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The fight over Wisconsin — considered a must-win for Harris as part of Democrats’ so-called blue wall — could tilt the election. Tim Walz has re-energized staff members in the state, a campaign official told NBC News. With more than 200 staffers statewide, the Harris campaign touts 48 offices across Wisconsin, including some in smaller, more rural areas that Trump won in 2020. But the Trump campaign is mounting its own effort in the state. An RNC official also said the Trump campaign and the Wisconsin GOP have more than 70 staff members and 40 offices across the state.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump —, Wisconsin —, ’, Tim Walz, Trump, Walz, Gwen Walz, Walz —, Dane County, Sen, JD Vance, it’s, “ Kamala Harris, ”, Anna Kelly, haven’t, doesn’t bode, ” Kelly Organizations: Trump, Quinnipiac University, Marist College, Wisconsin, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, NBC News, United Auto Workers, Teamsters, Superior, Convention, Republican National Committee, RNC, Wisconsin GOP, University of Wisconsin Locations: MADISON, Wis, Wisconsin, Harris, Quinnipiac’s, Marist’s, Midwest, Superior, Wisconsin’s, Minnesota, Duluth , Minnesota, Milwaukee, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Ohio, Eau Claire

☆ RFK Jr. may have already peaked in the presidential race
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is perhaps the biggest X factor remaining in the presidential race. That’s better than any third-party or independent candidate has polled in an individual survey at this stage in the cycle since Ross Perot in 1996. Biden is likely aware that Kennedy voters tend to skew younger – a demographic that traditionally leans Democratic. Perhaps more concerning for the independent candidate is what’s going on under the hood. He’d previously never had a net negative favorable rating in the double digits.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy –, Republicans –, Kennedy, Ross Perot, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Jill Stein, isn’t, He’d, Marquette, Kevin Mohatt, Hillary Clinton, Gary Johnson, Perot, Johnson, Kennedy aren’t Organizations: CNN — Independent, Republicans, White House, Quinnipiac University, Marquette University Law School, Democratic, Fox News, Quinnipiac, Reuters, Green Party, Democrat, Republican, May’s, Biden, Trump, Marquette, Libertarian, Electoral Locations: Marquette, May’s Quinnipiac, Quinnipiac, he’s, Aurora , Colorado, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada

☆ Trump’s silver lining in the New York hush money case going to trial first
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The trial date in his New York hush money case was confirmed to be March 25. Trump’s lawyers are hoping to get the Georgia case thrown out or at least delayed over Willis’ conduct. That well could be the case if the New York case finishes first, which looks most likely given that it will probably start first. Of course, the Georgia case is currently on an uncertain timeline with a lead prosecutor who may not end up being the prosecutor who brings the case to trial. The bottom line is that no one wants to be on trial, but if Trump had to pick, he’d much rather go first with the New York case.

Persons: Donald Trump, Fani Willis, Willis ’, Trump, Stormy Daniels, Alvin Bragg’s, Joe Biden, he’s, Willis Organizations: CNN, Quinnipiac University, Quinnipiac, Capitol, White, AP, Georgia, Trump, Biden Locations: New York, Fulton County, Georgia, York

☆ Analysis: Joe Biden is facing a near-historic deficit for an incumbent
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-18 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

All five give Trump an advantage of 2 to 4 points over Biden among registered or likely voters. Consider the New York Times/Siena College polls released earlier this month from the six closest states Biden won: Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan. A massive 71% of registered voters in those states said Biden was too old to be an effective president. Back in 2020, half that percentage of registered voters (36%) said Biden was too old to be an effective president. The fact that so many voters feel Biden is too old makes sense given that he is the oldest president ever.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Franklin Roosevelt, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Obama, I’m, don’t, Grover Cleveland Organizations: CNN, Electoral, Biden, CBS News, Fox News, Marquette University Law School, Quinnipiac University ., Trump, eventual, Democratic, Quinnipiac, Pew Research, Fox, New York Times Locations: Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Israel, Siena, Georgia, Arizona , Wisconsin , Pennsylvania

☆ Opinion | Republican Voters Aren’t Looking to Be Rescued From Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Kristen Soltis Anderson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

But by the end of the spring 2023, following the Manhattan district attorney Alvin Bragg’s indictment of Mr. Trump and Mr. DeSantis’s rocky entrance into the presidential race, not only had Mr. Trump regained his lead, he had expanded upon it. In our focus group of 11 Republican voters in early primary states this month, Times Opinion recruited a range of likely primary voters and caucusgoers to weigh in on the state of the race. Not a single participant thought that Mr. Trump — or any Republican, really — would lose to Mr. Biden. Only 9 percent of likely Republican primary voters think Mr. Trump is a “long shot” to beat Mr. Biden, and more than six in 10 think Mr. Trump is a sure bet against Mr. Biden. Additionally, only 14 percent of Republican primary voters who are considering a Trump alternative said they were doing so because they worried Mr. Trump couldn’t win.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, ”, Trump, Alvin Bragg’s, Mr, DeSantis, Donald Trump won’t, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Republican, Mr, CBS News Locations: Florida, Manhattan

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