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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is on track to cut but the pace depends on labor market, says PGIM's Tom PorcelliTom Porcelli, PGIM Fixed Income chief U.S. economist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss outlooks on economic data, the state of the consumer, and more.
Persons: Tom Porcelli Tom Porcelli
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe deck is cleared for Fed to cut rates, says PGIM's Tom PorcelliTom Procelli, PGIM chief U.S. economist, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss economic outlooks and expectations for Fed moves.
Persons: Tom Porcelli Tom Procelli Organizations: Fed
In the final week of February, Wall Street will strive to maintain its AI-fueled rally even as economic concerns linger and the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure is on deck. But many worry the writing is on the wall for these market leaders as economic and inflation risks linger. The 'lone cloud' of inflation The Fed's preferred inflation gauge will also be released in the week ahead. Investors are concerned that sticky inflation will mean that the Fed will hold onto its higher-for-longer interest rate policy. Next week will also be the final week of February, with stocks headed for another strong month of gains.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Patrick McDonough, Europe's, PGIM's McDonough, McDonough, Charlie Ashley, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, Ashley, John Williams, TJX Cos Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Catalyst Funds, BCA Research, CPI, PPI, Dow, New, Dallas Fed, Fidelity National Information Services, Richmond Fed, eBay, Enterprise, Cruise Line Holdings, New York Federal Reserve Bank, York, Monster Beverage, Paramount Global, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Autodesk, Body, Hormel, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Lowe's, Chicago, . Kansas, Michigan
Where markets go next may well depend on how Nvidia does after going forward. "The answer here will depend on NVDA," Tom Essaye of The Sevens Report wrote in a Thursday note. "The stock is at an all-time high ... and if it can hold (or extend) this rally ... it'll imply that tech can help lead this market higher." Nvidia and other artificial intelligence darlings, including Meta Platforms, powered the broader market last year, while other stocks underperformed. I'd rather take it elsewhere in something that hasn't had as much of a run as Nvidia has."
Persons: Tom Essaye, Essaye, Patrick McDonough, Solita Marcelli, Charles Ashley, hasn't, Said PGIM's McDonough Organizations: Nvidia, Revenue, Nasdaq, VanEck Semiconductor, Federal Reserve, Meta, UBS Global Wealth Management, Catalyst Funds
Mounting inflation and interest rates have put significant pressure on several sectors — especially real estate. He suggests that investors look to have 10% of their portfolio exposed to "real estate in some form, as a good rule of thumb." "That exposure can come from REITs [real estate investment trusts] or direct ownership, or other real estate investments if you are a large investor. Rick Romano, Head of Global Real Estate Securities at PGIM Real Estate, agrees, saying that REITs offer investors "a unique and fantastic" opportunity to invest across geographies and segments right now. "It's an area that we see some of the best growth rates within the real estate space," he added.
Persons: Kevin Brown, Brown, Rick Romano, PGIM's Romano, Morningstar's Brown Organizations: Morningstar, CNBC Pro, Global Real Estate Securities, Fund Locations: U.S, Canada
The study, published in November 2023, compared eight mainstream approaches to retirement investing. The portfolio with 100% domestic stocks did just as well as the one split between domestic and international equities on average, Cederburg noted. AdvertisementTherefore, Cederburg pointed to the second-best contender as the portfolio comprising an equal split between domestic and international stocks, with a small percentage allocated to bonds. The study also showed that the all-stocks investor was least likely to run out of money during retirement. The target-date fund combines domestic and international stocks, bonds, and bills.
Persons: Scott Cederburg, Cederburg, Jeremy Stempien, Stempien, David Blanchett, PGIM's Organizations: Service, Finance, University of Arizona, Cederburg
Mike Segar | ReutersMarkets are "fairly complacent" about the risks of a second Donald Trump presidency, which could trigger a "tantrum" in long-duration bond markets, according to Guillermo Felices, principal and global investment strategist at PGIM. watch nowSome analysts are also looking ahead through a fiscal and geopolitical lens to November's U.S. presidential election and beyond. 'Fiscal risk' at a time of high deficit The crucial point, Felices acknowledged, is America's deteriorating fiscal position in recent decades. "The market is not really focusing too much on the potential upside risks to yields that are associated with this potential repricing of term premia. [Having] fiscal risks with the sort of deficit that the U.S. is running is a really, really important one that the market will have to come to terms with again."
Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Segar, Guillermo Felices, Felices, Trump, Fitch Organizations: U.S, Republican, New, Reuters, Dow Jones Industrial, Federal, Fed, CNBC, Trump, Bank of England Locations: New Hampshire, Rochester , New Hampshire, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with PGIM's Tom Porcelli and Jefferies' David ZervosTom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at PGIM Fixed Income, and David Zervos, chief market strategist at Jefferies, along with CNBC's Steve Liesman, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the market reaction to today's weaker-than-expected ADP report, international fiscal policy compared to the U.S., and whether or not a soft landing is still possible.
Persons: PGIM's Tom Porcelli, Jefferies, David Zervos Tom Porcelli, David Zervos, Steve Liesman Organizations: Jefferies Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConsumer savings is trending down, but a soft landing is still possible, says PGIM's Tom PorcelliTom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at PGIM Fixed Income, and David Zervos, chief market strategist at Jefferies, along with CNBC's Steve Liesman, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the market reaction to today's weaker-than-expected ADP report, international fiscal policy compared to the U.S., and whether or not a soft landing is still possible.
Persons: Tom Porcelli Tom Porcelli, David Zervos, Steve Liesman Organizations: Jefferies Locations: U.S
Antia shared 3 major themes to invest in — and 14 key players driving this evolution. And according to Antia, right now there's no secular trend more exciting than the transformation of the world's food system. On the food supply side, Antia listed climate change and technological innovation as two additional drivers for the evolution of the global food system. This two-way impact between food production and the environment has revealed the necessity for greater sustainability in the world's food system, Antia explained. As global demand for local products increases, so does the demand for refrigerated frozen storage facilities and transportation.
Watch CNBC’s full interview with PGIM's Daleep Singh
  + stars: | 2023-05-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with PGIM's Daleep SinghDaleep Singh, PGIM chief global economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss today's debt ceiling meeting impact on the markets.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA short-term deal on debt ceiling won't change the issue, says PGIM's Daleep SinghDaleep Singh, PGIM chief global economist, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss today's debt ceiling meeting's impact on the markets.
Pension funds, REITs, and insurers hold more than $1.2 trillion in commercial-real-estate debt. CalSTRS, a California pension fund, told the FT it will be writing down its real-estate portfolio. Among them are the large pension funds, REITs, and insurance companies, together accounting for more than $1.2 trillion — or 22% — of the $5.62 trillion in total commercial-real-estate debt outstanding, according to BofA Global Research. Some pension funds were already planning to reduce their exposures to commercial real estate even before the recent bank failures magnified the risks. In September, fund managers at Artemis Real Estate Partners and PGIM Real Estate said at a Bisnow conference that their investors indicated they'd be reducing allocations to real estate, just because the assets had been outperforming others.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSVB's collapse shocked markets and caused them to overshoot, says PGIM's Daleep SinghDaleep Singh, chief global economist at PGIM fixed income, and CNBC's Steve Liesman and Rick Santellis join 'The Exchange' to discuss the weakness in the labor market, revisions to Fed policy, and the path forward for yield data.
Year-over-year price growth has already slowed for commercial properties, signaling souring outlooks that could reduce values by 20 to 30%, the strategists wrote in a report. Executives at the Bisnow event pointed to high rents on multifamily properties, though growth is softening. Yardi"If this doesn't clear the market, then I don't know what does," Marcus said of her multifamily properties, which she described as large and relatively new. Andrew Holm, a cohead of US investments at Ares, the owner of more than $50 billion in commercial real estate, is hunkered down for the long haul, however. At the Bisnow event, he was so bearish on commercial real estate that he struggled to name a single sector that might be attractive over the next six months.
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