The S&P 500 will see annualized returns of 3% over the next 10 years, says Goldman Sachs.
By its calculation, the S&P 500 has about a 72% chance of trailing bonds, and a 33% probability of lagging inflation through 2034.
These stocks include tech large-caps such as Nvidia and Alphabet, whose performance has driven the S&P 500 more than 20% higher year-to-date.
The same issue plagues a highly concentrated index," Goldman said.
According to Goldman, S&P 500 firms that have consistently generated over 20% revenue growth underwent a sharp drop off after 10 years.
Persons:
annualized, Goldman Sachs, That's, —, Goldman, that's
Organizations:
Service, Nvidia