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Russia’s possible use of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) is a message to the West that it is has greater capabilities than previously displayed after a week of significant military operations and policy changes in both Ukraine and Russia. The West has for some time been concerned at a reciprocal Russian escalation in the war. This week, both US and British-French-made missiles have been fired into Russia by Ukraine, after US President Joe Biden gave Kyiv permission to use longer-range American missiles. In turn, President Vladimir Putin updated Russia’s nuclear doctrine — in a nuanced way, but still refined their policy to lower the threshold for use. Such an event would have elicited a very different reaction in Kyiv and the West.
Persons: Joe Biden, Vladimir Putin Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Dnipro
Kyiv, Ukraine CNN —It is a very specific and high-profile warning, so you would expect the information behind it to have been quite precise. The US Embassy in Kyiv has not closed since it relocated during the opening months of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. But on Wednesday, it announced a one-day closure, citing “specific information of a potential significant air attack.” Kyiv endures air attacks on an almost nightly basis – but the US step suggested a fear of being potentially targeted. Ukrainian defense officials even derided a fake warning circulated widely on Telegram claiming a massive Russian air attack, as being crude Russian-produced misinformation. Residents in Kyiv struggled to reconcile the specific nature of the US warnings, with the quotidian daily threat they face.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Mykhailo Podolyak, , Anya, , Tanya Dzafarowa, Donald Trump, Putin Organizations: Ukraine CNN, 1001st, CNN, Residents, US, Kremlin, NATO Locations: Kyiv, Ukraine, Spanish, Moscow, Russia, Krivyh, AFP,
The idea is to help Ukraine hold on to Kursk for as long as possible, the official said. : Biden’s decision comes at one of the most perilous moments for Ukraine in a war that has raged for nearly 1,000 days. Thousands of North Korean troops have been deployed to support Moscow’s effort in Kursk, while Russian troops are making significant gains on the eastern frontlines in Ukraine. The shift in policy also comes as Biden prepares to make way for President-elect Donald Trump. Trump has said he could settle the war in one day, without saying how he would do so.
Persons: Joe Biden, Chip Somodevilla, Biden, Donald Trump, “ Trump, Trump Organizations: White, Getty, Kyiv, Ukraine Locations: Washington ,, Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, Kursk, Russian, United States
The hour-long conversation marked the return of diplomacy to the decade-long conflict, even if their talk brought the familiar refrain it was not yet time to talk. One Western official said there was an “overall collective holding of breath” in Western capitals ahead of Trump’s inauguration. “The Germans speaking to Putin – that will have gone down badly” among Ukraine’s allies, the official said. “Giving Putin that positive bounce will have irked the French and others.” French President Emmanuel Macron has been particularly vocal about continuing support for Ukraine. Kremlin critics also warn of its history of using diplomacy as a pause or foil to pursuing its military goals.
Persons: Olaf Scholz, Vladimir Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky, acceding, Zelensky, , Putin, Donald Trump, Trump, Scholz, , Putin –, Emmanuel Macron, Donald Tusk, Biden, “ Scholz, Alena Epifanova, Epifanova, Scholz’s, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Ebrahim Noroozi, Mike Waltz, “ ‘, , ’ ” Trump, Kurt Volker, Trump’s, it’s, Oleksandr Gimanov, Volker, he’s, ’ ” Volker, Trump “, ” Volker, Sen, Marco Rubio, Kim Jong Un, elect’s, Putin won’t, “ He’s Organizations: CNN, White, Sunday, Trump, German, Foreign Relations, Schloss, Reuters, Ukraine, Economist, Getty, Biden Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Europe, Polish, Moscow, Schloss Bellevue, Berlin, Ukrainian, European, Trump’s Ukraine, Odesa, AFP, , Afghanistan, China, United States, Beijing, US, Kyiv
Kyiv loudly decries the refusal, and just when the request seems to have been parked, the Biden administration approves it. Is it too late for the US-made Army Tactical Missile Systems, or ATACMS, to make a difference if it hits targets deep inside Russia? The answer is complex and perhaps explains some of the reluctance of the Biden administration to grant permission. Secondly, Ukraine has been able to penetrate deeper inside Russia using domestically manufactured and cheaper drones. Thirdly, the permission to use US precision missiles to hit deeper inside Russia is, as it sounds, quite provocative.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, HIMARS, Abrams, Russia –, Donald Trump Organizations: CNN, Army Tactical Missile Systems, Analysts, Institute for, United, NATO, America Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kyiv, ATACMS, United States, Moscow, Europe, Kursk
To be clear: Trump does not inherit a world at peace, where America’s unquestioning role as a beacon of freedom and moral superiority has brought enduring calm. Yet Tehran now has experience of Trump as someone willing to be wildly incautious and unafraid of international norms. As President Joe Biden - who did all he could to avoid war with Iran - leaves power, Iran looks incredibly weak. But in the current moment we are at in the war, Ukraine is equally in need of time to regroup and rearm. Does Putin risk Trump taking greater personal offense if that same deal is later betrayed, and their entente exposed as a sham?
Persons: Donald Trump’s, George W, Bush, Pervez Musharraf, Trump, America’s, Benjamin Netanyahu, Alex Brandon, Vladimir Putin, Biden, Qasem Soleimani, Netanyahu, Joe Biden, Xi Jinping, Nina Liashonok, Volodymyr Zelensky, , Putin, bode Organizations: CNN, Biden, Trump, Israeli, ISIS, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, US, Ukraine, Residents, NATO, Putin Locations: America, Lago, Iran, Turkey, Syria, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Lebanon, Baghdad, Tehran, China, Taiwan, Beijing, Moscow, Russia, Odesa, Europe
There should be no enduring mystery about what a Trump presidency means for Ukraine. Trump has said he would end the war “in 24 hours,” but not how. Trump may appoint a cabinet that mildly adjusts the pace or tone of his instincts, but in the end he wants out. It is an anathema to two of Trump’s first term dislikes: costly US military engagement abroad, and upsetting Russian President Vladimir Putin. Read more about what could happen in Ukraine under a Trump presidency.
Persons: Kostiantyn, upsides, Donald Trump, Trump, , Vladimir Putin, Read Organizations: NATO, Pentagon Locations: Ukrainian, Ukraine, United States, Europe
There should be no enduring mystery about what a Trump presidency means for Ukraine. Trump may appoint a cabinet that mildly adjusts the pace or tone of his instincts, but in the end he wants out. Workers remove debris from an apartment building that was damaged during a Russian drone strike in Kyiv, Ukraine, on October 29, 2024. Furthermore, Trump enters the White House at perhaps the most perilous time for Kyiv since the start of the war. Those tired of the Ukraine war – be they Kyiv ally or frontline soldier – should still not embrace the idea of a Trump-backed deal.
Persons: upsides, Trump, Donald Trump, , Vladimir Putin, Joe Biden –, Chasiv Yar, Putin, Thomas Peter, Kim Jong, Qasem Soleimani, Biden, Zelensky, , Kostiantyn Organizations: CNN, NATO, Trump, Pentagon, Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Congress, Kyiv, Russian, European Union, Kremlin Locations: Ukraine, United States, Europe, Russia, Moscow, Pokrovsk, Donetsk, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Russian, Kyiv, Afghanistan, Singapore, Korean, Bankova, Syria, Ukrainian, Georgia, Moldova
CNN —Up to 600 people were shot dead in a matter of hours by al Qaeda-linked militants in an August attack on a town in Burkina Faso, according to a French government security assessment that nearly doubles the death toll cited in earlier reports. A series of coups across Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger led to the departure of French and American forces. The Russian mercenaries summoned by the juntas to bolster their grip have instead left a vacuum in which jihadists have thrived, says the assessment, given to CNN by a French security official. A view of the town of Barsalogho, Burkina Faso, where up to 600 people were killed by al Qaeda-linked militants in an August attack, according to a French government security assessment. CNN has reviewed videos of the alleged cannibalism that seem to show Burkina Faso soldiers dismembering and holding up body parts of apparent dead jihadists.
Persons: al, Nusrat al, JNIM, , jihadists, , I’m, Fear, Ibrahim Traore, Zero ”, Burkina Faso’s, Traore, , Wagner, group’s, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Donat Sorokin, Organizations: CNN, Getty, United Nations, Reuters, , Burkina Faso’s, Civil Service, Labs Inc, Rapid Locations: al Qaeda, Burkina Faso, Barsalogho, Africa, Islam, Mali, Sahel, West Africa, United States, jihadists, Niger, Tawori, Bamako, Burkina, France, Moscow, Ukraine, Ouagadougou, Russian, Russia, Saint Petersburg, BIR, Togo, Kompienga, Togolese, Qaeda
It will take a remarkable amount of efficiency and discipline from the Israeli military and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to know when it is time to stop. The Israeli military are now walking into the ground trap that their adversary has been setting for them for well over a decade. And so, knowing when to stop is going to be key to this not becoming a quagmire for Israel. Does Israel’s Lebanon operation increase the chances of wider war with Iran? For Israel’s military endeavor to last weeks and not months, they will need extraordinary and rare success, discipline, and political wisdom.
Persons: Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Hassan Nasrallah –, we’re, Netanyahu, Jim Urquhart, Nasrallah, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Netanyahu’s, Israel Organizations: CNN, Israeli, Israel Defense Forces, , Time, Israel Locations: Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Europe, Metula, Lebanese, Tyre, Gaza
Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah gives a televised address, Lebanon, September 19, 2024, in this screenshot taken from a video. “I don’t see how this doesn’t go much wider soon,” said one senior Western official. Hezbollah will almost certainly respond, according to Jonathan Panikoff, a former senior intelligence official specializing in the region, and Iran is likely to play a role. A senior US official said the US believes Iran will intervene in the conflict if they judge that they are about to “lose” Hezbollah. US officials have long assessed that senior Hezbollah leadership has wanted to avoid all-out war with Israel, even as fighting has intensified in recent months.
Persons: Hassan Nasrallah, Joe Biden’s, , , Jonathan Panikoff, ” Panikoff, Nasrallah, Mick Mulroy Organizations: Reuters, Western, US, Hezbollah, Israel, Middle, Defense Department Locations: Lebanon, Beirut, Iran, Tehran, Israel
CNN —After Hezbollah confirmed the death of its leader Hassan Nasrallah in an Israeli strike, what – if anything – can it do next? So far, we have yet to see a barrage of rockets from Hezbollah that has caused significant (and known) damage to Israeli targets. But if it tries to project strength and fails, owing to Israeli interceptions, that will just compound its loss of face. It has shown an extraordinarily high threshold for pain over the past months and may have a longer view in hand. Yet most profoundly, it is Israel’s next steps that matter most.
Persons: CNN —, Hassan Nasrallah, Benjamin Netanyahu Organizations: CNN Locations: Israel, Iran
Israel and Hezbollah have been stuck in the tit-for-tat horror of escalation chicken for nearly a year. But the greater the harm inflicted on Hezbollah recently, the more likely a shorter-term Israeli success has seemed. A full-scale ground war between a tired, divided Israeli military and an experienced, angry Hezbollah inside southern Lebanon would likely be disastrous for Israel. The past week has shown the technological chasm between the two adversaries. Hassan Ammar/APMilitarily, the past week has been a disaster for Hezbollah.
Persons: Ibrahim Aqil, Hassan Nasrallah – Hezbollah’s, Nasrallah, Benjamin Netanyahu, , Hassan Ammar, Netanyahu – Organizations: CNN, NATO Locations: Israel, Iran, United States, Washington, Lebanon, Beirut, Beirut's, Russia, Ukraine, Gaza, irrelevance, Afghanistan
London CNN —Is it a prelude to a wider attack or the totality of the message to Hezbollah? The risk of widespread war with Israel again has become a pressing reality since the October 7 attacks. It places Hezbollah, however, in another unenviable moment of frailty – plunged into chaos, with great pressure upon them to project strength again. Hezbollah will still be able to inflict significant damage upon Israel if a full-scale battle erupts. But Israel may have decided too cleanly that Hezbollah seeks to avoid war, and therefore can be goaded repeatedly.
Persons: Yoav Gallant, Amos Hochstein, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, Ismail Haniyeh, , Fu’ad Shukr, Hassan Nasrallah, Israel Organizations: London CNN, Getty Locations: Lebanese, Lebanon, Israel, , Tehran, Beirut, AFP
Someone like Routh was quite easy to meet in Ukraine in the opening months of Russia’s full-scale war in 2022. But already, Moscow’s prolific echo chambers have begun to fashion a narrative in which US support for Ukraine is somehow extremist. People stand near the sports complex of a university after Russian missile attacks in Kyiv, Ukraine, on September 2. The clamor of support for Ukraine to receive US permission to fire longer-range US-supplied missiles at targets deeper inside Russian territory had been growing. The sudden insertion of a wayward extremist like Routh is a loud, confusing wild card, at a time when support for Ukraine urgently needed a calm and balanced voice.
Persons: Ryan Wesley Routh, Donald Trump, Routh, Oleksandr Shaguri, , ” Routh, Dmitri Peskov, , Marjorie Taylor Greene, , Putin, , Maxym, Volodymyr Zelensky, Biden, Joe Biden Organizations: London CNN, Kyiv, Russia, Ukraine, New York Times, Foreigners, Department, Land Forces Command, CNN, Global Citizen –, Reuters, Russian, Republican Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Europe, Ukrainian, Kyiv, Pakistan, Iran, Global Citizen – Taiwan, Afghanistan, North Korea, Florida, America, United States, Russian
A week into Ukraine’s surprise cross-border incursion into Russia, it’s becoming increasingly clear that Moscow does not have the situation under control. The incursion — the first time foreign troops entered Russian territory since World War II — is a major embarrassment for the Kremlin. Russian President Vladimir Putin vowed to “kick the enemy out” of Russia, but his troops are yet to stop the Ukrainian advance. The first reports of Ukrainian troops crossing into Russia’s Kursk region, just north of the Ukrainian border, started to emerge late last Tuesday. Read more about what this could mean for Russia, Ukraine and the war as a whole.
Persons: it’s, Vladimir Putin, Putin, Volodymyr Zelensky, Read Organizations: Kremlin ., Kyiv Locations: Russia, Moscow, Russia’s Kursk, Ukrainian, Ukraine, Kyiv, Crimea
CNN —The Russian border region of Belgorod declared an emergency on Wednesday after new attacks by Ukrainian forces, with Kyiv claiming control of hundreds of square miles of Russian territory after its rare cross-border incursion. “The situation in the Belgorod region continues to be extremely difficult and tense,” Belgorod Gov. The declaration came after Belgorod began evacuations on Monday as a result of Ukrainian advances, following Kyiv’s surprise incursion into the neighboring Kursk region last week. It was a notable change in tactics for Ukraine and marked the first time foreign troops had entered Russian territory since World War II. Two locations in Belgorod, the city of Shebekino and the village of Ustinka, had been attacked by Ukrainian drones, he added.
Persons: Vyacheslav Gladkov, Gladkov, Aleksandr Gusev, Volodymyr Zelensky, , Vladimir Putin, Russia –, Joe Biden, Putin, Organizations: CNN, Belgorod Gov, Kyiv, Kremlin Locations: Belgorod, Ukrainian, Kursk, Ukraine, Russian, Shebekino, Ustinka, Voronezh, Moscow, Bryansk, Russia
CNN —It is another coin-flip in a conflict punctuated with at least annual reminders of how frail Vladimir Putin’s Russia truly is. It is purposefully unclear exactly where Ukraine’s forces are. It is also unclear where Ukrainian forces are digging in and where they are just racing through. This time it is Putin’s own FSB, who couldn’t keep control of the borders, in Putin’s war of choice. Residents of an apartment building damaged after shelling by the Ukrainian side stand near the building in Kursk, Russia, on Sunday.
Persons: Vladimir Putin’s, Kyiv’s, Wagner, Oleksandr Syrskyi, , , Lindsey Graham, Richard Blumenthal, Yevgeny Prigozhin’s, Putin, Andrew Kravchenko, Alexei Smirnov, it’s, he’s, Valery Gerasimov, Joseph Stalin, insurgencies, Putin’s, egotistically, Volodymyr Zelensky, Russia’s Putin, , Zelensky, Ukraine’s Organizations: CNN, Kyiv, Kremlin, Armed Forces of, Bloomberg, Getty, Manpower, Residents, AP Locations: Vladimir Putin’s Russia, Kharkiv, Kyiv, Russia, Ukraine, Kursk, Rostov, Moscow, Lgov, Armed Forces of Ukraine, Donbas, Pokrovsk, Ukrainian
On Tuesday, Kyiv took badly needed resources and fresh troops and launched them well inside Russia. Oleksandr Syrskyi, commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, is pictured on July 2, 2023 in Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine. That could mean fewer gliding bombs hitting Ukrainian frontline troops and fewer missiles terrorizing Ukraine’s urban communities. Russia may be invited to attend the next peace conference held by Ukraine and its allies. It is unclear if Ukraine’s move into Kursk is motivated by that, or a simple move to inflict damage where the enemy is weak.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Oleksandr Syrskyi, Yuriy Mate, Volodymyr Zelensky, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Valentyn Ogirenko Organizations: CNN, Kyiv, Russian, Ukrainian Ground Forces, Getty, Trump, Ukrainian Air Forces Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Pokrovsk, Sloviansk, Moscow, Russian, Europe, Soviet, Donetsk Oblast, Kyiv, Kursk
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ET) in Tehran, will dictate what comes next, as Iran looks to present a narrative that justifies and fashions its response. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is seen with Haniyeh -- hours before his assassination. There is no shortage of furious rherotic the day after the strikes, but there is no easy route for Iran. Iran has also tried an unprecedented direct all-out attack on Israel before, in April, after senior IRGC commanders were killed in an Israeli strike on Damascus. In short, the 300 drone and missiles fired - straight from Iran at Israel - just didn’t get through.
Persons: Ismail Haniyeh, Haniyeh, Israel, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, Qasem Suleinami, rherotic, Ahmad Al, Ali Khamenei’s, , Masoud Pezeshkian, group’s, Fuad Shukr Organizations: CNN, Revolutionary Guards, Iran's Locations: Iran, Tehran, Israel, Beirut, Lebanon, Golan, Quds, Damascus
Neumann noted the latest Europol data showed “the number of attacks and planned attacks has more than quadrupled” since 2022. The apparent uptick in the recruitment of young radicals to carry out acts of terror comes as European security officials express worries at a potential resurgence of organized – or “directed” - terror attacks. The group has built a remarkable presence in Turkey over the past three years, according to court documents and analysts. Swiss police in March arrested a 15-year-old Swiss boy and a 16-year-old Italian boy for ISIS support and plotting bomb attacks, according to a police statement. Yulia Morozova/ReutersThe extent of ISIS-K’s use of Turkey as a transit hub is acknowledged by officials in the Turkish indictment.
Persons: Peter Neumann, Neumann, , ” Neumann, , Lise Jaulin, Dilara Senkaya, “ Rustam, Rustam, Yulia Morozova Organizations: CNN, ISIS, Paris Olympics, King’s College London, MIT, Swiss, Analysts, Soviet Union, Turkish, Italian Santa Maria Catholic Church, Foreign Operations, Hall, Foreign Locations: Europe, West, Paris, Islamic, Khorasan, Central Asia, Turkey, Saint, French, France, Haute, Savoie, Dusseldorf, Heidelberg, Montenegro, Austria, Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Moscow, Italian, Istanbul, Swedish, Pakistan, Tajik, Iran, Russia, Crocus, Syria, Iraq
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The NATO official said they had observed “an unprecedented escalation and spread of Russia’s hybrid warfare” over the past six months, which included “physical sabotage” on the supply line of NATO weapons intended for Ukraine. “It is everything from point of production and origin, to storage, to those who are making decisions, to the actual delivery,” the senior NATO official said. Recent high-profile arrests have revealed the ad-hoc, clumsy nature of how the Kremlin’s intelligence operations have evolved since the start of the war in Ukraine. Russia is big enough to have resources to fight a war against Ukraine and also maintain its security operations against European countries… against us. There are people who take part in the war against Ukraine, and then they are rotated to some other region or area.
Persons: Blunt, , Donald Tusk, Dariusz Borowicz, Agencja Wyborcza.pl, Maxim, Andrzej, Jaroslaw, , Don’t, ” Andrzej, I’d, Wagner, Volodymyr Zelensky, Sean Gallup, Paris Charles de, Vladimir Putin’s, Harrys Organizations: CNN, NATO, Polish, Reuters, Ukraine, Getty, London’s Metropolitan Police Service, Kremlin, EU, Estonian Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Europe, , Reuters Russia, Washington , DC, Moscow, Poland, Russian, Lublin, Medyka, Ukrainian, Biala Podlaska, Warsaw, Polish, surveilling Rzeszow Jasionka, Kyiv, Berlin, Germany, Russian Ukrainian, Paris Charles, Paris Charles de Gaulle, East London, Estonia, Russia’s
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