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A pedestrian carrying an umbrella walks along the River Thames in view of City of London skyline in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. Finance executives, consultants and headhunters interviewed by Reuters predict subdued deal flows, modest bonuses for most and heavy job cuts in 2024. "2023 will ultimately be one of the lowest corporate finance fee pools in modern history," said Fabrizio Campelli, head of Corporate Bank and Investment Bank at Deutsche Bank. JOB CUTSBanks have already turned to cost cuts to try to weather the downturn, which in a people-intensive business means job losses. And although some bankers expect a tough 2024, others sense an opportunity for European banks from the Basel Endgame.

Persons: Hollie Adams, Fabrizio Campelli, Banks, Ronan O'Kelly, Oliver Wyman, O'Kelly, Dominic Hook, Goldman Sachs, Vis Raghavan, JP Morgan, Morgan McKinley's, Stephane Rambosson, headhunter, Rambosson, Ana Botin, Morgan's Raghavan, there's, Oliver Wyman's O'Kelly, Deutsche's Campelli, Anousha Sakoui, Carolyn Cohn, Jesus Aguado, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, LONDON, Finance, Reuters, Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Deutsche Bank, Organisation for Economic Cooperation, Development, Barclays, Lloyds, Challenger Metro Bank, UBS UBSG.S, Citi, Workers, Global Investment Banking, Employment, European Union, Santander, Global, Basel, Thomson Locations: City, London, Britain, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Ukraine, West, China, United States, India, Madrid

☆ Top players in private credit will outperform new entrants in the space, says Oliver Wyman's Steenis
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTop players in private credit will outperform new entrants in the space, says Oliver Wyman's SteenisHuw Van Steenis, vice-chair and partner at Oliver Wyman, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss his worries about the growing private credit market, why there may not be a crisis of confidence in the private credit market, and more.

Persons: Oliver Wyman's, Huw Van Steenis, Oliver Wyman

☆ China's big 'Golden Week' is here. Three hot destinations for spending — and a stock with 95% upside
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-01 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Whether it's by train or by car, hundreds of millions of people are traveling around mainland China for a holiday called Golden Week. From the Mid-Autumn Festival on Friday, Sept. 29, to the following Friday, the break runs for an entire week to celebrate China's National Day. Morgan Stanley analysts like Hong Kong-listed CTG Duty Free , China's state-owned duty-free retail giant. Within China, domestic hotel room rates are still above 2019 levels, Morgan Stanley analysts said. On the macro front, if tourism pans out as expected this Golden Week, it will give a much-needed lift to China's the economy overall.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, They're, Oliver Wyman, Oliver Wyman's, BlackPink, Atour, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Hong, Golden, MGM China, Wynn Macau Locations: China, Hong Kong, Hainan, Macau, U.S

☆ China's AI applications are coming — where it matters for monetization
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-17 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Around the same time, Tencent announced it is integrating its AI model into advertising content creation, and its own Zoom-like video conferencing app. It's also not clear how powerful China's AI applications currently are, beyond demos and select business partnerships. "Overall we see generally Chinese language model[s] still lag behind the most advanced ChatGPT version 4," CLSA's Tony Zhang said in a phone interview in the last week. Now with Beijing's green light, public-facing AI applications such as Baidu's Ernie bot can be widely used in China. Generative AI and large language model-related revenue contributed to 20% of SenseTime' s revenue in the first half of 2023, Nomura analysts said, citing company management.

Persons: Nomura, Tencent, Coffee, Luckin, Joey Wat, It's, Tony Zhang, –, Ernie, Oliver Wyman's David Xie Organizations: Baidu, KFC Locations: Beijing, China, Taobao, TikTok

A net 1,400 lots of short positions were covered by the time the market was suspended at 08:15. Xiang Guangda, the charismatic head of China's Tsingshan Holding Group, has attracted much media attention for being the big nickel short. The existence of at least once big nickel short wasn't exactly a secret in the market. LME nickel crisis had turned into potential LME clearing house crisis with Chamberlain having to juggle both parts of the meltdown while also being a nickel market specialist. The handful that remained, as one participant later recalled, knew nothing whatsoever about what was going on in the nickel market so decided to call everyone else back into the room.

Persons: Elliott, Street, Matthew Chamberlain, Chamberlain, Jane Street, Oliver Wyman's, Xiang Guangda, wasn't, Oliver Wyman, John Maynard Keynes, Xiang, doesn't, David Evans Organizations: London, Royal, of Justice, Hong Kong Exchanges, HK, Elliott Associates, Jane, Global, Tsingshan Holding, SEE, Bloomberg, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Ukraine

☆ What one key business indicator is saying about China's consumer recovery
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"For 618, generally of course brands will be trying, but compared to before it's a bit more tired," said Ashley Dudarenok, founder of ChoZan, a China marketing consultancy. In the first quarter, the median disposable income of urban residents in China was officially 12,175 Chinese yuan ($1,739), up 3.9% from a year ago. A focus on affordabilitySluggish economic growth and uncertainty about future income have weighed on Chinese consumer spending since the Covid-19 pandemic. watch nowBrands are keen to spend more on ByteDance's Douyin, likely taking away from ad spending on Alibaba's Taobao and Tmall e-commerce platforms, Oliver Wyman's Xie said. And for brands spending on Douyin, he said the return on investment per ad dollar was getting lower.

Persons: Jade Gao, Ashley Dudarenok, Dudarenok, let's, Microsoft's Bing, Dave Xie, Oliver Wyman, Douyin, Oliver Wyman's Xie, ByteDance isn't, doesn't, Pinduoduo, Sun Hao, Sun, didn't, Trip.com, Kelly Shi Organizations: Afp, Getty, Baidu, Retail, Brands, Growth, Nestle, Netflix Locations: Beijing, BEIJING, China

But with flights remaining limited after China's border reopening in January, European luxury stores will need to wait longer for the return of masses of tourists they once depended on for growth. The average transaction value by Chinese travellers in Europe in March was 28% above 2019 levels, UBS said, citing data from VAT refund provider Planet. Cartier-owner Richemont (CFR.S), Hermes (HRMS.PA) and LVMH were best placed to benefit from wealthy Chinese shoppers, UBS added. As wealthy Chinese return to Europe and other foreign destinations, the appeal of China's Hainan Island, a duty free shopping hotspot, appears to be waning among top luxury spenders. China's "higher income, top luxury spenders (are) already travelling abroad again," she said, leading to an observable lower per-capita spend in Hainan.

☆ Gen Z wants to run your company. 'Shadow boards' give them a say without handing them the keys.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Rebecca Knight | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Oliver Wyman says its shadow board helped contribute to a 30% reduction in attrition in 2022. Andrew Pérez started at the management-consulting company Oliver Wyman three years ago. Oliver Wyman started its shadow board in 2021. Oliver Wyman's executive team tends to be older, while the shadow board skews younger and more diverse. She was eager to join the shadow board last year.

☆ China's Covid wave drives up consumer interest in insurance after health system shortfalls
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-26 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

For people planning to spend more on that health category, 47% said in December they intend to spend more on health insurance. "This experience is also driving increased interest in commercial health insurance which could cover access to premium private providers," Lipson said. Anecdotes depict a public health system overwhelmed with people at the height of the wave, and long wait times for ambulances. Some of the players in China's health insurance industry include Ping An , PICC and AIA . Hospital fundingHowever, one of the barriers to improving China's public health system is its fragmented financing system, according to Qingyue Meng, executive director at Peking University's China Center for Health Development Studies.

☆ Gen Z isn't ashamed of 'job-hopping' and will even quit unfulfilling jobs without a backup plan, study finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-22 | by ( Stephanie Stacey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Gen Zers don't stigmatize "job-hopping", according to a new study by Oliver Wyman. Indeed, 70% of Gen Zers who say they're "loyal" to their employers are either actively or passively seeking a new job, the research found. People born between 1997 and 2012, often called Gen Z, came of age during the pandemic. Gen Z views work in "a more transactional manner" than previous generations, and has a "lengthy list of demands," per Oliver Wyman's study. According to Oliver Wyman's poll, 85% of Gen Zers prefer a hybrid or remote work pattern.

☆ Gen Zers know they're stereotyped as 'snowflakes' but say they're resilient, having lived through the pandemic and 2008 financial crisis, report says
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( Kate Duffy | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Gen Zers know they're stereotyped as "snowflakes" and "strawberries," an Oliver Wyman report said. The report said Gen Z is the most resilient generation because of the adversities it has faced. Gen Z, the title given to those born between 1997 and 2012, has often been stereotyped with negative adjectives, including lazy, mollycoddled, and entitled. Gen Z is the most resilient generation so far because of all the devastation that has happened in their lives, per the Oliver Wyman report. Despite being young, many Gen Zers saw their parents muddle through the financial crisis in 2008 and later, the COVID-19 pandemic, which dramatically affected them, as well as their families.

The four each held a sizeable short position of between 13,000 and 24,000 lots, equivalent to 78,000 to 144,000 tonnes. LME warehouses held just 80,088 tonnes of nickel stocks when Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24. The mix of producer hedging and speculative overlay in the short position landscape is impossible to know with any precision. It's worth remembering that Tsingshan is itself a huge nickel producer, albeit not in a form that can be delivered against an LME short position. Excerpt from Oliver Wyman reportLATE ARRIVALThe shorts were not helped by the rapid build-up of a long position on March 7 which the report links to "one financial client with no material existing nickel position".

☆ As travel resumes, China's luxury shoppers ask: Paris or Hainan?
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( Casey Hall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

"When I would go to Paris, I couldn't ask the Paris sales people to keep a bag for me, but now here we can," she said. Under pandemic travel curbs, China's domestic luxury sales boomed, doubling to 471 billion yuan ($68.25 billion) from 2019 to 2021, according to Bain & Co. Even so, Chinese consumers' share of the global market fell to 21% in 2021 from 25% in 2019. "It will be interesting to see how new luxury consumers will perceive the difference between domestic and overseas luxury shopping," he said. ALTERNATIVESInternational travel restrictions and local policies to spur spending also drove many consumers to China's tax-free island of Hainan as a luxury shopping destination.

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