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Across the country Tuesday, counties moved toward Trump by a median of 3.1 percentage points compared to the 2020 election. But in the top 10% of counties ranked most difficult for buying a home, the median shift was 4.5 percentage points. In Passaic County, New Jersey, with a population of more than 500,000, voters flipped for Trump by nearly 19 percentage points. Nearby in Pennsylvania, Northampton County — which narrowly tipped red with a shift of 3 percentage points — has a similar story. But not all high-challenge housing counties swung toward Trump.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, wasn’t, , Robert Shapiro, Harris, ” Shapiro, It’s, , Bernard Fraga, Fraga, Joe Biden, ” Fraga, Organizations: NBC, Trump, Republicans, Columbia University, “ Voters, Democratic, Emory University Locations: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Passaic County , New Jersey, America, In Passaic, Northampton County —, Northampton, Mesa County, Mesa,
I spoke to voters and a mayor in Northampton, one of two bellwether counties in Pennsylvania. The mayor told me that politics are local — and the election will likely come down to grocery bills. Both Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump were in Pennsylvania on the same Monday, courting voters at a rally and town hall respectively. There was 46-year-old Michelle Kerns, who said she doesn't think Harris gets enough credit for easing inflation. I heard many iterations of "I'm not following the election" or "I'm sick of talking about it" on Monday afternoon.
Persons: , Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Trump, Salvatore J, Panto, he's, Harris, Alice Tecotzky, Ann Hess, Hess, Vivian M, Michelle Kerns, Kerns, Daryl Thompson, Bob George, Beer, Edward Pyatt, Pyatt, George, didn't, I'm Organizations: Service, Democratic, Walmart, Wall Street Journal, Trump, Easton Locations: Northampton, Pennsylvania, Forks, Palmer, Pennsylvania —, Easton, Bethlehem, Northampton County, Kamala, Forks Township, Palmer Township
CNN —Joan London knew when Tuesday’s debate began she would not vote for Donald Trump. Until this week’s debate in Philadelphia, though, she planned to honor her conservative principles and write in some other Republican. Her decision to back Vice President Kamala Harris was the most significant shift in the reaction we received from this group of voters during the debate and in its immediate aftermath. “Trump came off as irrational and desperate.”Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during the presidential debate at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia on September 10. Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg/Getty ImagesOther Harris voters delighted in her success distracting and rattling Trump.
Persons: Joan London, Donald Trump, “ Harris, , Ronald Reagan’s, Nikki Haley, Trump, Kamala Harris, Chris Mudd, “ Trump, Kamala, ” Lisa Reissman, Harris, ” Reissman, Saul Loeb, Joe Biden, Biden, Davette Baker, Larry Malinconico, “ Kamala Harris, Linda Rooney, Haley, Rooney, “ She’s, ” Rooney, , “ Kamala, Cynthia Sabatini, ” Sabatini, Sabatini, “ I’m, Antonio Munoz, Munoz, ” Munoz, Zoila Sanchez, Sanchez, “ Donald Trump, ” Allen Naparalla, Naparalla, Doug Mills, Marvin Boyer, Donald, Natalya Orlando, Priscilla Forsyth, “ Kamala Harris ’, Rachel Kulak, Jaclyn Taylor, “ Kamala didn’t, ” Billy Pierce, ” Debbie Katsanos, Betsy Sarcone, Stanley Tremblay, we’ve, ” Gina Cilento Organizations: CNN, Republican, South Carolina Gov, , Trump, GOP, National Constitution Center, African American Democratic, Lafayette College, ” Voters, Harris, Media, Reagan Republican, Las, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty, Trump loyalists, Democratic Locations: London, Berks County, Philadelphia, United States, Ukraine, Russia, Cedar Falls , Iowa, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Northampton County , Pennsylvania, Delaware County, Las Vegas, Nevada, Cedarburg , Wisconsin, , New Hampshire, Sioux City , Iowa, Richmond , Virginia, Iowa, South Carolina
“Wow, we’re losing Joe Biden,” said Murphy, 83, a retiree who keeps busy teaching the Chinese tile game Mahjong to fellow seniors. You know, she’s, she’s at the perfect age. And I think she’s up to the challenge in that regard.”Boyer knows his innate optimism is about to be tested. “I think that she should be able to push his buttons.”What voters want to see from HarrisPat Levin for months bristled at the Biden age conversation. CNNHer advice to Harris is telling – so many voters who were loyal to Biden are now blunt about what was missing.
Persons: Darrell Ann Murphy, we’re, Joe Biden, , Murphy, “ Joe, Easton, Biden, Catherine Long, Long, ” Mary Ann Horvath, ” Horvath, ” Murphy, Kamala Harris, Harris, Pamela Aita, , Hillary Clinton, Roe, Wade, she’s, She’s, ‘ let’s, let’s, ’ ’ ’ Murphy, Josh Shapiro, , ” CNN's John King, Marvin Boyer, ” Boyer, Donald Trump, Trump, “ There’s, “ Will, Larry Malinconico, ” Malinconico, Malinconico, Biden’s Harris, Harris ., didn’t, Harris Pat Levin, ” Levin, Pat Levin, John King, ” Biden, Franklin Roosevelt’s, I’ve, “ I’ve Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, White, Times, Democratic, CNN Local, Easton, Democratic Party, Biden, Lafayette College, CNN Locations: Easton, Pennsylvania, Northampton, Northampton County, Bethlehem, American, , United States
Atlanta CNN —Larry Malinconico went to bed worried about President Joe Biden’s debate performance. “I’m extremely concerned,” Malinconico said just after the CNN debate Thursday night. She is still planning to vote Biden, but her reaction was also quite telling. “Why not allow Kennedy on stage,” he said of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who failed to meet the CNN debate criteria. — Trump supporters approved of his debate performance but there was no evidence in our group that he gained support.
Persons: Larry Malinconico, Joe Biden’s, “ I’m, ” Malinconico, , Biden, , Malinconico, , Pat Levin, Levin, Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Biden –, “ Biden, ” Levin, ” Michael Pesce, Trump, ” Pesce, , Pesce, I’m, Davette Baker, Donald, Matt Vrahiotes, Vrahiotes, Kennedy, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, ’ ”, Antonio Munoz, – –, Christine Ngyuen, Anushka Jalistagi, — Trump, Kim Cavaliere, ” Ibrahim Ghazal, “ Trump, ” Ghazal, ” Linda Rooney, Rooney Organizations: Atlanta CNN, CNN, Trump, California Gov, Reagan Republican, Biden, Republicans, Democratic, Wayne State University, , of Michigan, College Democrats, , Hamas, Republican Locations: Northampton County , Pennsylvania, Northampton County, California, Bucks County, Philadelphia, Northampton, African American, Milwaukee, Hall County , Georgia, America, Vegas, Atlanta, Decatur, , Detroit, Palestinian, Israel
But don’t expect committed Donald Trump voters to suddenly waver because their candidate is now a convicted felon. “This does not impact my plans to vote Republican. Linda Rooney is a Haley supporter from Media, Pennsylvania, wrestling with whether to cast a reluctant Trump vote or write in the former South Carolina governor or someone else. “I looked briefly at some of those things, and it just doesn’t hold water.”Former Trump voter Joan London had a mixed take on the convictions. Lots of Biden voters I talk to.”Pat Levin, another Biden voter in Northampton County, said of the verdict: “It supports and reinforces I believe in the rule of Law.
Persons: don’t, Donald Trump, , Billy Pierce, “ Biden, Trump, , Joe Biden, Andrew Konchek, Bill Clinton’s, Cohen, Who’s, Michael Cohen, Debbie Katsanos, , I’m, Chris Mudd, ” Mudd, Betsy Sarcone, Nikki Haley, Biden, “ I’ve, ” Pierce, Konchek, , Matt Vrahiotes, ” Vrahiotes, you’ve, I’ll, ” Jan Gardner, ” Gardner, Hillary Clinton, Devin McIver, Linda Rooney, Haley, Rooney, Irma Fralic, it’s, ” Fralic, Joan London, Michael Cohen’s, Darrell Ann Murphy, Murphy, he’s, ” Pat Levin, ” David Moore, ” Moore, Jade Gray, Nanette Mees, Joanna Brooks Organizations: CNN, Trump, Democrats can’t, Iowa Trump, America, Biden, Republican, Republican National Convention, Media, South, White House, , University of Michigan, College Democrats Locations: Hartsville , South Carolina, Manhattan, York, New Hampshire, Iowa, Hall County , Georgia, Dunwoody, an Atlanta, Media , Pennsylvania, South Carolina, New York, Montgomery, Pennsylvania, Trump . London, London, Northampton County , Pennsylvania, Northampton County, Nogales , Arizona, Loudon County , Virginia, Milwaukee
The biggest takeaway came from the reviews of voters like Lang: loyal Democrats who have raised important policy and performance issues about the president. On Thursday, these voters saw a president who was listening to their concerns, but they also said that steps in the right direction did not mean the problem was solved. In Biden’s speech, Lang saw some proof that his team is listening. She is more conservative than Biden but saw things to like in his speech, including his “commitment to democracy.”Two topics hit home. “Striking to hear President Biden call for free preschool, but not support the right of families like mine to use our own tax dollars for K-12 education,” Gurr said.
Persons: Angela Lang, Joe Biden’s, , Lang, ” Priscilla Forsyth, ” Forsyth, Nikki Haley, ” Lang, Forsyth, Donald Trump, Darrell Ann Murphy, , Trump, Mickey Brown, Jade Gray, Michiganders, Wisconsin Lang, Biden, ” Davette Baker, ” Baker, . Nevada Zoila Sanchez, ” Antonio Munoz, ” Munoz, Laken Riley, ” Riley, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Valeria Gurr, ” Gurr, Murphy, “ Strong, , ” Murphy, Larry Malinconico, ” Malinconico, Malinconico, ” Brown, Pat Levin, Brown, ” New Hampshire Pete Burdett, Haley, ” Burdett, “ Don’t, ” Trump, Debbie Katsanos, “ I’ve, ” Katsanos, Iowa Forsyth, Shannen Ebersole, ” Ebersole, South Carolina Billy Pierce, Republican badgering, Pierce, Michigan Gray, “ Biden, ” Gray Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, University of Michigan, school’s College Democrats, Black, Communities, African, Reagan Republican, Alabama, Las, Republican, Lafayette College, South Carolina, Navy Locations: Joe Biden’s State, Milwaukee, Iowa, Easton , Pennsylvania, Bethlehem , Pennsylvania, Gaza, Wisconsin, . Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Northampton County, Easton, Bethlehem, ” New Hampshire, New, Sioux City, Forsyth, Ringgold County, South, Hartsville , South Carolina, Israel
Over the course of several days, The Associated Press interviewed a cross section of voters in Northampton County to ask whether Biden's messaging around the fate of democracy was resonating. These voters represented parts of the very coalition Biden will need to win Pennsylvania again — Black voters, Latinos, independents and moderates from both parties. A Biden campaign spokesperson said the democracy message is central to the campaign but it is not the only one the campaign will use to reach voters. Getting Black voters engaged is going to take more from Biden, she believes, because so far his campaign messages have not resonated. But Lopez thinks messages of fear and Trump imperiling American democracy are essentially meaningless for many of the county's working class voters.
Persons: Raymond Santiago, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Santiago isn't, , Trump, ” Biden, Evelyn Fermin, , Curt Balch, Balch, ’ ” Balch, Christian Miller, That's, Miller, ” Miller, Christopher Borick, Harry Truman, Republican Thomas Dewey, ” Borick, Hillary Clinton, Anna Kodama, Kodama, “ That’s, Esther Lee, Lee, Guillermo Lopez Jr, Lopez Organizations: Bethlehem Steel, Hispanic, GOP, Northampton County, Trump, Independence Hall, Associated Press, Biden, Pennsylvania, , Lehigh Hispanic, U.S, Capitol, Biden’s, Republican, Republican Party, Institute of Public, Muhlenberg University, Democrats, NAACP, Lehigh, AP Locations: BETHLEHEM, Pa, Lehigh, Northampton County, Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, Valley Forge , Pennsylvania, America, Philadelphia, New Jersey, Dominican Republic, Hellertown, Nazareth, Northampton, Allentown, Ohio, Europe, Emmaus
"I can go down the list and check things: incumbency, check Wild; inflation, check Scheller; district reconfiguration, check Scheller; abortion issue, check Wild." The Pennsylvania Senate race is also hotly contestedWith the Republican Toomey retiring, CNN projected Pennsylvania could flip; NPR agreed, saying it's the "most likely Senate seat to change hands." Chen said that Oz is "continuing to close on" Fetterman, though, because Pennsylvania voters, "especially in the Lehigh Valley, are willing to split their tickets." That poll showed 34% of surveyed voters listed inflation as their most important issue in the election, followed by 28% of surveyed voters who named abortion. "Those are all issues that if we don't maintain a United States Senate, control of the United States Senate, I think this country could be really in danger," Halma said.
Democrats are pinning their hopes on abortion rights galvanizing enough voters to support them. John Fetterman has pledged to enshrine abortion rights into federal law if he's elected to the US Senate, as his Republican challenger Mehmet Oz opposes abortion rights. In tight races, Democrats in the state like Rep. Susan Wild have argued that Republicans could pass a national abortion ban if they take back Congress. Pennsylvania represents a test of whether Democrats' incessant messaging on abortion will drive turnout and keep them in power. Democrats declared a shift in the political landscape – abortion rights were now on the ballot.
A Doug Mastriano rally in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, featured praying and wading into culture wars. National and state Republican donors and groups have offered little support to his candidacy. "He's just been there the whole time," a Mastriano voter in Bucks County who only identified himself as Jeremy, told Insider. "You can't get your message out one-on-one to voters," Josh Novotney, a Pennsylvania GOP strategist, told Insider. "It's a different tactic and I pray it works," Joe Vichot, chairman of Lehigh County's GOP, told Insider.
"But he needed way more time to be able to process effectively," McFarland, the chair of Lehigh County's Democratic Committee, told Insider on Wednesday. During the one-hour showdown against his Republican rival Mehmet Oz, Fetterman at times struggled to get his message across clearly, speaking haltingly and stumbling on his words. James Carter, a 71-year-old Democratic voter, told Insider that Fetterman is simply not getting enough credit. "I kind of felt bad," Stacy Garrity, Pennsylvania's state treasurer, told Insider. "I don't even think that John Fetterman should be running," Beth Gdowik, a 59-year-old voter from the Lehigh Valley area, told Insider.
Democrats in Pennsylvania have continued to defend John Fetterman after his debate performance. John Fetterman make his case to voters in Pennsylvania's Senate debate on Tuesday evening, one thing became clear to her: time was not on his side. During the one-hour showdown against his Republican rival Mehmet Oz, Fetterman at times struggled to get his message across clearly, speaking haltingly and stumbling on his words. James Carter, a 71-year-old Democratic voter, told Insider that Fetterman is simply not getting enough credit. Some Republicans hope Tuesday's debate, the first and only one before Election Day, would push Oz ahead in the polls.
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