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Almost half of young women have at least a bachelor’s degree compared to 37% of young men. That compares to 2008, when Barack Obama won the votes of 66% of young men. One of the biggest financial pressure points for young men has been higher rents, which are up around 20% since 2020. Young men are more likely to be financially dependent on their parents compared to young women, with 74% of women describing themselves as mostly financially independent compared to 62% of young men, according to a Pew survey. I think Trump will do better with young men than among young women — the gap will be pretty significant in terms of voter support — but I don’t think Trump’s going to win an overwhelming majority.

Persons: David Tasker, he’s, Donald Trump, “ Trump, Kamala, ” Tasker, ” Young, Tasker, it’s, ”, Dan Cox, Andrew Caballero, Reynolds, Richard Reeves, Reeves, “, Young, Kamala Harris, Harris, Barack Obama, Trump, Joe Biden, He’s, Melissa Deckman, Gen Z, they’re, Hulk Hogan, Chip Somodevilla, Hogan, Obama, “ I’m, I’ve, ” Obama, Spencer Platt, Biden, ” Reeves, Derek, You’ve, Sam Lilly, Lilly, “ I’ve, Emily Elconin, “ It’s, Cox Organizations: America, Democratic, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Pew Research Institute, Renwick, Washington , D.C, AFP, Getty, American Institute for Boys, Democratic Party, Harvard Institute of Politics, Republican National Convention, Trump, Bank of America, Intuit Credit Karma, NBC, Bloomberg Locations: Pennsylvania, America, Washington ,, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, Manhattan, Wisconsin, Royal Oak, Mich

As state lawmakers have introduced hundreds of bills targeting transgender people, particularly youths, over the last few years, Americans have rarely been able to hear from those most directly affected — trans youths themselves. They wanted to ensure the group was diverse because the trans kids and their families who are often featured in national reporting have been predominantly white. “American Teenager,” which debuts Tuesday, also features religious diversity, challenging the common misconception that being trans conflicts with people’s religious faith, Lang said. For example, Ruby Carnes, who was 19 when Lang spent two weeks with her in Houston, attends an Episcopalian church with her family who identify as Evangelical Christians, Lang said. Some of the young people Lang spent time with describe how gender-affirming medical care has affected their lives.

Persons: Nico Lang, Lang, Kimberly Shappley, “, Nico Lang's, Christian Rogers Lang, Kimberly, Kai, ”, don’t, ” Lang, Ruby Carnes, Carnes, Clint Ahern, Ahern, Ahern doesn’t, —, he’s, Kylie Yamamoto, you’re, Don’t, they’ve Organizations: NBC News, Public Religion Research Institute Locations: Texas, South Dakota , Alabama, West Virginia , Texas , Illinois, California, Florida, Houston, Chicago, Torrance , California, Los Angeles

☆ The unexpected gender dynamic shaping the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

CNN —All signs suggest that the partisan divide over changing gender roles in society could widen even further in the 2024 election, adding a new source of uncertainty to a contest already on a knife’s edge. That was only the latest example of his campaign signaling its support for traditional gender roles. “The messaging on gender coming out of the campaign broadly is very much about reaffirming traditional roles for women and for men,” Cassese said. In PRRI polling this year, nearly half of Republicans agreed with two absolutist statements about gender roles. His problem is that most voters outside the core GOP coalition are generally comfortable with the changes in gender roles and family dynamics since the “Father Knows Best” era in the 1950s.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, “, ”, Trump, Republican pollster Christine Matthews, it’s, Rosetta Stone, Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Daniel Cox, Cox, Matthews, Joe Biden, Louis, Dobbs, Harris, ” Erin Cassese, Chip Somodevilla, Hulk Hogan, Dana White, JD Vance, ” Cassese, Robert P, Jones, –, Ipsos, homemaking, Tresa Undem, ” Undem, that’s, ” Kamala Harris, Josh Edelson, ” Cox, Trump’s, I’ll, Donald Trump, Undem, ” Matthews, ‘, ’ ” Harris, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Suburban Housewives, America, GOP, Trump, University of Delaware, Fighting, Public Religion Research Institute, Pew Research Center, AEI, Politico, “, ”, Air Force, San Francisco International Airport, Getty, Democratic, ” “, Harvard Kennedy School Institute, Politics, White Locations: Trump, New York, Pennsylvania, St, Washington ,, “, AFP, Wisconsin, Michigan , Pennsylvania

☆ Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +21 min

Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. But, as in other states, Democrats have been concerned about the risk of depressed turnout and some gains for Trump among Black voters in Philadelphia. Eight years later, the two states split again, when Roosevelt comfortably won Pennsylvania and Michigan narrowly went to Republican Wendell Willkie. This trio of states has arguably become the most consistent tipping point in American politics. In the nine elections since 1920 when they split their vote, the candidate who carried two of these three states won seven times.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Bob Shrum, Shrum, Tad Devine, “, Biden, PRRI, William Frey, Tim Marema, don’t, Mason, Dixon, Barack Obama, Tony Evers, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Dane County, Ben Wikler, Pete Giangreco, ”, You’ve, That’s, Gene Ulm, Roe, Wade, Whitmer, Branden Snyder, It’s, Clinton, Dante Chinni, White, ” Chinni, they’ve, They’ve, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Ruffini, “ I’m, ” Ruffini, Geoff Garin, Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, James Buchanan, John C, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, Republican Wendell Willkie, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Theodore Roosevelt’s, Al Gore, John Kerry, Republican Thomas Dewey, Hubert Humphrey, Garin Organizations: CNN, White House, Democratic, Michigan, Wisconsin, AdImpact, Trump, Center, University of Southern, “, Republicans, Survey, Blacks, of Labor Statistics, Public Religion Research, Whites, GOP, Brookings Metro, for Rural, doesn’t, Keystone State, Republican, Center for Rural, Democrats, Biden, Black, White, Wisconsin , Michigan Democrats, Detroit, Electoral, American Communities Project, …, Democrat, Pennsylvania, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Flint , Michigan, University of Southern California, California , New York, Illinois, Texas, Florida, Ohio, . Michigan, Wisconsin’s, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Eau Claire, Appleton, La Crosse, Outagamie, Winnebago, Green Bay, Green, Chicago, Scranton, Wilkes, Barre, ” Michigan, “ Michigan, Gaza, Wisconsin , Michigan, United States, “ Pennsylvania, Ulm, Pittsburgh, Butler , Pennsylvania, Republican George H.W ., Fremont, North Carolina, Michigan , Pennsylvania, “

☆ The US did a complete 180 on same-sex marriage
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The vast majority of Americans opposed same-sex marriage on May 17, 2004, when the first same-sex couples took their vows after a court decision in Massachusetts. Barack Obama notably opposed same-sex marriage when he ran for president as a Democrat in the 2008 election and, as public opinion was rapidly shifting, changed his tune in 2012 to support same-sex unions. Warnings were unfoundedThere is also evidence that warnings about same-sex marriage somehow endangering “traditional marriage” simply never materialized. A new study by researchers for the RAND Corporation to assess two decades of same-sex marriage in the US argues marriage rates actually increased among opposite-sex couples as same-sex couples were granted the ability to marry in certain states. A key difference between support for same-sex marriage and support for abortion rights, according to Lundry, is that support for abortion rights has remained positive for decades, in contrast to same-sex marriage, which saw a complete turnaround.

Persons: CNN —, Mitt Romney, George W, Bush, Hillary, Julie Goodridge, Charles Krupa, Sen, John Kerry, Hodges, Barack Obama, Obama, Romney, Anthony Kennedy, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, weren’t, ” Romney, Obergefell, —, PRRI, Alex Lundry, Republican pollster, “, ” Lundry, Gen, Dick Cheney, Joe Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, House, Boston City Hall, Massachusetts Democrat, Democrat, Supreme, Gallup, RAND Corporation Locations: Massachusetts, Utah, Oregon, Ohio, Without Ohio, America

☆ The politics of religion as Trump sells Bibles and Biden is criticized over Easter eggs
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Former President Donald Trump is literally selling religion to his followers in the form of commemorative Bibles, while President Joe Biden is being criticized by Republicans for allegedly disrespecting the Easter holiday. The version of the Bible Trump is selling also includes the US Constitution and other founding documents. “The Biden White House has betrayed the central tenet of Easter—which is the resurrection of Jesus Christ,” House Speaker Mike Johnson wrote on X, formerly known as Twitter. More than 30% of Americans might qualify as sympathetic to Christian nationalism when it is defined within the idea that America was meant by God to be a Christian nation. People sympathetic to Christian nationalism are also more likely to condone the idea that political violence may be justified.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Trump, ”, CNN CNN’s AJ Willingham, Jemar Tisby, Willingham, “, ” Tisby, Sen, Raphael Warnock, CNN’s Dana Bash, Warnock, Feedback Sen, CNN Biden, Wilton Cardinal Gregory, Gregory, ’, ” Gregory, “ The, Jesus Christ, Mike Johnson, Easter, ” Johnson, Johnson, MAGA, Robert Jones Organizations: CNN, Bible Trump, Georgia Democrat, Ebenezer Baptist Church, “ The Biden White, Conservative, Pew Research Center, PRRI, ”, Republican Party Locations: Ebenezer, Atlanta, Washington, America, Massachusetts, Oregon, North Dakota, Mississippi

☆ How the GOP’s rightward shift on immigration helps explain Trump’s primary success
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Amid widespread discontent over President Joe Biden’s management of the border, the overall electorate is moving rightward on immigration too, polls show. For now, there’s no question that hardening GOP attitudes on immigration have been critical to Trump’s strong performance through the early primaries. Then, 56% of GOP primary voters said undocumented immigrants should be offered legal status; in last month’s primary, 55% said they should be deported. Immigration ranked as the most important issue for most GOP primary voters in South Carolina, and finished close behind the economy in both Iowa and New Hampshire. McLaughlin said Trump’s dominance among the GOP primary voters most concerned about immigration encapsulates a broader reason for his early success: widespread satisfaction among Republicans about his record in office.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden’s, Trump, What’s, “, Donald Trump, ”, Jim McLaughlin, Joe Biden, ’, Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Haley, Leah Askarinam, McLaughlin, Robert P, Jones, Charles Franklin, Adolf Hitler, ” Biden, Biden, Stephen Miller, Charlie Kirk, Miller, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Matt Barreto, Barreto, Democratic pollster, ” Barreto, Maria Cardona, Tom Suozzi, George Santos, Suozzi, Bill Clinton Organizations: CNN, GOP, Republican, Trump, Biden, Edison Research, Immigration, Former South Carolina Gov, Quinnipiac University, Survey, Religion Research Institute, Marquette Law School, Marquette, Gallup, Republicans, CBS, National Guard, Democratic, UCLA, New, Republican Rep, White, House Republicans Locations: Alabama, Mississippi, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, New York, Wisconsin, Mexico, United States, American, Trump, Marquette, America, Texas, Celinda, Arizona, Nevada, Mexico ”, week’s State, Brownsville

Yet large numbers of Americans believe the founders intended the U.S. to be a Christian nation, and many believe it should be one. The idea of a Christian America means different things to different people. Robert Jeffress, pastor of First Baptist Church of Dallas, said he doesn’t identify as a Christian nationalist, but does believe America was founded as a Christian nation. Six in 10 U.S. adults said the founders intended America to be a Christian nation, according to a 2022 Pew Research Center survey. About 45% said the U.S. should be a Christian nation.

Persons: Donald Trump, God, it’s, Trump, ”, Eric McDaniel, McDaniel, “, ” Trump, Mike Johnson, Thomas Jefferson, Johnson, Steve Bannon, Jerusalem ”, Charlie Kirk, Robert Jeffress, “ I’m, I’m, shouldn’t, John Jay —, —, ” Jeffress, doesn’t, ” Anthea Butler, Butler, John, Joe Biden, John Jay, Patrick Henry, Samuel Adams, John Adams, Benjamin Franklin, Jesus, George Washington Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Constitution, Pew Research Center, University of Texas, America, Republican, Washington Metropolitan Area, Vocal, Trump, Kentucky Republican, Baptist Church of, Supreme, University of Pennsylvania, Blacks, Native, John Fea, Messiah University, Democratic, Religion Research Institute, Fea, Lilly Endowment Inc, AP Locations: Independence, U.S, America, Washington, Jerusalem, ” Recent Texas , Oklahoma, Baptist Church of Dallas, Mechanicsburg , Pennsylvania, Brookings

☆ Gen Z adults identify as LGBTQ at much higher rates than older Americans, report shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Nicole Chavez | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

The report, titled “A political and cultural glimpse into America’s future,” sought to highlight the cultural and political views of Gen Z adults, compared with older Americans. Researchers surveyed more than 6,600 people ages 13 to over 65, with oversamples of Gen Z adults and teens between August 21 to September 15, 2023. About 20% of Americans are Gen Z, according to PRRI. When asked about their political ideology, the report found 43% of Gen Z adults identified as liberal – a larger share than all other generational groups. The report also found Gen Z adults and Millennials are less likely than other generational groups to list their party affiliation as Republican.

Persons: PRRI, ”, Gen, X Organizations: CNN, Baby, Boomers, Republican, Independent Locations: United States, Millennials

☆ Gen Z Gender Gap: Young Men and Women Don't Agree on Politics
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Daniel Cox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

As recently as 2019, less than one-third of young men said that they faced discrimination, according to Pew, but today, close to half of young men believe they face at least some discrimination. There was not a single issue that young men cared about significantly more than young women. There was not a single issue that young men cared about significantly more than young women. Most young men are probably not interested in making America great again, but they do feel acutely the need to secure a place for themselves in a culture that readily identifies male advantage but ignores the challenges young men face. And this attitude has real-world consequences: In the online gaming world, 75% of Gen Z women have reported experiencing harassment .

Persons: Gen, Gen Zers, Zers, MeToo, Donald Trump, Z, Roe, Wade, Richard Reeves, Reeves, Trump, Andrew Tate, Elon Musk, Jordan Peterson, Pew Organizations: Survey Center, Democratic, Gallup, Southern Poverty Law Center, American Institute for Boys, Harvard, America Locations: Washington, America

☆ Why Trump’s hold on evangelicals is so hard for DeSantis and Haley to break
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-14 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

Beyond Trump’s strong overall lead, the survey showed the former president attracting 51% support from Iowa evangelicals, far more than he drew in 2016. But Trump won the state by capturing 44% of evangelicals without a degree, double his share among the South Carolina evangelicals with a degree. This year, DeSantis will likely need to shake Trump’s hold on evangelical voters if he is to finish well enough in Iowa to remain a viable candidate after Monday. Asked if DeSantis can win evangelicals in Iowa on Monday, Vander Plaats pointedly responded: “I think he’ll do very well.”Compared to DeSantis, Haley isn’t betting on evangelical voters nearly as heavily in Iowa. Even in the most optimistic scenario for DeSantis or Haley, Trump’s hold on evangelicals without a college degree looks like a rock in the road for them.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, –, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, Cruz, DeSantis, Trump, ”, Gary Bauer, Nikki Haley, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Huckabee, Santorum, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Romney, Gary Langer, Trump’s, “ There’s, ’ ”, Bob Vander Plaats, Vander Plaats, Haley isn’t, Rubio, Haley, Robert P, Jones –, “ Trump, ” Jones, Jones, “, ” Bauer, you’ve Organizations: CNN, Yorker, Trump, Texas, Florida Gov, GOP, Des Moines Register, NBC, South Carolina Gov, Republican, McCain, ABC News, Edison Research, –, Public Religion Research Institute, Survey, College, New York Times, The New York Times, Democrats Locations: Iowa, Florida, The Iowa, Nevada , Missouri , Alabama, Georgia , Tennessee, Virginia , Michigan , Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Carolina, New Hampshire, American, America

☆ Analysis: How RFK Jr. could change the outcome of the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

He, along with other non-major-party candidates, has a real chance to affect the outcome of the 2024 election. Perot is a bit of an exception in that independent or third-party candidates usually fade as an election nears. George Wallace topped out at 21% in pre-election polling as a third-party candidate before picking up 14% when the votes were cast. Given all that, it’s no surprise we’re seeing other independent and third-party candidates jumping or potentially jumping into the 2024 race. He was entertaining the idea of running as a third-party candidate earlier this year.

Persons: Joe Biden, Republican Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Ross Perot, Perot, John Anderson, George Wallace, Biden, Trump, They’re, Democrat Hillary Clinton, it’s, Independent Cornel, Jill Stein, West Virginia Sen, Joe Manchin, Manchin, don’t Organizations: CNN, Democrat, Republican, Quinnipiac University, Alabama Gov, New York Times, Siena College, Trump :, The Times, Trump, Times, Independent, Independent Cornel West, Green Party, Clinton, West Locations: Siena, Trump, Trump : Georgia, Arizona , Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, West Virginia

☆ Mike Johnson symbolizes a new turn for the religious right
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

CNN —The arc of Rep. Mike Johnson’s career encapsulates the shifting priorities of the religious right in the era of Donald Trump. More than half of White evangelicals agreed with that statement as well – the only major religious denomination in which it found majority support. Yet both groups are much more influential inside the GOP coalition, with evangelicals representing nearly one-third of Republican voters and all White Christians about two-thirds. But in Congress, Johnson has also identified more with some of the party’s Trump-era priorities that revolve around demographic change. But each man appears equally committed to a vision of America that elevates the moral and political preferences of conservative White Christians over any other group.

Persons: Mike Johnson’s, Donald Trump, Barack Obama’s, Johnson, MAGA, Long, Trump’s, Trump, Robert P, Jones, Johnson “, ”, Mike Podhorzer, ” Podhorzer, Jimmy Carter, Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson, James Dobson, ” Jones, Dobson, CNN’s KFile, KFile, he’s, Ron DeSantis, Marjorie Taylor, it’s, ” Johnson, He’s, “, Biden, who’s, PRRI, there’s, Tresa Undem, Undem, White, George W, Bush, Obama, Pete Wehner, Wehner, David Barton, Barton, that’s, ” Wehner, ‘, ” Barton Organizations: CNN, Louisiana Republican, Republican, GOP, Yorker, Trump, Survey, Religion Research Institute, White, AFL, CIO, Republicans, Representatives, Alliance Defense Fund, Defending, Gov, Georgia Rep, Whites, Trinity Forum, ”, NBC News, Trump - Locations: Louisiana, America, White, “, Florida, Mexico

Republicans in conservative states have sought to balance pressure from their base to place more restrictions on abortion with broader support for the right to end a pregnancy. Public support for legal abortion has climbed to 65 percent this year from 55 percent in 2010, according to recent polling from the Public Religion Research Institute. Majorities of residents in 43 states say that abortion should be legal in most cases. Around 63 percent of Republicans said abortion should be illegal in most or all cases, according to the PRRI poll. “What Republicans need to do is get to a place where they talk less about the extremes.”

☆ Ron DeSantis knows his 6-week abortion ban could come back to haunt him — that's why he's doing it under the radar
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ron DeSantis signed a new law banning abortion after 6 weeks of pregnancy. He signed with almost no fanfare, especially compared to the crowd for his 15-week ban in 2022. Ron DeSantis enacted a 15-week abortion ban for people who are pregnant in April 2022, it was to much fanfare, with the governor surrounded by supporters and television crews. The 15-week abortion ban is still heading before the Florida Supreme Court, and if it's struck down, the six-week ban won't go into effect either. Seeing the recent backlash against Kacsmaryk, it makes sense why DeSantis would choose to avoid publicly signing the six-week ban in order to avoid a similar fate.

☆ The battle over abortion access could return to the ballot box in four states in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | Madison Hall | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Millions of Americans lost legal access to abortion after the overturn of Roe v. Wade. The GOP used state ballot initiatives banning same-sex marriage to juice turnout, including in the critical state of Ohio. "The majority of Arizonans support safe, legal abortion, and we need to roll back many of the restrictions that are in place now." Two abortion rights groups are teaming up to put the question before voters in 2024. The ballot box might also be abortion rights advocates' best hope as the unicameral legislature appears to be on the verge of breaking a filibuster to pass a 6-week abortion ban.

☆ Abortion could be a general election trap as Republicans battle for the GOP presidential nomination, with polling for the party's position in the basement
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Anti-abortion views could be a major boost in the nomination fightMajorities of most religious groups favor abortions being legal in most or all cases. Only four major religious groups had a majority of followers that did not favor abortion legality. Politico reported that Trump's team thinks it has a way to emphasize Trump's role in the historic decision without getting bogged down by unpopular abortion views. PRRI's polling found that 66% of Ohioans, 64% of Floridians, and 54% of Nebraskans favor making abortion legal in most or all cases. The nation has slowly moved toward supporting making abortion legal in some or most cases.

☆ Some QAnon believers are enraged by Trump's 2024 announcement and have started ignoring 'Q drops.' But experts say the movement is as fervent as ever.
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-20 | by ( Alia Shoaib | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Q-aligned candidates did badly at the midterms, and recent "Q drops" failed to make a stir. The QAnon movement was already on the back foot. To Q and beyondThe week of the midterm elections, three new "Q drops" appeared. While previous Q drops were met with excitement and flurries of posts from followers scrambling to decode them, the latest drops were largely met with ambivalence. Fredrick Brennan, who founded 8chan but has since dedicated himself to exposing those behind the Q movement, told Insider that the reaction to the latest Q drops was comparatively "muted" following controversial drops in the summer.

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