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☆ Volatility, higher rates, and surging bitcoin. Here's what analysts are saying about Trump's victory.
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Will Martin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts expect Trump's economic policies to increase inflation, and push interest rates higher. AdvertisementDonald Trump's victory is set to herald a new era of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy, and surging cryptocurrencies, analysts said in initial reactions to the presidential election result. The economic impact of Trump's second term is likely to be volatile, said Lindsay James, investment strategist at UK-based Quilter Investments. However, such cuts could be shortlived if Trump's trade policies, which include proposed near-universal tariffs, prove to be inflationary as expected. Bitcoin could hit $100,000One asset that analysts expect to surge in the wake of Trump's victory is bitcoin, which rallied sharply early on Wednesday morning.

Persons: Donald Trump, —, Donald Trump's, Lindsay James, Elon Musk, Thomas Matthews, Trump, Russ Mould, AJ Bell Organizations: Service, Investments, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Rabobank, White

☆ French budget surprises with focus on tax hikes as analysts warn of ratings downgrades
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

watch nowFrance's newly-installed government on Thursday presented a draft budget containing 60 billion euros ($65.6 billion) in tax hikes and spending cuts, as analysts warned the package may not be enough to stave off ratings downgrades for the economy. The 2025 budget features a greater focus on tax-raising measures than some were expecting. "The problem is when you have to find 60 billion, we have never found 60 billion in one year, it would be unprecedented, and that's why it's not very credible to find so huge an amount, especially with only a very fragile relative majority." Tax focusThe policy mix underpinning the 2025 budget is "less skewed towards spending cuts and more geared towards tax increases than we anticipated," analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note Friday. French Minister for the Economy, Finance and Industry Antoine Armand arrives at the Elysee presidential palace to attend the weekly cabinet meeting, during which France's 2025 budget was presented, on October 10, 2024 in Paris.

Persons: Camatte, CNBC's, Michel Barnier, Barnier, Goldman Sachs, Industry Antoine Armand, Ludovic Marin, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Union, Goldman, Economy, Finance, Industry, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Rabobank Locations: France, Belgium, Natixis, Paris, Europe

☆ A recession next year is now even less likely following the blowout jobs report, says Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-07 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Friday's knockout jobs report has squashed fears of an imminent recession. Goldman Sachs cut the chances of a recession in the next year to 15%, and other analysts cheered. AdvertisementRecession fears have weighed on Wall Street recently, but Friday's blowout jobs report has assuaged worries of an imminent economic downturn. "Friday's US labor report put paid to US recession fears," Rabobank's research team wrote. The latest jobs report has relieved some concerns about the economy, but also dashed hopes for another jumbo cut in November.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Stocks, Goldman, Saxo, Kamala Harris Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Labor Statistics, Federal Locations: There's

☆ Rabobank: China starting to get "more serious" about supporting markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRabobank: China starting to get "more serious" about supporting marketsBenjamin Picton of Rabobank reacts to the raft of new support measures unveiled by China's financial regulators aimed at supporting the world's second-largest economy. He also weighs in on the U.S. economy and the potential risks from data due out this week.

Persons: Benjamin Picton Organizations: Rabobank, China Locations: U.S

☆ A stunning sterling rally is about to collide with Britain's political realities
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Sterling breached $1.33 against the greenback for the first time since March 2022 on Thursday, and was trading at $1.3315 early London time Monday. The pound's rally was tied to the BOE communication and "looks fully justified," Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING, said in a Friday note. Higher rates are traditionally a positive for a domestic currency as the higher yield can attract more foreign capital. watch nowGabriella Dickens, G7 economist at AXA Investment Managers, also cautioned on the pound's outlook in a note Thursday. If the government is more stringent on fiscal policy, we think the Bank will be forced to increase the pace of the cutting cycle to offset the hit on both households' and businesses' finances."

Persons: Keir Starmer, BOE, Chris Turner, Turner, Jane Foley, Gabriella Dickens, Dickens Organizations: Bank of England, Labour, Sterling, greenback, London, ING, Fed, U.K, European Union, Rabobank London, CNBC, AXA Investment, Bank, quicken Locations: Britain, –

☆ Banks get bullish on the British pound despite the possibility of an imminent snapback
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( George Bextor | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

In a recent research note, experts at Goldman Sachs were upbeat on the pound, commenting that sterling "tops the list" in the G-10 basket of major currency crosses. The analysts are sticking with their bet that sterling will rise against the dollar , with a target of 1.31. "Combined with still-high rates [this] could attract capital flows into GBP after many years of being a structural sell," the UBS analysts added. She added, "The tone of many of the policies announced by the new Labour government in recent days are market friendly ... The appearance of order in the U.K. government coupled with an expectation of a warmer relationship with the EU should provide for some optimism."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Keir Starmer's, Jane Foley Organizations: Bank of, UBS, Labour Party, FX, Labour Locations: Bank of England

☆ Dollar sees safe-haven gains; sliding yen stays on intervention watch
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar fell 0.18% to $0.6771, while the New Zealand dollar slid 0.35% to $0.6097. Under a Trump presidency, market analysts expect a more hawkish trade policy, less regulation and looser climate change regulations. Against the dollar, the yen was last 0.3% lower at 158.36, having strengthened to a roughly one-month high of 157.30 per dollar on Friday. "The confirmed FX intervention undertaken by the MOF in April and May proved that policymakers are prepared to be canny about choosing the timing of their moves," said Jane Foley, head of FX strategy at Rabobank. "In order to make more 'bang for their buck', FX intervention in quiet conditions or after the release of softer U.S. economic data seems like a sensible move.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jack Ablin, It's, Trump, Rong Ren Goh, Jane Foley Organizations: Trump, Cresset, New Zealand, Eastspring Investments, Cash U.S, Investors, . Bank of Japan, Finance, Analysts, Rabobank Locations: Asia, Japan, U.S, Tokyo

☆ Strategist discusses investing in current geopolitical environment
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvesting under these geopolitical conditions requires a 'very different skillset': StrategistMichael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, says "we live in a very fluid political environment, and for the longest time, most businesses and markets didn't really have to worry about geopolitics too much," apart from the "odd surprise, the odd difficult government, where there might be the odd difficult regulation."

Persons: Michael Every Organizations: Rabobank

☆ Euro and French stocks subdued as France plunged into political limbo
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right Sunday, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield, or return sought by investors, on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.22% by 8.09 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. The value of the currency, which is shared by 19 other countries in the EU, has swung wildly since June 9.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, “, ”, Holger Schmieding, “ unaffordable, Schmieding, Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Rabobank, EU Locations: gridlock, Europe’s, “, France, Paris, —

☆ Euro and French stocks subdued despite France’s political limbo
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

London CNN —French stocks and government bonds struggled to find direction Monday following surprise results in France’s parliamentary elections, which saw left-wing parties outperform the far right, leaving the country’s parliament facing gridlock. The yield on benchmark 10-year bonds rose by a fraction of a percentage point to 3.21% by 6.37 a.m. But the premium traders demand to hold French bonds instead of the ultra-safe German equivalents was lower on the day. However, it was still a lot higher than before French President Emmanuel Macron called the snap elections on June 9. France’s left-wing alliance came in first after the vote Sunday, while the far right trailed in third place in a shocking reversal of first-round results.

Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Macron, France’s, “, ” Organizations: London CNN, Rabobank, European Union Locations: gridlock, France, Paris

☆ The strange economics of pig meat: Ham prices are down, but bacon’s up
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —Shoppers in the meat aisle may have noticed something weird last month: Bacon prices are sizzling, but ham’s not so hot. But ham prices were lower, falling 5.4% overall and dropping 6.3% when you exclude canned varieties. It’s all relativeGlynn Tonsor, a professor in the department of agriculture economics at Kansas State University suggests that if you zoom out, pork prices are indeed going up across the board. But prices for ham actually went up higher than the prices of bacon and pork chops. Scott Olson/Getty Images/FilePeople love baconAnother reason for high bacon prices: Strong demand, even when it’s expensive.

Persons: Bacon, Glynn Tonsor, ” Tonsor, Scott Olson, ”, Christine McCracken, They’re, you’ll, It’s, McCracken, “ You’ll Organizations: New, New York CNN, Shoppers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Kansas State University, Federal Reserve, St, RaboBank, Retailers, KFC, Starbucks Locations: New York, Louis, Mexico, “, Chicago , Illinois, Burger King

☆ Cocoa prices are soaring. Candy makers will need to get creative
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Prices of cocoa have more than tripled over the last year, creating a big headache for candy makers and other food companies that use the ingredient to make chocolate. The price surge has since eased off slightly, but the crop is still commanding well above what food companies are used to paying. This season's cocoa crop is expected to experience the largest deficit in at least six decades, according to a Rabobank report from May. A YouGov survey conducted in October found that 72% of U.S. respondents had noticed shrinkflation in food products. J&J Snack Foods CEO Daniel Fachner has been keeping an eye on cocoa and chocolate prices.

Persons: Ferley Ospina, Hershey, Kinder, Ferrero, they'll, Steve Rosenstock, Mondelez, shrinkflation, Daniel Fachner, Fachner, Justin Sullivan, Nik Modi, Modi, shea, Rosenstock Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Cadbury, Clarkston Consulting, Rabobank, Reuters, Mondelez, Consumers, Snack, CNBC, RBC Capital, Jumbo Locations: Ragonvalia, Norte de Santader, Colombia, . West Africa, Ghana, U.S, Novato , California, West

☆ Treasury yields slide once again as traders weigh this week's U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Katrina Bishop | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The 10-year Treasury yield was trading around 4.211% at 6:29 a.m. The 2-year Treasury note yield was down 1 basis point at 4.679%. U.S. Treasury yields fell again on Friday as data released this week pointed to easing inflation. Correction: A previous version misstated the magnitude of a decline in the 10-year Treasury note yield.

Persons: Henry Allen, — Jeff Cox Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Rabobank, Deutsche Bank, U.S . Federal, US, University of Michigan

☆ Yen on guard ahead of BOJ; euro stutters with weekly loss in sight
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was on the defensive on Friday ahead of a policy decision from the Bank of Japan that could see it further reduce its massive monetary stimulus, while elsewhere the euro, mired in political turmoil, was headed for a weekly loss. The yen was a touch weaker at 157.08 per dollar and on track for a marginal weekly loss of about 0.2%, though moves were largely subdued ahead of the conclusion of the BOJ's two-day monetary policy meeting later on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.0737, and was poised for a weekly loss of roughly 0.6%. Against the British pound, the euro was last languishing near a 22-month low and staring at a weekly decline of 0.9%.

Persons: Ray Attrill, Wall, Powell, Jean Boivin, Emmanuel Macron's, Macron, France's, Erik, Jan van Harn Organizations: Bank of, National Australia Bank, New Zealand, Federal Reserve, BlackRock Investment Institute, Fed, Aussie, Rabobank Locations: Bank of Japan, BlackRock

☆ Dollar finds footing as traders turn to U.S. services data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

US Dollar notes and euro coins are arranged for a photograph on Sept. 11, 2017. The dollar steadied on Wednesday as traders pared back on riskier bets in emerging markets while waiting on an interest rate decision in Canada and on U.S. services data. Japanese real wages fell for a 25th straight month in April, data on Wednesday showed, as inflation outpaces nominal pay rises. The Swiss franc rose for a fourth straight session on the dollar overnight and at 0.8902 per dollar is close to breaking through its 200-day moving average. The New Zealand dollar was steady at $0.6173, while the Canadian dollar held the middle of a months-long range at C$1.3678 per dollar.

Persons: Jane Foley, Ryozo Himino, Narendra Modi, Chris Weston Organizations: Swiss, Bloomberg News, Bank of, Rabobank, BOJ, Westpac, New Zealand, African National Congress, Morena Locations: Canada, U.S, Bank of Japan, Asia, Japan, Morena

☆ Why the price of chocolate's key ingredient skyrocketed in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-01 | by ( Christian Nunley | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Chocolate's key ingredient has soared in commodities markets throughout 2024. Factors such as crop disease, El Niño, farm-gate prices and market speculation all played big roles in cocoa's historic price run-up. As the chocolate industry grapples with higher input costs, consumers are feeling the pinch, and chocolate providers are beginning to consider alternatives. The food and beverage company partnered with Voyage Foods in April to produce the alternatives. Watch the video above to learn more about the causes of this prolonged price rise, and what's next for the industry.

Persons: El, Paul, Cargill, Adam Maxwell, what's Organizations: Rabobank, Voyage Foods, Foods

☆ Is America ready for a $400 pineapple? Luxury fruit is now a thing
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-19 | by ( Danielle Wiener-Bronner | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The Rubyglow pineapple –— bred for its distinctive red exterior and its sweetness — costs $395.99 at Melissa’s Produce, a California-based seller of specialty fruit and veggies. It took Del Monte, a wholesaler which sells a variety of produce but specializes in pineapple, a decade and a half to develop the red-hued fruit. And yet, there’s interest in premium fruit — enough to convince Del Monte to bring the Rubyglow, which is grown in Costa Rica, stateside. Courtesy Fresh Del MonteThe Pinkglow was never supposed to be a grocery list staple, said Melissa Mackay, VP of marketing in North America at Del Monte. Melissa’s started with 50 pineapples, according to Robert Schueller, director of public relations at Melissa’s Produce.

Persons: Del, ”, Cindy van Rijswick, “ there’s, Cotton Candy, McIntosh, Jim Luby, Patrick T, Fallon, Luby, Lane Turner, Oishii, Hiroki Koga, Jerod Harris, Melissa Mackay, “, It’s, Melanie Zanoza Bartelme, pricey, Hailey, Strawberry, it’s, Melissa’s, Robert Schueller, ” Schueller, Bo Corley, ” Corley, Corley Organizations: New, New York CNN, “, University of Minnesota, Getty, Rabobank, Citrus, Boston Globe, Vox Media, Del, Mintel, Melissa’s Locations: New York, California, Del Monte, China, United States, America, Costa Rica, AFP, Minnesota, Beverly Hills , California, North America, Erewhon, Angeles, Las Vegas, Southern California

☆ 'Liquid gold': An olive oil shortage is fueling record prices and food insecurity fears
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Extreme hot weather and persistent drought conditions have dealt a severe blow to olive oil production in southern Europe, resulting in a significant surge in prices. Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty ImagesA shortage of olive oil, sometimes referred to as "liquid gold," has driven prices to record highs, fueled a crime surge and pushed the industry into crisis mode. The decline extends a downward trend, after olive oil prices reached an unprecedented peak of 9.2 euros in January. But analysts said that dwindling olive oil reserves would likely keep markets on edge for sudden price spikes over the coming months. Olive oil thefts

Persons: Kyle Holland, Holland, De Rust, Rodger Bosch, Vito Martielli, Martielli, Helena Bennett, Bennett, Xylella, Mintec's Holland Organizations: European Union, Anadolu, Getty, Centre, Market, Mintec, CNBC, Afp, Rabobank, Green Alliance UK, European Environment Agency, Nurphoto Locations: Europe, Anadolu, Spain, Italy, Greece, Spain's Andalusia, Olive Estate, De, Cape Town, Netherlands, Olive, Lecce, Puglia

☆ Euro zone inflation steady at 2.4%, keeping June rate cut in play as economy returns to growth
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Price rises in the euro area held steady at 2.4% in April, while the economy returned to growth in the first quarter, according to flash figures published Tuesday. Headline inflation of 2.4% was in line with the forecast of economists polled by Reuters. It is the seventh straight month the headline rate has been below 3%, despite a slight rebound in the rate in December due to energy prices. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, dipped to 2.7% from 2.9% in March. However, Martinez noted the slightly lower-than-expected fall in core inflation and volatility in some areas of services that had increased the inflation rates in France and Italy.

Persons: Price, Gerardo Martinez, Martinez, Jane Foley, Foley Organizations: Reuters, European Central Bank, Gross, ECB, CNBC, BNP, Rabobank Locations: Europe, France, Italy

☆ $60 billion U.S. war aid for Ukraine would have a 'huge number' of implications, Rabobank says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email$60 billion U.S. war aid for Ukraine would have a 'huge number' of implications, Rabobank saysMichael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, discusses the U.S. House's decision to pass more than $60 billion in aid to Ukraine, saying it's an "enormous amount" of money and military equipment.

Persons: Michael Every Organizations: Rabobank Locations: Ukraine

☆ Gatorade enters new categories — even unflavored water — as competition to hydrate consumers ramps up
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Amelia Lucas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

As Gatorade approaches its 60th birthday, the brand is staying spry, branching out into new categories from unflavored water to energy drink mixes. It accounted for 63.5% of the U.S. sports drink market in 2023, according to Euromonitor International data. Gatorade President Mike Del Pozzo told CNBC that the competition is good for the category overall – and shows his brand's own strength. "There's plenty of loud voices right now, trying to make a name for themselves," said Del Pozzo. And Propel's annual sales are projected to cross $1 billion for the first time this year, Del Pozzo said.

Persons: spry, There's, Jim Watson, Coke, Watson, Ramon Laguarta, influencer Logan, Mike Del Pozzo, Del Pozzo, we're, Rabobank's Watson Organizations: Gatorade, Euromonitor, Cola, Pepsi, Rabobank, Unilever, Nestle Health Science, PepsiCo, Energy, Citi Research, CNBC

☆ Japan's economy is sustainable, provided it never turns the corner and recovers: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's economy is sustainable, provided it never turns the corner and recovers: StrategistMichael Every of Rabobank says Japan is a "test case for how far you can push silly policy" and that in the long run, an unconventional policy approach would be needed for Japan to get out of its current situation.

Persons: Michael Every Organizations: Rabobank Locations: Japan

☆ As cocoa prices soar this Easter, chocolatiers consider alternatives
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( John Towfighi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Cocoa prices are surging so high, the Easter Bunny might want to hoard its chocolate. Poor climate and crop diseases in West Africa – home to 70% of global cocoa production – have tightened supply and caused prices to skyrocket. As prices rise, some chocolatiers are exploring cost-cutting alternatives, like diversifying their products to depend less on cocoa. Yet mining often destroys farms and the possibility of a livelihood in cocoa production, Issaka said. “Given the persistently high cocoa prices, it may be necessary for us to make responsible adjustments to pricing in the future,” the spokesperson wrote in an email.

Persons: Hershey’s, Shaquille O’Neal, Michele Buck, Billy Roberts, Roberts, ” Roberts, Issaka, Will Kletter, Kletter, “, Peng Xu, Christopher Taylor, Li, Taylor, ”, “ We’re, “ It’s, ” Taylor Organizations: CNN, Cadbury, NCA, “ Brands, Industries, International Cocoa Organization, Rabobank, US, ”, Euromonitor Locations: West Africa, North Region, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Silicon, Washington ,, Manhattan

☆ CNBC Daily Open: U.S. consumers' optimism wanes
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Cocoa prices soarCocoa prices are surging and this could impact consumers as the world struggles with a supply deficit. The cocoa futures contract for May delivery rose to an all-time intraday high of $10,080 per metric ton Tuesday. [PRO] ETFs that stand outGiven the market volatility, investors are looking to exchange-traded funds to position their portfolios.

Persons: Dow, Francis Scott Key, Richard Meade, Paul, Tim Cook, Vahan Janjigian Organizations: CNBC, Street, U.S, Nasdaq, Rabobank, Apple, Greenwich Wealth Management Locations: Port of Baltimore, U.S, Baltimore

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Baltimore port shutdown a major disruption
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. India is one of the biggest markets for gold, which plays a key role in its culture. Scramble over port shutdownLogistics firms are left scrambling after the closure of the Port of Baltimore, one of the busiest ports in the U.S. Cocoa prices soarCocoa prices are surging and this could impact consumers as the world struggles with a supply deficit.

Persons: Yen tumbles, Dow, BlackRock's Larry Fink, Francis Scott Key, Richard Meade, Paul, Vahan Janjigian Organizations: CNBC, Nikkei, CSI, Nasdaq, Rabobank, Greenwich Wealth Management Locations: Seng, Blackrock, India, Port of Baltimore, U.S, Baltimore

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