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Oil slips as U.S. storm threat eases, China stimulus disappoints
  + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices extended declines on Monday as the threat of a supply disruption from a U.S. storm eased and after China's stimulus plan disappointed investors seeking fuel demand growth in the world's No. Oil consumption in China, the world's driver of global demand growth for years, has barely grown in 2024 as its economic growth has slowed, gasoline use has declined with the rapid growth of electric vehicles and liquefied natural gas has replaced diesel as a truck fuel. Oil prices have also eased after concerns about supply disruption from storm Rafael in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico subsided. More than a quarter of U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil and 16% of natural gas output remained offline on Sunday, according to the offshore energy regulator. Looking ahead, uncertainty from policies under U.S. President-elect Donald Trump have clouded the global economic outlook although expectations that he could tighten sanctions on OPEC producers Iran and Venezuela and cut oil supply to global markets partly caused oil prices to gain more than 1% last week.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Rafael, Donald Trump, refiners Organizations: Brent, West Texas, National People's Congress, ANZ, Central Economic Work Conference, U.S Locations: U.S, China, U.S . Gulf, Mexico, Iran, Venezuela
Dollar winds down after volatile week, China NPC in focus
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar further unwound some of its sharp gains from earlier in the week as traders closed out profitable bets on a Trump presidency after his election victory. That helped lift sterling back toward the $1.30 mark, while the yen similarly got some respite and hovered closer to the 153 per dollar level. Sterling last traded $1.2983, recovering from its fall to a roughly three-month low earlier in the week. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar ticked up 0.03% to 104.44, on track to gain just above 0.1% for the week. "All eyes are on what may emerge from China's policy toolkit after the conclusion of the NPC standing committee meeting."
Persons: Donald Trump's, Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Kerry Craig, Trump, Wells, Jay Bryson, Sterling, David Chao Organizations: White, National People's Congress, Trump, Federal Reserve, Morgan Asset Management, Traders, Bank of England, NPC, New Zealand, Asia Pacific, European Union Locations: U.S, Beijing, Germany, Wells Fargo, Japan, Invesco
People visit a riverside in front of the Lujiazui financial district, during the National People's Congress (NPC) in Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. Aly Song | ReutersAsia-Pacific markets were set to climb on Tuesday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and major U.S. indexes continued their postelection rally. In Japan, the country will be releasing spending data for September, which will offer clues to the policy path ahead for the Bank of Japan. Strong spending data would support the case for the BOJ to raise rates, and vice versa. If stocks follow futures, the Hong Kong index will hit its highest level in about a month.
Persons: Aly Song, Australia's Organizations: National People's Congress, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, China's National People Congress, Bank of Japan, Nikkei Locations: Shanghai, China, Reuters Asia, Pacific, U.S, Asia, Japan, Chicago, Osaka, Hong Kong
On the campaign trial, Trump threatened to impose additional tariffs of 60% or more on Chinese goods sold to the U.S. She expects a stimulus package of more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.39 billion), with about 6 trillion yuan going towards local government debt swaps and bank recapitalization. More than 4 trillion yuan will likely go towards local government special bonds for supporting real estate, Su said. That divergence in stock performance indicates China's stimulus "will be slightly bigger than the baseline scenario," said Liqian Ren, who leads WisdomTree's quantitative investment capabilities. She estimates Beijing will add about 2 trillion yuan to 3 trillion yuan a year in support.
Persons: Zhu Baoliang, Trump, Su, Yue Su, , Liqian Ren, Ren doesn't, Biden, Chris Miller, That's, China's, Zhiwei Zhang Organizations: Bund, Trump, Citigroup, U.S, Economist Intelligence Unit, National People's Congress, Huawei, Republicans, Senate, NBC, Republican Party, Emergency Economic, Trade Locations: Shanghai, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, U.S
A screen displays the Nikkei 225 Stock Average figure on the trading floor at the Nomura Securities Co. headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Jan. 11, 2024. SINGAPORE — Asia-Pacific markets opened higher Wednesday after Wall Street surged overnight ahead of the U.S. presidential election results. Japan's Nikkei 225 opened up 0.7%, while the Topix gained 0.4%. The Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting minutes will be released later in the day, which could give insights on where the members stand on the bank's policy path. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% higher.
Persons: Kospi Organizations: Nomura Securities Co, U.S, Nikkei, People's Congress Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SINGAPORE — Asia, Pacific
Horton makes the most sense as a Kamala Harris stock because of a promised $25,000 toward a first home. I don't know if either candidate can pull off huge tariffs (Trump) or a credit (Harris). Here are eleven surprising things about this earnings season that you can store up and pull out when the election is confirmed. The deficit will begin to hurt the stock market hard next year even if the economy continues to cool. Away from the hyperscalers, I like Marvell , where CEO Matt Murphy bought $1 million worth of stock in the open market.
Persons: beckons, Joe Biden, Biden, Donald Trump, D.R, Horton, Kamala Harris, Harris, let's, Let's, Trump, haven't, Myers, Abbvie, Eli Lilly, Anat Askenazi's, Abbott, neonatologists, Reckitt, Jim Hurst, Danaher, Jason Hollar, It's, Amgen, That's, Estee Lauder, Parker, Pat Gelsinger's, He's, Matt Murphy, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, David Paul Morris Organizations: U.S, NBC News, White, Ford Motor, Trump, Costco, Volkswagen, Bankers, Banco Santander, Apple, Amazon, GE Vernova, U.S ., Treasury, Merck, NEC, FDA, CDC, NIH, GE Healthcare, Cardinal Health, NPC, Nvidia, Caterpillar, Linde, Devices, heaven's, Intel, Marvell, Micron, Arista, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Europe, Germany, China, Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, Spain, It's, Santander, , Bristol, U.S, Taiwan, Eaton, Dover, Norwegian, Caribbean, San Francisco
Oil prices extended gains on Friday, climbing more than $1 a barrel to pare weekly losses, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East rose following reports that Iran was preparing a retaliatory strike on Israel from Iraq in the coming days. Brent crude futures , which have rolled to the January contract, climbed $1.31, or 1.80%, to $74.12 a barrel by 0128 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose $1.35, or 1.95%, to $70.61 a barrel after settling up 0.95% in the previous session. Oil prices were also supported by expectations that OPEC+ could delay December's planned increase to oil production by a month or more, four sources close to the matter told Reuters on Wednesday, citing concern about soft oil demand and rising supply. The world's largest oil producer pumped a monthly record high of 13.4 million barrels per day in August, EIA said.
Persons: Axios, Monday's, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, U.S, Reuters, NPC, Energy Information Administration, EIA Locations: pare, Iran, Israel, Iraq, Sydney, Middle, U.S, China
The 6-trillion-yuan worth of debt would be raised over three years including 2024, said the sources, adding the proceeds would primarily be used to help local governments address off-the-books debt risks. Local governments would be allowed to raise that amount on top of their usual annual issuance quota, which mainly funds infrastructure spending. The quota stood at 3.9 trillion yuan this year and 3.8 trillion in 2023. The latest move is aimed at enhancing local governments' ability to manage land supply, and alleviate liquidity and debt pressures on both local governments and property developers, they added. Special-purpose bonds are a tool for off-budget debt financing used by Chinese local governments, with the proceeds raised typically earmarked for specific policy objectives, such as infrastructure expenditures.
Persons: Stringer, Donald Trump, it's, Tommy Xie, Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: Afp, Getty, National People's Congress, Reuters, Information, NPC, Greater, Greater China Research, OCBC Bank, U.S, Trump, Republican, Democratic Locations: Chongqing, China, Beijing, Greater China
China is considering a fresh $1.4 trillion stimulus, Reuters reported. The package could be approved next week and would increase in size if Trump wins the election. The large fiscal stimulus would be increased if Republican nominee and former President Donald Trump wins the US election, the report says. The remaining 4 trillion yuan would be raised by local government bonds and put toward idle land and property purchases, the sources told Reuters. AdvertisementIf Trump is elected, the stimulus package could be higher due to the economic challenges Trump's policies would pose for China, the sources told Reuters.
Persons: Trump's, , Donald Trump, Trump, he's, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Reuters, Trump, Service, Republican, National People's Congress, China, Wall Locations: China, Beijing
Oil prices rose on Friday and are on track for a weekly gain of more than 1%, as tensions in the world's top oil-producing region, the Middle East, and a restart in Gaza ceasefire talks in the coming days kept traders on edge. Both benchmarks settled down 58 cents a barrel in the previous session after prices fluctuated against expectations of heightened or reduced tensions in the Middle East. Oil traders are waiting for Israel's response to a missile attack by Iran on Oct. 1 that may involve hitting Tehran's oil infrastructure and disrupt supplies, although reports said Israel would strike Iranian military, not nuclear or oil, targets. U.S. and Israeli officials are set to restart talks for a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza in the coming days. Ceasefire talks have a small net negative impact on oil prices, Sycamore said, adding the focus is more on the conflict in Lebanon and Israel's potential response to Iran.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Israel, Antony Blinken, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, West Texas, NPC, East ., U.S Locations: Gaza, East, Iran, United States, Lebanon, France, China
Oil inches up after surprise drop in U.S. crude stockpiles
  + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Thursday, paring sharp losses over the past two sessions, after industry data showed an unexpected drop in U.S. crude stockpiles last week. It's coming, we know that but we don't know when," Sycamore said, adding that both factors bring upside risks for crude oil. In the U.S., crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday, against expectations of a build-up in crude stockpiles. Crude stocks fell by 1.58 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 11, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Gasoline inventories fell by 5.93 million barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 2.67 million barrels, they said.
Persons: Tony Sycamore, Sycamore Organizations: Brent, U.S, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, China NPC, IG, Investors, American Petroleum Institute, Reuters, Energy Information Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, European Central Bank Locations: Almetyevsk, Tatarstan, Russia, Israel, Iran, China, Sydney, Beijing, U.S
China's Ministry of Finance, pictured here in Beijing in 2021, is refunding taxes and cutting fees to support economic growth. China's Finance Minister Lan Fo'an is set to hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on Saturday local time on "intensifying" fiscal stimulus policies, the country's State Council Information Office said. Authorities are likely to affirm that at the press conference on Saturday, Zhao said. At the time, Chinese major indexes began to rally, surging over 25% as investors cheered on the slate of stimulus measures. Lan Fo'an, China's Minister of Finance, attends a press conference during the second session of the 14th National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing on March 6, 2024.
Persons: Cong, Lan Fo'an, NDRC, Zheng Shanjie, Chen Zhao, CNBC's, Zhao, Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley, Wang Zhao Organizations: of Finance, Bloomberg, Getty, China's Finance, Beijing, Investors, National Development, Reform, Authorities, China's Ministry, Finance, China's, National People's Congress, Afp Locations: Beijing, country's, Shanghai, Asia
Read previewElon Musk and former President Donald Trump live-streamed a wide-ranging discussion on Monday, eliciting reactions from tech and business leaders. Gavin Newsom of California, who has a strained relationship with Musk, got a jab in at both the X CEO and the GOP nominee. Related storiesMark PincusMark Pincus, the founder of Zynga, the gaming company behind FarmVille, praised the former president during the conversation with Musk. Pincus said in an X post. The Harris campaignVice President Kamala Harris' campaign hit out at both Musk and the Trump campaign right after the livestream ended in a statement on X.
Persons: , Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Mark Cuban Mark Cuban, Michael Reaves, Joe Raedle, Mark Cuban, Musk, Trump, Gavin Newsom Gov, Gavin Newsom, Newsom, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Aaron Levie, Justin Sullivan, Hannibal Lecter, Levie, Mark Pincus Mark Pincus, Pincus, Elon, David Sacks David Sacks, Sacks, Biden, Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's Organizations: Service, Trump, Business, Getty Images, Getty, GOP, Lambs, Zynga, Craft Ventures, Democratic, Hollywood Locations: Cuban, California, FarmVille
Read previewNoah Cameron Maydale and Francesca Batley do livestreaming on TikTok for a living. Maydale (who goes by @knowasound, or just Noah, on TikTok) and Batley, whose stage name is Fairie (@fairiefairie on TikTok), are two of the first creators to join a relatively new program started by TikTok agency GravitasQ. TikTok livestreaming in the UK has been growing faster than the company's ads business, company filings show. In-person live studios are a recent addition to TikTok's strategy and one that the company has been developing with select agencies. Here's what it looked like and what Fairie and Noah were doing there at the end of April.
Persons: , Noah Cameron Maydale, Francesca Batley, @knowasound, Noah, TikTok, Dipesh Pattni, Pattni, Fairie, Emilia Harker, Sitesh, they'd, I'm, Fairie's, livestreamers, you've Organizations: Service, Business, Tesco Locations: livestreaming, Hemel Hempstead, London, Batley
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesValuations of Chinese stocks are "way too low" and investors should be looking to cautiously re-enter the world's second-largest economy, according to Shaun Rein, founder and managing director of the China Market Research Group. However, Rein attributed this to the Lunar New Year period, and insisted that deflation "still looms over the Chinese economy." "They're cautious about whether or not the government is going to launch a bazooka-like stimulus — clearly they're not going to." "But we think China's low inflation is a symptom of its growth model built on a high rate of investment. As reducing dependence on investment is still far off, we expect inflation to stay low in the long run."
Persons: Shaun Rein, Rein, CNBC's, Huang Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, China Market Research Group, Capital Economics Locations: China
2 official, who is charged with running its economy – and one more move for Xi to cement his control over the official narrative. China's Premier Li Qiang speaks during a press conference after the closing session of the National People's Congress in Beijing on March 13, 2023. He used his first and likely last press conference last year to highlight the prominence of the Communist Party over the state government. The axing of the premier’s press conference came alongside a shortening of the “two sessions” overall – first imposed during the pandemic to prevent the spread of Covid. Traffic slowed due to checkpoints on surrounding streets, with security officials even stopping and checking IDs of some cyclists riding on a major throughfare along the square.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Xi, , Liu Dongshu, Jinping, Li Qiang, Greg Baker, Premier Li Keqiang, Xi protégé Li Qiang, Li, , ” Li, Liu, ” Changhao Wei, Paul Tsai, presser, Tatan Organizations: Beijing CNN, of, National People’s Congress, City University of Hong, National People's Congress, Premier, Communist Party, Paul Tsai China Center of Yale Law School, National People's, AP, Communist Locations: Beijing, Communist, China, City University of Hong Kong, AFP, Hong Kong, Tiananmen
(Photo by WANG Zhao / AFP) (Photo by WANG ZHAO/AFP via Getty Images)BEIJING — China's top securities regulator vowed to "strictly" crack down on market manipulators, while stating that protecting small investors was a "core task." Wu outlined measures deemed necessary to improve the quality of listed companies and increase returns on investment. They include: encouraging listed companies to improve stability, timeliness and predictability of dividend payouts, stricter delisting rules, and expanding inspections of listed companies. "China's market is the second largest in the world, but it's not as strong," Wu said, adding the recent market volatility exposed deep-seated issues. At the same press conference, Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, also pledged support for overseas listings for high-quality Chinese companies.
Persons: Wu Qing, WANG Zhao, WANG ZHAO, Wu, it's, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: China Securities Regulatory Commission, National People's Congress, Getty Images, People's Bank of Locations: China, Beijing, AFP, BEIJING, People's Bank of China
Welcome to “Super Tuesday.” Today, a whopping 16 states and territories hold primary elections. But stock market analysts say not to fret and to hold tight. Based on annualized returns for the S&P 500, stocks gained an average 13.75% during Trump’s presidency. Election year math: History shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research.
Persons: , Edward Jones, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Angelo Kourkafas, ” Kourkafas, Raymond James, Trump, Obama, , Simon Hamilton, Barack Obama, “ That’s, it’s, Hamilton, Goldman Sachs, Allison Morrow, Bitcoin, , Simone McCarthy, Premier Li Qiang, Hong Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, , Markets, White House, Congress, CNN, Republicans, Republican, , Research, Dow Jones, University of Cincinnati, University of Missouri, Securities and Exchange, Bloomberg, Premier, National People’s Congress Locations: New York, Washington, Hamilton, United States, China, Beijing
Dollar a spectator to China news, yen ponders rate risks
  + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
There was more action in bitcoin , which gained 1.2% to $68,341 after surging more than 7% on Monday. The Japanese yen held steady after data showed Tokyo core inflation sped up to 2.5% in February, from 1.8% the previous month. "Accordingly, we're sticking to our forecast that the Bank of Japan will hike interest rates into positive territory next month." The dollar was a fraction lower at 150.44 yen , having again shied away from resistance around 150.85, which has capped the currency for more than three months now. The European Central Bank, or ECB, holds a meeting on Thursday and markets are convinced it will keep rates at 4.0%.
Persons: Marcel Thieliant, Jerome Powell, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt Organizations: People's Congress, Bank of Japan's, Capital Economics, Bank of, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, ECB, Westpac, . Finance Locations: China, Tokyo, Japan, bitcoin, United States, Beijing, Asia, Bank of Japan
Editor’s Note: Sign up for CNN’s Meanwhile in China newsletter which explores what you need to know about the country’s rise and how it impacts the world. Beijing CNN —China has set an ambitious economic growth target of “around 5%“ for 2024, as its leaders vowed to “transform the growth model” in the face of growing challenges. The growth rate for the budget is the same as last year’s. The gross domestic product (GDP) target and military spending are among the most closely watched figures during the opening day proceedings. The GDP target in particular is being closely monitored this year as China faces a raft of economic problems.
Persons: Premier Li Qiang, ” Li, , Organizations: Beijing CNN, Premier, National People’s Congress Locations: China, Beijing
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped above 40,000 for the first time on Monday, extending a historic rally that analysts say has just begun. The milestone comes just days after it had set a record closing high of 39,098.68, eclipsing its previous 1989 peak. Optimism regarding semiconductors boosted Taiwan’s stock market as well, with benchmark Taiex hitting an all-time high on Monday, led by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Premier Li Qiang is set to announce China’s 2024 growth target on Tuesday and is also likely to unveil more stimulus measures to revive the sagging economy. Analysts widely expect the policymakers to set this year’s growth target at around 5%.
Persons: , Jefferies, , chipmaker, Kospi, Hong, Li Qiang, Stephen Innes Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Investors, National People’s Congress, NPC, Communist Party’s Politburo Locations: Hong Kong, Japan, Beijing, Shanghai, China
But the Caixin manufacturing PMI — which focuses on smaller, private companies — rose to 50.9 in February, up from 50.8 in January, according to S&P Global, which compiled the survey. The divergence in the output and new order sub-indexes is likely related to differences in geographic and sector coverage, as the Caixin PMI covers more southern regions, they said. “Overall, the manufacturing sector continued to improve in February,” said Wang Zhe, senior economist at Caixin Insight Group, in a statement that accompanied the Caixin PMI data. “Looking ahead, the focus should be on the effectiveness of the measures [announced previously by Beijing to boost growth],” Wang said. “Fiscal policy will lead the way,” HSBC analysts said Friday.
Persons: ” Goldman Sachs, , Wang Zhe, ” Wang, Xi Jinping, Lintao Zhang, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau of Statistics, P, National People’s Congress, PMI, Caixin Insight, , of People, Communist Party’s Politburo, NPC, Xinhua, HSBC Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Southern China, Guangdong, Zheijang, ” China
China's central bank pledges to support domestic demand
  + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBEIJING, Nov 27 (Reuters) - China's central bank on Monday said it would fend off systemic risks to the economy and use forceful and targeted monetary policy to better support domestic demand. "Prudent monetary policy should be precise and forceful, with greater emphasis on cross-cyclical and countercyclical adjustments, enriching the monetary policy toolbox," the bank said. The bank added it would "further unblock the monetary policy transmission mechanism", enhance the stability of financial support for the real economy and keep prices "reasonably stable". China's economy is gaining momentum, but it faces challenges such as an imbalanced global economic recovery and an unstable foundation for domestic economic recovery, the central bank said. "Supply and demand dynamics in the property market have greatly changed," the central bank said.
Persons: Thomas Peter, Liangping Gao, Kevin Yao, Ella Cao, Ethan Wang, Bernard Orr, Toby Chopra, Christina Fincher Organizations: Central Business District, National People's Congress, REUTERS, Rights, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights BEIJING
The guidelines were mentioned in a cabinet document that was circulated among local governments, policy banks and state lenders last month, said the two sources with knowledge of the matter. The move comes after numerous local governments' PPP expenditure hit the upper limit of the threshold in recent years. But the PPP boom has alarmed authorities who say some local governments have used public-private partnerships, government investment funds and government procurement services as "disguised channels" for raising debt. The State Council and the NAO did not immediately respond to Reuters requests for comments. A portion of the $12.6 trillion local government debt is linked to the PPP projects, as municipalities used these infrastructure-building initiatives as a conduit to raise capital.
Persons: Thomas Peter, NAO, Kevin Yao, Ziyi Tang, Sumeet Chatterjee Organizations: Central Business District, National People's Congress, REUTERS, Rights, International Monetary Fund, National Audit, State, State Council, Bank of, Reuters, National Development, Reform Commission, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Rights BEIJING, Bank of China
TikTok creators are complaining about TikTok Shop ads making the app "dystopian." TikTok created the TikTok Shop and an affiliate creator program in early 2023. AdvertisementAdvertisementTikTok creators are starting to complain that the app is showing them more sponsored content, making the space feel "dystopian." In April, TikTok announced the TikTok Shop and an affiliate program for US creators to earn commission from the products that they sell on the app. AdvertisementAdvertisementIt's unclear whether the introduction of the TikTok Shop has created an increase in sponsored content on the site.
Persons: TikTok, Instagram, , Grace Brassel, AliExpress, Brassel, Taylor, Acord Organizations: Service Locations: China, United States
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