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Oil prices firm as geopolitical tensions raise supply concerns
  + stars: | 2024-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A pump jack at an oil lot connected to the Petroleos del Peru SA Talara refinery in Piura, Peru, on Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2023. Oil prices edged higher on Thursday due to supply concerns triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions amid the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. Gasoline inventories last week rose more than forecast, while distillate stockpiles posted a larger-than-expected draw. Adding to supply, Norway's Equinor said it had restored full output capacity at the Johan Sverdrup oilfield in the North Sea following a power outage. However, a slowdown in Chinese and global demand, coupled with rising output outside the group, have potentially thwarted this plan.
Persons: Norway's Equinor, Johan Sverdrup Organizations: del, del Peru SA Talara, Brent, . West Texas, Storm, ATACMS, Energy Information Administration, Organization of, Petroleum Locations: del Peru, Piura, Peru, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Kyiv, OPEC
Russian President Vladimir Putin's broadened nuclear doctrine appeared to be a thinly veiled threat to the United States and its allies over their ramped-up support for Ukraine. The updated document includes a change that allows for Moscow to launch a nuclear strike if attacked by a nonnuclear country, such as Ukraine, that is supported by a nuclear state, such as the U.S. It was formally approved the same day that Kyiv used its first U.S.-supplied long-range ATACMS missiles against Russia. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told NBC News that he saw no indication that Moscow is imminently intent on using nuclear weapons. “He has rattled his nuclear saber quite a bit and this is dangerous behavior,” Austin said of Putin.
Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Lloyd Austin, , ” Austin, Kyiv’s, Keir Starmer, Russia …, Jean, Noel Barrot, Putin’s, Josep Borrell, Dmitry Peskov, “ Russia’s, Keir Giles, Biden, ” Giles Organizations: Ukraine, Kyiv, West . Defense, NBC News, Union, Tass, Kremlin, Moscow Locations: United States, Moscow, Ukraine, U.S, Russia, Europe, Washington, British, Brazil, Western, London, Chatham, Eurasia
AdvertisementNorth Korea appears to have transferred different types of artillery systems to Russia. The development comes as North Korean troops are fighting against Ukraine on behalf of Russia. North Korea appears to have sent its big guns to Russia, furthering its support of Moscow's grinding war against Ukraine, a conflict in which artillery has been a dominant player. AdvertisementImages began to surface on social media last week showing what were identified as North Korean "Koksan" 170mm self-propelled howitzers traveling by rail across Russia. North Korea now shipping artillery systems to Russia — this in addition to shells, men, and missiles it is already sending.
Persons: Kasapoğlu, ZHBemaVVXM, 3lOtCi13TO — Oliver Carroll, Chung Sung, it's, Joe Biden Organizations: Ukraine, Western, Hudson Institute, Korean, Center for Strategic, Studies ' Missile, Artillery Rocket Systems, US Defense Intelligence Agency, DIA, Getty, Artillery, North Korean, Kyiv's, NATO Locations: Korea, Russia, South Korea, North Korea, Ukraine, Korean, Pyongyang, Kyiv, Moscow, Seoul, Kursk
Russian President Vladimir Putin formally lowered the threshold for his country's use of nuclear weapons Tuesday, days after the United States allowed Ukraine to strike inside Russia using American missiles. The Kremlin announced that Putin had approved an updated nuclear doctrine — a document that governs how Russia uses its nuclear arsenal — including the declaration that Moscow could unleash a nuclear strike if subject to an attack by a non-nuclear country that has the support of a nuclear state. “The nuclear doctrine update was required to bring the document in line with the current political situation,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told the TASS state news agency in comments published early Tuesday. Still, the use of nuclear weapons would be a “last resort measure,” he added. Putin had signaled the update to his country’s policy earlier this year as he sought to warn the West against loosening restrictions on Kyiv's use of long-range weapons to strike deep inside Russia.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Putin, Dmitry Peskov, Peskov, Biden Organizations: Kremlin, TASS, Russian Federation, NATO, NBC News Locations: United States, Ukraine, Russia, American, Moscow, Belarus, U.S, Russia's Kursk, Washington
Crude oil futures edged slightly lower on Tuesday, after rallying about 3% in the prior session on fears that the war between Ukraine and Russia is escalating. President Joe Biden has authorized Ukraine to use long-range missiles to hit targets in Russia in a major departure from Washington's previous position, according to media reports. ET:Stock market futures fell on the growing geopolitical tensions, with Dow futures down more than 200 points. President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on ending the war in Ukraine. Moscow's full-scale invasion of Ukraine roiled global energy markets in 2022 as European nations sought to end their dependence Russian natural gas.
Persons: Joe Biden, Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump Organizations: Dow Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moscow's
AdvertisementUkraine said it destroyed nearly all the hypersonic missiles that Russia fired in a big weekend attack. The Ukrainian military said it destroyed nearly all of the hypersonic missiles Russia launched as part of a massive bombardment over the weekend. The purported success of Ukraine's air defenses during the engagement marks the latest blow to the reputation of Russian hypersonic weapons, which Moscow has touted as highly advanced systems that are basically unstoppable. AdvertisementUkraine has several air-defense systems that it says are capable of taking down Russia's hypersonic missiles, including the French/Italian-made SAMP-T and American-made MIM-104 Patriot battery. The Kiel Institute for the World Economy, a German research institute, notes that data on hypersonic missile interception rates is scarce.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Gorshkov, SERGEI SUPINSKY, Oleksandr Syrskyi, Syrskyi, Lockheed Martin Organizations: Russia, Russian Ministry of Defense, Russian, NATO, Getty, Kyiv, Kiel Institute Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moscow, Russian, Kyiv, AFP
Changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine have been drawn up and will be formalized as necessary, the Kremlin said on Tuesday, signaling again Moscow's concern over the latest U.S. decision on missile strikes from Ukraine. The Kremlin called on Monday the reported decision by President Joe Biden's administration to allow Ukraine to fire American missiles deep into Russia reckless and it warned that Moscow will respond. Russia calls its war in Ukraine a special military operation, while Kyiv and its Western allies call it an unprovoked, imperialistic land grab. Western analysts have called the changes an escalation in Moscow's attempts to dissuade the West from expanding its military aid to Ukraine. The war in Ukraine has triggered the worst crisis in Moscow's relations with the West since the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, Dmitry Peskov, Joe Biden's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Putin, Peskov Organizations: Security, Kremlin, TASS, NATO, Reuters, Cuban Missile, Washington Locations: Constantine, Strelna, Saint Petersburg, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, United States, The U.S, Korean, Washington, Kyiv
Blasts rang out across Ukraine's capital Kyiv and other cities early on Sunday, as Russia staged its biggest missile attack since August and targeted power facilities with the winter setting in, officials said. "Another massive attack on the power system is under way. Officials often withhold information on the state of the power system because of the war. "Russia launched one of the largest air attacks: drones and missiles against peaceful cities, sleeping civilians, critical infrastructure," said Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha. In Kyiv, the roof of a residential building caught fire due to falling debris and at least two people were hurt, city officials said on the Telegram messaging app.
Persons: German Galushchenko, Andrii Sybiha, Vladimir Putin, Olaf Scholz, Vitali Klitschko Organizations: Ukrainian Energy, German, Facebook, Authorities, NATO Locations: Kyiv, Russia, Ukraine, Dnipropetrovsk, Volyn, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhzhia, Odesa, Kryvyi, Rivne, Poland
Russia's wartime economy could be in it for the long-haul — or at least longer than expected. A team of economists is unconvinced that Russia will tumble into economic collapse any time soon, as suggested by some analysts. The paper counters notions that a Russian crisis will come as soon as next year, an argument made by economists such as Yuriy Gorodnichenko. Don't underestimate domestic demandAccording to the report, Russia's domestic market has been an underrated factor behind the country's perseverance. Sustainable war spendingSome have forecast an immediate recession if Russia's war in Ukraine ever ends, arguing that the Kremlin's massive war budget is responsible for the economy's continued survival.
Persons: Yuriy Gorodnichenko, shouldn't Organizations: Center, UC Berkley, CASE, Kremlin, Moscow Locations: Russia, Europe, Russian, Moscow, Ukraine
Ukraine said Monday that Russia has been using decoy drones to try and overwhelm its air defenses. Ukraine said it examined a Russian decoy drone and found Western-made parts inside of it. AdvertisementThe Ukrainian military said on Monday that it found Western-made parts inside a Russian decoy drone that was used in an attack over the weekend. However, the decoy drone — which Ukraine calls "Parody" — can apparently mimic the radar signature of a Shahed in a bid to confuse Kyiv's air defenses with fake targets. AdvertisementA look inside a Russian decoy drone.
Persons: , HUR, Mihai Popșoi Organizations: Monday, Service, Defense Intelligence, Ministry of Defense, Ukraine, Telegram Russia, Getty Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Moldova, NATO, Europe, Iran, Tehran, Belarus, Moldovan
Ukraine launched its largest drone attack on the Russian capital city of Moscow since the war began in 2022, injuring one person and forcing three major airports to divert flights, as Russia fired an unprecedented 145 drones against Ukraine. Russia’s ministry of defense said it “intercepted and destroyed” 34 drones over Moscow following the latest strikes on the capital. Rescuers at the site of a drone attack in the village of Stanovoye, Moscow region, on Sunday. OLEKSANDR GIMANOV / AFP - Getty ImagesAcross the border, Ukrainian President Vlodymyr Zelenskyy said Sunday that Russia launched "a record 145 Shaheds and other strike drones against Ukraine" on Saturday night. Ukrainian officials said at least two people were injured and buildings were damaged as Russia launched an overnight attack on the southern region of Odesa.
Persons: Andrei Vorobyov, Russia’s, , TATYANA MAKEYEVA, Moscow’s, Sir Tony Radakin, Radakin, OLEKSANDR GIMANOV, Vlodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy, ” Alexander Bogomaz, Zelenksyy Organizations: Rescuers, Getty, United, BBC, State Emergency Service of, Sunday, Pentagon, Korean, Ukrainian Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Russia, Stanovoye, AFP, , Russian, Odesa, Ukrainian, State Emergency Service of Ukraine, Ukraine's, Donetsk, Kaluga, Bryansk, Oryol, Kursk, , United States
Russian missile and drone strikes are becoming more intense, a new study found. These attacks comprised 36 different models of missiles and drones, including Iskander ballistic missiles, Kh-59 cruise missiles and Iranian-made Shahed kamikaze drones. Related storiesNonetheless, there is a wide variation in the intensity of Russian strikes that seems to shift according to Moscow's priorities. "There were 17 days during the study period when missile launches exceeded 82 missiles in a single day," CSIS said. "Keeping this intercept rate high will require continued Western support for Ukraine," CSIS said.
Persons: , shivering, Yasir Atalan, Atalan, Michael Peck Organizations: Russian, Service, Center for Strategic, International Studies, CSIS, Ukraine, Defense, Foreign Policy, Rutgers Univ, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Washington, Ukrainian, Russian, Gaza, Iranian, Israel, Moscow, Kyiv, Iran, North Korea, China, United States, Forbes
Ukraine said it found Western-made parts in the wreckage of a new Russian drone. The reported find marks the latest discovery of Western parts inside Russian weapons. AdvertisementUkraine said on Friday that it found Western-made parts inside the wreckage of a new heavy Russian combat drone that crashed last month. Ukraine uploaded purported evidence of the Western-made parts to a government portal, where several other companies were listed. Ukrainian service members inspect parts of a Russian S-70 drone in eastern Ukraine on October 5.
Persons: Hunter, , Russia's, Nuzhnenko, HUR, Lockheed Martin, Russia's Okhotnik, it's Organizations: Service, Devices, Texas Instruments, AMD, Infineon Technologies, Business, Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, AP Infineon, Royal United Services Institute, Radio Free, Radio Liberty, Lockheed Locations: Ukraine, Russian, Europe, US, Germany, STMicroelectronics, Switzerland, Russia, Radio Free Europe, Ukrainian, Kostyantynivka, Ukraine's Donetsk
Russia's brain drain has become its economy's biggest problem, an economist told Business Insider. The long-lasting nature of brain drain makes the issue more serious than, say, inflation, which could be remedied by central bank maneuvering. Over the next decade, Russia's economy could devolve into one dependent mainly on its natural resources rather than on the most innovative industries, Portes speculated. That's similar to what other economic forecasters have predicted, with some warning Russia's economy could become de-industrialized as its resources are siphoned off by the war. Advertisement"It will be reduced to a resource economy, a natural resource economy," he said of Russia's future.
Persons: , Richard Portes, they've, Portes Organizations: Service, London Business School, Russia, French Institute of International Relations, Business, Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Labor, Russian, UC Berkeley Locations: Russia, Ukraine
President-elect Donald Trump claims he can split the alliance between Russia and China. "The one thing you never want to happen is you never want Russia and China uniting," Trump said. These are potentially all things that Trump could use to drive a wedge between Russia and China." The Trump effectAnother factor likely to draw Russia and China closer together is Trump himself. In East Asia, Trump has accused allies of freeloading off the US, a source of tension Beijing will likely seek to exploit.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Tucker Carlson, Trump, Biden, Vladimir Putin of, Xi, China's, Putin, Stefan Wolff, Carlson, Wolff, Paul Cormarie, Jonathan Ward, Vladimir Putin, they'd, Robert Dover, Zhiqun Zhu, Cormarie Organizations: Service, Trump, University of Birmingham, Pentagon, Trade, Anadolu, Getty, Central, RAND Corporation, BI, Hudson Institute, Kremlin Press, Anadolu Agency, International Security, Hull University, NATO, Bucknell University Locations: Russia, China, Ukraine, Glendale , Arizona, Vladimir Putin of Russia, Moscow, Beijing, Taiwan, Russian, Bering, European, East Asia
Ukraine carried out a drone attack on Russian warships in the Caspian Sea for the first time. It's the latest blow to the Russian navy, which has taken a beating in the Black Sea. This morning, Ukrainian attack drones successfully struck Russia's Caspian Sea flotilla in the port of Kaspiysk, over 1000 km behind the frontline. Related Video Ukraine's sea drones vs. Russia's Black Sea FleetBusiness Insider could not immediately verify the footage. Ukraine expands zone of strikes this morning, hitting Russia's Caspian Sea Fleet in Kaspiysk.
Persons: , Andriy Kovalenko, Sergey Melikov Organizations: Service, Strategic Communication, Security, National Security and Defense Council, Sea, Russian Navy Locations: Ukraine, Kaspiysk, Russian, Ukrainian, Russia's Dagestan, Moscow, Crimean, Crimea, Russia
Donald Trump won the presidential election Wednesday, clearing the way for his return to the White House. His past rhetoric has raised concerns over the future of US security assistance to Ukraine and support for NATO. But in a new op-ed, the NATO chief said the military alliance can't afford to stop supporting Kyiv. It did not mention Trump, nor did it single out the US over its military support. AdvertisementIn a social media post earlier in the day, Rutte said he congratulated Trump on winning the election.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Donald Trump's, Mark Rutte, Rutte, Joe, Carolyn Kaster, Putin, Rutte's, Trump, Biden, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Julia Demaree Nikhinson, logjam, Laurynas Organizations: NATO, Service, Russia, Dutch, POLITICO, AP, Ukraine, Trump, Transatlantic, Kyiv's, Alliance Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Washington, China, Iran, North Korea, Russia, Donetsk, Europe, New York
Beata Zawrzel | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesWith Americans heading to the polls on Election Day, social media companies like Meta , TikTok, X and YouTube are under intense pressure to handle what's expected to be a flood of disinformation, heightened by the rise of artificial intelligence. The video amassed hundreds of thousands of views within hours after it was posted on Elon Musk's social media platform X. And TikTok failed to catch ads containing false election information despite its ban on political advertising, according to an October report from Global Witness. On Facebook and Instagram, Meta said it's adding fact-check labels to election content that's been debunked. In sharing dozens of posts a day on X, Musk regularly amplifies false election information to his more than 200 million followers.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald J, Beata Zawrzel, It's, Hillary Clinton, Meta, it's, aren't, Mark Zuckerberg, Celal, that's, Adam Mosseri, Mosseri, we've, National Intelligence Avril Haines, TikTok, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Tesla, Elon Musk, Carlos Barria Carlos Barria, Reuters X, Musk, Trump, YouTube Omar Marques, Evan Spiegel, Joe Scarnici, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Trump, Twitter, Nurphoto, Meta, YouTube, Russian, Democratic, Infrastructure Security Agency, FBI, National Intelligence, Elon, stoke, CNBC, NBC News, Global, Washington DC, Anadolu, Getty, Reuters, USA, Associated Press, Facebook, Instagram, Election, Democracy Works, TikTok's, AP, Republican, U.S, Madison, REUTERS, Lightrocket, Google, Snap Inc, Barker, Vote.org, NBC, Poynter Institute, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Russia, Iran, China, Pennsylvania, CISA, North Carolina, Dirksen, Washington, United States, U.S, PolitiFact, New York, Santa Monica , California, New York City
Data shows that North Korea ramps up its missile and military activity around US elections. North Korea's provocations stir up trouble for the US and its allies. The latest provocations come as North Korea draws closer to Russia and amid confirmations that thousands of North Korean troops are aiding Russia in its war against Ukraine. On Tuesday, North Korea launched several ballistic missiles toward the East Sea/Sea of Japan, South Korea's military said. North Korea fired multiple ballistic missiles on Tuesday, South Korea and Japan said.
Persons: , Kim Jong, Kim Yo Jong, Victor Cha, Cha, Donald Trump's, Kim Jae, Vladimir Putin, Kim Organizations: Service, Research, Ukraine, North, North Korea's, Korean Central News Agency, Korea News Service, AP, Korea, Center for Strategic, International Studies, Asian Affairs, White, National Security Council, Trump, Kim, CSIS, Getty, US, South, Russian, Russia Locations: Korea, Pyongyang, North Korea, Russia, Japan, South, North, South Korea, Washington, Kim Singapore, Vietnam, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian
North Korea said it tested a new long-range intercontinental ballistic missile this week. Related storiesPrior to this latest test, North Korea had last launched an ICBM test in December 2023, according to the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies North Korea Missile Test Database. AdvertisementHowell said the latest test's reportedly longer flight time would suggest North Korea was "improving the sophistication of its delivery systems." "Through Moscow's assistance, North Korea has advanced its artillery and missile capabilities," Zelenskyy wrote. It comes as the US and South Korea held joint drone strike drills for the first time, South Korea's Yonhap news agency reported on Friday.
Persons: , KCNA, Kim Jong Un, Read, kA8m36NARX, Kim Jong, Virginie Grzelczyk, Grzelczyk, Edward Howell, James Martin, Howell, Lee Sangmin, Sangmin, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy Organizations: Service, NK News, Korea, NK NEWS, School of Social Sciences, Humanities, Aston University, Korea Foundation, Chatham, Pacific Program, James Martin Center, Nonproliferation Studies North Korea Missile Test, South Korea's Korea Institute for Defense Locations: Korea, Japan, Korean, North Korea, Chatham House's Asia, South, Ukraine's, South Korea
It was the second piece of sophisticated Russian disinformation in a week to gain traction online that falsely asserted voter fraud in a key swing state. Easterly said she expected more attempts by Russia and foreign adversaries to spread false information before and after Election Day. The first video falsely claimed to show a person ripping up filled-in ballots in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. U.S. intelligence officials said the video was Russian made and designed to shake public faith in the democratic process. Federal authorities were countering foreign disinformation by “flooding the zone with accurate information,“ Easterly, of CISA, said in her interview on MSNBC.
Persons: CISA, , Emerson Brooking, ” Brooking, , Brooking, Brad Raffensperger, Alex Wong, Elon Musk, “ We’ve, it’s Organizations: Infrastructure Security Agency, MSNBC, National Intelligence, FBI, Democratic, Digital Forensic Research, Atlantic Council, State Capitol Locations: Russia, Georgia, Moscow, United States, Russian, Bucks County , Pennsylvania, U.S, Atlanta, CISA
Russia faces a crisis whether it continues the war or not, economist Alexander Mertens says. War spending has been a major boost to Moscow's GDP growth and wealth, and ending the war will be tricky. If Russia continues the war, the economy looks on track for a "severe recession" and long-running stagnation, Mertens said. "The current state of the Russian economy is far from critical but it does present Putin with a dilemma. The Russian economy is not yet close to collapse, but it is increasingly dependent on wartime conditions and faces growing risks of overheating."
Persons: Alexander Mertens, , Vladimir Putin, Mertens, Merten, Putin, That's Organizations: Service, Kyiv's International Institute of Business, Ukraine, Atlantic Council, Russian National Welfare Fund, Kremlin, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Ukrainian, Ukraine
Russian influence actors created a fake Georgia voter fraud video, according to US intel officials. US intel group warns more Russian disinformation is coming. AdvertisementRussian influence actors were behind the fake Georgia voter fraud video that's been circulating online, US intelligence officials said. Related Video Ukraine launched a major drone attack on Russia over its election weekendBut it's all fake, and the result of Russian interference, the US intel group says. More disinformation is likely to crop up before Election Day and beyond, the US intel group warned.
Persons: Kamala Harris, , Harris, CISA, Brad Raffensperger, Elon Musk, chatbots, Meta Organizations: intel, US intel, Service, National Intelligence, FBI, Infrastructure Security Agency, Ukraine, stoke, IC, Business Locations: Georgia, US, Russia, Haiti, Georgia's Gwinnett County, Fulton County, America, Moscow, Ukraine
The weird behavior follows devastating Ukrainian attacks on the Black Sea Fleet. The puzzling behavior has not yet been attributed to anything in particular, but it comes against the backdrop of a Ukrainian long-range strike campaign against the Russian Black Sea Fleet. The Black Sea Fleet was long headquartered at Sevastopol, in the southwestern corner of the occupied Crimean peninsula. Related Video Ukraine's sea drones vs. Russia's Black Sea FleetRussian warships during a naval celebration in Novorossiysk in July 2022. Ukraine's Sea Baby drones have been a weapon of choice during the Black Sea campaign.
Persons: , BlackSky, BlackSky Brady Africk, Africk, That's Organizations: Black, Service, Business, Fleet, Ukrainian, Sea Fleet, AP, US, American Enterprise Institute, Security Service, Kyiv, Russian Locations: Russian, Russia, Novorossiysk, Sevastopol, Crimean, Feodosia, Crimea, Ukraine, Kyiv, we've, Moscow
Russian influence actors created a fake Georgia voter-fraud video, US intelligence officials say. Officials warn more Russian disinformation is coming. AdvertisementRussian influence actors are behind a fake Georgia voter-fraud video that's been circulating online, US intelligence officials said. Related VideoBut it's all fake, and the result of Russian interference, intelligence officials said. Brad Raffensperger, Georgia's secretary of state, posted on X Thursday, calling out the video as "obviously fake" and likely "a production of Russian troll farms."
Persons: Kamala Harris, , Harris, CISA, Brad Raffensperger, Raffensperger, Elon Musk, chatbots, Meta Organizations: Service, National Intelligence, FBI, Infrastructure Security Agency, stoke, IC, Business Locations: Georgia, Russia, Haiti, Georgia's Gwinnett County, Fulton County, America, Moscow, Ukraine
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