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☆ What the polls have told us about the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Election polls can’t foretell who will win the presidential election. But throughout the year, polling data has helped to capture the contours of the 2024 race, with several findings that fall well outside the margin of error. While the results of issue polls can sometimes vary based on framing, some results have been remarkably robust. Here are more findings from the polls about this year’s election:Which issues matter to which voters? How Trump and Harris supporters differ in their visions for AmericaPartisan divides on the issues run further than priorities.

Persons: can’t foretell, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, they’ll, ” Patrick Murray, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Harris, Roe, Wade, Trump, ” Harris, ” Trump, ”, they’re Organizations: CNN, Monmouth University, Trump, Gallup, Republican, Democrats, Democratic, Partisan, Pew Research Center Locations: –, America, Trump

“The polls — public and private — are closer in this election than any I have ever seen,” said Dan Pfeiffer, a former aide to Barack Obama. Republican pollster Frank Luntz summed up the election with a single gif: A coin flip. The Trump era brought a return of uncertainty after most pollsters and prognosticators missed his 2016 victory, and 2024 is the narrowest polling election of all three of his runs. In 2020, the data correctly predicted Joe Biden’s victory, but Trump came much closer than many expected. “This race is remarkable for its closeness but also the insane stability of polls here in the closing weeks,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson.

Persons: James Carville, ”, “, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Dan Pfeiffer, Barack Obama, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Tim Malloy, ” “ It’s, ” Nate Silver, Republican pollster Frank Luntz, Matt Gorman, “ It’s, Bush, Gore, Gorman, “ There’s, Hope, decamping, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama’s, John McCain, Trump, prognosticators, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden’s, Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray, ” Murray, Obama, underestimating Harris, gaffes, pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson, Harris, Carville Organizations: Democratic, NBC, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Supreme, Trump, Monmouth University, Electoral College Locations: Manhattan, Florida, Erie County, Pennsylvania

Harris advisers often publicly dismiss the polls, acknowledging that the race is close and will remain so leading up to Election Day. Others want to focus on mobilizing men and men of color to turn out – a demographic that remains a point of concern among Harris campaign officials. And I am running like the underdog because I am the underdog in this race,” Harris told donors at a fundraiser in late September. “When Black voters are getting inundated by anti-Harris mail, anti-Harris ads, the face-to-face conversations matter even more,” the operative said. Harris campaign surrogates have told CNN that there is also still a lot to do to shore up support among Latinos in the final weeks before Election Day.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris ’, “, Hillary Clinton, Biden, Clinton, ” Brendan McPhillips, John Murtha Johnstown, Andrew Harnik, ” Harris, Dan Kanninen, ”, we’ve, ” Kanninen, –, ” Patrick Murray, Murray, would’ve, ” Murray, Evelyn Hockstein, don’t, outpacing Harris, Anthony West, ” West, Cedric Richmond, ” Richmond, surrogates, “ There’s, Adriano Espaillat, Chuck Rocha, it’s Organizations: CNN, Democratic, “, Democrats, Trump, Pennsylvania, Cambria, Biden, Electoral, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Dort Financial, Reuters, Black, NAACP, White, Department of Justice, Collective PAC, ”, Black Colleges, Universities, Georgia, Former Louisiana Rep, Social Security, ” New York Democratic Locations: Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Cambria County, Pennsylvania, Johnstown , Pennsylvania, Cambria, Monmouth, Dort, Flint , Michigan, Milwaukee, San Francisco, Black, Georgia

☆ Biden and Trump are vying for the veteran vote in the 2024 race. Here's how their policies on veteran affairs stack up.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Thomas Novelly | Rebecca Kheel | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Biden shepherded through the PACT Act , which has been described as the biggest expansion of veterans benefits in a generation. "Someone who may have had a rare cancer that was benefited by the PACT Act, that's the most important thing to them. President Joe Biden delivers a speech about the PACT Act at the Westwood Park YMCA in Nashua, New Hampshire. After Jackson's bid ended, Robert Wilkie, who had been working at the Pentagon, was nominated and confirmed as VA secretary. Denis McDonough, who was Obama's chief of staff, has served as VA secretary since the beginning of the Biden administration.

Persons: —, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, Patrick Murray, Military.com, John Tully, Joe Parsetich, Barack Obama, Cheriss, VFW's Murray, Donald J, Veterans Affairs David Shulkin, Michael Reynolds, Trump's, David Shulkin, Obama, Shulkin, Ronny Jackson, Jackson, Jackson's, Robert Wilkie, Veterans Affairs Denis McDonough, Chip Somodevilla, Denis McDonough, Donald Remy, Tanya Bradsher, McDonough Organizations: Service, Business, Department of Veterans Affairs, Biden shepherded, Veterans, Foreign, PACT, American, Westwood, Getty, Disabled American Veterans, White, Biden, US, Veterans Affairs, Wimbledon, Shulkin, White House, Pentagon, Trump, Cross Locations: France, Nashua , New Hampshire, Rose, Trump's, Europe, Texas

☆ Are There Any Persuadable Voters Left?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( Katie Glueck | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

With every election cycle, the notion of genuine swing voters seems to grow more remote. We live in an era of intense partisanship, and only a handful of states are truly competitive in the Electoral College. Like them or not — and many voters fall into the latter category — most people made up their minds about President Biden and former President Donald Trump years ago. When I asked Patrick Murray, the director of the polling institute at Monmouth University, about who the persuadable voters of 2024 might be, he quipped: “You want me to name them individually? You can be certain that both campaigns will be spending hundreds of millions of dollars to reach them.

Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Patrick Murray Organizations: Electoral College, Monmouth University

☆ 1 in 3 Republicans believes baseless Taylor Swift election conspiracy theory, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Liam Reilly | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

CNN —About one-third of Republicans say they believe Taylor Swift is involved in a covert government effort to help Joe Biden win the 2024 presidential election, a poll published Wednesday from Monmouth University found. The goal of the purported plot is that the Chiefs’ victory on Sunday would present Swift with an even larger pulpit from which to endorse Biden, swinging the 2024 presidential election in his favor. “The supposed Taylor Swift PsyOp conspiracy has legs among a decent number of Trump supporters,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement. While just under half (46%) of the 902 US adults surveyed for the poll reported they’d heard something about the conspiracy theory, one in five US adults (18%) said they believe the conspiracy, with 32% of Republicans — easily the largest of any political ideology — agreeing it is legitimate, the Monmouth poll found. Notably, however, 42% of those who said they believe the conspiracy theory to be true hadn’t heard about it before being contacted for the poll, showing either a bias against the president or a predilection for conspiracy theories.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Joe Biden, Travis Kelce, Biden, ” Patrick Murray, hadn’t, ” Murray, they’d, Republicans —, —, Swift, Vivek Ramaswamy, Jack Posobiec, Benny Johnson, Donald Trump, ”, “, Travis, ” Trump Organizations: CNN, Monmouth University, Kansas City Chiefs, Chiefs, Trump, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Republicans, Biden, Liberal Locations: Monmouth

☆ Advocates call on Senate to approve amendment giving Afghan evacuees path to legal residency
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Haley Britzky | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

It is based on the bipartisan Afghan Adjustment Act, which was reintroduced last year. The amendment was introduced Friday with a list of co-sponsors that included Republican Sens. Future conflicts that we go into will look back to how we handled the end of the Afghan war and what we did with our Afghan allies,” VanDiver said. While the amendment has bipartisan backing, at least one Republican is expected to object to it. Cotton supports helping our Afghan allies and partners, but this specific bill did little to address his concerns,” the person said.

Persons: Democratic Sen, Amy Klobuchar, Republican Sen, Jerry Moran, Republican Sens, Roger Wicker, Lindsey Graham, Thom Tillis, Democratic Sens, Richard Blumenthal, Chris Coons, Jeanne Shaheen, Klobuchar, “, ” Klobuchar, ” Shawn VanDiver, —, It’s, ” VanDiver, Sen, Tom Cotton, ”, “ Sen, Cotton, VanDiver, ” Moran, Patrick Murray Organizations: CNN, Senate, Democratic, Republican, intel, Army, Senate Armed Services Committee, Afghan, Veterans ’ Affairs, Veterans, Foreign, VFW Locations: Afghanistan, United States

☆ New Jersey Political Races, Often Raucous, Are Bananas This Year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-27 | by ( Tracey Tully | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

A former governor who resigned in disgrace is trying to make a political comeback, as a mayor. Two members of Congress and a half-dozen other political luminaries are preparing to campaign for governor. That has forced the senator’s son, a first-term member of Congress, to fight harder to hold onto his seat. Campaign cycles in New Jersey are typically raucous and long. But the number of high-profile political fights taking shape this year, combined with an array of atypical candidates running under extraordinary circumstances, have set an early, take-your-breath-away pace.

Persons: ” Patrick Murray, Monmouth Organizations: U.S . Senate Locations: New Jersey

The most recent polling on the race, published Monday by The Washington Post and Monmouth University, signals another Trump shellacking: 52% of potential primary voters said they support Trump, compared with 34% who back Haley. The poll, which was conducted prior to DeSantis dropping out, showed that just 8% of voters preferred him. “Even with a bump in the number of Democratic leaners turning out in the Republican primary, Haley is not able to catch the front-runner,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement. The former U.S. ambassador to the U.N. has the support of New Hampshire Gov. Though still considered a long shot, New Hampshire likely gives Haley her best chance of challenging the former president, especially since any independent or unaffiliated voter can participate in the state’s primary.

Persons: Joe Biden, Nikki Haley, “ It's, ”, “ We've, Ron DeSantis, Haley, DeSantis, Chris Christie, – Trump, MAGA, Democratic leaners, ” Patrick Murray, “, ” Trump, Sen, Tim Scott of, Doug Burgum, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Sununu Organizations: Trump, GOP, Republican, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, The Washington Post, Monmouth University, CNN, University of New, New, New Jersey Gov, Democratic, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Republican Party, North Dakota Gov, New Hampshire, New Hampshire Gov, Republicans Locations: New, Salem , New Hampshire, Granite State, Florida, Iowa, University of New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, Monmouth, Laconia , New Hampshire, Tim Scott of South Carolina, North, U.S, Hampshire, New Hampshire

The logo of Calgary-based Enbridge, one of North America's largest energy infrastructure companies, is displayed during the LNG 2023 energy trade show in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, July 12, 2023. REUTERS/Chris Helgren Acquire Licensing RightsSept 5 (Reuters) - Enbridge (ENB.TO) will buy three utilities from Dominion Energy (D.N) for $14 billion including debt, the Canadian pipeline operator said on Tuesday, creating North America's largest natural gas provider and doubling its gas distribution business. The deals for East Ohio Gas, Questar Gas, and Public Service Co of North Carolina will consist of $9.4 billion in cash and $4.6 billion of assumed debt. U.S.-listed shares of Enbridge fell 6.5% to $33.01 in extended trading after the company also announced a C$4 billion ($2.9 billion) bought-share sale to fund a portion of the deal. The modest improvement in Enbridge's business risk profile is not enough to "offset ongoing pressure on the company's financial profile," said Gavin MacFarlane, vice president and senior credit officer at Moody's, in a statement.

Persons: Chris Helgren, Berkshire Hathaway, Greg Ebel, Enbridge, Patrick Murray, Moody's, Gavin MacFarlane, Morgan Stanley, Sullivan, Cromwell, McCarthy Tétrault, Arunima Kumar, David French, Denny Thomas, Shailesh Kuber, Sriraj Kalluvila, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, Dominion Energy, East Ohio Gas, Public Service Co, Dominion, Federal Trade Commission, Foreign Investment, Co LLC, RBC Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: Calgary, North, Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Canadian, North Carolina, Enbridge, Point, United States, Ohio , North Carolina , Utah , Idaho, Wyoming, North America, Bengaluru, New York

☆ New Jersey is the last state in America where drivers can't pump gas
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —New Jersey is now the only state in America where it’s illegal for drivers to pump their own gas. Oregon last week lifted its 72-year-old ban on self-service gas stations, allowing stations to operate half of their pumps as self-serve. Oregon’s move makes New Jersey the last state where drivers can’t touch the gas pump. Gas stations’ struggles to hire workers have led to renewed attempts by New Jersey gas station industry advocates to lift the ban. Gas stations’ struggles to hire workers have led to renewed attempts by New Jersey gas station industry advocates to lift the ban.

Persons: Tina Kotek, ”, Phil Murphy, Patrick Murray Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Democratic Gov, Gas, Jersey, ” New, ” New Jersey Gov, Monmouth University, Monmouth University Polling Locations: New York, New York CNN — New Jersey, America, Oregon, New Jersey, , New Jersey , Oregon, ”, ” New Jersey, Monmouth

☆ The White House plan to sell Bidenomics: Hit the road, ignore the polls
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Christina Wilkie | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

US President Joe Biden speaks about his economic plan "Bidenomics" at the Philly Shipyard, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on July 20, 2023. But the choreographed excitement and stagecraft on display in Philadelphia belied a different sentiment among voters about what's been dubbed "Bidenomics." "Together we are transforming the country, not just through jobs, not just through manufacturing, but also by rebuilding our infrastructure," Biden told a crowd of hardhat-wearing union workers who stood atop steel beams three storeys high. We've got a long way to go on the economy," Biden told the shipbuilders. "I'm here to say we have more work to do, but we have a plan that's turning things around pretty quickly."

Persons: Joe Biden, what's, I've, Biden, Patrick Murray, it's, Biden hasn't, Jennifer Granholm, Xavier Becerra, Jill Biden, We've Organizations: Philly Shipyard, CNBC, America Economic Survey, Monmouth University, Biden, Monmouth University Polling Institute, Energy, Human Services, Citigroup Locations: Philadelphia , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, America, Philly, U.S, Monmouth, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, Ohio , Michigan, New York

☆ Fact Check-Actor playing Stanley Kubrick discusses staging moon landing
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-31 | by ( Reuters Fact Check | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Filmmaker Stanley Kubrick did not admit to helping the U.S. government and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) stage the Apollo moon landings between 1969 and 1972. A quote from an actor playing the director in a recording of a purposely fabricated interview has been falsely attributed to Kubrick himself. ALL the moon landings were faked and I was the one who filmed it all.”Similar posts can be seen on Facebook (here) and on Twitter (here). T. Patrick Murray did not immediately respond to a request for comment. The quote about the moon landings being staged comes from a film where an actor plays Stanley Kubrick, not from the director himself.

Persons: Stanley Kubrick, Kubrick, ’, Patrick Murray, Kubrick’s, Christiane Kubrick, ”, Read Organizations: National Aeronautics and Space Administration, NASA, Facebook, Twitter, ” Reuters, Reuters

☆ GOP voters pick DeSantis over Trump in hypothetical head-to-head matchup for 2024 presidential nomination, poll shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-09 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Ron DeSantis would beat former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup for the 2024 Republican nomination, GOP voters said in a new poll released Thursday. That hype was echoed in the survey from Monmouth University: In a hypothetical head-to-head fight, 53% of Republican voters said they would pick DeSantis, versus 40% for Trump. "An overwhelming majority of polls show President Trump with significant and dominant leads both nationally and statewide," Trump campaign spokesman Steven Cheung said in a statement to CNBC. Cheung also pointed to a series of other recent poll results showing Trump leading the prospective GOP field by double digits. Trump still holds major sway over the Republican Party, more than two years after losing his reelection bid to President Joe Biden.

☆ Why New Jersey doesn't let people pump their own gas
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-22 | by ( Delon Thornton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

New Jersey is the only state in the U.S. that doesn't allow customers to pump their own gas — anywhere. There's always an attendant on duty to pump gas for customers at these full-service stations. However, Oregon's laws are far less strict and allow certain parts of the state to have self-service gas stations. Historically, gas stations with attendants were popular in the first half of the 1900s. Watch the video above to find out more about New Jersey's full-service gas stations, why self-service options don't find a home in the Garden State, and what's next for its gas station owners.

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