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☆ CIBC's Rebecca Babin on oil outlook for a second Trump presidency
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCIBC's Rebecca Babin on oil outlook for a second Trump presidencyRebecca Babin, CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss oil outlook ahead of the opening bell on Thursday.

Persons: Rebecca Babin, Trump Organizations: CIBC Private Wealth

☆ CNBC Daily Open: It might be better economic data isn’t all rosy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. How much will oil demand grow? Oil demand will experience "robust medium-term growth," reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029 from 102.2 million barrels per day in 2023, according to OPEC's 2024 World Oil Outlook report. The International Energy Agency thinks oil demand will level off at 106 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.

Persons: Stocks, Consumer's, September's, Dow, Goldman, Denis Coleman, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, U.S . Federal, JPMorgan, International Energy Agency

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Some caution might be good for markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. While analysts think this move may mark the end of China's deflationary streak, many think monetary policy is not enough. How much will oil demand grow? The International Energy Agency thinks oil demand will level off at 106 million barrels per day by the end of the decade.

Persons: Larry Hu, Consumer's, September's, Dow Organizations: CNBC, Dow Jones, U.S ., People's Bank of China, Macquarie, International Energy Agency, U.S, U.S . Federal, Barclays, Citi Locations: Corte Madera, Corte Madera , California, Asia, Pacific, China, U.S .

☆ Confused about the potential Qualcomm-Intel deal? Here's why it matters even if it doesn't happen.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

In today's big story, why you should care about a potential Intel-Qualcomm deal , even if it might not work. Getting all that varied experience has proved particularly beneficial for TSMC in the age of cutting-edge mobile and AI chips. The US needs Intel to keep (and get better at) manufacturing chips. The problem with that is that this manufacturing business would have almost no customers, and would fall even further behind TSMC. Experts seem incredibly skeptical about a Qualcomm deal going through.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, Moneyball, Rupert Murdoch's, Chelsea Jia Feng, I'm, it's, Palantir alums, Jamie Dimon Tom Williams, he's, Goldman Sachs, Chelsea JIa Feng, ChatGPT, Vinod Khosla, Chris Gash, Lachlan Murdoch, Murdoch, Lachlan's, Caroline Ellison, Biden, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Jack Sommers, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Intel, Qualcomm, Business, Tech, Getty, TSMC, Inc, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Big Tech, Web Services, Employees, Bloomberg Global Business Forum, FAA, OPEC, Oil Locations: Taiwan, China, San Francisco, Nevada, New York, London

☆ OPEC is highly bullish on long-term oil demand growth. Not everyone agrees
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Natasha Turak | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Low global demand forecasts, coupled with new oil supply coming from non-OPEC countries, spell a long period of subdued crude prices. Has demand growth hit its apex, and is it just downhill from here? The oil producer group's 2024 World Oil Outlook report, released Tuesday, predicts strong energy demand growth of 24% globally between now and 2050. It also forecasts "robust medium-term growth" in oil demand reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029, an increase of 10.1 million barrels per day compared to 2023. The IEA still sees global oil demand rising; it just forecasts a smaller rise, and expects it to peak by the end of the decade.

Persons: It's Organizations: Brent, International Energy Agency, The, IEA Locations: Saudi, Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, The Paris

☆ Morgan Stanley sees 'hot summer' ahead for energy sector, gives its favorite picks
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A robust oil outlook on stronger-than-expected demand this year should provide a "hot summer" for energy stocks, according to Morgan Stanley. The investment bank has upgraded the energy sector to "attractive" as crude oil demand forecasts have improved on better-than-expected growth in the major economies. Morgan Stanley's top picks to play the oil rally are BP , TotalEnergies and Repsol . Strong demand combined with geopolitical risk should support Brent prices of $94 a barrel by the end of the summer, according to Rats and his colleagues. BP YTD mountain BP shares year to date BP stands out with a compelling distribution yield of nearly 11%, according to Morgan Stanley analysts.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Martijn, Brent, Morgan Organizations: BP Locations: Ukraine

☆ These are Mizuho's top stock picks heading into November
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Mizuho's equity research team compiled its top buy-rated picks for the new month. The average price target for the stock, which is already up about 14% this year, implies an upside of about 15%. But the average analyst is bullish with a buy rating and price target implying an upside of almost 21%, per LSEG. The average Wall Street analyst rates EyePoint a buy, and the consensus price target implies the stock could skyrocket nearly 290%, per LSEG. The average analyst has a buy rating and price target reflecting 13.5% upside ahead, per LSEG.

Persons: Nitin Kumar, Mara Goldstein, Graig Suvannavejh, Siti Panigrahi, INTU, Panigrahi, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Mizuho, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Coterra Energy, Merck, Co, EyePoint Pharmaceuticals, Intuit, Small Locations: Keytruda

The second largest contributor to real gross domestic product growth in the third quarter came from business inventories (1.3 percentage points). South Korea's KOSPI-100 equity index, which is usually a good proxy for global trade given its heavy weighting towards export-oriented firms, rebounded strongly through the end of July. But the index has since weakened, consistent with the renewed downturn in volumes shown in the global trade index. UNCERTAINTYUncertainty about the economic outlook and ambiguous data are usually greatest around turning points in the business cycle. Related columns:- Persistent U.S. services inflation dampens oil outlook (October 13, 2023)- U.S. manufacturing rebound will stretch diesel supplies (October 5, 2023)- Global container freight stuck in doldrums (June 23, 2023)- Global freight shows signs of bottoming out (April 27, 2023)John Kemp is a Reuters market analyst.

Persons: Stringer, Korea's, John Kemp, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, Global, Economic, Service, Real, Ministry of Transport, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Qingdao, Shandong province, China, United States, Netherlands, CHINA, ASIA, Singapore, Asia, Europe, Japan, Narita, EUROPE Europe, Ukraine, Germany, doldrums

In turn, higher rates will dampen interest-sensitive expenditure and likely lead to slower growth in oil consumption in 2024. Services are less energy-intensive but more labour-intensive than manufacturing, so the sector’s inflation rate tends to be more persistent and a better indicator of the overall amount of inflationary pressure within the economy. Most rate traders anticipate the central bank will be forced to keep overnight rates higher for longer to squeeze persistent inflation out of the economy. In the short term, the renewed expansion of the U.S. manufacturing and service sectors is supporting oil consumption and prices. In the medium term, however, the higher-for-longer rates needed to bring inflation back to target will likely depress business activity and slow oil consumption growth in 2024.

Persons: Eduardo Munoz, John Kemp, Rod Nickel Organizations: Exxon, REUTERS, Institute, Supply, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Newport , New Jersey, U.S, United States, Europe, Ukraine

☆ OPEC hikes long-term oil demand outlook — in stark contrast to other predictions of peak crude
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Sam Meredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

OPEC on Monday raised its medium- and long-term forecasts for global oil demand. OPEC's long-term forecast for global oil demand diverges from that of the International Energy Agency, the world's leading energy watchdog. OPEC and the IEA, both big names in the energy industry, are currently locked in a war of words over peak oil demand. For its long-term oil demand forecast to be met, OPEC said oil sector investments of $14 trillion, or around $610 billion on average per year, would be needed. In the medium term, OPEC said global oil demand was likely to reach a level of 110.2 million bpd in 2028, reflecting a jump of 10.6 million bpd when compared to 2022 levels.

Persons: Haitham, Ghais Organizations: International Energy Agency, OPEC, Oil Outlook Locations: Nolan , Texas, OPEC, India, China, Africa

The OPEC logo pictured ahead of an informal meeting between members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in Algiers, Algeria, September 28, 2016. REUTERS/Ramzi Boudina/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON/DUBAI, Oct 6 (Reuters) - OPEC has raised its medium- and long-term oil demand outlook in a forthcoming report, three OPEC sources said, despite the transition toward renewable energy, highlighting the oil exporting group's more bullish view compared to other forecasters. Higher oil demand would be a boost for producers and the 13-nation OPEC and would underscore the need for continued investment. It also highlights OPEC's more bullish view on the oil demand outlook compared to the International Energy Agency (IEA) and other forecasters. The 2022 version of OPEC's report sees oil demand reaching a plateau after 2035.

Persons: Ramzi Boudina, Haitham Al Ghais, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Fatih Birol, Alex Lawler, Maha El, Simon Webb, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, REUTERS, OPEC, of, International Energy Agency, Saudi Energy, IEA, Financial Times, Thomson Locations: Algiers, Algeria, DUBAI, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, Vienna

☆ Op-ed: Why the world needs more oil, not less
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( His Excellency Haitham Al Ghais | Opec Secretary General | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

If oil vanished today, these and many other vital products and services that use oil or its derivatives would vanish too. The World Energy Report for 2022, published by the UK-based Energy Institute and consulting firms KPMG and Kearney, noted that fossil fuels constituted 82% of global energy in 2022. This is comparable to OPEC's latest world oil outlook and represents a similar level to 30 years ago. The bottom line is that it is possible to invest heavily in renewables while continuing to produce the oil the world needs today and in the coming decades. Similarly, in the EU, vehicles using petrol or diesel still accounted for around half of all car sales in 2022.

Persons: BEV, BEVS Organizations: Transportation, Energy, Energy Institute, KPMG, Kearney, Toyota Prius, U.S . National Automobile Dealers Association, EU Locations: U.S, China, Paris

KUALA LUMPUR, June 26 (Reuters) - Saudi Aramco (2222.SE) believes market fundamentals remain "sound" for the second half as demand from emerging markets led by China and India will offset recession risk in developed markets, CEO Amin Nasser told an industry gathering on Monday. "Overall, we believe that oil market fundamentals remain generally sound for the rest of the year," said Nasser, who heads the world's largest oil company. "Despite the recession risks in several OECD countries, the economies of developing countries – especially China and India – are driving healthy oil demand growth of more than 2 million barrels per day this year," he told the conference. Although China faces economic headwinds, the transport and petrochemical sectors are still showing signs of demand growth, he added. Looking ahead, Vitol said oil demand could peak around 2030.

Persons: Amin Nasser, Nasser, Daniel Yergin, Russell Hardy, Sazali Hamzah, Petronas, Vitol, Hardy, Muyu Xu, Florence Tan, Christopher Cushing, Himani Sarkar, Conor Humphries Organizations: Saudi Aramco, Energy Asia, Petronas, Brent, Organization of, Petroleum, P Global, Vitol, EV, Thomson Locations: KUALA LUMPUR, Saudi, China, India, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, Russia, Iran, Saudi Arabia

☆ OPEC cites risks to summer oil outlook, holds demand forecast
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

LONDON, April 13 (Reuters) - OPEC on Thursday flagged downside risks to summer oil demand as part of the backdrop to shock output cuts announced by OPEC+ producers on April 2, although the producer group maintained its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023. Some members of OPEC+, which includes OPEC, Russia and others, announced new voluntary production cuts on April 2. But in a discussion on the summer market outlook in its monthly oil report on Thursday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said oil inventories looked more ample and global growth faced a number of challenges. Still, OPEC maintained its forecast that oil demand will rise by 2.32 million barrels per day (bpd), or 2.3%, in 2023 and nudged up its forecast for China. OPEC left its 2023 economic growth forecast at 2.6% and cited potential downside risks.

☆ Oil outlook: There's a lot of conflicting data, says S&P Global
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil outlook: There's a lot of conflicting data, says S&P GlobalHerman Wang, managing editor of OPEC and Middle East news at S&P Global, discusses the outlook for oil prices.

☆ Davos 2023: Big oil comes in from the cold on energy transition
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-20 | by ( Maha El Dahan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

CHINA OUT./File Photo/File PhotoSummarySummary Companies Energy transition front and centre at Davos meetingEurope energy crisis forces moment of reckoningClimate activists sceptical of oil industry inclusionDAVOS, Switzerland, Jan 20 (Reuters) - A different type of energy transition has taken place at this year's World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting. Unlike 2021's COP26 climate conference in Glasgow, where oil and gas executives were personae non gratae, fossil fuel chiefs and renewable energy bosses sat cheek by jowl in Davos. Thunberg's was not the only voice at Davos with strong objections to the industry's new mantra that the energy crisis justifies new oil investments. Like Birol, British opposition leader Keir Starmer said the oil and gas sector has a role to play in the energy transition. Jaber, who is the founding CEO of Abu Dhabi’s renewable energy firm Masdar and has overseen the UAE's mandate to adopt renewables is not without green credentials.

☆ Oil outlook is largely dependent on China's reopening, says Energy Aspects' Amrita Sen
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil outlook is largely dependent on China's reopening, says Energy Aspects' Amrita SenDan Pickering, chief investment officer at Pickering Energy Partners, and Amrita Sen, co-founder and head of research at Energy Aspects, join 'The Exchange' to discuss growing oil demand in China, 2023 projections for oil and opportunities in small cap energy stocks.

☆ Costs and uncertainty cloud oil outlook, says Dallas Fed
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( Liz Hampton | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The index was at 57.7 in the second quarter of this year, the highest reading in the survey's history. U.S. shale oil growth has also showed signs of slowing. Some 32% of executives polled said cost inflation and supply chain bottlenecks were the biggest drags on oil and gas production growth, while 27% cited maturing oilfields. Overall, executives polled were less optimistic about the future with the company outlook index falling by 20 points to 13.1, below the series average. The outlook uncertainty index jumped to 40.1 from 35.7 the prior quarter.

RIYADH, Dec 7 (Reuters) - Saudi Arabia expects to post a second consecutive budget surplus in 2023, though down 84% from this year as an uncertain global economic outlook and lower crude prices look set to weigh on the top oil exporter's revenues. Spending is slightly lower than 1.132 trillion riyals this year. Revenues are expected at 1.13 trillion riyals, down from 1.234 trillion riyals in 2022 as oil prices are seen falling from this year's high levels. Public debt is seen falling 3.5% to 951 billion riyals next year, or 24.6% of GDP. Government reserves at the Saudi Central Bank are estimated to reach 399 billion riyals at the end of next year, the finance ministry said.

☆ If prices remain closer to $80 a barrel, expect cuts from OPEC
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIf prices remain closer to $80 a barrel, expect production cuts from OPECMatthew Smith, Co-Head of Crude Analysis at Kpler, joins Worldwide Exchange to explain the oil outlook.

☆ Goldman Sachs' Currie says oil stocks are trading 'far below' their long-term trend
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-30 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Shares of energy companies could surprise markets and continue to rise, according to Goldman Sachs' head of commodities research, despite a recent fall in crude prices. Jeff Currie told CNBC that historically, stocks in the sector have traded at a higher premium to crude oil prices compared to current price levels . "There is a catch-up game going on between oil prices and ... equities," Currie said Tuesday. Spot oil prices and energy stocks tend to move in tandem. OPEC+ has recently hinted it could impose deeper output cuts to spur a recovery in crude prices .

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☆ Oil prices are headed to $110 a barrel in 2023, and the outlook for crude is 'very positive' despite China demand concerns and global recession fears, Goldman Sachs says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-29 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Goldman Sachs expects crude oil to hit $110 per barrel next year, representing upside of more than 30%. The investment bank's commodities chief said the outlook for oil in 2023 is "very positive." But in an interview with CNBC, he also acknowledged that there's "a lot of uncertainty" ahead. Jeff Currie, global head of commodities at the investment bank, said Tuesday that the oil outlook in 2023 remains "very positive." Still, there's "a lot of uncertainty" ahead, Currie noted, including the potential for lower demand in China, recession fears, and the European Union's embargo next week on seaborne imports of Russian oil.

"We are only a phone call away if the requirements are there," he said. OPEC+ faced one of its biggest clashes with the West after it agreed oil production cuts in October, a decision the U.S. administration called shortsighted. OPEC+ producers rallied around top oil exporter Saudi Arabia after the United States accused it of pushing members into the cut. Saudi Arabia and the UAE, two of the world's biggest oil producers, are boosting output and refining, and working on clean hydrogen, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Monday. The UAE is releasing its first revision of its energy plan in 2023, which will increase its green targets, Mazrouei said.

☆ OPEC raises long-term oil demand view, calls for investment
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-31 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Summary OPEC raises 2030, 2045 oil demand forecastsMaintains view that oil demand will plateau after 2035Sees $12.1 trillion of oil investment needed to 2045ABU DHABI, Oct 31 (Reuters) - OPEC raised its forecasts for world oil demand in the medium-and longer-term in an annual outlook released on Monday and said$12.1 trillion of investment is needed to meet this demand despite the energy transition. Another decade of oil demand growth would be a boost for OPEC, whose 13 members depend on oil income. In the report, OPEC maintained its view that world demand will plateau after 2035.Other predictions from companies and banks see oil demand peaking earlier. ENERGY SECURITY DEMAND BOOSTThe report said world oil demand will reach 103 million barrels per day in 2023, up 2.7 million bpd from 2022. By 2030, OPEC sees world demand averaging 108.3 million bpd, up from 2021, and lifted its 2045 figure to 109.8 million bpd from 108.2 million bpd in 2021.

☆ OPEC expected to stick to view of long-term oil demand rise
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-28 | by ( Alex Lawler | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is scheduled to update its long-term oil demand forecasts in its 2022 World Oil Outlook on Oct. 31. The 2021 version sees oil demand plateauing after 2035. The latest update is likely to keep OPEC among the more optimistic forecasters of oil demand. OPEC World Oil Outlook 2021"It is similar to last year in terms of the demand outlook," one of the OPEC sources said. LOWER PROJECTIONSLast year, OPEC saw oil demand reaching 108.2 million barrels per day in 2045, up from 90.6 million bpd in 2020.

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