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☆ 2024 marks a 21st century rarity: Almost everyone thinks the election results are legitimate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —The reaction from Democrats to Donald Trump’s 2024 victory is, to put it mildly, very much unlike their reaction to his 2016 win. When asked whether Trump’s win was legitimate, about 94% of voters said it was. This includes 64% who agreed that Trump’s win was legitimate and supported his presidency and another 30% who accepted Trump’s victory but indicated that they would oppose his presidency. A third of Clinton supporters in a mid-November 2016 ABC News/Washington Post poll said that Trump’s win was not legitimate. Democrats may have accepted Trump’s win, but he’s likely to upset them greatly during his presidency.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Biden’s, Trump, Biden, Kamala Harris, – it’s, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Trump's, Spencer Platt, Clinton, Trump’s, didn’t, George W, Obama’s, delegitimize Obama’s, Obama Organizations: CNN, Reuters, Quinnipiac University, Republicans, Trump, Electoral, GOP, Biden, Getty, ABC, Washington Post, Gallup, CBS Locations: New York

☆ Michelle Obama, in first appearance on the Harris campaign trail, says the race is 'too close for my liking'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Lloyd Lee | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Her first campaign visit for Kamala Harris came Saturday in Michigan, where polls show a tight race. In her speech, Obama said the race is "too close for my liking." AdvertisementMichelle Obama made her first official appearance on the campaign trail with Vice President Kamala Harris on Saturday, speaking in Michigan, where polls show a tight race between the VP and former President Donald Trump. AdvertisementMultiple polls, including national polling by The New York Times and Siena College, show a deadlocked race between Harris and Trump. Spokespeople for Harris, Obama, and Trump did not respond to a request for comment.

Persons: Michelle Obama hasn't, Kamala Harris, Obama, —, Michelle Obama, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, It's, we've, Trump's, Beyoncé, I'm, Julia Roberts, Eminem, Oprah Winfrey, Dennis Quaid, Jason Aldean, Elon Musk Organizations: Service, Democratic National Convention, The New York Times, Siena College, Trump ., Quinnipiac University, Trump, Trump's White Locations: Michigan, Kalamazoo

“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama. Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip. The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs. In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected. “This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

Persons: James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania

☆ Why working-class White women could be so decisive this fall
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +19 min

Those working-class White women loom as a critical, potentially even decisive, factor in Trump’s third White House bid. But while White women with a college degree have trended toward the Democrats in the presidential campaigns since then, the White women without a college degree have moved sharply in the opposite direction. She acknowledges that Trump’s alarms have resonated among working-class White women, especially older ones. Not only college-educated White women, but also the equivalent White men were much more likely than the blue-collar White women to express positive views about Harris and negative ones about Trump, Gallup found. “I think there is a lot of implicit [gender] bias with” these working-class White women, Lake said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Joe Biden’s, it’s, Harris, Harris doesn’t, ”, Lake, “, Evelyn Hockstein, Reuters “, Bradley Beychok, Beychok, gee, ” Beychok, Donald Trump, Roe, Wade, Bill Clinton, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Chip Somodevilla, Barack Obama’s, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Biden, – Harris, ” Lake, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, William Frey, ” Trump, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, –, Jackie Payne, Payne, pollsters, Jon McHenry, McHenry, Joe Biden, Mathews, Matthews, Vance, ” Matthews, White, Gallup Organizations: CNN, White, Electoral, Democrats, Trump, Democratic, PAC, Reuters, American, Republican, Edison Research, Pew Research, Michigan, Quinnipiac University, Marquette Law School, Metro, Dodge, Airport, Biden, New York Times, ”, Times, Gallup Poll, Gallup Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Flint , Michigan, Reading , Pennsylvania, Southern, Philadelphia, Juneau , Wisconsin, Siena, White, Wilkes, Barre , Pennsylvania

Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign laid out what it sees as her path to victory in Pennsylvania in a memo shared exclusively with NBC News ahead of Monday night’s rally in bellwether Erie County. “The Harris campaign’s path to win Pennsylvania capitalizes on Trump’s unprecedented weakness in the suburbs,” the memo, which also highlighted the campaign’s focus on Haley voters, reads. “They can point to the suburbs, but they’re losing ground in places like Philadelphia,” a Trump campaign official said. Kush Desai, the Trump campaign’s Pennsylvania spokesperson, highlighted Obama’s visit as a sign the Harris team was scrambling. Speaking with NBC News, Pennsylvania state Sen. Vincent Hughes said he could “understand the frustration” Obama expressed.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “, Haley, Trump, Brendan McPhillips, Tim Walz, Hillary Clinton, McPhillips, ”, Biden, Elon, It’s, We’ve, Barack, Obama, They’ve, Kush Desai, isn’t, ” Desai, ” Obama, Sen, Vincent Hughes, Let’s, Donald Trump’s, He’s, ” Hughes, it’s Organizations: NBC, Democratic, Pennsylvania, Trump, Philadelphia Inquirer, New York Times, Siena College, Marist College, Biden, Quinnipiac University, Times, Street, Minnesota Gov, America PAC, Trump campaign’s, Black, undecideds, NBC News Locations: Pennsylvania, bellwether Erie County, Siena, reddest, Harris ’ Pennsylvania, Johnstown, Lancaster, Rochester, Philadelphia, Bucks, Luzerne, Beaver, Trump, Pittsburgh

☆ The blue wall battlegrounds will be won or lost on the economy. Here's where Harris stands in these critical states.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

The trio of blue wall states offer promise to Vice President Harris and former President Trump. She's worked to rally union workers — a key voting bloc — around her campaign. But Loge also pointed to a newly-released Emerson College poll, which showed that Harris' union support varied by state. In the Quinnipiac poll, Michigan voters gave Trump an eight-point edge (53% to 45%) on the economy. And she's aiming to win over voters — especially union workers — in smaller cities where Trump found success in 2016.

Persons: Harris, Trump, —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's, Hillary Clinton, She's, Tim Walz, Clinton, Joe Biden, Republican Party —, Liz Cheney, Biden, she's, Gen Zers, millennials, Donald Trump, Bill Pugliano, Democrats isn't, he's, Biden —, Peter Loge, Loge, Shawn Fain, GEOFF ROBINS, Elissa Slotkin, Mike Rogers, Fain, Gretchen Whitmer, didn't, David Dulio, JIM WATSON Organizations: Trump, Service, Democrats, —, Democratic, White House, Republican Party, Wyoming GOP, Marquette University Law, Quinnipiac University, AFL, CIO, Democratic Party, Biden, School of Media, Public Affairs, George Washington University, Emerson College, Teamsters, United Auto Workers, Getty Images, Democratic Rep, GOP, UAW, Michigan, Center for Civic, Oakland University, New York Times, Siena College, Quinnipiac, Getty Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania, West Allis, Wis, Milwaukee, Minnesota, Midwest, White House . Wisconsin, Eau Claire, Madison, Ripon, Wyoming, Flint, Mich, United States, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Johnstown, Wilkes, Barre, Quinnipiac

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Minor turbulence for the soft landing
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Kirk Side | Houston Chronicle | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Port workers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast started striking Tuesday. Higher oil prices pose a risk to inflation resurging, or at least slowing less than everyone is hoping for. The best-case scenario would be that recent events are just minor turbulence on the way to a soft landing.

Persons: Seabrook . Kirk, Kathy Hochul, Adam Kamins, Christopher Ball, Piper Sandler, Campbell, It's, Steve Liesman, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Lori Ann LaRocco, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Brian Evans Organizations: Houston Chronicle, CNBC, U.S ., Gulf Coast, New, Moody's, Quinnipiac University, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple Locations: Seabrook ., Port, U.S, U.S . East Coast, New York, New Jersey, Iran, Major U.S, East

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Soft landing hit by minor turbulence
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Mark Felix | Afp | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Port workers along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf Coast started striking Tuesday. It's just the first days of the port strike and flare-up in Middle East tensions, however. The best-case scenario would be that recent events are just minor turbulence on the way to a soft landing.

Persons: Mark Felix, Kathy Hochul, Adam Kamins, Christopher Ball, Piper Sandler, Campbell, It's, Steve Liesman, Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert, Lori Ann LaRocco, Sean Conlon, Alex Harring, Brian Evans Organizations: Afp, Getty, CNBC, U.S ., Gulf Coast, New, Moody's, Quinnipiac University, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple Locations: Seabrook , Texas, Port, U.S, U.S . East Coast, New York, New Jersey, Iran, Major U.S, East

☆ CNN Poll: Harris leads Trump among young voters but falls short of Biden’s 2020 winning margin
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Harris leads Trump 52% to 40% among these likely voters younger than 35. Where female likely voters younger than 35 prefer Harris over Trump, 53% to 39%, male likely voters are closely divided. And among registered voters, young women are 15 points likelier than men to express a positive view of Harris. The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS online and by telephone September 19-22, 2024, among 2,074 registered voters nationwide drawn from a probability-based panel. Likely voters include all registered voters in the poll weighted for their predicted likelihood of voting in this year’s election.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, There’s, Young Trump, Obama, Trump, Trump’s, they’ve, Young, aren’t, Young Harris, CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, SSRS, Trump, Democratic, Quinnipiac University, Harvard Institute of Politics, Young, GOP, Young Republican, Republican, Democratic Party, Republicans, White, Trump voters

☆ Mark Robinson's scandal could cost Trump North Carolina's electoral votes — and the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Meanwhile, Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race in North Carolina. AdvertisementThat year, Trump also won North Carolina — albeit narrowly — against now-President Joe Biden. Former President Donald Trump is banking on a victory for his campaign in North Carolina. The GOP is up against a Harris campaign that's flush with cash and has 26 field offices and over 200 paid staffers in North Carolina. But North Carolina is critical for Trump.

Persons: —, Mark Robinson —, Donald Trump —, Robinson, Josh Stein, Trump, Kamala Harris, Roy Cooper, Joe Biden, eked, Stein, Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Dale Folwell, doesn't bode, Harris, Biden, The Harris, Martin Luther King, Anderson Clayton, MSNBC's Chris Hayes, she'll, Harris doesn't, didn't Organizations: Service, North Carolina Republican, Gov, Business, GOP, CNN, Democratic, Greensboro City Council, Democratic Gov, North Carolina, New York Times, Siena, Quinnipiac University, Emerson, News & Observer, Trump, North Carolina Democratic Party Locations: North Carolina, Greensboro, Southern, Wilmington

☆ America sort of likes Kamala Harris – and that might just be enough
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-21 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The 2024 White House race remains too close to call, but Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum is evident when you look just a little past the horse race. Earlier this week, Harris' favorability emerged above water for the first time since shortly after President Joe Biden took office. Soltis Anderson discussed a poll that the interest group commissioned, which found Harris has expanded Biden's once-meager lead over women voters aged 50 and over. Unlike Clinton, Walsh pointed out Harris hasn't spent decades in the spotlight and isn't faced with assuaging voters' fears of a potential political dynasty. Harris' favorability was up slightly in both Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, favorability, Joe Biden, She's, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Soltis Anderson, Debbie Walsh, Tim Malloy, Likability, Barack Obama's, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump's, Nikki Haley, Gabe Fleisher, reexamined, Trump, Nate Silver's, Walsh, There's, Clinton, Harris hasn't, isn't, Clinton's favorability, Obama's, Mark Robinson, Robinson, Sen, JD Vance, he's, Malloy Organizations: Service, AARP, Business, Center for American Women, Politics, Quinnipiac University Poll, Democratic, Research, Pew Research, State, Rutgers University, Gov, CNN, Republicans, Trump Tower, Trump Locations: North Carolina, Nazi, Nebraska, FiveThirtyEight's, Trump, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin

North Carolina could prove decisive in a close presidential race, and Sen. JD Vance of Ohio, Trump's running mate, said himself that it would be "very hard" for his ticket to win in November if Democrats flip North Carolina. The source familiar with the matter said television advertisements aiming to link Trump with Robinson are "definitely on the table." In March, Trump called Robinson "Martin Luther King on steroids." North Carolina is an vital part of that plan," spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said in the statement. Trump narrowly won North Carolina in 2020, securing 49.9% of the vote to Joe Biden’s 48.6%.

Persons: Mark Robinson, Donald Trump, Trump, Robinson, Kenny Palmer, Sen, JD Vance, Trump's, Palmer, Mark, Martin Luther King Jr, Martin Luther King, “, ‘, ” Trump, Jaime Harrison, MAGA, Trump’s, Karoline Leavitt, Biden, Harris, Joe Biden’s, Abhi Rahman Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democratic National Committee, DNC, NBC, Democratic, YouTube, Facebook, Trump, Ku Klux Klan, Republican National Convention, White, North Carolina, Quinnipiac University Locations: North Carolina, Trump, Ohio, Carolina, Greensboro

The fight over Wisconsin — considered a must-win for Harris as part of Democrats’ so-called blue wall — could tilt the election. Tim Walz has re-energized staff members in the state, a campaign official told NBC News. With more than 200 staffers statewide, the Harris campaign touts 48 offices across Wisconsin, including some in smaller, more rural areas that Trump won in 2020. But the Trump campaign is mounting its own effort in the state. An RNC official also said the Trump campaign and the Wisconsin GOP have more than 70 staff members and 40 offices across the state.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump —, Wisconsin —, ’, Tim Walz, Trump, Walz, Gwen Walz, Walz —, Dane County, Sen, JD Vance, it’s, “ Kamala Harris, ”, Anna Kelly, haven’t, doesn’t bode, ” Kelly Organizations: Trump, Quinnipiac University, Marist College, Wisconsin, Democratic, Minnesota Gov, NBC News, United Auto Workers, Teamsters, Superior, Convention, Republican National Committee, RNC, Wisconsin GOP, University of Wisconsin Locations: MADISON, Wis, Wisconsin, Harris, Quinnipiac’s, Marist’s, Midwest, Superior, Wisconsin’s, Minnesota, Duluth , Minnesota, Milwaukee, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Ohio, Eau Claire

Democrats’ stronger positionLet’s look first at the latest national polls. In Pennsylvania, recent surveys ranged from a tied race to a slight Harris lead inside the margin of error. The latest New York Times/Siena College poll: Harris 50%, Trump 46%, don’t know/refused 4%. And in Wisconsin, a slate of new, margin-of-error polls were slightly better for Harris than for Trump. With the poll results mostly inside the margin of error, the outcome of the 2024 race is far from clear.

Persons: they’ve, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, —, Biden, Quinnipiac, don’t Organizations: Fox, Fox News, Trump, Biden, New York Times, Siena College, — Trump, Quinnipiac University, Marist, Harris, Siena, The Washington Post, Quinnipiac, Democrats Locations: Pennsylvania, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Harris, Quinnipiac

"If he drops out of the race, it helps the state of North Carolina," added Jackson, who is running to be the state's next attorney general. Under state law, if Robinson were to end his campaign, the state executive committee of the North Carolina GOP would name his replacement. And in March, during a speech at the National Rifle Association conference, Trump called Robinson “Dr. And he got up and he’s doing fantastically well in North Carolina. And I think he’s going to be the next governor of North Carolina.”

Persons: Mark Robinson, Robinson, ”, ” Robinson, Josh Stein, Rep, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Jeff Jackson, Jackson, Izzi Levy, Donald Trump, “, ” Stein, Stein, Trump, Robison, Mark’s, He’s, ” Trump, Dr, Martin Luther King Organizations: Republican, CNN, NAZI, Democratic, Capitol, ”, Democratic Governors Association, Republican Governors Association, Republican National Convention, North Carolina Board, North, GOP, NBC News, Quinnipiac University, Republicans, National Rifle Association Locations: North Carolina, Georgia, D, Africa, Asheboro , North Carolina

☆ Fans of the Bachelor Could Decide the 2024 Presidential Election
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Andy Kiersz | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +17 min

Ben Higgins tried to parlay his Bachelor success into a political career, but the campaign didn't last long. The focus on Bachelor Nation also makes sense given the franchise's viewership is dominated by one of the most crucial swing votes of recent elections: white women. In the past two presidential elections, white women were the most closely split demographic subgroup tracked by major exit polls. In 2016, Donald Trump won over 52% of white women against Hillary Clinton's 43%, exit polls found, while Trump bested Joe Biden in 2020 among white women 55% to 44%. The overlap between the swingiest demographic and the "Bachelor" audience suggests Bachelor Nation has value to those who seek to lead our nation.

Persons: Ben Higgins, Charming, Higgins, He's, that's, Acierto, Young Sheldon, Joey Graziadei's, Graziadei, Doug Emhoff, Kamala Harris, Chad Kultgen, Lizzy Pace, Pace, Harris, Kultgen, Joey Graziadei, John Fleenor, Walz, Big, YouGov, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton's, Trump, Joe Biden, Hulu —, they're, Natasha Scott, Reichel, Rose, Scott, Claire Fallon —, —, Becca Kufrin's, Fallon, Emma Gray, Garrett Yrigoyen, Kufrin, Yrigoyen, — Colton Underwood, — Fallon, Matt James, Rachael Kirkconnell, James ', Chris Harrison, it's, Justine Kay, Charity Lawson —, Joe Biden's, he's, Juliana Kaplan, Andy Kiersz Organizations: Disney, ABC, NFL, Valentine's, White, Daily, Nation, Pew Research, Trump, Hulu, Girls, Bachelor Nation Locations: American, Colorado, America, Atlanta, Quinnipiac, Georgia, North Carolina, Hulu, Washington

GREENVILLE, N.C. — Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, said on Saturday that it would be “very hard” for the Trump campaign to win in November if it does not hold on to North Carolina, a state former President Donald Trump won narrowly in 2020. Vance was also in North Carolina on Tuesday for a fundraiser, and he joined Trump in the state in late August. Trump won North Carolina in 2020 with 49.9% of the vote, but President Joe Biden was close behind with 48.6%. A September Quinnipiac University poll conducted before Tuesday’s debate found that 49% of likely voters in North Carolina preferred Harris, while 46% preferred Trump. North Carolina Gov.

Persons: — Sen, JD Vance, Trump, Donald Trump, “, Vance, ” Vance, Kamala Harris ’, Joe Biden, Barack Obama, Sen, John McCain, Harris, Roy Cooper, ” Organizations: Pitt - Greenville Airport, Trump, North Carolina, Democratic, Quinnipiac University, Democrats, Electoral, Charlotte . North Carolina Gov, ABC News Locations: GREENVILLE, N.C, R, Ohio, North Carolina, Greensboro, Charlotte ., “, United States

Now, the Harris campaign says it’s seeing an unprecedented rush of volunteers in the state, especially young adults. “It’s certainly going to help the Harris campaign,” Dinan said, though he added just how much Swift moves the needle is an open question. “We care about the issues that every other person on the ballot is looking at.”Health care has been a huge issue for the Harris campaign, particularly in North Carolina. One of every 5 North Carolina residents is Black, and there is a growing number of Latino voters. “Republican leadership in North Carolina is tested and has proven to have a superior ground game,” he said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Barack Obama, There’s, Josh Stein, Mark Robinson, Harris, Donald Trump, ”, Dory MacMillan, Joe Biden, Biden, Carolinians, “, John Dinan, Taylor, “ It’s, ” Dinan, Swift, Anderson Clayton, “ Young, ” Clayton, Matt Mercer Organizations: Democratic, Republican, Gov, “ Voters, Quinnipiac University, Trump, Biden, Wake Forest University, General Services Administration, Democratic Party, Appalachian State University, University of North, Chapel Hill, MSNBC, Democrats, GOP Locations: GREENSBORO, N.C, —, North Carolina, Carolina, University of North Carolina, Black

☆ In purple North Carolina, Democrats hope to defeat a MAGA candidate for governor even as the presidential race remains close
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Arit John | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

CNN —Four years ago, North Carolina voters handed Democrats one of the party’s toughest losses and one of its most consequential wins. The race to succeed the term-limited Cooper, however, seems to be leaning toward the Democratic nominee, North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein. But North Carolina is still a purple state with a history of elections decided by razor-thin margins. Mike Stewart/APA ticket-splitting stateHistorically, North Carolina voters have favored ticket-splitting. “There’s no connection between the gubernatorial ticket and presidential ticket,” said North Carolina Republican strategist Paul Shumaker.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Roy Cooper, Kamala Harris, Harris, Cooper, Josh Stein, Stein, Mark Robinson’s, Sen, Thom Tillis, Pat McCrory, Robinson, ”, ” Jonathan Felts, “, ” Felts, Mike Stewart, Jimmy Carter, Barack Obama, McCrory, HB2, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Paul Shumaker, “ There’s, don’t, He’s, Mark Robinson, ” Robinson, Mike Lonergan, ” Stein, Morgan Hopkins, “ Martin Luther King, It’s, ” Trump, Susan Myers, ” Myers, “ Mark’s, Grant Baldwin, Anderson Clayton, “ He’s, Adam Stein –, Deloris Rhodes, she’s, ” Rhodes, Heather Horak, –, Obama, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Horak, wasn’t, he’s, ” CNN’s David Wright Organizations: CNN, North, Democratic Gov, Republican, Trump, Democratic, GOP, Democrats, Democrat, North Carolina Republican Council of State, Labor, Republicans, ” North Carolina, AP, North Carolina Republican, Quinnipiac, Fox, America, Democratic Governors Association, Republican Governors Association, “, ”, Getty, Dartmouth, Harvard University, Ivy League, Army Reserves, University of North, Greensboro City, Facebook, Wilmington Business, State Board of Education, Wilmington Locations: North Carolina, Charlotte, Greensboro, ”, Raleigh, McCrory’s, Asheville, Pink Hill , North Carolina, Charlotte , North Carolina, Chapel Hill, Carolina, University of North Carolina, Parkland , Florida, Wilmington

☆ How Harris may win back a critical group of voters who abandoned Biden
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

With Harris at the top of the ticket, Democrats now see a chance to refocus voters on the issue and restore their margins among the abortion rights voters who had notably drifted away from Biden. In both the 2020 and 2022 campaigns, voters who backed legal abortion provided overwhelming support to Biden and other Democratic candidates. Across all of those battleground states, Biden this year was performing well below that level with voters who support legal abortion, polls have found. Those abortion rights voters also split about evenly on whether Biden or Trump was better for the economy. “Many of them aren’t single issue abortion voters; they are worried about the economy and inflation, they are worried about immigration,” McLaughlin said.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, wasn’t, Donald Trump’s, Harris, Biden, ”, Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg, “ It’s, Dobbs, Charles Franklin, Tony Evers, Katie Hobbs, Josh Shapiro, Gretchen Whitmer, Whitmer, Shapiro, Franklin, Trump, Roe, Wade, “, Lake, Melissa Williams, ” Harris, Tresa Undem, ‘ what’s, –, Greenberg, ” Greenberg, —, John Della Volpe, Della Volpe, energize, Jason Cabel Roe, ” Trump, He’s, “ Donald Trump, Jim McLaughlin, McLaughlin, ” McLaughlin, Williams, JD Vance, ” Williams Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Edison Research, Democratic House, Democrats, Marquette Law School, SSRS, Quinnipiac University, Yahoo, Quinnipiac, Trump, Times, YouGov, Biden, Catholic, ” Voters, GOP, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, Republican Party, “, Republicans, White House Locations: The Marquette, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, London, Harris, Iowa, America, Trump

☆ Outlier Poll Results Are Inevitable. They’re Also Sometimes Right.
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

This afternoon’s New York Times/Siena College poll doesn’t look much like other polls. It finds Donald J. Trump ahead by six percentage points among registered voters and three points among likely voters nationally. You have to go back to a CNN/SSRS poll in April to find something showing him ahead by six points with registered voters. (A Quinnipiac poll today found Trump up by four among registered voters.) When a poll is considerably different from others, it’s often referred to as an outlier — as it falls outside the range of the other data.

Persons: Donald J, Trump Organizations: York Times, Siena, CNN, Quinnipiac

☆ How Media Outlets on the Left and Right Have Covered Fauci’s Book Tour
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Santul Nerkar | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the former government scientist, has been on something of a media spree in recent weeks, and liberal and conservative media outlets have used very different tones to cover his appearances. This month he also testified before Congress in a contentious hearing about the origins of the coronavirus. Progressive publications have praised Dr. Fauci, quoting extensively from his book and taking the opportunity to criticize Mr. Trump for his policies on Covid. Conservative outlets have largely ignored Dr. Fauci’s book and focused more on his testimony in Congress. They painted Dr. Fauci as a villain and falsely accused him of helping start the pandemic.

Persons: Anthony S, Fauci, “, Donald J, Mr, Trump, Fauci’s Organizations: National Institute of Allergy, Covid, Trump, Conservative, Quinnipiac University

☆ CNN debate stage set with Trump and Biden going head-to-head
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are set for a historic showdown, with the stage now set for CNN’s June 27 presidential debate. The showdown will make history as the first debate between a sitting president and a former president. ET on Thursday, with Biden and Trump meeting the constitutional, ballot qualification and polling thresholds set by the network. Biden and Trump were the only candidates to meet those requirements. Debate rulesThe debate will include two commercial breaks, according to the network, and campaign staff may not interact with their candidate during that time.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Jake Tapper, Dana Bash Organizations: CNN, CNN’s, Democratic, Republican, Biden, Trump, Federal, ABC News, CBS News, Fox News, Marquette University Law School, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, Siena College, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Quinnipiac University, The, Street, The Washington Post Locations: Atlanta

☆ Biden and Trump campaigns agreed to mic muting, podiums among rules for upcoming CNN debate
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —With less than two weeks until the first presidential debate of the 2024 election cycle, CNN has released additional details on the parameters agreed upon by the Trump and Biden campaigns. Both candidates agreed to appear at a uniform podium, and their podium positions will be determined by a coin flip. In order to meet CNN’s qualifications for the debate, candidates must satisfy the requirements outlined in Article II, Section 1 of the US Constitution to serve as president. Both Biden and Trump meet those requirements, as do Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West and Jill Stein, who are running on non-major-party tickets. Though not impossible in Kennedy’s case, it is less likely that candidates other than Biden and Trump will meet those requirements.

Persons: CNN’s Jake Tapper, Dana Bash, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, Jill Stein, Trump, Kennedy Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Federal, Commission, ABC News, CBS News, Fox News, Marquette University Law School, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, Siena College, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Quinnipiac University, The, Street, The Washington Post, Electoral Locations: Atlanta

☆ An unexpected generational realignment is scrambling the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —A truism of American politics is that older voters prefer the Republican and younger voters prefer the Democrat. In 2012, Republican Mitt Romney lost the election, but he did better than Democrat Barack Obama among voters 45 and older. Older voters are gravitating to Biden, and younger voters are taking a look at Trump. But older voters have gone in the opposite direction, and instead of favoring Trump, are nearly split in the Marist poll. Despite the shift of older voters in the direction of Biden (and younger voters away from him), I was surprised to see older voters still have reservations about Biden’s age.

Persons: Democrat Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, —, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Clinton, Republican Mitt Romney, Barack Obama, haven’t, George H.W, Bush, Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, Republican George W, gravitating, Biden, “ Joe isn’t, ”, Jill Biden, CNN’s Jeff Zeleny, Eric Bradner, Bradner, Linda Van, “, I’d, Ronald Brownstein Organizations: CNN, Democrat, Republican, Electoral, Voters, Trump, Marist, Quinnipiac University, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, ”

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