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Job seekers are sour on the cooling labor market
  + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Nitat Termmee | Moment | Getty ImagesWorkers are souring on the state of the job market. Workers had reason for euphoria two to three years ago: The job market was red-hot and, by many metrics, historically strong. However, the labor market has slowed gradually. Workers are now having a harder time finding jobs and the labor market, while still solid, could be in trouble if it continues to cool, economists said. While that rate is "consistent with a strong labor market," its steady rise is the "troubling factor," Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at the Indeed Hiring Lab, wrote in early July.
Persons: Nitat, Nick Bunker, Bunker Organizations: Getty Images Workers, Workers, U.S . Federal Reserve, North America
More US companies are dropping experience and education requirements from their job postings. AdvertisementDropping hiring requirements could save some companies moneyThere's some evidence that companies could already be dropping hiring requirements in part to cut costs. He found that the industries with the largest declines in hiring requirements also saw "rapidly cooling demand" for workers over this period. The marketing and IT sectors also have experienced hiring slowdowns and large declines in hiring requirements, per Indeed data. It's not clear how much of an impact the decline in hiring requirements has had on employer's labor costs.
Persons: , Cory Stahle, Stahle, slowdowns Organizations: Service, Business, LinkedIn
Still, the industry largely saw strong monthly job gains following the losses it faced early on in the pandemic, averaging 205,000 jobs a month in 2021. Data out Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed this industry saw a month-over-month job gain of 7,000; the overall nonfarm payroll job gain in June was 206,000. The industry has historically had higher rates of quits and job openings than the overall labor market, per the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Additionally, the healthcare and social assistance sectors have seen robust job growth and likely will be looking for job seekers long-term. AdvertisementThe overall tougher labor market still has potential for job seekers.
Persons: , switchers, Julia Pollak, " Pollak, Pollak, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, Healthcare, North America Locations: Federal
Payroll gains so far in 2024 have totaled 1.24 million, down about 50,000 a month below the same period a year ago. "Specifically, I'm thinking more about the unemployment rate, which has been slowly trending up." Under normal circumstances, a 4% unemployment rate would be cause for celebration, not concern. The May rate was 0.5 percentage point above its 12-month low of 3.5% in July 2023, potentially triggering a recession indicator called the Sahm Rule. The rule has shown consistently that whenever the unemployment rate on a three-month average eclipses its 12-month low by half a percentage point, the economy is in recession.
Persons: nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Nick Bunker, it's
CNN —The number of available jobs in the US unexpectedly grew in May, signaling continued resilience in the nation’s labor market. Job openings jumped higher to 8.14 million in May, from a downwardly revised 7.91 million in April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report released Tuesday. While both hires and job openings rates (as a percentage of total employment) ticked higher for May, the quits rate and layoffs rate were unchanged. The labor market appears to be at a crossroads, Nick Bunker, Indeed Hiring Lab’s head of economic research, wrote in commentary posted Tuesday. But some Fed officials have noted that the job market has lost momentum recently and that it’s highly unclear whether it will continue to hold steady or weaken further.
Persons: Economists, , ” Robert Frick, switchers, David Tinsley, Nick Bunker, ” Bunker, , you’ve, Austan Goolsbee, ” Marisa DiNatale Organizations: CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics ’, Labor, Navy Federal Credit Union, Industries, Bank of America, Bank of America Institute, , Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, European Central Bank, Moody’s, Labor Statistics Locations: Sintra , Portugal
A new ADP Research Institute report shows employment for software developers has declined from January 2018. Related storiesJob-search platform Indeed has its own running index of job postings for the software development sector. Swallowing a pay cut is a tough ask for software developers who were earning top dollar just a few years ago." AdvertisementData from Handshake, a platform where students can look for work, suggests a cooler demand for software developers or engineers. Have you made a career change from or to software development or another tech job?
Persons: , Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor's, Zhao, Nela Richardson, Richardson, Nick Bunker, Bunker, Randy Tarnowski, Tarnowski, they're Organizations: Service, ADP Research, Business, North America, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Americans shouldn't expect interest rate cuts to head their way anytime soon. Related stories"It may be bad, partly, because it is driven in part by uncertainty and fear and high interest rates holding back activity," Pollak added. "And if I had to bet, I bet that we will get two rate cuts, one in September and one in December." Some Democratic lawmakers have been pushing the Fed to cut rates and give Americans some breathing room, especially after the European Central Bank cut rates earlier in June for the first time in five years. "The Fed's decision to keep interest rates highs continues to widen the rate gap between Europe and the U.S, as the lower interest rates could push the dollar higher, tightening financial conditions," they wrote, adding: "You have kept interest rates too high for too long: it is time to cut rates."
Persons: there's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter, It's, Pollak, Nick Bunker, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, we're, David Kelly, Kelly, Elizabeth Warren, Jacky Rosen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Service, Reserve, Business, North America, Morgan Asset Management, Democratic, European Central Bank Locations: United States, Amsterdam, Sens, Europe
US economy added a whopping 272,000 jobs in May
  + stars: | 2024-06-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
At a time when Americans and the Federal Reserve are clamoring for clear-cut data about the state and trajectory of the economy, Friday’s jobs report was much more opaque than everyone had hoped. Employment fell in the household survey, while unemployment increased to just shy of 6.5 million and pushing the unemployment rate to the threshold of 4%. Service-providing industries accounted for the bulk of the month’s job gains, with health care and social assistance continuing to lead the way, with 83,500 jobs added. “Don’t get overly spooked by the rise in the unemployment rate,” Bunker wrote. “The labor market is still gliding toward a soft landing.”
Persons: ” Dean Baker, , I’ve, Diane Swonk, , Wall, Chris Rupkey, FwdBonds, CEPR’s Baker, ” Baker, ” Thomas Simons, Jeffries, Nick Bunker, Bunker, “ Don’t, ” Bunker Organizations: CNN, Federal Reserve, Center for Economic, Policy Research, of Labor Statistics, KPMG, That’s, Index, Traders, BLS, Service, North America
The five-day, in-office workweek is antiquated for a large share of workers, a relic of the pre-pandemic job market. "Remote work is not going away," said Nick Bloom, an economics professor at Stanford University who studies workplace management practices. Remote work is not going away. Nick Bloom economics professor at Stanford UniversityHis research suggests workers value hybrid work about the same as an 8% raise. 'Firms care about profits, not productivity'In addition, hybrid work doesn't appear to have any negative impact on workers' productivity, Bloom said.
Persons: Justin Paget, Digitalvision, Nick Bloom, workdays, lockdowns, Nick Bunker, Martin, Bloom, Bunker, it's, flexibly Organizations: Stanford University, Research, Finance, Employers, U.S, McKinsey, University of Pittsburgh
A soft landing is on the horizon, too — or already here depending on who you ask — and recent data reinforces that. AdvertisementThere has been a ton of moderation in this rate particularly when comparing recent changes to those seen in 2022, another sign pointing to a soft landing. AdvertisementThe soft landing might already be hereDavid Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, believes the US has already achieved a soft landing. "To me, a soft landing is when the unemployment rate has basically hit its full-employment level, and the inflation rate is gradually coming down to a rate that's acceptable," Kelly said. Advertisement"In other words, a fairly comfortable soft landing with occasional turbulence," Draho added.
Persons: , That's, it's, Joseph Briggs, Goldman Sachs, Briggs, Nick Bunker, Bunker, David Kelly, Kelly, Jason Draho, Draho, It's Organizations: Service, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, UBS, Morgan Asset Management, UBS Global Wealth Management
Read previewInflation and interest rates are still high, but Americans shouldn't count on any relief just yet. Advertisement"The status of the battle against inflation requires that interest rates remain elevated in the near-term," Hamrick said. "The first quarter in the United States was notable for its lack of further progress on inflation," Powell said during the panel. But while job seekers and workers may find this cooldown concerning, that moderation is also welcome and the labor market is still strong. "Paired with high borrowing costs — like high interest rates on your credit cards — and the current economy can feel quite uncomfortable," Renter added.
Persons: , That's, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joanne Hsu, Nick Bunker, Ted Rossman, Rossman, Elizabeth Renter, Renter, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Business, Federal, University of Michigan, North America Locations: Amsterdam, United States,
Job growth in April was concentrated in traditionally low-paying sectors like healthcare and retail. Wage growth, though slower, still outpaces inflation, which is still a boon for workers. That's because the industries that led job growth in April are traditionally low-paying. Indeed, job growth is concentrated in industries that are historically low-paying — and continue to pay less than the average across private industries. As Pollak notes, "wage growth has come down sharply, but it's mostly come down in industries where it was very rapid before."
Persons: , it's, Jobs, that's, Labor Julie Su, Julia Pollak, It's, Kate Bahn, Insider's Aki Ito, Pollak, ALICE, They're, Nick Bunker, Bunker Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Labor, Healthcare, Institute for Women's, North, Business Locations: Bahn, North America
Read previewLinkedIn released its annual US list of the best big employers for career growth this week, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. ranked No. A few kinds of employers emerge among LinkedIn's top 15 large companies for US career growth including financial-services giants like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, telecom companies AT&T and Verizon, and the Big Four accounting firms Deloitte and PwC. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "This year's honorees are proving that investment in the employee experience is vital in today's workplaces," the report said. "Our methodology uses LinkedIn data to rank companies based on eight pillars that have been shown to lead to career progression," the report said.
Persons: , Wells, it's, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, JPMorgan Chase &, JPMorgan, AT, Verizon, Big, Deloitte, PwC, Business, North America Locations: Wells Fargo
Business Insider looked at how components of the labor market have settled down, like wage growth. And that more boring but steady labor market could be great news for workers and job seekers. The US could be in a Goldilocks job market. Job switchers are seeing higher wage growth than people staying, according to the 12-month moving average of median wage growth from the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker. So what will happen to the Goldilocks job market?
Persons: Nick Bunker, Bunker, , That's, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter's, " Pollak, Pollak, Job, Julie Su, switchers, Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, Juliana Kaplan Organizations: Service, North America, BLS Locations: Atlanta
The labor market has been resilient despite economic headwinds like higher interest rates. "There's still strong, broad-based job growth and real wage growth has been restored," Pollak said. The labor market is in a 'sweet spot'Employers added 303,000 jobs to payrolls in March, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Job growth in the first three months of 2024 — 274,000, on average — beats the 2019 pre-pandemic average by more than 100,000. "The labor market is settling into a sweet spot," said Nick Bunker, economic research director for North America at job site Indeed.
Persons: Lindsey Nicholson, Julia Pollak, There's, Pollak, Nick Bunker Organizations: Getty, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America Locations: Queens , New York, U.S
Instead, on Friday, yet another jobs report defied expectations. “Today’s jobs report raises the possibility that rather than slowing down, job growth might be holding steady,” Nick Bunker, Indeed Hiring Lab’s economic research director for North America, said in a statement. Last month’s job growth was driven by industries such as health care (+72,300 jobs); government (+71,000 jobs); leisure and hospitality (+49,000 jobs); and construction (+39,000 jobs). President Joe Biden touted March’s jobs report Friday. With today’s report of 303,000 new jobs in March, we have passed the milestone of 15 million jobs created since I took office.
Persons: Nick Bunker, Joe Biden, , ” Biden, , Greg Daco, , ” Daco, we’ve, Erica Groshen, ” Brett House, Daco, Price Organizations: New, New York CNN, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, North, , CNN Business, Cornell University, CNN, Brookings Institution, Congressional, Columbia Business School, Fed, Labor Locations: New York, North America, EY, United States
There were around 8.8 million job openings in the US in February. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Openings for jobs have dropped from a rate of 6.0% in February 2023 to a rate of 5.3% this past February. Tuesday's news release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics said February job openings "changed little at 8.8 million" since January. Across industries, here are the roles with a multitude of openings, or an urgent need to hire.
Persons: , Nick Bunker Organizations: BI, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, North America, Business
There were about 8.8 million job openings in the US in February. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Openings for jobs have dropped from a rate of 6% in February 2023 to 5.3% this past February. Tuesday's news release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics said February job openings "changed little at 8.8 million" since January.
Persons: , Nick Bunker Organizations: Business, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, North America
Still, the door is open for rate cuts later in the year. AdvertisementThe nation's central bank is gearing up to make its second interest rate decision of the year, and it probably won't be the relief many Americans want to see. AdvertisementStill, while Americans may not see an interest rate cut this month, they could see one later on this year. But I still think interest rate cuts of one form or the other are likely this year." A group of Democratic lawmakers are also urging Powell to develop a timeline in which Americans can expect to see rate cuts.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Powell, there's, we've, Nick Bunker, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Congressional Progressive Caucus — Organizations: Federal, Service, Fed, Financial Services Committee, North America, Democratic, Congressional Progressive Caucus
Inflation unexpectedly creeps up
  + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
CPI also increased 0.4% month over month. AdvertisementConsumer price index data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Tuesday showed inflation, by this measure, unexpectedly accelerated slightly in February. AdvertisementCore CPI only increased 0.4% from January to February, or matching the previous surge of 0.4%. The food index slowed from a year-over-year increase of 2.6% in January to an increase of just 2.2% in February. The energy index saw another year-over-year decline, a decline of 1.9% in February following a decline of 4.6%.
Persons: , That's, It's, Nick Bunker Organizations: CPI, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, of Labor Statistics
Read previewFebruary's job growth was strong and similar to January's revised job gain. According to Friday's news release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US experienced job growth of 275,000 in February. Additionally, December's job growth of 333,000 stated in the February release was updated to 290,000 in the new report. Leisure and hospitality saw large job growth in February, with an increase of 58,000. Pollak also pointed out the large job gains seen in December and January were revised downward and an increase in the unemployment rate in February.
Persons: , Labor Julie Su, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Nick Bunker, Bunker, That's Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, BLS, North, Labor Statistics Locations: America, North America
For almost two years, many economists and observers have figured something has to give in the labor market. And then the labor market has turned around and said, "Ha, actually, no." If you're trying to upgrade your job, you're trying to get a better job, the time to do that was probably a year ago. If you have a job, you're at a relatively low risk of losing that job — despite the headlines about layoffs at some big-name companies. "If you're trying to upgrade your job, you're trying to get a better job, the time to do that was probably a year ago," Preston Mui, a senior economist at the macroeconomic policy group Employ America, said.
Persons: Nick Bunker, didn't, Guy Berger, Preston Mui, , Heck, hasn't, It's, they're, Emily Stewart Organizations: Ferrari, Workers, Glass Institute, Companies, Business Locations: America
Los Angeles Times, eBay, and UPS are three companies that have made recent layoff announcements. Despite cuts at big household names, the nation's layoffs and discharges rate has been steadily low. AdvertisementEmployees at the Los Angeles Times, eBay , Microsoft , and UPS are some of the workers impacted by recent layoff announcements in January. That sector had a layoffs and discharges rate of 0.8% in December, which is actually a small dip from the 0.9% in November. Zhao noted that "the scale here" means that this number probably isn't really going to change because of the recent layoff announcements.
Persons: , Nick Bunker, Bunker, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter's, Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor, Zhao, that's, Kory Kantenga, isn't Organizations: Los Angeles Times, eBay, UPS, Service, Microsoft, Bureau of Labor Statistics, North America, Labor, LinkedIn
Read previewThe nation's central bank is gearing up to make its first big decision of 2024 — and while it likely won't be the interest rate cut many Americans are hoping for, it's set to bring them closer to that relief. The Fed hinted at how many interest rate cuts Americans can expect this year in its December Summary of Economic Projections. New labor market data out this Friday will show how employment looked at the start of 2024, and some labor market experts already think 2024 will see a cooler job market . That continuing strength in the labor market does represent a slowdown from the hot post-pandemic recovery in 2022. "The Fed has already signaled its willingness to cut rates, and the market has responded accordingly," the lawmakers wrote.
Persons: , it's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Nick Bunker, would've, Greg McBride, David Kelly, Kelly, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Jacky Rosen, Sheldon Whitehouse Organizations: Service, Business, Federal, Federal Reserve, Spelman College, Labor Statistics, Fed, North America, Morgan Asset Management, Democratic Locations: Sens
Today, remote work has declined from its levels of the pandemic but is still – depending on how broadly one measures it – three to four times as prevalent as it was in 2019. And remote work tends to be dominated by higher-educated employees, with nearly 40% of those holding advanced degrees hybrid or fully remote. In early January, LinkedIn’s Global State of Remote and Hybrid Work study found that at its peak, in April of 2022, the share of job postings that offered remote work reached 20.3%. The more enduring feature of remote work is now hybrid.”There are also substantial differences within industry and among countries. “You’re moving to where the housing is cheaper.”Not that it is all rosy when it comes to remote work.
Persons: , Kory Kantenga, Sandra Moran, Julia Pollak, Nick Bunker, Layla O’Kane, Lightcast, Morris Davis, Andra Ghent, Jesse Gregory, ” Goldman Sachs, Boyer, Brad Case, “ That’s, Software’s Moran Organizations: LinkedIn, Workforce Software, LinkedIn’s Global, Labor Statistics, North, , Oxford University Press, Economic Studies, Rutgers University, Andra, University of Utah, University of Wisconsin, Ivory, Google, NASA, Middleburg Communities, Green Mountain Locations: U.S, Israel, Ghent, Real Estate, Santa Ana , California, LLC.org . New York, Huntsville , Alabama, Huntsville, Glendale , Arizona, Phoenix, Arlington , Texas, Dallas, Middleburg, San Francisco, New York, Charlotte, Raleigh , North Carolina, Orlando, Jacksonville , Florida, Houston, San Antonio , Texas, Florida, Texas, Vermont, Green Mountain State, California
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