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French Prime Minister Michel Barnier (C) ahead of his general policy statement to the French National Assembly in Paris on October 1, 2024. The budget is being widely previewed as an "austerity" budget that will see the government of new Prime Minister Michel Barnier present tax-hiking and cost-cutting measures that could rile opposition parties on both the left and right, and even the centrists that put him in power. In sum, Barnier's government is a fragile one and vulnerable to predatory challenges from the left and right of the political spectrum. But such a large dose of austerity may make even 1.1% growth difficult to achieve," he said in emailed analysis. "Finally, even if the budget is passed and does not dent economic growth too much, France's fiscal position would still be precarious.
Persons: Michel Barnier, Alain Jocard, Barnier, Antoine Armand, France's, , La France Insoumise, Remon Haazen, Emmanuel Macron, Macron, Andrew Kenningham, Kenningham, Marine Le Pen, Carsten Nickel, Nickel, Tom Weller, voigt, Benoit Tessier Organizations: French, French National Assembly, EU, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Finance, European Commission, Republique, La, Populaire, Capital Economics, Republicans, Stade de France, Olympic Games Locations: Paris, France, La France, Europe, French
France's challenges are far from over, however, with the country facing acute fiscal challenges and an ongoing threat posed by the far-right National Rally opposition, led by Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen. France this week asked the Commission to extend its deadline of Sept. 20 to submit debt reduction proposals. Analysts say Barnier's political survival therefore "depends on the whims and personal-political calculations of Le Pen." "The great unknown ... is how far Le Pen will be willing to address the most immediate crisis facing Barnier and the country: the painful choices needed to prevent France from plunging into a destructive fiscal crisis by the end of this year," he said. Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella at the final rally before the June 9 European Parliament election, held at Le Dôme de Paris - Palais des Sports, on June 2, 2024.
Persons: La France Insoumise, Remon Haazen, Emmanuel Macron's, Michel Barnier, Jordan Bardella, Pen, Barnier's, Gabriel Attal, Sarah Meyssonnier, Reuters Barnier's, Macron —, Le, Mujtaba Rahman, France's, Eurasia Group's Rahman, Le Pen's Organizations: Republique, La, Getty, Getty Images, Veteran, National Assembly, European, France's, Reuters, New, National, Eurasia Group, Le, Palais des Sports, Nurphoto Locations: La France, Paris, France, Europe, Eurasia
Left-wing and centrist parties in France are scrambling to block the rival National Rally from winning the ongoing parliamentary election, according to analysts, after support for the far-right faction surged in the first electoral round on Sunday. Figures posted on Monday morning by the French Interior Ministry showed that the far-right National Rally (RN) and its allies had secured a combined 33.1% of votes, while the left-wing New Popular Front (NFP) alliance won 28% and French President Emmanual Macron's centrist Together bloc garnered 20%. The outcome of the first round of the election has led to discussions from left-wing and centrist politicians about how to minimize the amount of parliamentary seats secured by the RN in the second round of voting on July 7. "Our objective is clear: to prevent the National Rally from having an absolute majority in the second round, from dominating the National Assembly and from governing the country with the disastrous project that it has," French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, a Macron ally, wrote on social media platform X late on Sunday according to a CNBC translation. "I say it with the force that the moment demands to each of our voters: not a single vote must go to the National Rally," he added.
Persons: Danielle Simonnet, NUPES, LFI, Celine Verzeletti, Jean Luc Melenchon, Emmanual, Gabriel Attal Organizations: La France, National Rally, French Interior Ministry, Front, National Assembly, CNBC, National Locations: Paris, France
France's parliamentary election has already rattled investors as the country's risk premium rises — but two possible scenarios have still not been priced in by markets and could impact stocks in the wider European region, according to Citi. "However, the market is not priced in for far-right or far-left majority," Manthey said. "The outcome is still quite unclear, we only have polling for the first round of the election. "Let's put the announcement of the election in the context of the positioning of the investors. If the French election outcome "is very market unfriendly ... markets in Europe are quite correlated.
Persons: Beata Manthey, CNBC's, Manthey, Emmanuel Macron's, Let's, we've Organizations: Citi, CAC Locations: Sunday's, Europe, U.S
Poster of Christophe Versini for the Rassemblement National (National Rally) party, with Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella on it, on June 24, 2024. Recent polling suggests the far-right Rassemblement National (RN, or National Rally) party, led by Jordan Bardella, could win the most seats in the National Assembly, followed by the left-wing alliance Nouveau Front Populaire (NFP, or New Popular Front). French bond yields — which move inversely to prices — have been relatively contained. Even then, he added, the spread of French bond yields over their German counterparts looked set to remain higher than before Macron called the election. There is little concern over France enacting its own "Frexit," he said, with even National Rally having moved away from actively proposing leaving the euro area or the European Union.
Persons: Christophe Versini, Jordan Bardella, Magali Cohen, Emmanuel Macron, Sunday's, Giorgia Meloni, Viraj Patel, Patel, Liz, Truss, Andrew Kenningham, Macron, Kenningham, François Mitterrand, Christian Keller, CNBC's, Keller Organizations: Rassemblement National, Afp, Getty, National Assembly, Societe Generale, BNP, Vanda Research, Capital Economics, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Barclays, European Union Locations: Germany, Italy, Europe, France, Britain
For Crémer, the fastest solo woman to complete the around-the-world Vendée Globe race, assuming such a role was never part of the plan. “I had made that promise to myself during the previous Vendée Globe that I wanted to be back.”Return to sailingA lifeline was quick to arrive. On Thursday, Thomson announced that Crémer would skipper the team in its bid to qualify for next year’s Vendée Globe. Thomson celebrates finishing second at the Vendée Globe in January 2017, a few hours after French sailor Armel Le Cléac'h. The next Vendée Globe, which takes place between November 2024 and March 2025, will be the 10th edition of the race.
LONDON, April 19 (Reuters) - French sailor Clarisse Cremer, who lost her sponsorship only months after the birth of her daughter, is back on course for the 2024 Vendee Globe, with Britain's Alex Thomson and a new partner on board. The 24,000 mile Vendee, known as the Everest of sailing, is one of the few top sporting events where women compete with men. Thomson, 49, whose best result in the French-dominated race was second, said L'OCCITANE had proved a "saviour" and would help to make sailing more equitable. Cremer said she was looking forward to sailing with Thomson for the first time on her newly-acquired boat, which finished second in the Vendee in 2021 and which Thomson said had cost "a little under" 5 million euros ($5.5 million). ($1 = 0.9132 euros)Reporting by Alexander Smith; Editing by Christian RadnedgeOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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