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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPlurimi Wealth: Still comfortable with the multiples on the mega-cap namesPatrick Armstrong, CIO of Plurimi Wealth, says you have to own the big cap tech companies as their growth is just incredible even as their multiples are at lofty levels.
Persons: Patrick Armstrong Organizations: Plurimi
Passersby are reflected on an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan April 18, 2023. "They almost certainly have to hike again this year because today's inflation data shows there's still more work to do." INFLATION WATCHGovernment bond yields in the euro zone rose broadly after inflation data suggested the ECB may still have to hike rates again. Germany's two-year bond yields rose 7 bps to 3.09% . Spanish inflation rose 2.6% in August, as economists polled by Reuters had expected.
Persons: Issei Kato, Patrick Armstrong, there's, SEB, Elisabet Kopelman, Jerome Powell's, Naomi Rovnick, Shashwat Chauhan, Mark Potter, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, European Central Bank, ECB, Nasdaq, Wall, SEB Group, Fed, Reuters, Bank's, U.S, Treasury, Brent, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Spain, North Rhine Westphalia, Germany's, United States, Gulf, Mexico, Bengaluru
Investors should focus on trading momentum rather than worry too much about lofty valuations in Big Tech stocks, according to chief investment officer Patrick Armstrong. "I've kept the mega-cap tech stocks that have really been the driver of returns for my portfolio and for the market," Armstrong told CNBC's Squawk Box Europe Monday. Yet Big Tech valuations have pushed the index's forward average price-to-earings ratio to 21 times, its highest level since 2004, barring a brief period in 2018 and 2021, according to FactSet data. Despite his discomfort about these steep valuations, Armstrong said he's not selling yet for two reasons. Armstrong added that if the economy slips into a recession, the recent tech rally could become a period of stagnation, with Big Tech stocks treading water as they attempt to grow into their lofty valuations.
Persons: Patrick Armstrong, Armstrong, I've, CNBC's, It's, he's, you've Organizations: Global Equity Strategy, Big Tech, Tech, Microsoft, Apple, Adobe, Investors Locations: Big Tech
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech sector could be overvalued, but I'm not selling: Investment chiefThe near-15% rally in the S&P 500 led by the tech sector could have gone to far, according to Patrick Armstrong, chief investment officer of Plurimi Wealth. Yet the fund manager isn't selling his Big Tech positions. Armstrong, who manages funds including the Plurimi AI Global Equity Strategy, revealed how he's trading the mega-valuations and the stocks to buy.
Persons: Patrick Armstrong, isn't, Armstrong Organizations: Email Tech, Investment, Big Tech, Global Equity
Brendan McDermid | ReutersThe market has long been pricing in interest rate cuts from major central banks toward the end of 2023, but sticky core inflation, tight labor markets and a surprisingly resilient global economy are leading some economists to reassess. Economic resilience and persistent labor market tightness could exert upward pressure on wages and inflation, which is in danger of becoming entrenched. The Bank of England The U.K. faces a much tougher inflation challenge than the U.S. and the euro zone, and the U.K. consumer price inflation rate fell by less than expected in April. Meanwhile core inflation jumped to 6.8% from 6.2% in March, which will be of greater concern to the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee. Risk management considerations will, we think, force the MPC to push rates higher and further than previously intended."
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAsset manager explains why he's shorting commercial property stocksPatrick Armstrong, chief investment officer at Plurimi, believes commercial property stocks are valued too high right now, in a trend also seen at private equity companies.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSignificant chance there won't be any Fed cuts this year despite market's certainty, CIO saysPatrick Armstong, chief investment officer at Plurimi Group, discusses his positioning on the U.S. economy and the federal funds rate.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBanks now incredibly cheap, but see no massive upside amid low growth, argues CIOPatrick Armstrong, chief investment officer at Plurimi Wealth LLP, discusses the latest in the SVB fallout, and where the Fed and investors alike could go from here.
SummarySummary Companies Bunzl, Associated British Foods up after resultsRolls-Royce top of FTSE 100 after price target raiseFTSE 100 up 0.8%, FTSE 250 adds 0.4%Feb 27 (Reuters) - The UK's FTSE 100 rose on Monday after upbeat earnings reports from Associated British Foods and Bunzl helped pull the index up from last week's battering on worries about high U.S. interest rates. The blue-chip FTSE 100 (.FTSE) rose 0.8%, after recording its worst weekly performance so far this year as hotter-than-expected U.S. consumer spending data on Friday sparked a selloff on both sides of the Atlantic. Primark owner Associated British Foods (ABF.L) climbed 1.3% after raising its outlook for the full year 2022-23 for the clothing retailer. The FTSE 100 has had a stellar start to the year so far, rising 6.4% as strong earnings and a steady rise in commodity prices helped the index outperform major global peers, outweighing a gloomy economic outlook. The more domestically-inclined FTSE 250 midcap index (.FTMC) rose 0.4%, with a near 16% slump in shares of Dechra Pharmaceuticals(DPH.L) capping gains.
SummarySummary Companies FTSE 100 hits record high, trading above 8,000 pointsCentrica, StanChart, Relx jump on upbeat resultsVodafone rises on report of looking at options for Africa unitFTSE 100 up 0.3%, FTSE 250 adds 0.4%Feb 16 (Reuters) - UK's FTSE 100 rose to a record high on Thursday, underpinned by corporate earnings from Centrica and Standard Chartered, while higher commodity prices drove up heavyweight miners. The blue-chip FTSE 100 (.FTSE) gained 0.3%, trading comfortably above the 8,000-point mark it had breached in the previous session. The exporter-heavy FTSE has had a stellar start to the year as positive corporate earnings and rising commodity prices supported the index. Shares of Centrica (CNA.L) jumped to top the FTSE 100, adding 4.2%, after the British gas owner's annual profit more than tripled and as it announced an extension of its share buyback programme. Standard Chartered (STAN.L) rose 1.8% after the lender reported a 28% rise in annual pretax profit and unveiled a $1 billion share buyback programme.
Prior to that, the U.S. saw a four consecutive three-quarter point hikes — the most aggressive policy decisions since the early 1980s. Fed officials and economists expect rates to stay high next year, with reductions unlikely until 2024. But that doesn't mean the Fed will remain the primary driver of the markets. "Next year I think it's not going to be the Fed determining the market. It was hard to expect a return above inflation where yields were."
SummarySummary Companies FTSE 100 eyes worst day in two weeksFalling crude drags oil giants lowerFTSE 100 down 0.4%, FTSE 250 off 0.3%Dec 29 (Reuters) - UK's FTSE 100 fell on Thursday, with energy and consumer stocks leading declines, as optimism over China's reopening fizzled out in the face of surging COVID-19 cases in the world's second largest economy. The blue-chip index (.FTSE), down 0.4%, will post its biggest single day drop in two weeks if losses hold. Commodity prices broadly fell as surging COVID cases in China dimmed hopes of a recovery in fuel demand for the world's largest crude oil importer even as it began dismantling strict COVID curbs. Oil majors BP (BP.L) and Shell (SHEL.L) lost 1.2% and 0.8%, respectively, on Thursday as crude prices fell more than 2%. Consumer stocks such Unilever (ULVR.L) and British American Tobacco (BATS.L) weighed on the FTSE 100, slipping nearly 1%.
Tech stocks have endured a brutal year so far, but asset manager Patrick Armstrong believes investor interest in Big Tech could reignite next year. "I do think Alphabet and Apple are [going to retain] their dominant market shares. Tech stocks have borne the brunt of this carnage, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite down around 30% this year. Tech stocks have pared some losses since hitting their lows, but investor confidence in the sector remains shaky amid several bouts of bear market rallies that fizzled out quickly. 'Everyone wants to own' Big Tech "Going into year-end, I think Big Tech as a whole is going to see investors allocating to it.
Shares of mass market retailers will fall as profit margins are squeezed, and consumers curtail spending next year, according to Plurimi Wealth's chief investment officer. Selling shares "short" means borrowing shares through a broker to sell them immediately with a plan to repurchase them when the price is lower. In such an environment, mass market retailers that benefit from discretionary spending will see their revenues decline. While investors are split over the health of the American consumer, European shoppers are mostly expected to curtail their spending habits next year. Elsewhere in Europe, economists are also expecting a recession for the first half of next year that will impact discretionary spending.
The U.K. commercial property sector has become a "toxic environment" for investors, according to Plurimi Wealth's chief investment officer. Shares of British Land and Land Securities have fallen by 23.1% and 18.5% this year, respectively. With U.K. government bonds offering a yield of about 3%, commercial property valuations have fallen to compensate for a rise in yields above sovereign gilts. British Land now offers a yield of 7.1%, a full percentage point above its long-term average, according to UBS. The investment bank suggests that with every 0.5 to 1 percentage point rise in yield, values fall by 15-20%.
"Consumers are going to have their purse strings pulled by utility bills, higher mortgage costs, higher petrol prices, and there's going to be margin squeeze." He said wage pressure and higher commodity prices were particularly challenging and could eat into companies' margins. Luxury Luxury stocks are another favorite for Armstrong. Moreover, the "massive" profit margins of luxury companies are also insulated from increases in input prices, he added. Within the space, Armstrong's fund owns French luxury goods companies LVMH and Hermes , given their "defendable margins" and the ability to be price setters.
As investors continue to navigate a slew of market risks, join CNBC's next Pro Talks for insights on how to come out on top. Armstrong manages funds including the Plurimi AI Global Equity Strategy. Watch the Pro Talks on Wednesday, Nov. 23 at 8 p.m. Singapore time/12 p.m. London time/7 a.m. Learn more from our previous Pro Talks: Fund manager names 3 recession-proof stocks and reveals how to rescue your portfolio if underwater Tech stocks are tumbling but one fund manager still loves Microsoft. Watch the Pro Talks on Wednesday, Nov. 23 at 8 p.m. Singapore time/12 p.m. London time/7 a.m.
Instant View: UK finance minister Jeremy Hunt outlines budget
  + stars: | 2022-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Much of Hunt's budget had been widely expected, meaning markets offered a muted reaction. Sterling fell against the dollar, while UK government bond prices also eased, but remained clear of the day's lows. FOREX: Sterling fell 0.9% against the dollar to $1.1809 from $1.1845 prior to the budget. MARCUS BROOKES, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER AT QUILTER INVESTORS, LONDON:"Today’s Autumn Statement has painted a bleak picture for the UK... Markets originally reacted well to the steady hand of Jeremy Hunt. SIMON HARVEY, HEAD OF FX ANALYSIS, MONEX EUROPE, LONDON:"The austerity’s going to be welcome (to the Bank of England) purely because there’s going to be less support for UK consumers.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) rose 1.5% in premarket trading after the healthcare conglomerate beat Wall Street expectations for third-quarter sales, helped by strong demand for its cancer drug Darzalex and Crohn's disease drug Stelara. read moreGoldman Sachs Group Inc (GS.N) gained 0.9%, while Netflix (NFLX.O) added 1.6% ahead of earnings later in the day. read moreThe reversal of parts of a controversial UK fiscal plan that had roiled bond markets also aided sentiment. read more"Initial Q3 company reports have been positive, and you've had some stabilization in the United Kingdom with its government. ET, Dow e-minis were up 340 points, or 1.12%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 50.25 points, or 1.36%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 179.75 points, or 1.62%.
The region-wide STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) was up 0.3%, extending gains for a third straight session. European equities have suffered losses in the recent weeks as investors fret about the prospects of a recession from aggressive central bank actions to tame inflation. Most STOXX 600 sectors were trading up, with energy stocks (.SXEP) up 0.6% as oil prices rose driven by hopes of better demand from China. The bank has agreed to pay $495 million to settle a case brought against it in the United States. read moreNel (NEL.OL) rose 7.3% after the Norwegian hydrogen company received a NOK 600 million ($56.4 million) order from Woodside Energy (WDS.AX) for a U.S. hydrogen project.
The iPhone 14, iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max are displayed at the Apple Fifth Avenue store, in Manhattan, New York City U.S. September 16, 2022. Analysts said iPhone 14's Pro and Pro Max versions were selling at a brisk pace, although demand for the base model, typically Apple's best seller, was underwhelming. Apart from satellite connectivity and crash detection features, the iPhone 14 model looks and feels similar to its previous iteration, although it sells for $100 more at $799 for the base version. Prospective iPhone 14 buyers may opt for iPhone 13, given the hefty discount on the older model, said Abhilash Kumar of data research firm Strategy Analytics. Shares of Apple suppliers Qualcomm (QCOM.O), Taiwan Semiconductor , STMicroelectronics , Infineon (IFXGn.DE) and ASML (ASML.AS) were also trading lower on the news.
read more read moreAmong the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes, technology (.SPLRCT) was the sole decliner, down 1.2%. read moreEli Lilly & Co , which is also developing an Alzheimer's drug, rose 7.7% and was the biggest boost to the S&P 500 index. In the previous session, Wall Street's main indexes sank deeper into a bear market, with the S&P 500 recording its lowest close in almost two years on rate hike worries. read moreAdvancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 3.55-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 2.45-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P index recorded one new 52-week high and 29 new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 16 new highs and 140 new lows.
Apple worsens selloff in beleaguered growth stocks
  + stars: | 2022-09-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Sept 28 (Reuters) - Apple Inc shares (AAPL.O) fell 4% in premarket trading on Wednesday and piled pressure on other growth stocks following a report that the tech giant was dropping its plans to boost production of the latest model of its flagship iPhone. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterOther growth stocks including Microsoft Corp , Amazon.com , Google-parent Alphabet and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) fell between 1.5% and 3% on the news. "Apple is not immune to that and it's probably symptomatic of what's happening across many different companies right now." The rate-sensitive growth stocks have taken a beating this year on the U.S. Federal Reserve's rapid pace of interest rate hikes. The S&P 500 growth index (.IGX) has shed 29% this year, compared with a 17% slide in its value (.IVX) counterpart.
Speaking ahead of the Fed meeting, investment veteran Patrick Armstrong believes the Fed is unlikely to keep hiking rates indefinitely. "I think consensus probably has the Fed getting to 4.25% in March next year, and then probably pausing. Armstrong is co-fund manager of the Prosper Global Macro fund , a diversified multi-asset fund with an inflation beating mandate. The fund was up 4.8% as of the end of August, outperforming major indexes in both the U.S. and Europe. Read more Fund manager says the bear market is going to get 'nasty' — but says he's not 'freaking out' Looking for a short-term trade?
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPlurimi says these stocks face a 'pretty toxic' environment as interest rates risePatrick Armstrong, chief investment officer at Plurimi Wealth, names the stocks in one particular sector that face a "pretty toxic" environment as interest rates rise further.
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