Or at least that was the expectation conveyed by pre-war US wargames that simulated a Russian invasion of Eastern Europe.
The think tank convened an internal workshop to assess why its wargames had so overestimated Russian military prowess.
Most of them examined a Russian invasion of the Baltic States (one also covered a Ukraine invasion), and how NATO might respond.
In those games, Russian forces were able to quickly overrun Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania before NATO could stop them.
A destroyed Russian tank is seen as Ukrainian serviceman rides a tractor and tows a Russian military vehicle near the village of Dolyna in Ukraine's Kharkiv region in September 2023.
Persons:
—, Putin basks, Gian Gentile, Gleb Garanich, Ukraine's, Gentile, RAND's, Michael Peck
Organizations:
NATO, RAND, Service, RAND Corp, Baltic States, Russian, US, REUTERS, Baltic, US Army, Defense, Foreign Policy, Twitter, LinkedIn
Locations:
Russia, Baltic, Kyiv, Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, Eastern Europe, Riga, Tallinn, Baltic States, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Baltics, Dolyna, Ukraine's Kharkiv, Forbes