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Oppenheimer's Owen Lau on why crypto will benefit from Trump 2.0
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOppenheimer's Owen Lau on why crypto will benefit from Trump 2.0Owen Lau, senior analyst at Oppenheimer, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss how crypto is set up from here, how president-elect Trump's SEC pick could impact the space, and more.
Persons: Oppenheimer's Owen Lau, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer Organizations: Trump, Trump's SEC
President-elect Donald Trump's second term could spell big gains for Robinhood , according to Bernstein. Analyst Gautam Chhugani, who has an outperform rating on the stock, increased his price target by $21 to $51 and named it his top "crypto deregulation" trade. "But under a potentially new pro-crypto SEC, this looks set to change, and we expect HOOD to be the biggest beneficiary of crypto regulatory tailwinds." Among the 17 analysts covering Robinhood, nine have a strong buy or buy rating, according to LSEG data. On the other hand, seven have taken a neutral stance with a hold rating and one has an underperform rating.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Bernstein, Gautam Chhugani, skyrockets, Chhugani, Gary Gensler, HOOD, , Oppenheimer, Teresa Goody Guillén –, BakerHostetler, Trump, Owen Lau Organizations: Robinhood, Securities and Exchange Commission, Trump, SEC Locations: HOOD
Circle-issued USD Coin (USDC) did not hit the market until 2018. "Coinbase and Circle have a revenue sharing agreement — they share 50% of USDC revenue," he said. "If the market cap for USDC goes up revenue for Coinbase will increase as well." The market cap for dollar-backed stablecoins has been hitting all-time-highs in recent weeks after a sharp drop in 2023. Tether makes up more than 70% of the market cap of U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins, according to CryptoQuant.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Lau, stablecoins Organizations: European Union, CNBC, . Locations: Europe, Crypto
Bitcoin investors are grappling with a demand dearth that has pushed the cryptocurrency into bear market territory at times. (In the first quarter, bitcoin ETFs bought about 9,000 BTC daily on average, following their January launch.) In the fourth quarters of 2012, 2016, and 2020 — the previous Bitcoin halving years — bitcoin prices rose by 9%, 59%, and 171%, respectively. The most recent halving — the supply cutting event that takes place every four years — happened this April. BTC.CM= YTD mountain Bitcoin (BTC) year-to-date Bitcoin is set up well for the final quarter , but it's still working through a supply overhang from the U.S. and German governments as well as Mt.
Persons: It's, John Todaro, Needham, uptrend, it's, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer Organizations: CNBC, BTC, Federal Reserve, U.S Locations: China, U.S
Analysts are warning that Coinbase could be entering a down trend after the stock scored a six-day-long advance. In early trading Wednesday, Coinbase rose as much as 1.3%, paving the way for what may be its seventh straight gain. "Coinbase looks very toppy to me as the recent bounce out of the oversold condition looks to be stalling out," Wolfe Research macro strategist Rob Ginsberg told CNBC. Lau also cited muted trading volume on crypto exchanges and pressure on subscription and services revenue due to the declining interest rate outlook. But cryptocurrency "trading volume could jump" when interest rates move even lower and if bitcoin again challenges its all-time high, Lau noted.
Persons: Coinbase, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Tamplin, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Lau, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Nick Wells Organizations: Wolfe Research, CNBC Locations: bitcoin
Bitcoin pushing further into the mainstream could be laying the groundwork for crypto stock Coinbase to join the S & P 500 , according to Oppenheimer. "We believe 1) increasing regulatory clarity, and 2) digital asset becoming mainstream can increase the chance that COIN will be included in S & P 500," he added. Lau has an outperform rating on Coinbase and a price target of $282, which implies a roughly 12% increase from current levels. It's gained about 160% in the past year, outperforming the S & P 500 in that time. Over the pas three years, however, shares are up just 3%, while the S & P 500 has gained 23%.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, Lau, Donald Trump, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Cynthia Lummis, Ro Khanna, Coinbase, It's Organizations: Republican, Democratic Locations: blockchain, Nashville, Wyoming, California
The newly opened door to ether ETFs is part of a larger story that dominated cryptocurrency markets last week: the industry's political tides appear to be shifting in its favor. Expectations of an approval were low as the week began, but flipped completely and suddenly last Monday — sending ether up 20% . Many are hailing FIT 21 as a landmark victory for the industry. "I'd be surprised if FIT 21 or something like it actually becomes law this year," said Thorn. It does portend a sweeping change in [the] Democratic leadership approach to this industry, and that can only help crypto."
Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Rachel Lin, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, Lau, Alex Thorn, didn't, Kirsten Gillibrand, Cynthia Lummis, I'd Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Representatives, SAB, Innovation, Technology, Futures Trading Commission, CNBC, Galaxy Digital, Senate, Gillibrand, Democratic
Bitcoin is likely to remain rangebound and trade along with macro data points, until we see a clearer path for rate cut." Bitcoin jumped with stocks on Wednesday after the April consumer price index showed inflation eased from the previous month. The consumer price index, a broad measure of how much goods and services cost at the cash register, increased 0.3% from March, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Earlier this week, bitcoin also sat out a two-day revival of the meme stock craze. With Wednesday's gain, bitcoin is now up 7% for the week — its best week since March 29 — and on pace to break a six-week slide.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, bitcoin, Bitcoin, Dow Jones, Leena ElDeeb, ElDeeb, Jeff Cox, Nick Wells Organizations: CNBC, Metrics, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Investors
There are 2 or 3 bitcoin catalysts coming up, analyst says
  + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere are 2 or 3 bitcoin catalysts coming up, analyst saysOwen Lau, executive director and senior analyst at Oppenheimer, says one of them is the U.S. stablecoin bill.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer Locations: U.S
Analyst Scot Ciccarelli upgraded the retailer to buy from hold and raised his price target by $6 to $86. — Alex Harring 6: 22 a.m.: Here's what Wall Street thinks of Coinbase's earnings Coinbase's stronger-than-expected earnings have prompted analyst reactions. Barclays' Benjamin Budish (underweight, $179 price target unchanged, 21.8% downside): "The biggest question going forward is, how sustainable are these trends? — Alex Harring 6:12 a.m.: Wall Street reacts to Apple earnings Apple's buyback announcement has caught the eye of Wall Street analysts. Analyst Benjamin Nolan upgraded the railroad stock to buy from hold and increased his price target by $19 to $267.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Bernstein, Aneesha Sherman, Sherman, — Alex Harring, Truist, Scot Ciccarelli, Ciccarelli, Ollie's, Estee Lauder, Dara Mohsenian, Mohsenian, Alex Harring, FactSet, Coinbase, what's, , Goldman Sachs, Will Nance, Benjamin Budish, Oppenheimer's Owen Lau, JPMorgan's Samik Chatterjee, Morgan Stanley's Erik Woodring, Michael Ng, bullish, George Notter, Notter, We've, it's, Stifel, Benjamin Nolan, Nolan, — Alex Harring —, Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, Arista and Union Pacific, Apple, Arista, FactSet, Barclays, Bloomberg, ASU, Street, Services, Jefferies, Arista Networks, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Pacific, Union Pacific Locations: F3Q, China, Thursday's
Other analysts saw upside for Coinbase and DoorDash along with Meta Platforms, as the social network builds advertising market share. The firm initiated coverage of DoorDash stock with a buy rating and a $165 per share price target. The analyst reiterated his overweight rating on Tesla stock but lowered his price target slightly to $310 per share from $320. The firm reiterated a buy rating on Meta stock and raised its price target to $585 per share from $550 on Thursday. Meta stock has surged more than 43% in 2024.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Pamela Kaufman, Kaufman, — Jesse Pound, Mark Zgutowicz, — Brian Evans, Oliver Wintermantel, Wintermantel, Brian Evans, Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanley's, Adam Jonas, Tesla's, Jonas, Tesla, — Brian Evans TSLA, Oppenheimer, Coinbase, Owen Lau, Jefferies, Brent Thill, outgrow Amazon's, Meta, Thill, Erika Najarian, Najarian, BofA's Organizations: CNBC, Jefferies, Bank of America, UBS, Big Four, Meta, Hershey, ISI, Tesla Network, 2Q, Amazon, UBS downgrades Bank of America Locations: Big Four U.S, Hershey, cryptocurrency, Wednesday's, 2H24
Like tech stocks, bitcoin sometimes benefits from low interest rates and improved market liquidity, which can lead to better sentiment and greater investment in growth assets. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Bitcoin turns higher after two days of losses"There has been an inverse relationship between rates and bitcoin price," said Oppenheimer executive director Owen Lau. "When the Fed increased interest rates in 2022, it took out liquidity from the market, which impacted bitcoin and tech stocks. When the Fed cuts rates, it provides liquidity to the market, which should benefit risky assets such as bitcoin. The Dow Jones Industrial Average , S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite all closed at record highs after the Fed meeting wrapped up.
Persons: Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, Cryptocurrencies, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, It's, Ether, Solana, dogecoin, MicroStrategy, CleanSpark, bitcoin, We've, Vijay Ayyar Organizations: Getty, Metrics, Federal, Polygon's, Iris Energy, Marathon, JPMorgan, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CNBC
The price of bitcoin shot above the $54,000 level on Monday after waking up from a week of tepid trading. At its session high, bitcoin hit $54,965.26 and reached its highest level since December 2021. "Today is settlement day for bitcoin futures, which is contributing to the price jump we're seeing," said Ryan Rasmussen, analyst at Bitwise Asset Management. "We're approaching the window where we typically see traders positioning themselves ahead of the bitcoin halving, which will happen in the second half of April. Bitcoin traded flat in the week leading up to Monday, when the breakout began, and put it on track for a 27% monthly gain.
Persons: cryptocurrency, bitcoin, Ryan Rasmussen, Ether, Solana, Polygon's, Microstrategy, Bitcoin, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, JPMorgan's Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou Organizations: Metrics, Bitwise Asset Management, JPMorgan, CNBC PRO Locations:
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMomentum remains strong for Coinbase despite regulatory uncertainty, analyst saysOwen Lau, executive director and senior analyst at Oppenheimer, discusses the cryptocurrency exchange's fourth-quarter results and its legal fight with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, saying the "outcome is highly unpredictable, but I have confidence that Coinbase will fight with the SEC and probably can prevail."
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC
Wall Street is celebrating Coinbase after the crypto exchange operator posted its first quarterly profit in two years. Late Thursday, Coinbase posted earnings of $1.04 per share on $954 million of revenue for the fourth quarter. "Happy days are here again" for Coinbase, as Raymond James put it, but it's not clear for how long. "That said, we maintain our U/P rating given crypto market unpredictability, lack of revenue diversification, valuation, and continued legal overhang." JPMorgan, neutral, PT $95 "Management calls spot bitcoin ETFs [a] net positive but, we're still unconvinced," said JPMorgan's Kenneth Worthington.
Persons: Coinbase, haven't, bitcoin, Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Will Nance, revs, Jason Kupferberg, Benjamin Budish, EBITDA, underperform, Patrick O'Shaughnessy, we're, Kenneth Worthington, Keefe, KBW's Kyle Voigt, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, Devin Ryan, Needham, John Todaro, Canaccord, Joseph Vafi, Michael Bloom Organizations: LSEG, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, " Bank of America, Bank of America, Barclays, JPMorgan, Management, SEC, Coinbase's, BTC Locations: U.S, Coinbase, Needham
Investors expect the Securities and Exchange Commission to greenlight spot ether ETFs in May, but the price action for the crypto could be subdued compared to bitcoin's moves in the runup to its ETF approvals. That compares to the 55% surge bitcoin saw after BlackRock first filed its spot ETF application for the flagship crypto. Regardless, we see the spot ether ETF being less appreciated by the market." JPMorgan estimates a "no more than 50% chance" of spot ether ETF approval by May 23, the final deadline for the SEC to approve or deny the Ark/21Shares application . Schwenkler said any excitement leading up to potential ether ETF approvals will be "less speculative" and that a lot of it is priced in already.
Persons: Kenneth Worthington, Nico Cordeiro, there's, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Gustavo Schwenkler, Bitcoin, Solana, Schwenkler, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, JPMorgan, BlackRock, BTC, ETH, SEC, CNBC, Leavey School of Business, Santa Clara University, of Locations: Southern, of New York, bitcoin
The firm named the stock a top pick for 2024 and reiterated an overweight rating alongside a $105 per share price target. The firm downgraded the health insurance stock to neutral from buy, and lowered its price target to $370 per share from $530. Sur reiterated an underweight rating on Intel stock alongside a $37 per share price target, or more than 25% downside moving forward. Deutsche Bank's Ross Seymour reiterated a hold rating on the stock as well as a $42 per share price target, implying about 15% downside. Analysts Benjamin Black upgraded the Snapchat parent company to buy from hold and raised his price target to $19 from $10.
Persons: Oppenheimer, Wells, Timur Braziler, — Brian Evans, AJ Rice, Brian Evans, Piper Sandler downgrades, Bancorp Piper Sandler, Piper Sandler's, Scott Siefers, Harlan Sur, Sur, America's Vivek Arya, Arya, Deutsche Bank's Ross Seymour, Seymour, Owen Lau, Lau, Coinbase, Analysts Benjamin Black, Black, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Deutsche Bank, UBS downgrades Humana, UBS, Humana, Piper Sandler downgrades U.S, Bancorp, U.S . Bancorp, Intel, . Bank, America's, GM, Deutsche, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Analysts Locations: Wells Fargo, Puerto Rican, ., Coinbase, Thursday's, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailConfidence in the crypto industry is rising but we're not back to 2021 levels, analyst saysOwen Lau, executive director and senior analyst at Oppenheimer, discusses the outlook for the cryptocurrency industry and events surrounding Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao's decision to step down after pleading guilty to federal criminal charges.
Persons: we're, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Changpeng
Cboe declined to say whether those relations happened while Tilly was CEO or prior to his tenure at the helm. His resignation is the latest in a string of high-profile exits by CEOs whose personal conduct ran afoul of company policy. "When he became CEO, he grew that business from a little options exchange to a global, fintech and exchange leader. Cboe has exclusive rights to list flagship contracts linked to the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index through 2032. "The silver lining is it doesn't look like it is related to strategic or financial issue for the company," Lau said of the CEO resignation.
Persons: Edward Tilly, Piper Sandler, Brendan McDermid, Cboe, Fredric Tomczyk, Tilly, Andrew Bond, Bond, Owen Lau, Lau, Rosenblatt's Bond, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, Tomczyk, " Lau, Jaiveer Singh, Laura Matthews, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Arun Koyyur, Michelle Price, Megan Davies, Bill Berkrot, Nick Zieminski Organizations: CBOE, Inc, Piper Sandler Global Exchange, FinTech Conference, REUTERS, Rosenblatt Securities, Oppenheimer & Co, THE, Interactive, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru, New York, Lincoln
ARM lifts Nasdaq ahead of NYSE on IPO capital raises
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Laura Matthews | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
[1/2] Arm CEO Rene Haas looks on, as Softbank's Arm, chip design firm, holds an initial public offering (IPO) at Nasdaq Market site in New York, U.S., September 14, 2023. So far this year, 68 traditional U.S. IPOs on Nasdaq have raised $8.6 billion, surpassing $6.4 billion for NYSE, the data released on Thursday showed. "Today has been a milestone day for Nasdaq with Arm being the largest IPO of the year. Shares in SoftBank's Arm Holdings soared almost 25% above their Nasdaq debut price on Thursday, rekindling investor hopes for a turnaround in the moribund market for initial public offerings (IPO). This year, Nasdaq has won 87% of U.S. IPOs listings, and has led its rival for 38 consecutive quarters according to its own data.
Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, Karen Snow, Owen Lau, Laura Matthews, Richard Chang Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, New York Stock Exchange, IPOs, NYSE, Arm Holdings, Oppenheimer, Co, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S
SoftBank's Arm soars in market debut to notch $60 bln valuation
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Arm executives and CEO Rene Haas gather outside Nasdaq Market site, as Softbank's Arm, chip design firm, holds an initial public offering (IPO), in New York, U.S., September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsSept 14 (Reuters) - Shares in SoftBank's Arm Holdings ARM.O opened 18% above their offer price in their Nasdaq debut on Thursday, valuing the British chip designer at nearly $60 billion in its return to the public markets after seven years. The stock opened at $56.10 per American Depositary Share compared with the initial public offering (IPO) price of $51, and steadily extended gains to just over $60. "The Arm IPO is the most hyped listing we've had in the markets for a while." Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News teamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Rene Haas, Brendan McDermid, SALMAN MALIK, ANSON, ” OWEN LAU, JORDAN STUART, , ” “, ’ ” DANIEL KLAUSNER, HOULIHAN, haven't, , ” KYLE RODDA, ANDREW Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, Holdings ARM.O, OPPENHEIMER, FEDERATED HERMES, OF, PUBLIC, ROSENBLATT, Global Finance, Markets, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S,
The Nasdaq logo is displayed at the Nasdaq Market site in Times Square in New York City, U.S., December 3, 2021. Order types are programmed instructions traders use to tell exchanges how to handle their trades. M-ELO, first released in 2018, is a strategic order type that enables investors with longer-term horizons to trade with each other using a 10-millisecond waiting period. Nasdaq's research shows that the real-time AI order type has a 20.3% increase in fill rates and an 11.4% reduction in mark-outs, indicating the improvements AI-powered solutions can bring to capital markets. "This new order type can increase order fill rate and reduce holding time if successfully implemented, which could help Nasdaq take market shares from other exchange operators," said Owen Lau, senior analyst at Oppenheimer & Co.
Persons: Owen Lau, Laura Matthews, Mark Porter Organizations: Nasdaq, REUTERS, Nasdaq Inc, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Oppenheimer, Co, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Bitcoin jumped 7% on investor hopes that the ruling will pave the way for approval of one or more spot bitcoin ETFs from BlackRock, Fidelity, Invesco and others. Yet the SEC's commitment to regulation by enforcement under Gensler, rather than laying out clear rules, has left companies struggling and hindered new bitcoin investors. If Tuesday's ruling does open the door to the first spot bitcoin ETF in the U.S., that could eventually push crypto prices higher. Owen Lau, an analyst at Oppenheimer, cautioned that Grayscale's court victory "doesn't necessarily mean the SEC will approve Grayscale's conversion, or that there will be a floodgate of spot bitcoin ETF approvals in the near term." Regardless, Tuesday's court decision "is not enough" to bust the market out of its summer stupor, Lau added.
Persons: Bitcoin, it's, Ric Edelman, Gary Gensler, Edelman, Owen Lau, Oppenheimer, Lau Organizations: SEC, ., Appeals, Securities and Exchange Commission, Fidelity, Digital Assets, Financial Professionals Locations: BlackRock, U.S
Coin Metrics measures a week in crypto, which trades 24 hours a day, from the 4:00 p.m. "The part that could upset the crypto market is if interest rates stay higher for longer, which disappoints the expectation that the rate could be lowered in the first half of 2024. Trading data also shows long-term investors haven't been easily shaken by the recent weakness. This tells us that despite the price volatility and recent downdraft in prices, long-term holders are unwavering. He added that while it's unclear what exactly accounts for traders' resilience, maturing crypto investors are becoming more "aware of the cycles associated with bitcoin's halving and are expecting it to repeat, leading to price appreciation."
Persons: Bitcoin, Oppenheimer's Owen Lau, Jerome Powell's, Gustavo Schwenkler, It's, haven't, Greg Cipolaro, Michael Bloom, Nick Wells Organizations: Metrics, Fed, Leavey School of Business, Santa Clara University, Indicia Labs, SEC, JPMorgan, Management, CNBC Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, China, NYDIG, Stone
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's too early to say that the crypto exchange model should not exist, says analystOwen Lau of Oppenheimer shares why he is optimistic on Coinbase's prospects and discusses the regulatory and legislative environment for cryptocurrency exchanges.
Persons: Owen Lau, Oppenheimer
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