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☆ The Fed shouldn't 'waste' rate cuts now and risk another inflation spike, 'Big Short' investor Steven Eisman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-05 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed shouldn't waste rate cuts right now and risk a resurgence of inflation, "Big Short" investor Steven Eisman said. AdvertisementThe US economy is healthy, which means the Fed shouldn't needlessly cut rates, "The Big Short" investor Steven Eisman said. AdvertisementBut Eisman thinks there's no need for the Fed to cut rates without a significant negative data point. GDP, jobs, and inflation data have all been strong in the past few months. The commercial real estate sector seems to be crumbling, but the office market crash at the center of those gyrations is not big enough to knock down the economy, Eisman said.

Persons: Steven Eisman, —, Powell, redoing Volcker, Eisman, Jerome Powell, Powell's hawkish, It's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Bank of America, Fed

"If we were to get a low CPI next week, yields can come down around that number and we may get some weakening in the dollar," Wizman said. The two-year Treasury yield, which reflects interest rate expectations, fell 0.2 basis points to 5.020%, while the benchmark 10-year yield was down 3.2 basis points at 4.598%. Traders would be keeping a close watch on interest rate volatility, said Schneller, noting major market fluctuations recently. "A primary cause for this volatility is the debate over whether the current Fed funds rate is overly high or insufficient." In currency markets, the dollar index rose 0.019% to 105.91, with the euro up 0.04% to $1.067.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Powell, Jerome Powell, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, Powell's, Bruno Schneller, Schneller, Tapas Strickland, Brent, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasignhe, Tomasz Janowski, Richard Chang Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Global, International Monetary Fund, Fed, FX, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, INVICO Asset Management, Reuters Graphics U.S, NAB, New, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Macquarie, New York, China, Beijing, New Zealand, London

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. "The comments yesterday were such that the theme of 'higher for longer' is more likely to manifest. So all eyes are focused on any other economic data or Fed comments that could give better feedback regarding the direction of both the economy and the markets going forward." Information technology (.SPLRCT), up 0.9% led sectoral gains, with nine out off 11 major S&P 500 sectors on the upside. The S&P 500 health sub-index (.SPXHC) fell 0.6%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Illumina, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Greg Bassuk, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, AXS Investments, Nvidia, Apple, Fed, Dow Jones, Unity Software, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Asia stocks slide as Powell comments quell rate peak bets
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The sombre mood is set to continue as Europe wakes up, with futures indicating a steeply lower open. Eurostoxx 50 futures were down 0.73%, German DAX futures dropped 0.66% and FTSE futures were 0.78% lower. The Fed is "committed to ... monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation down to 2% over time," Powell said at an International Monetary Fund event. U.S. rate futures have priced in about 60% chance of a rate cut at the Fed's June 2024 meeting, according to the CME's FedWatch tool, compared to odds of about 70% before Powell's speech. The oil market has been reeling this week on demand concerns, with a fading war-risk premium triggering a sell-off.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Powell, Jerome Powell, DAX, Rob Carnell, Powell's, ING's Carnell, there's, Hong, Tapas Strickland, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Tom Hogue Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Fed, . Federal, International Monetary Fund, ING, Investors, Reuters, Nasdaq, NAB, New, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, EUROPE, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Europe, Beijing, New Zealand, Singapore

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 10 (Reuters) - A hawkish lean from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell chilled a recent rebound in stocks and bonds, with some investors suggesting the central bank was pushing back against loosening financial conditions. Some investors said Powell may have been leaning against a recent loosening of financial conditions that has come as yields have tumbled in recent weeks. Evidence of the dynamic between yields and financial conditions - factors that reflect the availability of funding in an economy - was on display in last week's 0.5% decline in the Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index, its sixth-biggest weekly drop since 1990. "If their concept is to have tighter financial conditions, they can’t really let those yields go down. "The rally of the markets both in equity and fixed income unwound the financial conditions tightening to a large degree," Desai said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Charlie Ripley, Powell …, Spencer Hakimian, Sonal Desai, Franklin, Desai, Vassili Serebriakov, Jeffrey Roach, Davide Barbuscia, David Randall, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Karen Brettell, Ira Iosebashvili, Sam Holmes Organizations: Economic, of New, REUTERS, International Monetary Fund, Treasury, Allianz Investment Management, Goldman, Tolou Capital Management, UBS, Investors, LPL Financial, Thomson Locations: of New York, New York City, U.S, New York

Spot gold dipped 1.1% to $1,936.09 per ounce by 2:38 p.m. ET (1938 GMT) and was down 2.8% in its worst week in six. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and the dollar index (.DXY) headed for weekly gains, making non-yielding gold less attractive for investors. Platinum shed 2% to $842.34, on track for its worst week since mid-2021. Reporting by Ashitha Shivaprasad and Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Tasim Zahid and Shilpi MajumdarOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Fawad, Bullion, Jim Wyckoff, Ashitha Shivaprasad, Anushree Mukherjee, Tasim Zahid, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: Federal, Index, Reuters Graphics U.S, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Kitco Metals, Thomson Locations: East, India, Bengaluru

☆ Futures mixed after Powell's hawkish tone; more data awaited
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) snapped their longest winning streak in two years in the previous session. ET, Dow e-minis were up 53 points, or 0.16%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 0.25 points, or 0.01%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 29.5 points, or 0.19%. The University of Michigan is set to issue a preliminary reading on its consumer sentiment index for November at 10 a.m. Illumina (ILMN.O) shares dropped 11.2% as the gene-testing company trimmed its full-year profit forecast for the second straight quarter.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Joshua Mahony, Mahony, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Treasury, Dow e, Fed, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. Uncertainty around the trajectory for interest rates, including a potential hike by year-end and expectations for fewer cuts next year, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to a 16-year high, hurting growth stocks. ET, Dow e-minis were down 13 points, or 0.04%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 1.75 points, or 0.04%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 11 points, or 0.07%. HP Inc (HPQ.N) dipped 2.7% after Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N) sold nearly 4.8 million shares of the PC maker. Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun Koyyur and Maju SamuelOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Berkshire Hathaway, Jerome Powell, dampening, Raffi Boyadjian, Walt Disney, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Jefferies, JD.com, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies Media, Nike, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Investors, Traders, XM, Dow e, Media, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Netflix, HP Inc, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Berkshire, Bengaluru

☆ Dollar soft as markets brace for data fest; yen under pressure
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar index , which measures U.S. currency against six key rivals, eased 0.077% at 103.85, after slipping 0.2% on Monday. The index is up 2% this month as resilient economic data bolstered expectations that interest rates may stay higher for longer. The yen inched up 0.12% to 146.36 per dollar in Asian hours but remained close 146.75, its lowest level since Nov.9. Japan intervened in currency markets last September when the dollar rose past 145 yen, prompting the Ministry of Finance (MOF) to buy the yen and push the pair back to around 140 yen. The Australian dollar added 0.03% to $0.643, while the New Zealand dollar eased 0.02% to $0.591.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, CBA's Kong, Jackson, Chanana, Ueda, Sterling, Ankur Banerjee, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Ministry of Finance, United, Saxo, Jackson, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Japan, United States, Tokyo, Singapore

☆ Dollar soft as markets brace for data fest, yen under pressure
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar index , which measures U.S. currency against six key rivals, eased 0.077% at 103.85, after slipping 0.2% on Monday. The index is up 2% this month as resilient economic data bolstered expectations that interest rates may stay higher for longer. The yen inched up 0.12% to 146.36 per dollar in Asian hours but remained close 146.75, its lowest level since Nov. 9. Japan intervened in currency markets last September when the dollar rose past 145 yen, prompting the Ministry of Finance to buy the yen and push the pair back to around 140 yen. The Australian dollar added 0.03% to $0.643, while the New Zealand dollar eased 0.02% to $0.591.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Carol Kong, CBA's Kong, Jackson, Chanana, Ueda, Sterling Organizations: U.S, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Ministry of Finance, United, Saxo, Jackson, New Zealand Locations: Nantong, China's, Jiangsu, Japan, United States

☆ Gold holds ground as markets gauge U.S. rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices firmed on Monday despite U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish stance on interest rates as markets sought direction from economic data this week for confirmation on the rate trajectory. Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,916.19 per ounce by 0354 GMT, U.S. gold futures gained 0.2% to $1,943.90. "However, much still awaits on a sustained recovery in gold prices for now, given that concerns of re-accelerating inflation on U.S. economic resilience are translating into mounting bets of a November rate hike." A series of economic data this week, with the U.S. non-farm payroll report on Friday will likely to provide a sharper focus on the economy's strength.

Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jun Rong, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank Loretta Mester Organizations: Aurum, U.S, Federal, IG, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, U.S . Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors await Powell’s Jackson Hole speech: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. stock futures were flat Thursday night as Wall Street looked toward Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech on Friday morning. However, the markets turned negative for the day as investors grew more cautious ahead of Powell's remarks. Despite Thursday's declines, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are holding on to weekly gains of 0.2% and 1.3%, respectively. The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in Wyoming brings together central bankers and key financial officials from across the world. During last year's gathering, stocks fell following Powell's hawkish speech.

Persons: Jerome Powell's Jackson, Powell's, Dow, Powell, Zachary Hill, Jackson, Hill Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Jackson, Horizon Investments Locations: Wyoming

Bank of New York Mellon (BK.N) and Charles Schwab (SCHW.N) rose 1.1% and 2.0%, respectively. The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) gained 2.5%, while the KBW Regional Banking index (.KRX) climbed 1.8%. Six of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors rose, as gains in financials (.SPSY) and energy (.SPNY) helped offset losses in utilities (.SPLRCU) and consumer staples (.SPLRCS). The S&P index recorded 11 new 52-week highs and two new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 30 new highs and 29 new lows. Reporting by Sruthi Shankar and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Charles Schwab, Thomas Hayes, Jerome Powell, Powell's, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Shinjini Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Bank of New York Mellon, Great, Reuters, Dow Jones, Micron Technology, Occidental Petroleum, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: KBW, Great Hill, financials, Bengaluru

☆ Gold hovers near mid-March low on dollar strength, hawkish Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Gold prices lingered near a Mid-March low on Thursday, dragged down by a stronger dollar and hawkish comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,906.17 per ounce, near a mid-March low hit on Wednesday. Powell's hawkish remarks reinforced interest rates going higher for longer, with a higher opportunity cost of holding gold dimming the appeal of gold, said OCBC FX strategist Christopher Wong. Powell suggested another two rate hikes to the Fed funds target rate were likely, and he did not see inflation abating to the 2% target until 2025. Asian shares were subdued on the premise of higher interest rates, while the Japanese yen and the Chinese yuan struggled to lift from lows amid fears of official intervention.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Wong, Powell Organizations: Aurum, U.S . Federal, Reuters Locations: Munich, U.S, .

☆ How stocks reacted to Fed chief's comments and why Nvidia trimmed most of its losses
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Powell hints at future rate increases Strong demand outweighs potential AI crackdown Look out for the Fed's stress tests 1. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Powell, Jerome Powell's hawkish, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Nvidia, Devices, Club, AMD Locations: Portugal, China

June 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes rebounded on Tuesday from a recent losing streak as upbeat economic data soothed investor worries about an imminent recession triggered by the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes. While the economic data was encouraging, Rhys Williams, chief strategist at Spouting Rock Asset Management, said the market also rose on seasonal factors. "You'd a bad week in the stock market last week and a bad day on Monday. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 49.25 points, or 1.14%, to end at 4,378.07 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 219.71 points, or 1.65%, to 13,555.49. Signs of U.S. economic resilience also boosted the Dow Transports index (.DJT) and small-cap Russell 2000 index (.RUT).

Persons: Rhys Williams, It's, Williams, Russell, Jerome Powell's, hawkish, Dow, Sinéad Carew, Sruthi Shankar, Johann M, Terence Gabriel, Shinjini Ganguli, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal, Management, Dow, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow Transports, Traders, bps, European Central Bank, Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Tesla Inc, Nvidia Corp, Inc, Citigroup, Nvidia, Walgreens Boots Alliance, CVS Health Corp, Rite Aid Corp, Lordstown Motors Corp, U.S, Thomson Locations: Sintra , Portugal, U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Gold prices steady on softer dollar, focus on economic cues
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-27 | by ( Arundhati Sarkar | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Spot gold held its ground at $1,923.09 per ounce by 1200 GMT while U.S. gold futures edged down 0.1% to $1,932.90. The dollar index (.DXY) eased slightly, making dollar-priced bullion more attractive for overseas buyers. Meanwhile, Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke said that high interest rates are offering other alternatives than gold to safe-haven seekers. Spot silver rose 0.5% to $22.88 an ounce and was on track for a third straight session of gains. Reporting by Arundhati Sarkar and Seher Dareen in Bengaluru Editing by Christina Fincher, David Goodman and Louise HeavensOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Han Tan, Jerome Powell's, Julius Baer, Carsten Menke, Arundhati Sarkar, Seher, Christina Fincher, David Goodman, Louise Heavens Organizations: Federal, Fed, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: U.S, United States, Sintra, Bengaluru

Appearing before the Senate Banking Committee, Powell reiterated his view that more rate hikes are likely in the months ahead. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he remains unconvinced that inflation is on a steady path downward, but would not prejudge what the Fed should do at its July 25-26 meeting. Investors will also monitor comments from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Cleveland Fed's President Loretta Mester. ET, Dow e-minis were down 109 points, or 0.32%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 22 points, or 0.5%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 101.75 points, or 0.67%. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Matt Britzman, Hargreaves Lansdown, Tom Barkin, Louis, James Bullard, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Banking, Richmond Fed, Deutsche Bank, Louis Fed, Atlanta Fed, Cleveland, Dow e, 3M, Carmax Inc, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

Financial markets, however, are still pricing in a 25-basis-point rate increase in July and no further hikes after that, according to CME FedWatch tool. Ahead of his second day of testimony before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee at 10 a.m. Shares of Tesla (TSLA.O) slid 3% before the bell after Morgan Stanley downgraded the electric automaker to "equal weight" from "overweight". ET, Dow e-minis were down 114 points, or 0.33%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 13.75 points, or 0.31%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 61 points, or 0.41%. Reporting by Shubham Batra and Shristi Achar A in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Shubham Batra, Shristi, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, U.S . Senate, Tesla, Dow e, Microsoft, Boeing, Accenture, Darden, Olive Garden, Thomson Locations: Washington, Wichita , Kansas, Bengaluru

☆ The Fed is not backing down on its inflation target, says Cerity Partners' Jim Lebenthal
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is not backing down on its inflation target, says Cerity Partners' Jim LebenthalJosh Brown, Bryn Talkington, Bill Baruch, and Jim Lebenthal join 'Halftime Report' to discuss where the market is heading, Powell's hawkish testimony on inflation, and price action in the Russell 2000.

Persons: Cerity, Jim Lebenthal Josh Brown, Bryn Talkington, Bill Baruch, Jim Lebenthal, Powell's, Russell

Powell's comments did little to sway investors in futures markets tied to the Fed’s policy rate, which on Wednesday reflected bets for only one additional rate increase this year, followed by cuts in January. An inverted yield curve occurs when yields on shorter-dated Treasuries rise above those for longer-term ones. It suggests that while investors expect interest rates to rise in the near term, they believe higher borrowing costs will eventually hurt the economy, forcing the Fed to later ease monetary policy. "With a steeply inverted curve we see a lot of yield and a lot of attractive opportunities in the front end," said Steve Hooker, portfolio manager of Newfleet Asset Management. Greg Peters, co-chief investment officer of PGIM Fixed Income, said inflation remained way too high to anticipate rate cuts any time soon.

Persons: Jerome Powell hasn't, Powell, Powell's, Roger Hallam, Steve Hooker, ” Hooker, Greg Peters, We're, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Leslie Adler Organizations: YORK, Federal, Fed, Vanguard, Silicon Valley Bank, Commonwealth Financial Network, Newfleet Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Silicon, U.S

☆ Stocks fall as Powell says inflation fight not over
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

While noting that inflation remains very far from the Fed's target, Powell said it may make sense to move rates higher, at a more moderate pace. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.50% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.37%. The Fed is "walking a tight rope between trying to tell people they are going to fight inflation as their No. The U.S. dollar index briefly rose following the release of Powell's testimony, but was last down slightly. The dollar index fell 0.458%, with the euro up 0.67% to $1.0989.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Rick Meckler, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Medha Singh, Lawrence White, Wayne Cole, Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln, Alex Richardson, David Goodman, Richard Chang, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Capitol, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Cherry Lane Investments, U.S . West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New Vernon , New Jersey

☆ Stocks fall, yields up; Powell says inflation fight not over
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 30, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidSummary U.S. stocks mostly lowerTreasury yields risePowell updates on U.S. rate outlook in testimonyNEW YORK, June 21 (Reuters) - Global stock indexes mostly fell and Treasury yields rose on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the fight to lower inflation still has a "long way" to go. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.47% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.35%. The U.S. dollar index initially rose following the release of Powell's testimony, but was last down slightly. Treasury yields rose on Powell's hawkish tone.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell, Rick Meckler, Brent, Medha Singh, Lawrence White, Wayne Cole, Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln, Alex Richardson, David Goodman, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Financial Services, Cherry Lane Investments, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New Vernon , New Jersey

☆ Silicon Valley Bank and inflation complicate the Fed’s next move
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-15 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Everyday now we've been talking about Silicon Valley Bank — SVB — and I've had to catch myself several times from saying SBF — Sam Bankman-Fried — the guy behind the other big financial collapse in recent months. A) No rate hike at allB) 25 basis pointsC) 50 basis pointsTweet me (@philrosenn) or email me (prosen@insider.com) to let me know. Bank stocks are rising again as nerves calm — though SVB-driven fears are still niggling. Bank of America picked out a batch of financial stocks that offer upside right now amid the chaos. The token soared 15% as the February CPI print fueled more speculation for a smaller rate hike.

☆ The bond market's recession warning has gotten more urgent
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Patti Domm | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The bond market is sending a more urgent recession warning and also signaling that the Federal Reserve may have to pause raising interest rates — giving up its fight against inflation. The sharp move in the 2-year yield also resulted in a rapid steepening of the yield curve. "The steepening always starts to happen because the market expects the Fed to cut rates in response to that recession." DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach also said the "aggressively steepening" of the Treasury yield curve after inversion is "highly suggestive of imminent recession." The 2-year yield jumped above 5% after he spoke.

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