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Manulife Investment Management's top plays in India
  + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailManulife Investment Management's top plays in IndiaManulife Investment Management's Rana Gupta likes large private sector banks as they remain profitable, and quick commerce companies that managed to defy a poor consumer season. He does see a risk of foreign promoters selling IPOs in India and cashing out, causing capital outflows.
Persons: Investment Management's Rana Gupta Organizations: Investment Locations: India, outflows
Memecoins have seen some of the biggest gains in the postelection crypto rally, but market leadership could soon flip to more "serious" tokens. "We don't expect the rally to resemble the '17 or '21 bull markets and would fade the rally for 99% of tokens in circulation with no intrinsic value," Shah said in a note this week. "We expect token prices to diverge in the near term as BTC and cash flow-generating tokens that power networks outperform meme tokens." "These tokens power blockchain operating systems, similar to Microsoft Windows, that enable developers to build applications like decentralized exchanges and Web3 platforms on top of them, creating networks with value." Avalanche's AVAX token has gained 36%, and the tokens tied to Uniswap and Polygon have gained 23% and 25%, respectively.
Persons: Memecoins, Donald Trump, Alkesh Shah, Shah, Avalanche's, Memecoin Shiba Inu, Elon Musk, Trump, ", bitcoin, , Ethereum, It's, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, BTC, Microsoft Windows, Uniswap, Elon, Government, Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, Solana Locations: AVAX, Ethereum
Bank stocks in particular got a lift amid speculation of increased deal activity. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR2. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR3. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR4. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg5.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, Michael Hartnett, Gold, Crypto Organizations: Investors, Bank, Bank of America, BofA Global Research, Bank of America Global Investment, Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg Locations: outflows
Hefty capital gains tax bills could be around the corner for investors in certain mutual funds. Fund families are notifying shareholders of estimated capital gains distributions for 2024, which they will issue to investors in December. This year has been a strong one for stocks, with the S & P 500 up more than 25%, and double-digit distributions from some mutual funds are on deck. See below for a few funds that are expected to spin out double-digit capital gains distributions this year, per Morningstar. If your losses exceed your capital gains, you can also apply up to $3,000 of them toward ordinary income on your federal return.
Persons: Morgan, Stephen Welch, Welch Organizations: Institutional Fund
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
Luxury brands face uncertainty after Donald Trump won the US presidential election. His victory spells trouble for the sector's hopes of a comeback in China. AdvertisementAmerica has elected a new president, paving an uncertain future for luxury brands looking to boost sales in China. Tariffs further complicate luxury's China issuesChina has been a reliable cash cow for luxury brands for decades. AdvertisementNationalism's rise doesn't play well for luxuryTrump's return to the White House is a signal of a wider issue facing luxury brands — rising nationalism.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Trump, Jelena Sokolova, Martin Roll, they'll, Cheng Xin, Gary Ng, Ng, Daniel Langer, Justin Sullivan, It's Organizations: Service, America, Beijing, Morningstar, Trump, McKinsey, Pepperdine University Locations: China, outflows, Russia, Europe
The Bank of America Institute found the top eight cities where people are moving for cheaper rent. "Consumers would rather pack their bags than pay a higher rent, and that can play out in two ways," Joe Wadford, an economist at the Bank of America Institute, tells CNBC Make It. Cleveland, Ohio Ken Redding | The Image Bank | Getty ImagesTop 8 U.S. cities where people are moving for cheaper rentCleveland, OhioIndianapolis, Ind. The state of Ohio had two cities land in the top 8 on the Bank of America Institute list. The city is home to major sports teams like the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Cleveland Guardians, and the Cleveland Browns.
Persons: Major metropolises, Joe Wadford, Wadford, Cleveland , Ohio Ken Redding, Bill Dickinson Organizations: of America Institute, Bank of America Institute, Bank of America, Las Vegas , Nevada Eyeem Mobile, Istock, Getty, CNBC, Bank, Cleveland, Cleveland Cavaliers, Cleveland Guardians, Cleveland Browns, Roll Hall of Fame, Cleveland Museum of Art, Columbus, Columbus Ohio Sky Locations: Las Vegas , Nevada, West, Northeast, New York, Boston, San Francisco, San Jose, Los Angeles, Cleveland , Ohio, Cleveland , Ohio Indianapolis, Ind, Las Vegas, Nev, Columbus , Ohio Jacksonville, Fla, Austin , Texas Phoenix, Ariz, Nashville, Tenn, Ohio, U.S, Columbus Ohio
The ETF industry is gearing up for some potentially seismic changes in 2025 and beyond. Policy changes from the SEC are hard to predict, but the ETF industry appears to sense an opening to push new types of products. Private credit funds One big area of focus for the ETF industry is how to tap into the private credit boom that has become a key part of the U.S. financial system. Fund issuers will need the SEC to bless new types of constructions in order to get a private credit fund approved. "For the most part, private credit is an investment that is limited to sophisticated investors and not retail investors," said Brian Murphy, a partner at law firm Stradley Ronon.
Persons: Republican Donald Trump, Gary Gensler, Kamala Harris, Todd Sohn, Brian Murphy, Stradley, You've, Gerard O'Reilly, What's, Matt Hougan, Harris, Sohn, " Sohn, Bitwise Organizations: Republican, Securities, Exchange, Democratic, SEC, State, Vanguard, BlackRock, Trump, solana
A sign for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) sign is displayed inside central bank's headquarters in Mumbai, India. The Reserve Bank of India would be able to tap its large foreign exchange reserves to defend the domestic currency in the event of global market volatility and an outflow of foreign funds, the sources said. There has been a record outflow of more than $10 billion in foreign funds from India stocks, while foreigners pulled $700 million from the debt market. Central bank officials have not committed to or signaled any timing for a rate cut. China's stimulus efforts, which could intensify if U.S. tariffs further hurt its economy, have been a factor driving foreign funds out of India and other emerging markets into China.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Republican, Democratic, Trump Locations: Mumbai, India, China, The U.S, Central
Bank of America shares the top eight cities people are moving to for cheaper rent. The rent hikes are driving people to move to cheaper areas, according to Bank of America. That discrepancy between Bank of America's data and the official rate of rent inflation indicates that people are moving to find more affordable rent instead of staying put, the bank said. Related Video Why rents are still setting record highs in some US citiesThis isn't a new trend — the pandemic led to many people moving to places with cheaper rent as remote work became normalized. Bank of America identified eight cities where people are moving to for cheaper rent below the national average, indicated by a net positive population inflow in Q3 2024.
Persons: Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Consumer, of, Consumers, Redfin Locations: West, Northeast, York, Boston, San Francisco, San Jose, Los Angeles, Southern
Investors have been heavily buying two very different categories of assets ahead of next week's election: bonds and bitcoin . Bank of America credit strategist Yuri Seliger highlighted a shift toward bond buying among fund investors over the past week. A look at the list of most popular ETFs on FactSet over the past week shows that the demand for bonds has been broad across categories. Funds for investment grade corporate bonds, municipal bonds, mortgage backed securities, long-term Treasury bonds and high yield bonds are all in the top 20 funds by inflows over the past week. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has raked in more than $2 billion of inflows over the past week, according to FactSet.
Persons: Yuri Seliger, Seliger, outflows Organizations: Bank of, HG, HY, Bank of America, , JPMorgan
RIYADH — Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson said the firm is focused on doing right by its clients, in her first public comments after the company saw its worst quarter for financial outflows in its history and the Securities and Exchange Commission started a probe into suspicious trading at its fixed-income unit. Franklin Templeton's fixed-income business has also dealt with years of underperformance, which many investors expected to reverse course as money moves into bonds and other fixed-income products, which make up about 30% of the firm's assets. Johnson told CNBC Wednesday that the issue with Western Asset Management was damaging, but stressed that it stemmed from an isolated case, and that supporting clients was Franklin Templeton's top focus. "We've had an issue at Western which is isolated to an individual and a subset of strategies, but there's definitely been outflows in those strategies," Johnson told CNBC's Dan Murphy in Riyadh. "I mean, the good news — Western has a significant amount of other strategies that are outside of this and have a lot of global clients there, but we've definitely been hurt by the issues on those three strategies."
Persons: Franklin Templeton, Jenny Johnson, Ken Leech, Franklin Templeton's, Johnson, Franklin, We've, CNBC's Dan Murphy Organizations: Securities and Exchange Commission, Western Asset Management, SEC, Financial Times, CNBC Wednesday, Franklin Templeton's Locations: RIYADH, California, outflows, Riyadh
Franklin Templeton CEO addresses reports of record outflows
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFranklin Templeton CEO addresses reports of record outflowsJenny Johnson, Franklin Templeton CEO, discusses the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's probe into Western Asset Management, a subsidiary of the company.
Persons: Franklin Templeton, Jenny Johnson Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange, Western Asset Management
With the Federal Reserve now cutting interest rates, investors are looking for stocks that can be super-charged by lower borrowing costs. Small and medium-sized companies tend to be the most closely affected by the direction of the economy and rates. Outflows were seen solely in large caps; small and mid-caps saw inflows." If money does keep flowing into small caps, will it come at the expense of large caps? .SPX mountain 2022-10-01 S & P 500 since Oct. 1, 2022 That said, if the move into the smaller caps stocks continues, we may start to see more competition for capital.
Persons: Russell, that's, it's, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang, Morgan Stanley's, We're, Canaccord Genuity, pare, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Michael Nagle Organizations: Federal Reserve, BMO Capital Markets, Bank of America, Nvidia, CNBC, Blackwell, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Devices, Broadcom, Apple Intelligence, Apple, Microsoft, Presidential, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
Watch CNBC's full interview with Man Group CEO Robyn Grew
  + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Man Group CEO Robyn GrewRobyn Grew, the CEO of the largest publicly traded hedge fund, says hedge funds are 'more relevant than ever,' even as the industry suffers from outflows and underperformance. For its part, Man Group, in the most-recent quarter, reversed two quarters of outflows and drove assets under management to a record $178 billion. In her first CNBC interview, marking her one year as CEO, Grew said that the need for hedge funds is even greater as interest rates remain high, despite recent cuts, because passive investing is "not as reliable as it was before."
Persons: Robyn Grew Robyn Grew, Grew Organizations: Man, CNBC Locations: outflows
Oil prices could surge past $200 a barrel if Iran's oil installations are taken offline, a chief commodities expert said. AdvertisementOil prices could roar past $200 a barrel if escalating tensions in the Middle East decimate Iran's crude output, a chief commodities analyst told CNBC. In the $200 per barrel scenario, Brent crude, the international benchmark, would gain 161% from its current price. Still, some investors are betting on the possibility of damaged oil output, Bloomberg reports. These restrictions were introduced to prop up oil prices, but have cost the alliance market share.
Persons: , SEB's Bjarne Schieldrop, Schieldrop, Brent, Bob McNally, haven't Organizations: Service, CNBC, Traders, Bloomberg Locations: Iran, Hormuz, Israel, Lebanon, Libya, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh
Saudi Arabia's oil minister says crude prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel. AdvertisementSaudi Arabia's oil minister says oil prices could fall as low as $50 per barrel if OPEC+ keeps overproducing, according to a Wall Street Journal report. $50 per barrel oil would drag Brent crude, the international benchmark, down 33% from current levels. The Saudi minister called out Iraq, which surpassed its quota by 400,000 barrels per day in August, according to S&P Global Ratings data. The OPEC leader caused prices to fall below $10 per barrel in 1986 after boosting output to penalize other producers.
Persons: , Prince Abdulaziz bin, Brent, That's Organizations: Service, Wall, Financial Times, OPEC Locations: Saudi, Lebanon, Iran, Kazakhstan, Riyadh, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, OPEC
The paper represents the most comprehensive analysis to date on the combined impact of Trump’s trade, immigration and Fed proposals. In that scenario, employment would be 9% lower than baseline by 2028 and inflation would surge to 9.3% by 2026. “So-called economists and experts doubted President Trump’s economic plans in his first term. That means the same factory workers Trump says he is trying to help would be hurt the most. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who was nominated by Trump in 2017, cautioned against any effort to interfere with Fed independence.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , Warwick McKibbin, Megan Hogan, Marcus Noland, they’ll, ” Karoline Leavitt, Trump’s, Kamala Harris, Harris, ” Trump, McKibbin, Mark Zandi, , Jerome Powell, ” Powell, We’re Organizations: CNN, Republican, Federal Reserve, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Peterson Institute, Trump, Security, , Peterson, Moody’s, Bloomberg Locations: United States, China, America, Georgia, Michigan, outflows
Without the promise of profits, American firms are also becoming less willing to go to bat for China — to reinforce the idea that China's market is crucial to the success of their futures. No demandAfter pandemic lockdowns ended in 2023, the Chinese economy experienced what is known on Wall Street as a "dead cat bounce." What money Chinese consumers are still able to spend is increasingly going to companies that grew up in their home country. Related storiesWhat money Chinese consumers are still able to spend is increasingly going to companies that grew up in their home country. It gives corporations, already under financial pressure as China's economy declines, even less reason to act as interlocutors encouraging stability between Washington and Beijing.
Persons: Washington —, Xi Jinping, Lee Miller, lockdowns, They're, Xi, Yi Gang, Michael Pettis, Tesla, Elon Musk, it's, Ball, Jamie Dimon, It's, China's, Goldman Sachs, Ray Dalio, seeping, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, , Trump, Biden, we're, Cordell Hull Organizations: Apple, Nike, Chinese Communist Party, People's Bank of, Carnegie Endowment, China Business Council, Starbucks, Street, Bridgewater Associates, Beijing, East Asia State Department, CCP, Trump, State Department, Republicans, Financial, Broadcom, Nvidia, Biden Administration Locations: China, America, Beijing, Washington, American, South China, Taiwan, People's Bank of China, Shanghai
And so it is with Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway slashing its holdings in Apple and Bank of America in recent months. Buffett himself has indicated in recent years that he doesn't see an abundance of compelling value on offer in the public markets. But this in itself isn't much of a clue about future market prospects or the macroeconomic moment. Borgato says he believes "Buffett wants to leave a Berkshire behind that requires [fewer] future cash allocation decisions, not more." I'm not a buyer of the "cash on the sidelines" case for expecting money market assets to drain into stocks.
Persons: , Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Ed Borgato, it's, pare Berkshire's, Greg Abel, Berkshire Hathaway, BRK.B QUAL, Ajit Jain, Trump, Borgato, Jared Woodard Organizations: Apple, Bank of America, Bank of, Buffett, Berkshire, Berkshire Hathaway, Washington Locations: Berkshire's, Berkshire, Apple,
Gold is already near the top of the 2024 range of outcomes projected by BlackRock Investment Institute, for example. Emerging market central banks have about 6% of their FX reserves in gold, and developed markets have about 12%. "Weaponizing dollar-based systems, including SWIFT , has led to more people, more countries specifically — more sovereign wealth funds and central banks — not trusting dollar-based assets as much. ETF flows As central banks have been bidding up gold, smaller investors were selling for much of this year. The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) and the Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) are the other funds with at least $100 million in net inflows this year, according to FactSet.
Persons: there's, Robert Minter, Minter, SWIFT, Lauren Goodwin, we're, Chris Verrone Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, BlackRock Investment Institute, Abrdn, World Gold Council, U.S ., FX, United, Russia, New York Life Investments, MiniShares, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Abrdn . Central, Central, United States, Ukraine
The rise comes amid anticipation that the Fed will deliver a half-point rate cut. Investors are anticipating the Federal Reserve's long-awaited rate cut tomorrow, which will be announced at the end of the central bank's two-day policy meeting. Regardless of the size of the cut, investors buying up bitcoin are anticipating the looser lending conditions will lead to more speculative behavior. We could be seeing a recovery of investors' appetite for risk-on assets like crypto, instigating more flows into Bitcoin spot ETFs," said Leena ElDeeb, a research analyst at 21Shares. Seasonal factors weakened the spot bitcoin ETF inflows this summer while deteriorating macro conditions drove investors toward safe, risk-off assets.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley, Tuesday's, Leena ElDeeb, Alex Kuptsikevich, Bill Dudley Organizations: Service, New York
Analysts are increasingly recommending defensive stocks to blunt the impact of an economic slowdown. The S&P 500's consumer staples sector has risen more than 4% in the last month. AdvertisementAmid fears of a recession and increased market volatility, analysts have been pointing to defensive stocks as a safe bet to hedge macro risk. Among defensive sectors — which include things like real estate and financials — investors recently have been pouring into consumer staples in particular. With the Federal Reserve likely to finally cut rates at its meeting this week, defensive stocks could be poised for further growth.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley's, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Service, Retailers, Walmart, Target, Bank of America, P Global Semiconductor, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: cyclicals
Economists have long called for an overhaul of the nation's retirement age laws, currently among the world's lowest, which was set in an era of lower life expectancies. Raising the retirement age would help ease local governments' pension pool cash crunch, Sheana Yue, an economist from Oxford Economics said. Still, "more needs to be done to improve retirement adequacy," Maybank's Tay said, while stating that China needs a stronger pension plan and diversified investment avenues to ensure sustainable retirement savings. China's Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security has added a few tools for citizens to check their indicated retirement age on its website and mobile app. China may roll out "another round of delay in the late 2030s, especially if China's pension fund balance is tight," Xu cautioned.
Persons: Erica Tay, Tay, Bruce Pang, Tianchen Xu, Xu, Yue, Maybank's Tay Organizations: Getty, Maybank Investment Banking Group, CNBC, Economist Intelligence Unit, Oxford Economics, Academy of Social Sciences, China's Ministry of Human Resources, Social Security Locations: Fuyang, China, JLL, Beijing
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