavitt, “, Biden, “ Donald Trump, ” Biden, James Singer, Biden’s, That’s, Durante, Joe Brusuelas, don’t, ” Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Liz, Maury Obstfeld, Obstfeld, Obama, ” Durante Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Tax Foundation, CNN, Trump, China, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, RSM, Target, Walmart, Peterson Institute for International Economics, International Monetary Fund, US International Trade Commission, “, Obama Locations: New York, China, Mexico, Beijing, United States

☆ Oil price surge is the No. 1 threat to the US economy, Moody’s economist warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-08 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

But there is a growing threat to that sunny economic backdrop: surging oil prices. Global oil prices are flirting with $92 a barrel amid worries about a wider war in the Middle East. US oil prices surged above $87 a barrel late last week for the first time since late October, leaving them up about 21% this year. First, drone attacks on oil refineries deep inside Russia helped lift oil prices last month. Beyond the Middle East tensions, oil and gas prices have been boosted by OPEC and its allies, which continue to restrain supply.

Persons: “, ”, Mark Zandi, Moody’s, Donald Trump, Trump, ” Zandi, hasn’t, Andy Lipow, Brent, ” Helima Croft, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, Brusuelas, Vincent Reinhart, Mellon, ” Reinhart, he’s, Patrick De Haan, ” De Haan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Wall, CNN, “, Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Lipow Oil Associates, CIA, RBC Capital Markets, RSM, AAA, OPEC, Lipow Locations: New York, Iran, Russia, Syria, Israel, Quds, “

☆ Baltimore bridge collapse poses little threat to U.S. economic growth, experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Auto companies like BMW and Volkswagen will likely be hit hardest at first, he added, given their heavy reliance on the Baltimore port. Regional economyFor the city of Baltimore, though, the economic impacts of the bridge collapse will hit harder and last longer. The Baltimore port directly employs over 15,000 workers and indirectly supports nearly 140,000 jobs via other port activities, according to Maryland Gov. Baltimore port employees could be temporarily furloughed, or see disruption in their work hours amid the shutdown. "The bridge collapse is the latest challenge for Northeast U.S. supply chains," said S&P Global Head of Supply Chain Research Chris Rogers.

Persons: Francis Scott Key, Roberto Schmidt, Baltimore's Francis Scott Key, Joseph Brusuelas, DALI, Joe Biden, Brusuelas, Mark Zandi, Wes Moore, Zandi, Research Chris Rogers, It's, we've Organizations: AFP, Getty, RSM, Auto, BMW, Volkswagen, Depot, IKEA, shipper FedEx, CNBC, Maryland Gov, Afp, Northeast, Supply, Research, Others Locations: Baltimore , Maryland, Singapore, Baltimore, of Baltimore, Port, United States, of LA, Northeast U.S, Sea, Panama

Rising gasoline and housing prices led inflation to increase 0.4% in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday. The food index was unchanged in February, as was the food at home index. Meanwhile, a recent report on consumer spending from Mastercard found that retail sales excluding autos were up in February, with online retail sales up more than 9.1%. The Census Bureau is scheduled to release retail sales for February on Thursday with analysts looking for a strong 0.8% increase after January's drop. “A dip in retail sales to start the calendar year is common, however, this year January retail sales marked the biggest decline since March of last year,” said Chip West, retail and consumer behavior expert at Vericast.

Persons: ” Joseph Brusuelas, ”, Chip Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal, “ Services, RSM, Mastercard, Apparel, Bureau, Federal Reserve Bank of, Blue Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Goldman Sachs lowered its rating on Estée Lauder to neutral, and its new price target calls for a slight decline going forward. Elsewhere, Daiwa raised its price target on Nvidia, which points to more than 10% upside over the next 12 months. The firm stood by its outperform rating on the chipmaker stock, but lifted its price target to $900 from $535. FLYW YTD mountain FLYW in 2024 Faucette accompanied his downgrade by lifting his price target to $30 from $27. He also lifted his price target on the stock to $40 from $30, implying upside of 24.6% from Thursday's close.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Estée Lauder, Jefferies, Root, Daiwa, Brad Sills, Sills, — Lisa Kailai Han, Stephens, Vita Coco, Coco, Jim Salera, COCO, Lisa Gill, Gill, Louis Miscioscia, Miscioscia, Lisa Kailai Han, Piper Sandler downgrades, Piper Sandler, Mark Fitzgibbon, Fitzgibbon, Morgan Stanley downgrades Flywire, Morgan Stanley, James Faucette, Faucette, Goldman Sachs downgrades Estée Lauder, Lauder, Goldman, Yaron Kinar, Kinar, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Bank of America, of America, Vertex, Accenture, RSM, BDO, JPMorgan, Daiwa, Markets, Riding, AMD, Intel, York Community Bancorp, York Community, New York Community Bancorp, Travel, B2B, U.S, Jefferies Locations: York, Canada, Asia, China, Hainan, Thursday's

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