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☆ NAB delays RBA rate cut expectations to May 2025, sees soft landing for the Australian economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNAB delays RBA rate cut expectations to May 2025, sees soft landing for the Australian economyNAB's CFO Nathan Goonan expects only a marginal slowdown in business credit growth, telling CNBC that Australia is still on track to see solid growth in 2025.

Persons: Nathan Goonan Organizations: NAB, CNBC Locations: Australia

☆ Australia's central bank keeps rates unchanged at 4.35%
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Australia's central bank held its benchmark interest rate at 4.35% for the eighth meeting in a row, in line with expectations from economists polled by Reuters. The central bank expects that the headline rate will increase as these measures expire. The RBA instead pointed at the underlying inflation rate in Australia. The "trimmed mean" came in at 3.5% in the the September quarter, which was still "some way" from the 2.5% midpoint of the inflation target. Externally, the bank added that "heightened geopolitical risks and potential changes to trade and fiscal policies abroad add to this uncertainty."

Organizations: Reuters, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Australia

☆ Asia-Pacific markets set to trade mixed as investors eye Fed and RBA rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Asia-Pacific markets are set to trade mixed on Tuesday as investors prepared for the U.S. presidential election and a possible interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve later this week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures were at 20,658, slightly higher than the HSI's last close of 20,567.52. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.32% as traders keep an eye on the upcoming central bank rate decision. Analysts at HSBC and the Commonwealth Bank of Australia expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave the cash rate unchanged. South Korea's consumer inflation in October rose 1.3% from a year ago, slightly cooler than Reuters' expectations of 1.4%.

Persons: Australia's Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, HSBC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka

☆ U.S. dollar rally pauses before jobs data, Aussie droops on RBA outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

An Australian one dollar coin sits atop a United States one dollar bill in this illustration photo taken February 12, 2016. The dollar hovered close to a three-month peak on Wednesday in a big week for macroeconomic data that could reveal the path for U.S. monetary policy. The Australian dollar edged closer to a three-month trough after some stickiness in inflation suggested a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut is unlikely this year. The ADP employment report is due later in the day, ahead of the potentially crucial monthly payrolls report on Friday. "The U.S. dollar continues to garner strong support as markets adjust their rate path expectations," said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.

Persons: James Kniveton, Kniveton, Donald Trump, Rachel Reeves, Keir Starmer, Liz Truss Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Reserve Bank, Australia's, U.S, Treasury, Republican, European Central Bank, Sterling, Labor Locations: States, U.S, Australia, Europe

☆ ANZ: not much downside to iron ore price as structural supply challenges offset demand weakness
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailANZ: not much downside to iron ore price as structural supply challenges offset demand weaknessRichard Yetsenga of ANZ sees upside to commodities prices, and discusses the challenges for Australia's economy and the RBA's interest rates trajectory.

Persons: Richard Yetsenga Organizations: ANZ

☆ Australia's inflation rate has come within its target range, but rate cuts likely won't come anytime soon
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Australia's inflation rate has come within the RBA's target range in the month of August, easing from 3.5% in July to 2.7%., according to a Wednesday release from the country's Bureau of Statistics. The drop puts the rate below the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range of 2%-3% for the first time since August 2021. He said that while the relief programs will bring headline inflation to the top of the RBA's target range, the RBA will be "looking through" these subsidies and focusing on core inflation. He writes, "the path of core inflation back to the target range has stalled somewhat, and it is hard to see a major improvement in the near term. We think the bank will need to see three more inflation prints before they are comfortable embarking on an easing cycle."

Persons: Australia's, Michelle Bullock, Bullock, Sean Langcake, Langcake Organizations: Statistics, Reserve Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, ., Australia's Locations: SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA, Sydney, Australia, country's, Oxford

☆ Will be hard for RBA to cut rates before year-end, economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWill be hard for RBA to cut rates before year-end, economist saysDiana Mousina, deputy chief economist at AMP, discusses Australia's central bank decision to keep interest rates unchanged.

Persons: Diana Mousina Organizations: AMP

☆ Asia-Pacific markets climb with China's central bank in focus; S&P and Dow set fresh records
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Tuesday, tracking gains on Wall Street after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average touched new closing highs in Monday's trading session. The broad market index added 0.28% to end at 5,718.57, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 61.29 points, or 0.15%, to close at 42,124.65. The briefing is set to begin before Chinese markets open at 9:30 a.m. Currently, futures for the mainland Chinese CSI 300 are at 3,205.6, slightly lower than its last close of 3,212.76. As such, CBA expects a slightly less hawkish statement, but does not see a material shift in language or tone.

Persons: Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow Jones Industrial, Traders, People's Bank of China, PBOC, CSI, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, CBA Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia's

☆ Aussie dollar near 2024 high before RBA; yen drifts as Ueda awaited
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The yen edged up to 143.45 per dollar, but remained close to the center of its September range of 147.20 to 139.58, a more than one-year peak reached on Sept. 16. The yen has retreated amid waning bets for aggressive tightening by the BOJ, particularly after governor Ueda struck a cautious tone of Friday, saying the central bank would spend some time monitoring global growth risks. The BoE kept rates unchanged last Thursday, with its governor saying the central bank had to be "careful not to cut too fast or by too much".

Persons: Kazuo Ueda, —, Pan Gongsheng, Ueda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, P Global Locations: China

☆ Australia's central bank keeps rates on hold, stays hawkish
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at the central bank's building in Sydney, Australia on May 2, 2022. The hawkish stance sent the Australian dollar 0.4% higher to $0.6864, the highest this year, and markets pared the chance of a December rate cut to 59% from 64% before the decision. Markets had wagered heavily on a steady outcome given underlying inflation remained sticky and the labor market held up surprisingly well. Governor Michele Bullock has used every opportunity recently to stress that the central bank does not expect a near-term rate cut. The RBA already trails other central bank in cutting rates, and the political pressure is ramping up for an easing.

Persons: Michele Bullock Organizations: Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank of Australia, Wednesday, Greens, Monday Locations: Sydney, Australia, Australia's

☆ HSBC: RBA unlikely to cut rates before Q2 next year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHSBC: RBA unlikely to cut rates before Q2 next yearPaul Bloxham, HSBC's Chief Economist of Australia, New Zealand & Global Commodities, talks about Australia's struggle with persistent inflation, especially in the housing space.

Persons: Paul Bloxham Organizations: HSBC, Global Commodities Locations: Australia, New Zealand

☆ These ETFs will thrive as U.S. manufacturing investment grows, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors who want to bet on a continued rebound in U.S. manufacturing should take a look at ETFs that hold stocks across different sectors to capture the theme, according to Bank of America. Traditional sector funds don't do a great job capturing this theme in one basket, so Bank of America prefers ETFs that have a wider scope. Woodard's top ETF pick in the space is the First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (AIRR) . While AIRR has the highest expense ratio of the group, it has the best 5Y risk adjusted returns," the Bank of America note said. Second on Bank of America's list is the Global X US Infrastructure ETF (PAVE) .

Persons: Jared Woodard, " Woodard, AIRR Organizations: Bank of America, Democrats, Trust, Industrial Renaissance, Mueller Industries, Bank of, Global, US Infrastructure ETF, Trane Technologies, United Rentals

☆ Australia's second-quarter wages rise at slowest pace in a year
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Australian wages rose at their slowest pace in a year in the June quarter, falling short of expectations, while softer gains in the private sector suggest the labor market was easing. "The RBA will be somewhat relieved to see wage pressures subsiding," said Sean Langcake, head of macroeconomic forecasting for Oxford Economics Australia. "However, absent an improvement in productivity growth, the current pace of wage growth is still a little too strong for inflation to return to target quickly." The overall increase in annual wages was still just enough to take it above inflation of 3.6%, a welcome return to real pay growth after years of negative outcomes. Incomes will get an added boost from a major round of tax cuts that started in July.

Persons: Sean Langcake Organizations: Australian Bureau, Statistics, Oxford Economics Australia, Reserve Bank of Australia

☆ RBA commentary 'more balanced out this time,' strategist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBA commentary 'more balanced out this time,' strategist saysShane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP, discusses the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to keep interest rates on hold.

Persons: Shane Oliver Organizations: AMP, Reserve Bank

☆ RBA needs to abandon its tightening bias: Chief Economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBA needs to abandon its tightening bias: Chief EconomistMatthew Peter, Chief Economist at QIC says the RBA is treading a fine line with its messaging, saying it should not be talking down the Australian economy too much.

Persons: Matthew Peter Organizations: QIC

☆ Japan stocks plunge as much as 7%, hovering near bear market territory, as Asia shares extend sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

Japan’s markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Monday’s decline follows Friday’s rout when Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Nasdaq was the first of the three major benchmarks to enter correction territory, down more than 10% from its record high.

Persons: Topix, “, Australia’s, Kospi Organizations: Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, CSI, Nasdaq, Dow, Dow Jones Locations: Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, U.S

☆ Nikkei 225 falls more than 5%, hovering near bear market territory, as Asia-Pacific sell-off continues
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Japan's markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconMonday's decline follows Friday's rout when Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Reserve Bank of Australia kicks off its two-day monetary policy meeting Monday.

Persons: Topix, Australia's, Kospi Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, P, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters Locations: Shibuya, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, Hong Kong

☆ RBA will focus more on inflation than unemployment: Shaw and Partners
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRBA will still focus more on inflation than on unemployment: Shaw and Partners CIOMartin Crabb, CIO at Shaw and Partners, discusses the outlook for interest rates in Australia and how he's positioning his portfolio.

Persons: Shaw, Martin Crabb Organizations: Partners, Shaw Locations: Australia

Sydney Harbour taking in the Harbour Bridge, Opera House and ferries at sunrise during the COVID-19 pandemic on April 20, 2020 in Sydney, Australia. Asia-Pacific markets mostly opened lower Wednesday as investors anticipate Australia's inflation numbers for May and Singapore's May manufacturing output data. Australia's weighted inflation rate is expected to come in at 3.8% in May, according to a Reuters poll of economists. The reading comes after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michelle Bullock recently revealed the central bank discussed hiking rates at its last meeting. The RBA has two inflation readings to consider — June 26 and July 31— before its next meeting on Aug. 6.

Persons: Michelle Bullock, Singapore's Organizations: Sydney Harbour, Opera House, Singapore's, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Japan

☆ Australia's central bank says policy is restrictive, causing households pain
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Australia's central bank said on Wednesday that monetary policy was restrictive with the current cash rate causing financial pain for many households, but it could not rule out further tightening if necessary to tame inflation. Australia's central bank said on Wednesday that monetary policy was restrictive with the current cash rate causing financial pain for many households, but it could not rule out further tightening if necessary to tame inflation. In a speech on the banking industry in Melbourne, Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Christopher Kent said interest rates of 4.35% were contributing to slower growth of demand and lower inflation. "We know that many are feeling a painful squeeze on their finances because of higher interest rates," said Kent, noting mortgage payment has already increased to a record 10% of household disposable income. The RBA has raised interest rates by a whopping 425 basis points since May 2022, but has held steady for five straight meetings with inflation running at 3.6%, well above its target band of 2%-3%.

Persons: Christopher Kent, Kent Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Melbourne

☆ These ETFs have beaten the S&P 500 for five years and are ahead in 2024 too
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Six exchange-traded funds have outperformed the S & P 500 index every year for the past five years, according to analysis by CNBC Pro. In 2022, when the S & P 500 fell by nearly 20%, the six ETFs each had a smaller loss. The Taiwanese dollar-denominated Sinopac TAIEX ETF also outperformed the S & P 500 over the same period in local currency terms. First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance Of the six ETFs, the First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (ticker: AIRR) has performed best over the period. It logged a cumulative total return of 178% over the past five years, compared to the S & P 500's 112%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs Organizations: CNBC Pro, Four, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta, Equity, Trust, Industrial Renaissance, JPMorgan U.S, Research Locations: Four U.S, Taiwan, U.S, United States, United Kingdom, Italy, Germany, Switzerland

REUTERS/Bobby Yip/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights New Tab , opens new tabJune 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. The first definition that appears in an online search for the meaning of "resilience" is "the capacity to withstand or to recover quickly from difficulties; toughness." In that light, the direction Asian markets are liable to take on Wednesday is hard to call. Broader concerns about the weakness of the yen and potential intervention from Japanese authorities, and the Chinese yuan's steady depreciation, still hang heavily over Asian markets. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:- Australia inflation (May)- RBA assistant governor Kent speaks- Singapore manufacturing production (May)Sign up here.

Persons: Bobby Yip, Tuesday's, Christopher Kent, Kent, Jamie McGeever Organizations: Hong Kong Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Tuesday's U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Japan, U.S, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, U.S, Tuesday's, Singapore, Australia

☆ Asia-Pacific markets slip; Australia and Japan inflation readings expected this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Asia-Pacific markets fell on Monday, ahead of inflation data from Australia and Japan later this week. Special attention will be paid to Australia's May consumer price index figures on Wednesday, after Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michelle Bullock revealed the central bank discussed hiking rates at its last meeting. Should inflation come in higher than expected and spur the RBA to raise rates, it would be the first major Asia-Pacific central bank to do so in an environment where investors are waiting for rate cuts, barring Japan. The RBA has two inflation readings to consider — June 26 and July 31— before its next meeting on Aug. 6.

Persons: Michelle Bullock Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Japan

☆ Asia-Pacific markets rebound as Wall Street rallies overnight; Australia holds rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A pedestrian and jogger pass the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) building, during a partial lockdown imposed due to the coronavirus, in Sydney, Australia, on Monday, May 18, 2020. David Gray | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets rebounded on Tuesday as Wall Street rallied overnight, with investors assessing the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision. The RBA held its benchmark interest rate at 4.35% for its fifth straight meeting, saying that inflation "remains above target and is proving persistent." The RBA also noted that the economic outlook remained "uncertain," with recent data signaling that achieving the inflation target was unlikely to be smooth. Automaker Hyundai also hit a fresh record, gaining about 1.62% on news that it plans to list its India unit in Mumbai.

Persons: David Gray, Kazuo Ueda, Akio Toyoda, Kospi Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Bloomberg, Getty, Wall Street, Bank, Japan's Nikkei, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Toyota, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai, CSI Locations: Sydney, Australia, Asia, Pacific, Mumbai, Hong

☆ Stocks are in a sweet spot but bears still fear a bubble is near bursting. Here's what 5 forecasters are saying about a potential crash.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-16 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Here's what five forecasters have to say about the latest rally — and why they think the stock market is headed for a fall. In 2009, he wrote a book predicting a stock market crash and ensuing economic depression, which he said could last for 10 years or more. The research firm is predicting the S&P 500 could see a steep correction following a rally to 6,500. Yet, that could end up being an excellent opportunity for investors who are diversified in other areas of the market, Bernstein said. AdvertisementTypically, there are eight warning signs of a market bubble forming, and six of them have already flashed, the bank said.

Persons: Stocks, —, haven't, Harry Dent Stocks, Harry Dent, Dent, John Higgins, Higgins, John Hussman, Hussman, Richard Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Apple, Nvidia, Fox Business Network, Stocks, Capital Economics, John Hussman Elite, UBS

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