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Former billionaire investor Sung Kook “Bill” Hwang was sentenced to 18 years in prison on Wednesday over the collapse of Archegos Capital Management, which cost Wall Street banks more than $10 billion. Hwang was sentenced by U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein in Manhattan, where a jury convicted Hwang in July on 10 criminal charges including wire fraud, securities fraud and market manipulation. Before sentencing Hwang, Hellerstein asked the defendant’s lawyer, Dani James, how she thought Hwang compared to Sam Bankman-Fried, who was sentenced in March to 25 years in prison for stealing $8 billion from users of the now-bankrupt FTX exchange. While Archegos eventually managed $36 billion, Hwang’s borrowing helped him amass $160 billion of exposure to stocks. Hwang’s co-defendant, former Archegos Chief Financial Officer Patrick Halligan, was convicted at the same trial on three criminal charges.
Persons: Sung Kook, Bill ” Hwang, Hwang, Alvin Hellerstein, ” Hellerstein, Archegos ’, Hwang —, Andrew Thomas, Hellerstein, Dani James, Sam Bankman, Mr, Fried, ” James, , ” Hwang, James, it’s, Julian Robertson, Archegos, Grace, , Hwang’s, Patrick Halligan Organizations: Archegos Capital Management, U.S, AS FAMILY, Tiger Asia Management, Paramount, Credit Suisse, Nomura Holdings, UBS, Mercy Foundation Locations: Manhattan, U.S, New York
President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House has sent ripples through global financial markets, with many investors looking to recalibrate their portfolios for a dramatically different policy landscape ahead. Higher Treasury yields mean higher interest rates for corporate borrowers. Trump's tariffs Perhaps the biggest concern for investors globally is Trump's campaign promise of aggressive new tariffs , including the potential for a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. However, some Asian nations might benefit if higher tariffs on China prompt manufacturers to relocate. Europe Most analysts agree that U.S. trade tariffs are likely to hurt Europe, with some companies able to navigate the challenges better than others.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Mislav Matejka, David Seif, Goldman Sachs, Gareth Leather, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Mark Diethelm, Diethelm, Emmanuel Cau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Republican, Trump, U.S, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nomura, Federal Reserve, Asia Capital Economics, Capital Economics, U.S ., Union, Morningstar, Logitech, Barclays Locations: Congress, Treasurys, Trump's, U.S, United States, Korea, Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Asia, India, Europe
Investment bank Nomura has screened for Japanese stocks with "high bitcoin price sensitivity," following a surge in the cryptocurrency's price. It comes as analysts say bitcoin prices could hit $100,000 by the end of the year following President-elect Donald Trump's victory . The bank said it conducted multiple regression analyses of stocks to identify which have a high bitcoin price sensitivity. Those covering Micronics give it an average price target of 7,033.33 Japanese yen ($46.05) — indicating almost 83% upside potential. Analysts give Towa Corp an average target price of 3,466.67 Japanese yen, or 67.5% upside potential, according to FactSet.
Persons: Donald Trump's, bitcoin, Bitcoin Trump, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nomura, BTC, Towa Corporation, Towa, SoftBank Locations: Japan, FactSet
Trump's proposed tariffs could lead to increased global manufacturing activity temporarily. Related Video China, Russia boast that trade is at an "all-time high" despite Western sanctions"Just as businesses try to get ahead of that, you could actually see a little bit of pop in global manufacturing, China manufacturing, as we head into the first quarter," he added. Exports could dip with focus on trade deficitsAny a temporary boost in trade would just be that: temporary. Advertisement"Higher US tariffs on Chinese exports could re-direct those exports into Asia, hurting local production," wrote the Nomura economists. "More tit-for-tat trade retaliation, trade policy uncertainty and delayed policy easing in some Asian economies will also likely spill into domestic demand," they added.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Lupton, Zichun Huang Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Capital Economics, Exports, Nomura Locations: China, Russia, Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, India, Asia
Chinese authorities last month announced high-level plans for subsidies and tax breaks to households with children under the age of 3. China's efforts to bolster birth rates have yet to address the core reasons for their rapid decline, according to analysts. Births in China have been on a drastic downward trend since the government implemented its "one-child policy" nationwide in 1980. An increasingly pressing factor for families in China is uncertainty about income for raising a child. After decades of rapid expansion, China's economy has slowed down, dragged down by a real estate slump.
Persons: Lauren Johnston, Harry Murphy Cruise, Austin Schumacher, Schumacher, Sheana Yue, Yue Organizations: Dongfang, China Studies Center, University of Sydney, United Nations, Moody's, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington, Oxford Locations: Lianyungang, China, U.S
BEIJING — China on Friday announced the central government would allocate an additional 6 trillion yuan ($840 billion) to local governments for tackling hidden debt issues. The policies will reduce hidden debt from 14.3 trillion yuan to 2.3 trillion yuan by 2028, Lan said. At the parliamentary meeting, officials had reviewed a plan to increase the limit on how much debt local governments can issue, according to state media. The additional quota would go toward swapping out local governments’ hidden debt. Nomura estimates that China has 50 trillion yuan to 60 trillion yuan ($7 trillion to $8.4 trillion) in such hidden debt, and said it expected that Beijing could allow local authorities to increase debt issuance by 10 trillion yuan over the next few years.
Persons: of Finance Lan Fo’an, Lan, Xi Jinping, Donald Trump —, , Nomura Organizations: Friday, of Finance, People’s Bank of, People’s Congress, U.S, Nomura, International Monetary Fund Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, People’s Bank of China, Covid
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: U.S. inflation could stick at around 3% level next year given Trump's economic policiesRob Subbaraman of Nomura discusses the changes to their US economy outlook. He says inflation and Federal funds rate will be higher than their previous forecasts, although economic growth is unlikely to change significantly.
Persons: Rob Subbaraman, Nomura Organizations: Email Nomura
Trump and the GOP have denied the tariffs would be inflationary, pointing to Trump’s success in imposing tariffs in his first term without reigniting inflation. Yet those tariffs, at $300 billion on selected Chinese goods, were much more targeted than the $3 trillion worth of blanket tariffs Trump is now expected to propose. And the inflationary environment is different now, too: During Trump’s first term, inflation only briefly ever climbed above 2%. It was Trump who appointed Powell to lead the Federal Reserve in his first term. But Trump has signaled a willingness this year to abandon the long-running principle of maintaining the Fed as an independent body.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Trump, ’ Anna Kelly, David Seif, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Trump, ” Seif, Seif Organizations: Federal, Wall, Federal Reserve, Nomura Holdings, Trump, GOP, Republican National Committee, Nomura, Fed, Bloomberg, Chicago Economic, Reuters Locations: China
A screen displays the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure on the trading floor at the Nomura Securities Co. headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Jan. 11, 2024. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Wednesday after Wall Street surged overnight ahead of the U.S. presidential election results. Japan's Nikkei 225 opened up 0.7%, while the Topix gained 0.4%. The Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting minutes will be released later in the day, which could give insights on where the members stand on the bank's policy path. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% higher.
Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nomura Securities Co, U.S, Nikkei, People's Congress Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific
(Higher interest rates tend to boost the value of a currency by attracting more capital from abroad as investors seek bigger returns.) “Investors are bracing for tariffs… which will push up the price of imported goods for American shoppers,” she wrote in a note Wednesday. The pain of Trump’s tariffs will be felt far beyond US borders. “We also believe that Trump could decide to implement even higher tariffs on economies that run large trade surpluses with the US,” BMI analysts wrote in a note Wednesday. “Donald Trump’s economic course will pose major problems for Germany and the European Union,” the institute said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Matthew Ryan, Susannah Streeter, Hargreaves, , Trump’s, Trump, ” Nomura, Philip Shaw, Ellie Henderson, Streeter, Anthony Kettle, , Spencer Platt, “ Donald Trump’s Organizations: London CNN, Republican, Senate, CNN, Federal Reserve, Trump, , RBC Global Asset Management, BMI, Fitch Solutions, Port, Getty, European Union, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Locations: United States, Mexico, China, Germany, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Newark, New Jersey, Munich
Eugene Tanner | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. It may be tempting to view market moves as a proxy for the direction that the elections will go. But UBS thinks any outsized market moves caused by election volatility is an opportunity for investors to build up their portfolios. The optimism around the economy and markets is shared by Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group.
Persons: Honolulu Hale, Eugene Tanner, Tesla, Elon Musk's, Donald Trump, Stocks, Nomura, Marcelli, Ryan Detrick, Detrick, Fred Imbert, Pia Singh, Jesse Pound, Samantha Subin Organizations: AFP, Getty, CNBC, Democratic, Republican Party, UBS, Americas, UBS Global, Carson Group, White Locations: Honolulu, Honolulu , Hawaii, U.S
China reviews plan to increase local government debt
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
BEIJING — A closely watched meeting of China's parliament standing committee on Monday reviewed a proposal to raise the local government debt limit, according to state media. New debt would go toward replacing hidden debt, the report said, noting that Finance Minister Lan Fo'an spoke at the meeting on the plan. Lan indicated at a press conference last month that an increase in the local debt limit was in the works. Local authorities in China have historically been responsible for much of public services spending, but have struggled financially as revenue from land sales to developers has dropped. China has about 50 trillion yuan to 60 trillion yuan (about $7 trillion to $8.45 trillion) in outstanding hidden debt, according to Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura.
Persons: Lan Fo'an, Lan, Ting Lu Organizations: of, Initiative, Local, Nomura Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING
Investors expect Beijing to announce details on fiscal support Friday. He expects Trump has a greater chance of winning, which he said would increase downward pressure on the Chinese yuan versus the U.S. dollar. While the People's Bank of China has cut interest rates, the Ministry of Finance has yet to release details on widely anticipated fiscal stimulus. China is considering more than 10 trillion yuan in debt issuance over a few years, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing sources. Whether it is 10 trillion yuan over three to five years, or 2 trillion yuan in one year, the average is about 2 trillion yuan in support a year, she pointed out.
Persons: Aly Song, That's, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Ting Lu, Biden, Zhu Bin, Zhu, Trump, Liqian Ren, Ren, Xi Jinping, Lan Fo'an, Zong Liang, WisdomTree's Ren Organizations: Reuters, U.S, Investors, National People's, Trump, Nomura, Nanhua, CNBC, U.S ., WisdomTree, People's Bank of, Ministry of Finance, Finance, Bank of China Locations: Yiwu, Zhejiang province, China, Reuters BEIJING, Beijing, U.S, United, People's Bank of China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed wants to show it is on top of the markets and will deliver 2 more rate cuts in 2025: NomuraGareth Nicholson of Nomura says that the the U.S. Fed cutting interest rates by 25 bps in the November and December 2024 meetings is a stable decision, and also signals that the Fed is "100% independent" and in control regardless of the results of the Presidential elections.
Persons: Nomura Gareth Nicholson, Nomura Organizations: U.S, Fed
CNBC Daily Open: Eve of Election Day
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Voters cast their votes during early voting in the U.S. presidential election at a polling station in Detroit, Michigan, U.S. November 3, 2024. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Asia markets climb ahead of China's parliament meetingU.S. stocks rallied Friday to kick off November, as traders shrugged off a disappointing jobs report. Asia-Pacific markets rose Monday as investors watch the U.S. election, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and China's monetary policy meeting starting Monday.
Persons: Dow Jones, shrugged, Harris, Ting Lu, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: U.S, CNBC, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Boeing, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal, National People's, Trump, Nomura, Democratic, Des Moines Register, Iowa Locations: Detroit , Michigan, U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, Beijing, Iowa Iowa, Iowa
As China's biggest shopping festival of the year gets underway, analysts are starting to favor Chinese logistics companies as a way to play the online shopping trend. The JPMorgan report initiated coverage of U.S.-listed ZTO Express , which the analysts said is China's largest express parcel player with more than 20% of the market. ZTO YTD mountain ZTO Express shares in the U.S. in 2024. Morgan Stanley is less bullish, rating J & T equal-weight while citing competitive risks in China and potential challenges in Southeast Asia. "Cuts on overseas profitability outlook has weakened our investment thesis," the Morgan Stanley analysts said.
Persons: JD.com, Morgan Stanley, ZTO, Morgan Stanley's, Nomura, Jet Li, Li, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, YTO Express, STO Express, Yunda, T Global Express Ltd, ZTO's, ZTO Express, J, T Global Express, HK, Nomura, Hong Kong, Hong, CNBC Locations: Hong Kong, U.S, China, Southeast Asia, T Global Express Hong Kong
People look at models of houses at the 2021 Dalian autumn real estate fair at Dalian World Expo Center on October 15, 2021 in Dalian, Liaoning Province of China. Prices of new homes in China rose at a faster pace in October, traditionally a peak season for house hunting, a private survey showed on Friday, suggesting that recent support measures could be having some early impact in a crisis-hit market. The average price across 100 cities edged up 0.29%, compared with the previous month's 0.14%, according to data released by property researcher China Index Academy. On a year-on-year basis, the average price rose 2.08% versus 1.85% growth in September. Average new home prices fell 0.02% from a month earlier in smaller cities last month, the China Index Academy data showed.
Persons: Nomura Organizations: Dalian, China Index, Authorities, Nomura Locations: Dalian, Liaoning Province of China, China, Shanghai, Beijing
After months of incremental measures, Chinese President Xi Jinping in late September led a top-level meeting that vowed to "halt the real estate market decline." Earlier this month, the Finance Ministry introduced more measures aimed at stabilizing the real estate sector. Property sales and new home construction are unlikely to stabilize until 2027, Goldman forecast. watch nowS&P Global Ratings and Morgan Stanley this month also published reports forecasting China's real estate market will bottom in the second half of 2025. China's latest efforts to bolster confidence have given the real estate market a lift.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Edward Chan, Nomura Organizations: China Vanke Co, Bloomberg, Getty, Finance Ministry, Goldman, China Index Academy, P Global, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: China, Hefei, Beijing
The yen touched a three-month low on Monday as Japan's ruling coalition lost its parliamentary majority and investors figured that would likely slow future interest rate hikes, while the dollar headed for a monthly gain on rising U.S. yields. On the dollar, the yen hit its weakest since late July at 153.3 in early-morning trade and it touched the same milestone at 165.36 to the euro . That was down from the 279 seats they held previously and marked the coalition's worst result since it briefly lost power in 2009. The U.S. dollar index has climbed 3.6% during October, its sharpest monthly rise since April 2022. The New Zealand dollar traded near a three-month low of $0.5974, down nearly 6% for the month.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Donald Trump, Sterling Organizations: Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party, NHK, Bank of Japan, Nomura, U.S, gilts, Australian, New Zealand Locations: Japan, U.S, Europe, Australia, China
Japan votes in election expected to punish PM Ishiba's coalition
  + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
TOPSHOT - Officials look on as people vote during the general election at a polling station set up at a local school in Tokyo on October 27, 2024. Japan voted on October 27 in its tightest election in years, with new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and his juggernaut Liberal Democratic Party facing potentially their worst result since 2009. (Photo by Richard A. Brooks / AFP) (Photo by RICHARD A. BROOKS/AFP via Getty Images)Japan's voters decide the fate of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's government on Sunday in an election expected to punish his coalition over a funding scandal and inflation, potentially ending a decade of dominance for his Liberal Democratic Party. Political wrangling could roil markets and be a headache for the Bank of Japan, if Ishiba chooses a partner that favours maintaining near-zero interest rates when the central bank wants to gradually raise them. "That's basically the scenario for 'sell Japan'," as investors ponder how the outcome could affect fiscal and monetary policy, said Naka Matsuzawa, chief macro strategist at Nomura Securities.
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Richard A, Brooks, RICHARD A, BROOKS, Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Ishiba, Jeffrey Hall, That's, Naka Matsuzawa Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Getty, LDP, Bank of Japan, Kanda University of International Studies, Asahi, Nomura Securities, Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan Locations: Tokyo, Japan, AFP, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGerman economic outlook 'pretty bleak' despite improved business confidence, economist saysAndrzej Szczepaniak, vice president of European Economics at Nomura, on the outlook for the German economy and euro zone interest rates.
Persons: Andrzej Szczepaniak Organizations: Nomura
The final pre-election edition of the closely watched monthly jobs report is set to be published Nov. 1, four days ahead of Election Day. All eyes are now on a handful of states expected to see razor-thin vote margins, likely to be determined by a small but crucial pool of persuadable voters. The exact impact on the jobs report is unclear. The strike, which kicked off in September, has coincided with layoff notices sent to 17,000 workers in Boeing's commercial aviation division. While the Keystone State's unemployment rate climbed by a tenth of a percentage point compared with the September 2023 figure, its latest reading, at 3.4%, marked two straight years below 4%.
Persons: Milton —, Boeing machinists, Goldman Sachs, , Goldman, Helene, Trump Organizations: Boeing, of Labor Statistics, Nomura Holdings, Nomura, BLS, Electoral College, Keystone, Democratic, Republican Locations: U.S, Milton, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: A poorly timed IPO?
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
Shares of carmaker Hyundai 's Indian subsidiary started trading this week with much anticipation, only to drop by some 7% on its debut. Despite such success, it appears as if the stock market has given Hyundai the cold shoulder this week. First, the money raised by the stock market listing is being fed back to Hyundai's Korean parent. With the listing, the Indian subsidiary now commands nearly half the market capitalization of its Korean parent. However, the Indian subsidiary must now pay a flat 3.5% of total revenue going forward.
Persons: Ashish Vaishnav, Hyundai, it's, Gaurav Narain, Maruti Suzuki, China's, Narain, Kapil Singh, Singh, Ashish Jain, Pratik Organizations: Hyundai, Getty, Investors, Growth Fund, London Stock Exchange, ICG, Federated Hermes Global Emerging Markets Equity Fund, Maruti, Equity, Macquarie Locations: MUMBAI, MAHARASHTRA, INDIA, Mumbai, India, Korea, Hyundai India
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNomura: Indonesia has room to increase tax, but it's tough for a new government to do thatEuben Paracuelles of Nomura discusses the conundrum facing Indonesia's new government as it embarks on significant spending plans.
Persons: Nomura Organizations: Email Nomura Locations: Indonesia
China's export growth slowed in September, raising concerns about future economic stability. China may delay further economic stimulus ahead of the US election, anticipating potential tariffs. The market had expected China's exports to grow 6% on-year in September, according to a Reuters' poll of economists. AdvertisementThe timing of the decline in China's exports also came at an untimely moment — weeks before the US presidential election. Beijing has rejected this view, saying the West's accusations are protectionist and aimed at containing China's economic growth.
Persons: , hasn't, Lu Daliang, Donald Trump, Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, Green Organizations: Service, Reuters, EU, Administration of Customs, Nomura, BofA Securities, Republican, Authorities, Trump, US Locations: China, Japan, South Korea, Beijing
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