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This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Breaking from Wall Street, Asia-Pacific stocks mostly rose on Friday. On a quarterly basis, GDP rose 0.2%, in line with estimates from a Reuters poll, but that's lower than the second quarter's 0.5% increase. China retail sales pick back upChina's retail sales in October rose 4.8% year on year, reported the National Bureau of Statistics.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: US Federal Reserve, Music, Fair, CNBC, Trump, Nikkei, CSI, U.S . Federal, National Bureau of Statistics, Nvidia, Citi Locations: Dallas , Texas, Street, Asia, Pacific, China
BEIJING — China's retail sales rose more than expected in October, while industrial production and investment data missed forecasts as the real estate drag worsened. Industrial production rose by 5.3% in October from a year ago, missing expectations of 5.6% growth. Investment in real estate for the January to October period fell by 10.3% from a year ago, steeper than the 10.1% drop seen in the January to September period. While infrastructure and manufacturing investments picked up slightly in the year-to-date period as of October, versus that of September. The central bank has cut interest rates and extended existing real estate support.
Organizations: Retail, National Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Finance Locations: Shanghai, BEIJING
China consumer prices rise slowest in 4 months, despite stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People purchasing fruit at an agricultural trade market on May 11, 2024 in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province of China. China's consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in October while producer price deflation deepened, data showed on Saturday, even as Beijing doubled down on stimulus to support the sputtering economy. Analysts say the package will likely do little to boost economic activity, demand and prices in the near term. However, core inflation, excluding volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.2% in October, accelerating from 0.1% in September. China's central bank in late September unveiled the most aggressive monetary support measures since the COVID-19 pandemic to revive economic growth.
Persons: Bruce Pang Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, JLL Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, Beijing, China's
BEIJING — China's official purchasing managers' index for October came in at 50.1, in expansionary territory for the first time since April, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Thursday. The last time the PMI was above the 50-point line that determines contraction from activity was in April, with a reading of 50.4. Raw materials inventory ticked up to 48.2, still in contraction territory, along with employment at 48.4, which was mildly better than the prior month. The statistics bureau's PMI for non-manufacturing activity rose to 50.2 in October. The employment portion of the non-manufacturing PMI climbed by 1.1 percentage points to 45.8.
Organizations: BEIJING, National Bureau, Statistics, PMI
Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), speaks during a news conference at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo, JapanAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open on Thursday as investors look to the Bank of Japan's rate decision, as well as key business activity figures from China. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOJ will hold rates at 0.25%, although the statement will be parsed for any clues on the timing of its next rate hike. In China, the National Bureau of Statistics is set to release the country's official purchasing managers index numbers for September, with the manufacturing PMI forecast to come in at 49.9, a softer contraction than the 49.8 the month before. Still, that would be the sixth straight month of contraction for the country's manufacturing sector.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank of, Reuters, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Tokyo, Japan Asia, Pacific, China
After months of incremental measures, Chinese President Xi Jinping in late September led a top-level meeting that vowed to "halt the real estate market decline." Earlier this month, the Finance Ministry introduced more measures aimed at stabilizing the real estate sector. Property sales and new home construction are unlikely to stabilize until 2027, Goldman forecast. watch nowS&P Global Ratings and Morgan Stanley this month also published reports forecasting China's real estate market will bottom in the second half of 2025. China's latest efforts to bolster confidence have given the real estate market a lift.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Edward Chan, Nomura Organizations: China Vanke Co, Bloomberg, Getty, Finance Ministry, Goldman, China Index Academy, P Global, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: China, Hefei, Beijing
China's industrial profits in September dropped at its fastest pace since the pandemic, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, as the country tussles with an economy plagued by slow growth, lack of demand and a property crisis. After a 17.8% fall in August, industrial profits declined 27.1% in September from a year ago, marking the steepest plunge since March 2020, when it dropped by 34.9%, according to data kept by Wind Information. In the first nine months, industrial profits fell by 3.5% from a year ago. NBS statistician Yu Weining said "insufficient demand and a sharp decline in producer prices" weighed down the profitability of industrial firms. Gary Ng, senior economist at Natixis, said in an email to CNBC that "the weakness of industrial profits indicates China's greater need for demand-side policies."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Hui Shan, Yu Weining, Gary Ng Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Information, People's, CNBC, Reuters, PMI Locations: Jiangxi Province, Shanghai, China, Beijing
A person rides a bicycle with a child sitting in the basket in Beijing, China July 14, 2024. The jobless rate for 16-to-24-year olds in China, excluding students, fell to 17.6% in September from 18.8% a month prior, official data showed on Tuesday, offering officials relief after youth unemployment hit fresh highs for two straight months. Youth unemployment hit a record high of 21.3% in June last year, prompting China to halt publication of the closely watched benchmark until that change was made. But a separate official survey on factory owners' confidence for September showed that firms continued to hold off on hiring last month. The rate last month for 25-to-29-year olds was 6.7%, and also excluded college students, and 3.9% for people between 30 and 59 years of age.
Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Producers Locations: Beijing, China
Analysts pick winners from China stimulus measures
  + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Now that China's key ministers have spoken on stimulus, analysts have narrowed down the stocks likely to benefit. Chinese stocks have tempered their recent rally as investors await more policy details. Beyond interest rate cuts, the most tangible Chinese stimulus policies include subsidies to boost consumption with a trade-in program, along with incremental property market support. They screened for mainland-traded Chinese stocks with relatively high dividend yields and strong cash flow. While Chinese property developers may not bounce back right away, HSBC analysts expect construction software company Glodon, listed in Shenzhen, can benefit from property market stabilization.
Persons: David Chao, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Ni Hong, Edward Chan Organizations: Asia Pacific, Aluminum Corp, Cement, HSBC, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: Japan, Invesco, Hong Kong, Anhui, Beijing, Shenzhen, Shanghai
China’s National Health Commission (NHC) is surveying 30,000 people to understand factors influencing their attitudes towards childbearing and the “fear surrounding having children”, as authorities struggle to boost a flagging birthrate. The survey will include people from 150 counties in China and 1,500 different communities, the state-backed Global Times said late on Thursday, citing the China Population and Development Research Center, which falls under the NHC. Beijing is trying to encourage young couples to have children after China posted a second consecutive year of population decline in 2023. The survey aims to analyze “reluctance and fear surrounding having children” and ultimately provide fertility support and incentive measures, the newspaper said. It comes after China’s National Bureau of Statistics said it will conduct a nationwide sample survey from Oct. 10-Nov. 30 to monitor population changes.
Persons: Organizations: Health Commission, Global Times, Development Research Center, NHC, National Bureau of Statistics Locations: China, Beijing
China’s National Bureau of Statistics on Friday reported third-quarter GDP growth of 4.6% year on year, slightly exceeding the 4.5% expected by economists polled by Reuters. “The national economy showed positive signs of growth in September,” Sheng Laiyun, the bureau’s deputy commissioner, said at the news conference, according to CNBC’s translation of the Chinese. Other data also released on Friday, such as retail sales and industrial production, also beat expectations, a hopeful sign for the world’s second-largest economy. “Despite the multitude of challenges, China’s economy is not incurable as some would suggest,” Xu added. Authorities continued to dip feed more stimulus measures throughout this month amid low consumer sentiment and a flagging property sector.
Persons: ” Sheng Laiyun, , Tianchen Xu, ” Xu, Finance Lan Organizations: China’s National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, Economist Intelligence Unit, China’s, Finance, Ministry Locations: China’s, Beijing
China on Friday reported better-than-expected retail sales and industrial production for September. Retail sales grew 3.2% from a year ago, better than the 2.5% growth estimated by analysts in an LSEG poll, the National Bureau of Statistics said. Meanwhile, industrial production expanded 5.4% in September from a year ago, more than the 4.5% expected by analysts. He noted that year-to-date retail sales data showed "cautious sentiment among consumers." From January to September, retail sales grew 3.35%, nearly same as the growth reported for January through August at 3.36%.
Persons: Gary Ng, Ng, , Bao Organizations: Costco, National Bureau of Statistics, Natixis, Investors Locations: Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China . China, China, Beijing, Covid
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Better-than-expected growth for ChinaChina's third-quarter gross domestic product expanded by 4.6% year on year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Chinese and U.S. retail sales going strongChina's retail sales for September grew 3.2% from a year ago, said the National Bureau of Statistics. Across the Pacific Ocean, retail sales in the U.S. rose a seasonally adjusted 0.4% for September.
Persons: Dow Jones, Pat Gelsinger, Altera Organizations: CNBC, China, National Bureau of Statistics, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai
China's National Bureau of Statistics on Friday reported third-quarter GDP growth of 4.6% year on year, slightly exceeding the 4.5% expected by economists polled by Reuters. "The national economy showed positive signs of growth in September," Sheng Laiyun, the bureau's deputy commissioner, said at the press conference, according to CNBC's translation of the Chinese. Other data also released on Friday, such as retail sales and industrial production, had also beat expectations, a hopeful sign for the world's second largest economy. Beijing has faced growing public scrutiny over its ability to meet its own annual growth target of "around 5%." Amid low consumer sentiment and a flagging property sector, the Chinese government has intensified stimulus measures in recent weeks in an effort to boost its lackluster economy.
Persons: Sheng Laiyun, Tianchen Xu Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: China, Beijing
China vowed more financial support for real estate projects that fall under its so-called whitelist and to speed up banks lending of 4 trillion yuan ($561.8 billion) for such projects, according to the nation's housing ministry. A total of 2.23 trillion yuan has been approved in loans to whitelisted developers, and that figure is expected to exceed 4 trillion yuan by the end of this year, according to a senior official from the financial regulator. Real estate was also the leading gainer in Mainland China's CSI 300, advancing by nearly 5%. Days later, officials in a top-level meeting, chaired by Chinese president Xi Jinping, pledged to "halt the real estate market decline and spur a stable recovery." More than 50 cities across China had introduced policies to boost the real estate market, according to Chinese state media citing the housing ministry.
Persons: Ni, HSMPI, Pan Gongsheng, Xi Jinping, Goldman Sachs, , — CNBC's Evelyn Cheng Organizations: National Financial Regulatory Administration, Investors, China's Ministry of Finance, Mainland, China's CSI, People Bank of China, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: China, Beijing, China's, Guangzhou, Shanghai, Shenzhen
Oil prices fall by more than $1 on deflation worries in China
  + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel, losing over 1.5% in early trading on Monday, after disappointing Chinese inflation data and a lack of clarity on Beijing's economic stimulus plans stoked fears about demand. In the U.S. market, energy firms last week added oil and natural gas rigs for the first time in four weeks, according to a closely followed report by energy services firm Baker Hughes. The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose by one to 586 in the week to Oct. 11. The impact of Hurricane Milton boosted short-term demand in the U.S. as evacuations supported gasoline consumption, but weak demand dominated the fundamentals outlook. Oil major BP posted a $600 million drop in its third-quarter profit on Friday because of weak refining margins amid a slowdown in global oil use.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Baker Hughes, Hurricane Milton Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, National Bureau of Statistics, China Ministry of Finance Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, East, Florida, The U.S, Iran, Israel, Hurricane
China's consumer inflation rate fell in September, while producer price deflation deepened, even as Beijing rolls out more stimulus measures in a bid to revive flagging demand and shaky economic activity. The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% from a year earlier last month, against a 0.6% rise in August, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Sunday, missing a 0.6% increase forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. CPI was unchanged month-on-month, versus a 0.4% gain in August and below an estimated 0.4% increase. The producer price index (PPI) fell 2.8% year-on-year in September, versus a 1.8% decline the previous month and below an expected 2.5% decline.
Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, CPI Locations: Beijing
BEIJING — China's Minister of Finance Lan Fo'an told reporters Saturday during a press briefing that the central government has room to increase debt and the deficit. Economists have said China needs additional fiscal support, but Beijing has yet to announce any. He did not name specific figures and noted supporting real estate required multiple policies. In a meeting in late September, led by Chinese President Xi Jinping, authorities had called for strengthening monetary and fiscal policy support. China's retail sales grew only modestly over the last few months, and the country's real estate slump has shown few signs of turning around.
Persons: Lan Fo'an, Zheng Shanjie, Pan Gongsheng, Finance Lan Fo'an, Lan, Finance Liao Min, Xi Jinping, Ting Lu Organizations: National Development, Reform Commission, People's Bank of China, National People's Congress, BEIJING —, Finance, Nomura, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Beijing, China, BEIJING
China's factory activity contracted for a fifth consecutive month in September as the world's second-largest economy struggles to revive its growth momentum. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a reading below that level points to contraction. However, China's Caixin PMI was 49.3, compared to 50.4 in August, according to the private survey compiled by S&P Global. The Caixin data released on Monday indicated that China's manufacturing sector experienced its sharpest contraction in 14 months in September, driven by declining demand and a weakening labor market. Headwinds for the manufacturing sector has continued to mount as a prolonged economic slowdown and property crisis dampen domestic demand.
Persons: Zhao Qinghe, Xi Jinping Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, Reuters, NBS, P Global, National Bureau, Statistics, People's Bank of China
China's industrial profits plunged by 17.8% in August from a year ago, the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. Industrial profits covers factories, mines and utilities in China. Sluggish domestic demand, a prolonged housing downturn and rising unemployment have weighed on the world's second largest economy. In August, China's industrial activity, retail sales and urban investment all grew slower than expected, with retail sales rising by barely more than 2% and industrial production by 4.5% from a year ago. The urban unemployment rate was 5.3% in August, an uptick from 5.2% in the previous month.
Persons: China's, Xi Jinping, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China Locations: China's, Jiangsu, China, Beijing
China’s youth unemployment rate in August rose to the highest level since the new system of record-keeping began in December, driven by an economic slowdown and restrictive hiring policies, according to analysts. China’s urban unemployment rate across all age categories rose 5.3% in August, compared to a 5.2% rise in July. China’s youth unemployment has also been affected by restrictive hiring policies amid a struggling economy as companies are refusing to hire recent college graduates due to the difficulty and costs involved in firing workers in China. This is expensive so no one wants to fire anyone now or hire anyone new,” he noted. “That’s why the [overall] unemployment rate isn’t that bad but the unemployment rate for youths is so high,” Rein added.
Persons: That’s, “ It’s, , Dan Wang, Shaun Rein, , ” Rein Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, HSBC, China Market Research, Locations: China
A Chinese flag in Pudong's Lujiazui Financial District in Shanghai, China, on Sept. 18, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets opened lower Monday as investors assessed monetary policy decisions from Japan and China on Friday after U.S. Federal Reserve's sharp rate cut sent markets higher last week. Despite growing calls for lower interest rates, the People's Bank of China unexpectedly left its key benchmark rate on hold on Friday. The Reserve Bank of Australia starts its two-day policy meeting on Monday, where central bankers will decide on the country's monetary policy path on Tuesday. Overall year-on-year CPI is expected to have cooled to 2.15%, compared to 2.40% the previous month
Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of China, Reserve Bank of Australia Locations: Lujiazui, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Federal, Singapore
China's youth unemployment rate in August rose to the highest level since the new system of record-keeping began in December, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed, amid an economic slowdown. China's urban unemployment rate across all age categories rose 5.3% in August, compared to a 5.2% climb in July. China paused reporting the youth unemployment rate for much of the latter half of last year while it reassessed its calculation methods. China's youth unemployment has also been affected by restrictive hiring policies amid a struggling economy as companies are refusing to hire recent college graduates due to the difficulty and costs involved in firing workers in China. "That's why the [overall] unemployment rate isn't that bad but the unemployment rate for youths is so high," Rein added.
Persons: That's, Dan Wang, Shaun Rein, Rein Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, HSBC, China Market Research, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China
The cultural shift has spawned a booming business in divorce photography not only for Tan, but also for other photographers hoping to profit. Photos shared on Chinese social media Xiaohongshu show some couples signing their divorce papers, while others pose with their divorce certificate. Happy divorce,” one user wrote alongside a photo of her marriage and divorce certificates side by side. “It is not shameful to be brave enough to divorce,” Tan said. Faces on old wedding photos are spray-painted, to ensure privacy is respected, before being tossed into a crusher along with other tokens of memories.
Persons: Tan, ” Tan, , Peng Xiujian, , Peng, it’s, Liu Wei, Liu, Justin Robertson, ” Liu, he’s, Gary Ng, “ I’ll, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Companies, Victoria University, CNN Locations: Beijing, Hong Kong, Henan, China, Australia
From property woes to sluggish economic data, China appears to be suffering from long Covid. Wall Street turns bullishBillionaire investors, including Appaloosa Management founder David Tepper and "Big Short" investor Michael Burry, recently revealed they are sticking to their China bets. The famed investor loaded up on Alibaba stock in the second quarter, revealing an $11.2 million position in the company. That makes Alibaba Burry's largest holding, with other Chinese tech stocks including Baidu and JD.com also featuring on Burry's portfolio. Meanwhile, BCA Research recently upgraded Chinese onshore stocks to overweight, with China strategist Jing Sima expecting Chinese onshore stocks to passively outperform global equities.
Persons: Jiang Sheng, It's, Ted Alexander, CNBC's, David Tepper, Michael Burry, Alibaba, Tepper, Burry, JD.com, Jing Sima, George Boubouras, Goldman Sachs, Song Zhiyong, Eric Lin Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Appaloosa Management, KE Holdings, Baidu, BCA Research, K2 Asset Management, CNBC, Bank of America, National Bureau of Statistics, China's Ministry of Transport, Civil Aviation Administration, Asia Pacific Summit for Aviation Safety, Paris Olympic Games, Greater, Greater China Research, UBS Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Europe, Greater China
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