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Chinese banks cut deposit rates to relieve squeezed margins
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Brent Lewin | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesFive of China's major state-owned banks on Thursday cut deposit rates to cushion a hit to their already record low margins after this week's surprise lowering of lending benchmarks to bolster stuttering economic growth. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) , Agricultural Bank of China , China Construction Bank , Bank of China and Bank of Communications cut deposit rates by 5 to 20 basis points, according to statements on their websites. It marks the first broad reduction in deposit rates by Chinese banks since December last year. Prior to that, Chinese lenders had broad cuts to deposit rates in late 2022, their first such move since 2015. ICBC cut its demand deposit rate by five basis points to 0.15% and one-year deposit rate by 10 basis points to 1.35%.
Persons: Brent Lewin, Nie Wen, Nie Organizations: Agricultural Bank of China Ltd, Bloomberg, Getty, Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of, China Construction Bank, Bank of China, Bank of Communications, Shanghai Hwabao Trust Locations: Guangdong, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China, Agricultural Bank of China, Shanghai
In the wake of Matthew Perry's death at 54, fans in China are mourning the loss of the star who felt less like a distant celebrity and more like an old friend. “People shared their own memories about Chandler and ‘Friends’ and many teared up.”A large poster displayed on the bar featured pictures of Perry over the years. Once Chinese fans added Mandarin subtitles to the show, which ran in the U.S. from 1994 to 2004, it quickly gained a following. “This TV show actually offered a way to imagine this kind of so-called metropolitan utopian imagination.”Many Chinese fans learned English through watching the show and got a peek into American life and culture. “It feels like I just got to know this long-lost friend, but he’s just gone.”___Fu Ting reported from Washington.
Persons: Long, , Matthew Perry's, Chandler Bing, Nie Yanxia, Chandler, Perry, Xian Wang, ” wasn't, China —, Wang, ” Wang, Nilufar Arkin, Monica, , ” Arkin, ” Fu Xueying, ” Fu, Zhang Fengguang, Sun Tiantian, Zhang, Sun, ” Zhang, he’s, Fu Ting, Han Guan Ng Organizations: University of Notre Dame, Associated Press Locations: China, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Los Angeles, Sohu, U.S, Shanghai, Tianjin, Xinjiang, Guangzhou, Washington
China's trade slump narrows as stabilisation signs emerge
  + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Joe Cash | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
“The trade data is marginally better, but I don’t think we should be reading too much into that: trade is still contracting,” said Frederic Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC. “There is a bit of a sign here of stabilisation, but I think there’s still a long way to go,” he added. “Looking ahead, whether China’s trade growth has already hit the bottom will hinge on several factors, the most important of which is obviously domestic demand.”Governments around the world are nervous about China’s economic slowdown with many exporting nations highly dependent on the country’s market for growth. However, trade with Japan dropped sharply, with outbound shipments from China to its neighbour down 20% in August year-on-year, while imports worsened by 17%. China posted a trade surplus of $68.36 billion in August, compared with a forecast $73.80 billion and a July figure of $80.6 billion.
Persons: Aly, , Frederic Neumann, Zhou Hao, it’s, Nie Wen Organizations: REUTERS, HSBC, Guotai, , Australian, Hwabao Trust Locations: BEIJING, Shanghai, China, Asia, Beijing, United States, Southeast Asia, Australia, Japan, Tokyo, Brazil
Nomura analysts were equally downbeat on China's economic outlook. Most economists see downside risk to Chinese growth but they don't expect a recession. It was the slowest growth since December 2022, and shows just how much of a challenge authorities face as they try to make consumption the key driver of future economic growth. MORE STIMULUSAsian stocks stalled at one-month lows, the yuan hit a 9-month nadir while the dollar held broadly firm after the weak Chinese data and latest policy easing measures. But we do need to lower our expectations for China's growth."
Persons: Julian Evans, Pritchard, Nomura, Nie Wen, Robert Carnell, Liangping Gao, Albee Zhang, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Capital Economics, Retail, Hwabao Trust, Investment, Reuters, ING, NBS, Nomura, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific
S&P cuts China GDP forecast as calls for stimulus intensify
  + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
BEIJING, June 26 (Reuters) - S&P Global cut its forecast for economic growth in China this year, underscoring the uneven nature of the country's post-reopening recovery that is spurring more calls for further stimulus. S&P now expects China to log GDP growth of 5.2% in 2023, down from an earlier estimate of 5.5%. Forecasts for China GDP growth this year range between 4.4% and 6.2%. Last week, China cut its key lending benchmarks, the first such reductions in 10 months. Further highlighting pessimism over the economy, China and Hong Kong stocks slumped on Monday after disappointing domestic tourism figures for last week's three-day Dragon Boat Festival, while the yuan also weakened against the dollar.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ning, Nie Wen, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Edwina Gibbs Organizations: People's Bank of China, Times, Communist, Hwabao Trust, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong
Real estate agents said low-cost apartments in smaller Chinese cities such as Huainan and Rushan in the east, and Gejiu in the southwest, are also being bought, largely by people living outside those locations. The deals come at a time the picture for China’s property market is getting darker. For buyers with the means to get back into the market, the rock-bottom prices of second-hand apartments in the smaller cities have been hard to resist. ‘BUYERS ARE NOT LOCALS’Real estate agents said buyers in the small cities are mostly from out of town. “The fact that there are so many people buying low-cost flats in smaller cities reflects caution,” said Hwabao Trust economist Nie Wen.
Persons: Hu Yongwei, Thomas Peter, Hu, , Zhao, Liu Yong, Gejiu, , Nie Wen Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, Beijing, Hwabao Locations: BEIJING, HONG KONG, Beijing, Hebi, Zhengzhou, Henan province, China, Huainan, Rushan, Anjuke, Chongqing, COVID
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Persons: Dow Jones, f5832e4d Organizations: nato Locations: poland
I read several papers on peer effects on fertility with Angrist’s caveats in mind. Those factors made the classmates more likely to become pregnant, which in turn influenced the fertility outcomes of the girls being studied. Less-educated women were less likely to have a baby when a colleague of the same education level had one. The negative peer effect for less-educated women “could come from a desire to distinguish oneself from one’s peers,” among other factors, they speculated. The research “provides support for the role of social norms in the fertility choices of reproductive-aged Chinese women,” they wrote.
"I was previously considered wealthy in the area," said Liu, who also owns some commercial property in the northeastern city of Liaoyuan. In play now in China, where around 70% of household wealth is in property, this phenomenon is weighing on the post-pandemic recovery of household consumption, which Chinese policymakers have vowed to make a more prominent driver of economic growth. Capital Economics estimates net household wealth declined 4.3% overall last year, due to falling house and stock prices, the first decline since at least 2001. Indeed, deposits rose a further 9.9 trillion yuan in the first quarter of this year. ($1 = 6.8376 Chinese yuan renminbi)Additional reporting by Shuyan Wang; Editing by Marius Zaharia and Kim CoghillOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
In poorer areas, which are bleeding people and private business to urban centres, the task of providing jobs falls more squarely on local governments at a time they are struggling to raise revenue through income tax and state land sales. However, "budgetary and debt pressures are more acute for these provinces, so increasing expenditure comes with additional fiscal risks," Yuan noted. The local governments adding the most jobs in relative terms are also among the most indebted. The local governments of Gansu, Yunnan and Guangxi did not respond to a request for comment and Reuters could not establish exactly why the governments are ramping up hiring and how it will impact their finances. Moody's Yuan said local governments including Gansu have faced increased refinancing pressure to meet their debt obligations.
While many analysts say a return to economic normality will be gradual as the impact of COVID weakens, some see the Lunar New Year as a welcome early consumption boost. But with so many people on the move, health experts fear a deepening of the COVID outbreak, leaving the elderly in rural villages particularly vulnerable. Reuters reported on Tuesday that doctors in both public and private hospitals were being actively discouraged from attributing deaths to COVID. State media reported that some 390,000 passengers were expected to travel from Shanghai train stations on Tuesday alone for what is known as the Spring Festival holiday - seen as the world's largest annual mass migration before COVID. As travellers moved through stations in Shanghai, China's largest city, some expressed optimism despite the risks.
While many analysts say a return to economic normality will be gradual as the impact of COVID weakens, some see the Lunar New Year as a welcome early consumption boost. But even as workers move out, health experts fear a broadening and deepening of its COVID outbreak, leaving the elderly in rural villages particularly vulnerable. The WHO earlier welcomed Saturday's announcement after last week warning that China was heavily under-reporting deaths from the virus. "This is especially important during periods of surges when the health system is severely constrained," the statement said on Monday. As travellers moved through stations in Shanghai, China's largest city, some expressed optimism despite the risks.
Some economists have lowered growth forecasts for early next year for the world's second-largest economy, continuing the grim growth numbers this year that were among the worst of the past half-century. "Compared with other developed countries, medical resources in China are somewhat insufficient," said Nie Wen, a Shanghai-based economist at Hwabao Trust, who has cut his China growth forecast for the first quarter to 3.5%-4% from 5% previously. INFLATION SURGEWith China likely facing waves of COVID infections after the relaxations, the benefits of reopening are expected to arrive with a significant delay. "Given the accelerated reopening timeline, we believe growth may stay subpar near term," Morgan Stanley said after the announcement of the latest easing measures. Lurking among the prospects for China's reopening, however, is a potential surge in inflation, which could hit the global economy as well as China itself.
DEBT STRESSTreasury bond quotas could be increased, so that some of them could be transferred to local governments to ease their fiscal stress, said Luo Zhiheng, chief macroeconomic analyst at Yuekai Securities. Combined with some maturing debts of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) - investment companies that build infrastructure projects - this year and the next will be most stressful for local governments, he said. According to financial media outlet Yicai, local governments' revenue from fines and confiscations jumped 10.4% in January-July year-on-year. The fiscal stress is cutting into some households' income, a red flag for consumption and broader growth. As there is no way out, they have had to ask the local government fiscal department for money."
Growth is expected to pick up to 3.8% in the fourth quarter, bringing the 2022 pace to 3.2%, far below the official target of around 5.5%. Investors will look for policy signals from a historic congress of the ruling Communist Party due to start on Sunday. The expected 2022 growth would be lower than 4.0% analysts had forecast in a Reuters poll in July and 5.0% in April's forecast. The government is due to release third-quarter GDP data, along with Sept. activity data, on October 18 at 0200 GMT. Economic growth is forecast to quicken to 5.0% in 2023.
Este primul dintre cele patru zboruri spațiale cu echipaj uman care vor finaliza stația spațială a țării până la sfârșitul anului viitor, relatează Reuters, citează digi24.ro. Astronauții Nie Haisheng, Liu Boming și Tang Hongbo vor pleca pe orbită la bordul navei spațiale Shenzhou-12 din Jiuquan, în nord-vestul provinciei Gansu. Shenzhou-12, adică „Nava divină”, este a treia din cele 11 misiuni necesare construirii stației spațiale a Chinei. Construcția a început în aprilie odată cu lansarea pe orbită a lui Tianhe – sau „Armonia Cerurilor”, primul și cel mai mare dintre cele trei module ale stației. Și Rusia plănuiește să-și construiască o stație spațială proprie, dar aceasta nu va fi gata înainte de 2030.
Persons: Reuters, Liu Boming, Liu, Rusia Organizations: NASA, ISS Locations: China, Jiuquan, Gansu, Chinei
Consiliera prezidențială, Olesea Stamate, a anunțat miercuri, 20 ianuarie, că decizia Curții de Apel districtuale a SUA pe cauza Energoalians nu este în câștigul R. Moldova. Potrivit lui Stamate, Curtea de Apel a menținut decizia primei instanțe, doar că a solicitat primei instanțe să se expună dacă banii urmează a fi achitați în lei sau în dolari. „Spre regret decizia Curții de Apel districtuale a SUA pe cauza Energoalians nu este în câștigul Republicii Moldova. Din contra, Curtea de Apel a menținut decizia primei instanțe, doar că a solicitat primei instanțe să se expună dacă banii urmează a fi achitați în lei sau dolari. În textul deciziei se arată că, Curtea de Apel pentru Districtul Columbia (SUA) a menținut decizia primei instanțe.
Persons: Stamate, Ministrul Nagacevschi, Justiției, Sar­na­ţchi, Vitali Pod­vi­şe­v­s­kii, Evans, . Organizations: Apel, Facebook, Justiției, Justiție, Uniunii Europene, Komstroy, Land Rover Locations: SUA, Moldova, Curtea, Columbia, Republica Moldova, Energoalians, Statelor Unite, Districtul Columbia, Paris, Franța, Ucrainei, Republicii Moldova, Rusia, Ucraina, fon­dată
Curtea de Apel Districtuală a Statelor Unite pentru Districtul Columbia (SUA) a casat hotărârea primei instanțe prin care R. Moldova trebuia să achite un prejudiciu de aproape 60 milioane dolari SUA companiei ucrainene Energoalians (actual Komstroy). Anunțul a fost făcut de ministrul Justiției R. Moldova, Fadei Nagacevschi. Procesele judiciare au avut o durată excesivă, fiind declanșare în 2010, de către compania ucraineană „Energoalians” contra Republicii Moldova. Sar­na­ţchi a fost, la rându-i, par­te­ner de afa­ceri cu ucraineanul Vitali Pod­vi­şe­v­s­kii la com­pa­nia Transbud. Vitali Pod­vi­şe­v­s­kii este şi unul din­tre acţio­na­rii ucrai­neni ai Mol­dind­con­bank, insti­tu­ţie finan­ci­ară din R. Mol­dova, cu 4,33%, fiind par­te­ner cu ace­laşi Pla­ton.
Persons: ., Justiției, Sar­na­ţchi, Vitali Pod­vi­şe­v­s­kii, Evans Organizations: Justiției, Justiție, Uniunii Europene, Komstroy, Land Rover Locations: Statelor Unite, Districtul Columbia, SUA, Moldova, Paris, Franța, Republica Moldova, Ucrainei, Republicii Moldova, Rusia, Ucraina, fon­dată
Cauza a fost remisă la rejudecare la Curtea de Apel Chișinău, conform unei decizii dictate la 23 septembrie 2020. Printre cei trei judecători care au decis să anuleze hotărârea CSM se numără și Vladislav Clima, care a fost coleg cu Melniciuc la Facultatea de Drept de la USM. Dosarul penal în care Melniciuc este bănuit de îmbogățire ilicită a fost dechis în vara anului 2017 la solicitarea procurorului general și a fost trimis pe masa magistraților de la Judecătoria Chișinău, acolo unde activa și Melniciuc, deși era în concediu pentru îngrijirea copilului. Oleg Mel­ni­ciuc a fost președintele Judecătoriei Râșcani din iunie 2013, atun­ci când a fost numit, după mai mul­te con­tro­ver­se, prin decret pre­zi­denţi­al, de preşe­din­te­le Nico­lae Timofti. Mel­ni­ciuc este finul de cunu­nie al lui Mihai Poa­le­lun­gi, fostul preşe­din­te­ al Curţii Supre­me de Jus­ti­ţie și fost președinte al Curții Constituționale.
Persons: de Justiție, Oleg Melniciuc, Melniciuc, Vladislav, Eduard Harunjen, Harunjen, Supremă de Justiție, Elena, Oleg Mel­ni­ciuc, preşe­din­te­le, Timofti, aces­ta, Mihai Poa­le­lun­gi Organizations: Magistraturii, CSM, Apel, Apel Chișinău, Judecătoria, Supremă de Locations: CA, Chișinău, Apel Chișinău, CA Chișinău, Justiţie, Judecătoria Chișinău, Anenii Noi, sect, Chişinău, Judecătoriei Râșcani, Ante­ri­or
Total: 19