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The stock market has always pulled back when valuations are stretched as they are now, according to Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen in a note to clients this week. "[T]urning points can happen quickly, and … when valuations are stretched to start with, there can be limited scope for further gains," Allen noted. "[E]xamples of high returns through history have often been followed by sizeable reversals." The bank cited lofty current readings in the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings (CAPE) ratio developed by economist Robert Shiller, arguing that "the CAPE ratio for the S&P 500 has only been higher on two other occasions in the last century" than it is today. "Indeed, on both the occasions the CAPE ratio has got as high as it is today, there was then a significant correction."
Persons: Henry Allen, Allen, Robert Shiller, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: Deutsche Bank
Oil prices firm as geopolitical tensions raise supply concerns
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A pump jack at an oil lot connected to the Petroleos del Peru SA Talara refinery in Piura, Peru, on Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2023. Oil prices edged higher on Thursday due to supply concerns triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions amid the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Gasoline inventories last week rose more than forecast, while distillate stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected draw. Adding to supply, Norway's Equinor said it had restored full output capacity at the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea following a power outage. However, a slowdown in Chinese and global demand, coupled with rising output outside the group, have potentially thwarted this plan.
Persons: Norway's Equinor, Johan Sverdrup Organizations: del, del Peru SA Talara, Brent, . West Texas, Storm, ATACMS, Energy Information Administration, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: del Peru, Piura, Peru, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Kyiv, OPEC
Here's why dollar stores are hurting
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( Ryan Baker | Tala Hadavi | Melissa Repko | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why dollar stores are hurtingThe dollar store industry has historically done well when the consumer was under pressure. And so, in the decade that followed the Great Recession, Dollar General and Dollar Tree outperformed the S&P 500. But the current economic environment is playing out differently as both companies face competition in e-commerce and have been burdened with a number of operational challenges. Watch the video to find out why the share price of both stocks have plunged more than 50% in the past couple of years.
Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick on Thursday expressed optimism about the stock market, saying that the U.S. economy will continue to outperform in 2025. "The world is still led by the U.S. consumer," Pick told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" from the Morgan Stanley summit in Singapore. He does acknowledge there will be some caution, due to factors including policy uncertainty, but "on the whole, people are are understandably continuing to be constructive." Pick said Morgan Stanley predicts that the broad-based S&P 500 will increase, pointing out that sectors like financials and industrials could perform with continued economic growth and some deregulation. The S&P 500 has gained just over 24% year to date, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has seen a 15.13% climb.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Pick, CNBC's, industrials Organizations: Dow Jones Locations: U.S, Singapore
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia's earnings visibility makes it a 'safe haven' relative to the rest of the S&P 500: CitiScott Chronert of Citi says Nvidia's strong growth projections has made it 'just another stock'.
Persons: Citi Scott Chronert Organizations: Citi
Starting overThe couple, pictured at a friend's party in Malaga, also considered moving to Singapore, but decided on Spain due to its closer proximity to the United States. Gail and Greg WarnerThey’d originally planned to leave the United States in December 2018. The couple quickly put their Florida home on the market and set about winding down their lives in the United States. Now that they’ve lived outside of the US for so long, the couple say they can’t imagine ever moving back, and feel as though they were often on a “hamster wheel” before. Just go with it.’”Gail and Greg couldn’t be happier with their new lives, but the couple do have one regret about leaving the United States and starting over in Spain.
Persons: Gail, Greg Warner, they’re, ’ ”, Beau, Gail Warner “, , Greg, who’ve, ” Greg, , ” “ We’d, Greg Warner They’d, Guess I’m, I’ve, ” Gail, she’d, ’ ” Greg, he’s, Sergio, they’ve, “ I’m, Betty Rivas “, United States “, ’ ” Gail, Greg couldn’t Organizations: CNN, EU, , Malaga City Locations: United States, Florida, Chicago, Singapore, Spain, Europe, Spanish, Valencia, Indiana, Malaga, Canada, France, States, Costa del Sol, Southern Spain, Andalucía, Slovenia
VIENTIANE, Laos — Women and racial diversity are vital to the strength of U.S. armed forces, outgoing Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said in an exclusive interview with NBC News as he prepares to shortly exit the top military post after four years. “I would tell you that, you know, our women are the finest troops in the world. Our military is going to remain a diverse military," Austin said. Austin did not weigh in on what he thinks about Trump's choice of Hegseth to lead the Department of Defense. Austin, a four-star general who was previously commander of U.S. Central Command, was appointed as Secretary of Defense by President Joe Biden and was sworn in on Jan. 22, 2021.
Persons: Lloyd Austin, , ” Austin, Donald Trump’s, Pete Hegseth, Hegseth, , Austin, Trump, Biden, Vladimir Putin, , we've, Joe Biden, Lester Holt Organizations: NBC News, Defense, Army National Guard, Pentagon, Senate, Republicans, Department of Defense, ., Korean, U.S . Central Command, NBC Locations: VIENTIANE, Laos, Iraq, Afghanistan, United States, Ukraine, Russia, U.S, Russia's Kursk, Jan
WASHINGTON — Members of the House Ethics Committee will meet behind closed doors Wednesday afternoon to discuss whether to publicly release a report detailing their sweeping investigation into former Rep. Matt Gaetz, President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for attorney general. Several Republicans and Democrats in the Senate have said they want to review the House report before a Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing for Gaetz next year. She argued that there is precedent for the Ethics Committee to publish reports after members of Congress have resigned. If the committee declines to make the Gaetz report public, any House member can try to force a vote to release it. In September 1996, House Democrats tried to force the Ethics Committee to release a report from an outside counsel about its investigation of then-Speaker Newt Gingrich, R-Ga.
Persons: Matt Gaetz, Donald Trump’s, Gaetz, Mike Johnson, Trump, “ I’ve, ” Johnson, “ Matt Gaetz, , Michael Guest, Susan Wild, Joel Leppard, Leppard, , JD Vance, Pete Hegseth, Bill Boner, Boner, Boner’s, Buz Lukens, Newt Gingrich Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republicans, Democrats, Justice Department, NBC News, Trump, Capitol, Cabinet, Senate, Congress, , Committee Locations: Florida, Nashville, Ohio
An NYPD officer and another woman were shot in Queens by an armed robbery suspect who was believed to be responsible for multiple robberies within the span of just about an hour, according to police. As police searched for the suspect, officers were flagged down by a witness who pointed out a man on Jamaica Avenue and 160th Street. The witness told police the man had just robbed a smoke shop on Guy Brewer Boulevard, and fired a shot while doing so, according to NYPD Chief of Detectives Joe Kenny. After being ordered to drop his weapon, the suspect fired once, hitting Officer Rich Wong in the thigh, Kenny said at a press conference from the hospital. Worthy, who had been arrested for seven crimes since 2001, was also wanted for three other robberies at gunpoint, according to police.
Persons: Guy Brewer, Joe Kenny, Rich Wong, Kenny, Wong, Gary Worthy, Eric Adams, Worth, Worthy Organizations: NYPD, Jamaica Hospital Locations: Queens, Hillside, Jamaica
A Florida man arrested on suspicion of weapons violations on Halloween had a list of targets that included a congressman and locations he associated with Jewish and Black people, prosecutors allege. The Federal Public Defender of South Florida did not immediately respond to a request for comment. A customary walk-through of the home turned up evidence of firearms, including spent shell casings and a homemade target, Anton said. The alleged list of targets includes Rep. Jared Moskowitz, D-Fla., as well as locations the writer of the list characterized as draws for Jewish and Black people — a synagogue, a Jewish cemetery, a Jewish sandwich shop and parks and schools that were described using a derogatory term for Black people, according to Anton's filing. One entry on the list said, "Stalk Jewish parks," the proffer said.
Persons: John Lapinski, Lapinski, Marc Anton, Anton, silencers, Jared Moskowitz, Moskowitz Organizations: Federal, Defender, Police, Assistant U.S, Palmetto State Armory Liberty, Palmetto State Armory, Black, Jewish, U.S . Marshals Service Locations: Florida, South Florida, Margate, Miami, Broward County , Florida
Brewing worker resentment could fuel a 2025 quitting spree
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Jennifer Liu | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The job market could be poised for a fresh wave of people quitting, according to a new Glassdoor report. Employees' satisfaction in their career opportunities has been on the decline since 2022 after people settled into new roles following the post-pandemic hiring boom known as the Great Resignation. "People don't feel like the job market is working for them right now, even if you hear economists and policymakers talk about how strong and resilient the job market is," Glassdoor senior economist Daniel Zhao tells CNBC Make It. "The desire [to quit] is there, but the opportunities aren't," Zhao says. For example, some sectors, like housing, real estate and tech, could be buoyed by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, Zhao says.
Persons: Daniel Zhao, Zhao, Terry Petzold, Donald Trump Organizations: CNBC, Fox Search, White
Einhorn said he's not bearish, but there will likely be better entry points into the market. Add David Einhorn to the list of top Wall Streeters pointing out how expensive the stock market is. Advertisement"This is a really, really, really pricey environment, but it doesn't necessarily make me bearish. Einhorn called this "the most expensive market of all time, as far as I can see, at least since I've been managing." AdvertisementBank of AmericaEinhorn is one of many to highlight stock valuations as a factor likely to impact forward returns.
Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, he's, CNH Industrials, it's, I've, Bank of America Einhorn, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Rob Arnott, Nelson Peltz, CNH, that's, That's Organizations: Alpha, Delivering Alpha, Capital, Bank of America, Research, Trian Partners, AG
Small-caps, small-cap value, non-US value stocks are expected to outperform with low valuations. Research Affiliates Founder Rob Arnott sees a bear market ahead for large-cap growth stocks. That spells trouble for the S&P 500, which is heavily made up of giant growth stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Small-cap stocks, small-cap value stocks, and non-US value stocks are all poised to deliver at least 10% returns annually over the next 10 years, he said. Small-cap value stocks (Russell 2000 Value index) are also cheap, with a 14 CAPE ratio.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Arnott, Russell, Vanguard Russell Organizations: Research, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Russell, Equity, Vanguard Locations: Japan, Europe, U.S
AdvertisementPristina Mok has worked at some of Singapore's top Michelin-star restaurants like Odette and Zen. After a few years at Odette, she worked at Zen, a three-Michelin-star restaurant serving Nordic dishes with Asian influences. Fine dining, apartment-styleMok's cozy fine dining restaurant seats eight guests three times a week. Aditi BharadeUpon entering Fragment, guests are often greeted by Pebble, Mok's poodle. AdvertisementScaling down has its drawbacksWhile her husband helps her plate and serve the dishes, Mok handles most of the workload.
Persons: Pristina Mok, Odette, Aditi Bharade, Mok, Lionel Lim, Aditi Bharade Mok, , hadn't Organizations: Michelin, National Gallery of Singapore, Zen, Raffles Locations: Pristina, Mok's, Hokkaido
Stock futures are near flat Wednesday night as investors parsed the all-important earnings release from artificial intelligence darling Nvidia . Investors kept a close eye on after-the-bell earnings from Nvidia, the chipmaker that has dazzled Wall Street for more than a year as a key AI beneficiary. While the company beat expectations for the third quarter and issued strong guidance, shares shed more than 1%. On the other hand, Snowflake jumped more than 19% after the data analytics software company beat expectations for the third quarter. That action follows a mixed day on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 ending near flat.
Persons: University's, Snowflake, Dow, Beth Hammack, Austan Goolsbee, Jeff Schmid Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investors, Dow, University's Stern School of Business, Traders, Cleveland Federal, Chicago Fed, Kansas City, Intuit Locations: New York City, New
The New York Stock Exchange welcomes Snowflake to usher in the first day of winter on Dec. 21, 2021. Snowflake shares on Wednesday spiked 19% in extended trading after the data analytics software maker reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that beat estimates. Product revenue, at $900.3 million, represented around 96% of total revenue. Snowflake called for $3.43 billion in fiscal 2025 product revenue, implying 29% growth. Snowflake had 10,618 customers at the end of October, having added 369 in the fiscal third quarter.
Persons: Snowflake, StreetAccount, Snowflake's, we've, Jefferies Brent Thill Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Anthropic
AdvertisementPristina Mok has worked at some of Singapore's top Michelin-star restaurants, like Odette and Zen. After a few years at Odette, she worked at Zen, a three-Michelin-star restaurant serving Nordic dishes with Asian influences. Fine dining, apartment-styleMok's cozy fine dining restaurant seats eight guests three times a week. Aditi BharadeUpon entering Fragment, guests are often greeted by Pebble, Mok's poodle. AdvertisementScaling down has its drawbacksWhile her husband helps her plate and serve the dishes, Mok handles most of the workload.
Persons: Pristina Mok, Odette, Mok, Aditi Bharade, Lionel Lim, Aditi Bharade Mok, , hadn't Organizations: Michelin, National Gallery of Singapore, Zen, Raffles Locations: Pristina, Mok's, Singapore, Hokkaido
In this article BRBY-GB.N225SMCI.SPXNVDA.IXIC.DJI Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTChip company Nvidia's headquarters in Silicon Valley in February 2024. Andrej Sokolow | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. I clearly expect to see some kind of immediate reaction, knee-jerk reaction," Tiffany McGhee, CEO and CIO of Pivotal Advisors, told CNBC. Considering Nvidia's performance over the past two years, however, it's hard to think of any other asset that will give investors the same sense of safety.
Persons: SPX, Andrej Sokolow, Tiffany McGhee, Stocks, McGhee, Gonzalo Asis, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, bubbled, Iordache, Katrina Bishop, Brian Evans, Samantha Subin, Pia Singh Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Bank of America Securities Locations: Silicon Valley, Russia, Ukraine
Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.
Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBitcoin hits new record near $95,000 as investors monitor Trump transition: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what's ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today's show, Andrew O'Neill of S&P Global Ratings discusses how crypto policy changes under Trump could affect crypto prices.
Persons: explainers, Andrew O'Neill of S Organizations: Trump, CNBC Crypto, CNBC
But for his latest role starring in the Paramount+ drama "Landman," Thornton was tasked with a new, unique challenge: playing a version of himself. On ad-libbing his famous 'Friday Night Lights' speechThornton in "Friday Night Lights." Universal Pictures2004's "Friday Night Lights" is a beloved sports movie, and a big reason for that is the locker room speech your character, Coach Gary Caines, delivers. AdvertisementIn the pilot episode of "Landman," you film a scene at the high school football stadium in Odessa, Texas, where you filmed "Friday Night Lights." I ran into extras who were the children of extras on "Friday Night Lights."
Persons: Billy Bob Thornton, Thornton, Taylor Sheridan, it's, Tommy Norris, Norris, Tommy, Angela, Ali Larter, Monty, Jon Hamm, Billy Bob, Billy McBride, there's, Billy Wilder, Kurt Russell Bill Paxton, Stanley Donen's, Dan Aykroyd, Donna, Dan, Dudley Moore, Debbie Reynolds, Sammy Cahn, Sinatra, Stanley Donen, Bill Paxton, Bill, Rick Rossovich, Jeff Fahey, Kurt Russell, Kurt, Harvey Weinstein, Matt Damon, Penélope Cruz, Oscar, It's, Weinstein, Harvey, Matt, Damon, Cruz, Henry, Thomas, Lucas Black, Jayne Mansfield's, Gary Caines, Jerry Jones, Pete Berg, Boobie Miles Organizations: Paramount, Sporting, Bel Air, Columbia, Getty, Miramax Films, Sony, Miramax, Universal, Cowboys Locations: Fargo, West Texas, Mexican, Bel, Hollywood, Austrian, Fort Worth, Hot Springs, Odessa , Texas
Microsoft emerged as the most under-owned megacap stock among institutional investors, signaling a rebound could be on the horizon, according to Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley thinks that stocks tend to experience a technical pull higher when active ownership is much lower than their weightings in the S & P 500, and vice versa. The gap between Microsoft's S & P 500 weighting and institutional ownership stood at 2.08% by the end of the third quarter, making it the most under-owned Big Tech name, Morgan Stanley said. After Microsoft, Apple is the second-most under-owned megacap tech stock coming out of the third quarter. On the flip side, the most over-owned tech stock at the end of September is software company Intuit , which could see a technical downward pull soon, according to Morgan Stanley.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Donald Trump Organizations: Microsoft, Big Tech, Apple, Intuit, Adobe
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Russia warns of nuclear responseUkraine "struck a facility in [the] Bryansk region" of Russia using six U.S.-made missiles, said Russia's Ministry of Defense. On Tuesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin updated the country's nuclear doctrine, expanding the circumstances that would warrant a response using nuclear weapons. Markets recovered from jittersU.S. markets mostly closed higher on Tuesday after dipping in response to news of heightened geopolitical tensions.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Cristiano Amon's, Atomico, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: CNBC, Ministry of Defense, Micro Computer, Eurostat, Qualcomm Qualcomm, Qualcomm, Venture Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Bryansk, jitters U.S, New, Europe, Tuesday's, U.S
AdvertisementHere are some sweet treats you probably didn't know you can make in an air fryer. "The air fryer is perfect for making a small batch of brownies without heating up the whole house with the oven," he said. "This classic dessert can easily be prepared in an air fryer without having to turn on the oven. "Chocolate-chip cookies bake in around five minutes in the air fryer," Riley told BI. You can shorten the baking time of banana breadBanana bread takes less time to bake in an air fryer.
Persons: fryer, athiwath, Chris Riley, Riley, Tatiana Volgutova, Maria Liberati, Marina Meshkova, Jessica Randhawa, Randhawa, Read Organizations: Air, Brownies, fryer Locations: gooey
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) building in Beijing, China, on Friday, Nov. 8, 2024. Asia-Pacific markets were set to open mostly lower Wednesday, following a mixed day on Wall Street amid mounting geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia. Japan's Nikkei 225 futures pointed to a mixed open for the market, with the futures contract in Chicago at 38,300 and its counterpart in Osaka at 38,420 compared to the previous close of 38,414.43. According to a Reuters poll, China is expected to leave its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Wednesday after they were cut in October. Hong Kong Hang Seng index futures were at 19,619, slightly lower than the HSI's last close of 19,663.67.
Persons: Australia's Organizations: People's Bank of China, Investors, Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, Ukraine, Russia, Japan, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
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