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Rates pop ahead of CPI data
  + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRates pop ahead of CPI dataCNBC's Rick Santelli joins 'Power Lunch' with latest news on the bond market.
Persons: Rick Santelli
Inflation is not deadDaly began her talk with an anecdote of a recent encounter she had while walking near her home. But the conversation encapsulated a dilemma for the Fed: If inflation is on the run, why are interest rates still so high? As evidenced by the young man's question, convincing people that inflation is easing is a tough sell. watch nowThe annual rate of CPI inflation was 2.4% in September, a vast improvement over the 9.1% top in June 2022. However, year-over-year spending increased just 1.7%, below the 2.4% CPI inflation rate.
Persons: Brandon Bell, Goldman Sachs, Mary Daly, Daly, Goldman, Jerome Powell, , hasn't, haven't Organizations: Walmart, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, New York University Stern School of Business, Commerce Department, Fed, York Fed, Bank of America, National Federation of Independent Business Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, , Wyoming, Atlanta, York
Prices fall at the gas pumpAnnual food inflation is 'fairly tame'Frederic J. "What happens there can really move the dial when it comes to overall inflation and core inflation." CPI shelter inflation — which includes rental prices and an equivalent measure for homeowners — has gradually declined but remained stubbornly high. In September, shelter inflation throttled back on a monthly basis, to 0.2% from 0.5% in August. "Shelter inflation is now definitively moderating," Zandi said.
Persons: David Paul Morris, It's, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Sarah House, Frederic J, Brown, , That's, that's Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S . Federal Reserve, AFP, CPI Locations: Wells Fargo
A blockbuster jobs report raises the stakes for upcoming inflation data, BofA analysts say. AdvertisementThe September jobs report was good news, but it gives investors more reason to brace for the next inflation reading, Bank of America analysts say. Economists forecast the CPI report will show inflation continued to cool last month, rising 2.3% year-over-year compared to 2.5% in August. AdvertisementHowever, with the blockbuster September jobs report, some economists say inflation is still a concern. The September jobs report blew past forecasts, with 254,000 nonfarm payrolls added compared to expectations of 150,000.
Persons: , Brian Rose Organizations: Service, Bank of America, CPI, Fed, UBS
So when worldwide events like the Covid-19 pandemic push inflation well above that 2% target, it can be a real shock to consumers. There are a handful of retail categories, dominated by consumer electronics, that buck the trend and are actually cheaper now than they were before the pandemic, based on a CNBC review of CPI categories in June 2024 compared with June 2019. Same price, better valueEven when annual inflation was at its peak, prices for consumer electronics consistently showed signs of deflation. Such hedonic adjustments — the term BLS uses to describe it's adjustments for changes in item quality — span the whole consumer price index and include categories from men's underwear to home computers to refrigerators. Why televisions continue to be cheapBut hedonic adjustments can't account for everything when the CPI is registering drops in prices.
Persons: it's, Andrew Csicsila, That's, Csicsila Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, CNBC, CPI, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Americas
All three major averages closed higher for the week, driven by softer retail sales and consumer price data for April. And the data has been mostly good, with 78% reporting a positive earnings surprise and 60% delivering a positive sales surprise. But we will get earnings from three portfolio companies, including one of our two "own, don't trade" stocks. In the week ahead, three portfolio companies will report results, while it will be fairly slow for economic data, except for a couple of housing reports. Earnings : After a week without earnings from any Club stocks, we'll get three this coming week.
Persons: Dow Jones, Dow, we'll, TJX, Blackwell, Li Auto, James Hardie, Ralph Lauren Corporation, Booz Allen, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jensen Huang, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Wall, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, CPI, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, TJX Companies, Nvidia, Nexxen, Alto Networks, Video Communications, Trip.com, James Hardie Industries N.V, Nordson Corp, Keysight Technologies, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, Lowe's Companies, Eagle Materials, Toll, ViaSat, Urban Outfitters, Target Corp, Devices, Dorian LPG, Dycom, Golden Ocean Group, Petco, Wellness Company, Sonoma, WSM, VF Corp, Star Bulk Carriers Corp, LiveRamp Holdings, Chemical & Mining Co, Grupo Supervielle S.A, BJ's Wholesale, Technologies, TD Bank Group, Intuit, Ross Stores, Booz Allen Hamilton Holding, Mesa Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Intelligence, SAP Center Locations: Palo Alto, Williams, Chile, San Jose , California
Traders appear increasingly confident that the U.S. Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates as early as September, after inflation data cooled more than expected in April. Traders are currently pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Jerome Schneider, head of short-term portfolio management at PIMCO, said on Thursday that the latest U.S. inflation data confirmed to investors that the potential for a near-term rate hike was now "off the table." "I think more contextually, we have to really understand that we have celebrated a lower inflation rate, the market has. But, in context, at PIMCO we're specifically thinking about the longer-term trajectory of how the Fed is going to react to this data," Schneider told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe."
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Schneider, we're, Schneider, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, U.S . Federal, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, PIMCO
Thirty-year mortgage interest rates have been holding steady after dipping below 7% earlier this month, according to Zillow data. Once the Fed is able to start cutting rates, mortgage rates should also go down. On the other hand, if April's CPI data shows signs of cooling, mortgage rates could inch down a bit further. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email‘Very little fear' in market ahead of CPI report, CBOE’S Mandy Xu findsMandy Xu, CBOE, joins 'Fast Money' to talk volatility in the market and upcoming inflation read.
Persons: Mandy Xu Organizations: CPI
Israel's strike on Iran caused oil prices to spike, sparking fears of rising inflation. But US inflation is more impacted by strong domestic demand than by oil prices, an economist told Bloomberg TV. Oil prices gained as much as 4% following reports of the attack before later subsiding. Services is demand, and that demand needs to come from somewhere — and that's a robust economy," Chaar told Bloomberg. "I would say the biggest challenge here for the Fed is to manage the demand of the US economy," Chaar said.
Persons: , Samy Chaar, Lombard Odier, Jerome Powell, Chaar Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Fed, Bloomberg TV, Federal, Services, Institute for Supply Management Locations: Iran, Israel, , Swiss, America
In short, the rent is too damn high — and it’s keeping inflation and interest rates elevated alongside it. We’ll see if they’re right on Tuesday morning when February’s CPI data is due out. “Shelter inflation has been a big focal point for the market,” they wrote in a note on Monday. “We remain confident that [rent prices] will flatline in 2024, rather than fall,” Capital Economics analyst Thomas Ryan wrote in a recent note. That means a current deceleration in rent prices won’t be fully factored into inflation data until February 2025.
Persons: Greg McBride, , Jerome Powell, “ It’s, Powell, aren’t, , Thomas Ryan, Ritti Singh, Singh, won’t, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, Clare Duffy, Reddit, it’s, That’s, Matt Egan, Joe Biden, Bespoke’s Paul Hickey, ” Hickey Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, ” Capital, Housing Justice, Fed, Dallas Fed, AAA, Federal, Investment Locations: New York
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementExperts maintain that any hikes this year are unlikely, but say it's notable how they have creeped back into the policy conversation once again. "You can't say zero probability for something to break in the event of another rate hike," Jason Draho, head of asset allocation in the Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management, told Business Insider. "That last mile [of inflation] will be harder to obtain," Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise Financial's chief market strategist, told Business Insider. "The Fed's erring on the side of hawkishness," Hunter told Business Insider.
Persons: , Larry Summers, Summers, Jason Draho, you'd, Goldman Sachs, Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise, Paul Mielczarski, Mielczarski, Ameriprise's Saglimbene, Andrew Hunter, Hunter Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, PPI, Fed, Former, Bloomberg, Traders, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics Locations: Americas, OER, Brandywine, hawkishness
A trader reacts as a screen displays the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 31, 2024. The U.S. stock market is in a "very dangerous" spot as persistently strong jobs numbers and wage growth suggest the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes have not had the desired effect, according to Cole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management. The figures came after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would likely not cut rates in March, as some market participants had anticipated. "We know the Fed has raised rates, we know that caused a banking run last spring and we know that's damaged the bond market. The Fed has not affected wage growth, which continues to outpunch inflation as we speak, and I look at the wage growth as a really good picture of inflationary pressures going forward."
Persons: Cole Smead, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Smead, CNBC's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Smead Capital Management, CPI, Wage Locations: New York City, U.S
'A gigantic bounce back'Admission prices for sporting events jumped 25.1% in October 2023 from the same month a year prior, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index data. There's also an alignment of attention-grabbing sporting events taking place this fall. Sports ticket prices were 14.2% higher in October than in November 2019, a smaller gain than the entire index's 19.6% increase, a CNBC analysis of CPI data shows. "We're seeing a gigantic bounce back in prices," Matheson said. StubHub said ticket prices across the top 10 sporting events were 15% higher in 2022 than they were in 2023.
Persons: John Brown, Bryan M, Bennett, Dan Hornberger, That's, Victor Matheson, Matheson, There's, Lionel Messi's, Taylor Swift, StubHub, Rodney Paul, Paul Organizations: Buffalo Bills, New England Patriots, Highmark, Getty, National Football, Philadelphia Eagles, Bureau of Labor Statistics, College of, Inter Miami, Sports, CNBC, NFL, Major League Baseball, National Hockey League, NBA, Syracuse University Locations: Orchard Park , New York, Las Vegas
LONDON, Nov 21 (Reuters) - The shares and bonds of CPI Property Group (O5G.DE) fell sharply on Tuesday after short-selling hedge fund Muddy Waters said it had bet against the credit of the Luxembourg-based commercial landlord. In a report, seen by Reuters, the fund said CPI Property Group's controlling shareholder, Czech billionaire Radovan Vitek, had misstated the value of the company. CPI Property Group's Frankfurt-listed shares were last down 2.8% on the day, while the price of its 2027 medium-term note fell 3.5 cents on the day to 70.259, data from Tradeweb showed. Muddy Waters did not specify against which bond it had taken a short position and the company has several outstanding notes listed. CPI Property Group owns properties in Germany, the Czech Republic, Poland and elsewhere in Central and Eastern Europe.
Persons: Muddy Waters, Radovan Vitek, Nell Mackenzie, Amanda Cooper, Jason Neely Organizations: CPI, Reuters, Group's, CPI Property Group, Thomson Locations: Muddy, Luxembourg, Czech, Group's Frankfurt, Tradeweb, Germany, Czech Republic, Poland, Central, Eastern Europe
Jim Cramer breaks down the October CPI report
  + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer breaks down the October CPI report'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer takes a closer look at today's market rally and latest batch of CPI numbers.
Persons: Jim Cramer
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOctober CPI numbers show we've left spiraling prices behind, says Jim Cramer'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer takes a closer look at today's market rally and latest batch of CPI numbers.
Persons: Jim Cramer
That changed in September when U.S. central bank officials themselves sensed that progress on housing inflation might have stalled. Data released on Thursday confirmed a jump in shelter prices that, for a month at least, bucked the trend. "The uptick in housing inflation this month was the key surprise. Housing inflation will need to decline sharply over the coming months for us to see inflation near 2%." In the list of risks for inflation to remain elevated, Fed officials in September pointed to "the effects of a strong housing market."
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Olu Sonola, aren't, Jerome Powell, Kathy Bostjancic, disinflation Powell, Andrew Hunter, CoreLogic, Hunter, Howard Schneider, Paul Simao, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Federal Reserve, Fitch, Fed, Nationwide, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Capital Economics, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S
Canadian dollar dips as oil prices pull back
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto January 23, 2015. REUTERS/Mark Blinch/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary Canadian dollar weakens 0.1% against the greenbackTrades in a range of 1.3572 to 1.3623Price of U.S. oil settles 2.9% lower10-year yield eases 6.1 basis pointsTORONTO, Oct 11 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar edged lower against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday, giving back some recent gains, as oil prices fell and investors turned attention to a key U.S. inflation report. On Tuesday, it touched its strongest intraday level since Oct. 2 at 1.3567, supported by a drop in bond yields globally and higher oil prices after conflict broke out over the weekend in the Middle East. I think that's one of the reasons that CAD is a little weaker today," said Erik Bregar, director, FX & precious metals risk management at Silver Gold Bull. U.S. crude oil futures settled 2.9% lower at $83.49 a barrel after top OPEC producer Saudi Arabia pledged to help stabilize the market.
Persons: Mark Blinch, Price, Erik Bregar, Bregar, clawing, Fergal Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, U.S, Bull, Saudi, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Thursday's U.S
Higher energy costs led to a bigger-than-expected spike in Canadian inflation, overnight data showed, lifting the loonie and triggering selling in the Treasury market. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2007 at 4.371% overnight and were last at 4.36%. The Fed meeting leads a week jammed with central bank meetings and data over the next few days. British inflation figures are due on Wednesday, followed by central bank meetings in Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Britain and Japan on Thursday. Rising yields have kept a lid on gold prices, with spot gold last trading at $1,929 an ounce.
Persons: Brent, presser, Jerome Powell's, Sam Rines, Powell presser, Masato Kanda, Kristina Clifton, Miral Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Brent, Nikkei, U.S, STERLING, OF CPI, Bank of, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: presser China, SINGAPORE, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Texas, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Britain, U.S, China, Australia, Argentina
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies Spirit Airlines slips on revenue outlook cutFord rises on plans to double production of pickup trucksConsumer prices data due at 8:30 a.m. ETFutures down: Dow 0.12%, S&P 0.12%, Nasdaq 0.15%Sept 13 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures inched lower on Wednesday as higher oil prices fuel worries about sticky inflation and stoke interest-rate concerns ahead of CPI data. "All indications are that higher oil costs are going to influence the headline inflation print. Investors will also closely monitor August producer prices and retail sales data on Thursday ahead of the Fed's Sept. 20 policy decision.
Persons: Mike Segar, Tim Waterer, Li Auto, Ankika Biswas, Shristi, Shubham Batra, Savio D'Souza, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Spirit Airlines, Dow, Nasdaq, stoke, Labor, KCM, Federal Reserve, Dow e, Apple, Li, European Commission, Sprit Airlines, Moderna, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Xpeng, Bengaluru
Goldman Sachs expects August headline CPI to rise 3.58% annually, up from July's 3.2% gain. Strategists wrote Monday they expect to key trends to emerge, including a 3.1% decline in used car prices. CarsThe strategists said used car prices should fall 3.1% in August from July, reflecting lower auction prices. Goldman Sachs estimates used car prices to fall in August. Shelter inflation will remain roughly at its current pace in August, Goldman Sachs says.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Transportation Goldman, CPI Locations: Wall, Silicon
Wall Street gains, dollar eases ahead of CPI report
  + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
[1/2] People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. The relatively languid session appeared to be the calm before a storm of U.S. economic data this week, with Wednesday's crucial consumer prices report (CPI) paramount. "Investors are focusing on how they will respond to Wednesday's CPI report," Stovall added. Emerging market stocks rose 0.48%. Gold prices headed higher in opposition to the dollar.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Kazuo Ueda, Sterling, Brent, Stephen Culp, Amanda Cooper, William Maclean, Angus MacSwan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank of, Nasdaq, Tesla Inc, CFRA Research, CPI, U.S, Financial, Bank of Japan, Dow Jones, Bank's, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bank of Japan, New York, U.S . Federal, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Russian, Saudi, London
CNN —Players competing in the top-tier of women’s football in Spain will go on strike for the opening two weeks of the new season after a pay dispute, players’ union FUTPRO announced on Thursday. The dispute between the five unions representing the players – including many of Spain’s World Cup-winning squad – and Liga F primarily came about because of a disagreement in the minimum salary for players and the wage gap which exists. The new Liga F season was scheduled to kick off this weekend, with the first game meant to be held on Friday night with Sevilla hosting UD Granadilla Tenerife. FIFA, soccer’s global governing body, suspended Rubiales for 90 days while disciplinary proceedings are underway. He was replaced by Montse Tomé, the first woman in Spanish national team history to hold the position.
Persons: FUTPRO, , ” FUTPRO, , Luis Rubiales, La Roja, Jennifer Hermoso, Hermoso, Rubiales, TAD, Jorge Vilda, Montse Tomé Organizations: CNN — Players, , Liga F, Liga, CPI, ” Liga, , Sevilla, UD Granadilla Tenerife, Rubiales, Royal Spanish Football Federation, Spanish, FIFA, women’s Locations: Spain, Rubiales, Spanish
Enes EvrenInvestors piled into Series I bonds amid record yields, and some are now eyeing an exit for higher-interest alternatives. After reaching 9.62% annual interest in May 2022, I bond yields have declined with falling inflation, reaching 4.3% interest for new purchases from May through October. However, the U.S. Department of the Treasury still needs two months of CPI readings before the next I bond rate change. "It's falling back in line with I bond inflation rates we had before the pandemic," said Ken Tumin, founder and editor of DepositAccounts.com. While longer-term investors may like the current 0.9% fixed rate portion of I bond yields, short-term investors may prefer higher-paying alternatives.
Persons: Enes, Ken Tumin, Jeremy Keil, Keil, Tumin, " Keil Organizations: U.S . Department of, Treasury, Treasury Department, Federal Reserve, Keil Financial Partners Locations: Milwaukee
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