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☆ The economy is facing a 'no-landing' scenario that undercuts the financial relief many Americans hoped for
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

However, the economy and the job market may be too strong to warrant steep rate cuts in the near term. "September's strong employment report and upward revisions in July and August murdered the hard-landing scenario," Yardeni said in a note to clients this week. The 30-year mortgage rate has crept higher, not lower, since the Fed delivered its big rate cut. As the economy reaccelerates, inflation could become a problem again, solidifying a higher for longer interest rate outlook that many had abandoned after the Fed's jumbo rate cut last month. Advertisement"With benchmark interest rates coming down, most prospective borrowers don't feel relieved of high borrowing costs," according to Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate.

Persons: —, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Megan Horneman, Steven Blitz, Mark Hamrick Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Yardeni, Fed, Verdence Capital Advisors, TS Lombard, Philadelphia Fed

☆ Commercial property has been in a slump. How lower interest rates could lift it out.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Daniel Geiger | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Read previewUma Moriarity, a senior investment strategist at a real estate investment firm based outside of Philadelphia, is feeling better about deal-making in commercial real estate. A reduction in the Fed's benchmark rate would bring relief to the $22.5 trillion US commercial real estate market, which was shaken by a series of interest rate increases beginning in March 2022. AdvertisementThe increases diminished commercial property values, raised mortgage defaults, and triggered the sector's worst downturn since the financial crisis more than 15 years ago. "We're looking at a very good 2025 and beyond," Mark Rose, the CEO of the real estate services firm Avison Young, said. "Commercial property prices have increased over the past few months as bond yields have declined," Peter Rothemund, the co-head of strategic research at Green Street, said in the firm's recent property pricing report.

Persons: —, Uma Moriarity, Moriarty, Mark Rose, Avison Young, Richard Barkham, We've, Fitch, CMBS, Peter Rothemund, Alan Todd, Todd, CLO Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, CenterSquare Investment Management, Green, Mortgage, Association, Bank of America, Bank of America Securities Locations: Philadelphia, Trepp

As the Fed lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates are likely to go down. Mortgage rates often trend up or down ahead of expected Fed moves, but once a hike or cut is priced in, they tend to hold steady unless the Fed surprises everyone. Haymore also notes that mortgage rates could fluctuate depending on other information that comes out of this upcoming meeting. As it does, mortgage rates should trend down, too (as will the rates banks pay on high-yield savings accounts). If you got your mortgage more recently, you could save on your mortgage payment by refinancing.

Persons: —, Freddie Mac, Scott Haymore, Haymore, you've, Matt Baker, Baker Organizations: Service, Business, Fed, TD Bank, Mortgage Bankers Association, Navy Federal Credit Union

☆ One way to help American homebuyers? Do what the Dutch do.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Cork Gaines | Eliza Relman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Dutch offer home mortgages with evolving interest rates that can automatically decrease over time. However, other countries are taking notice: The Dutch mortgage lender DMFCO recently began offering Dutch-style mortgages in the UK. AdvertisementBut there are some deeply entrenched features of the American mortgage system that make it unlikely we'll see widespread adoption of Dutch-style mortgages. AdvertisementAdditionally, mortgage interest rates in the US aren't determined by the loan-to-value ratio beyond a certain point. AdvertisementBut Cecela says he's interested to see what happens with the Dutch-style mortgages newly on offer in the UK.

Persons: —, Lindsey Harn, Lindsey, Harn, Guy Cecala, Cecala, Melissa Cohn, Raveis, Cohn, he's Organizations: Service, Business, Lindsey Harn Group, Mortgage, Mortgage Finance, USA Locations: Netherlands, San Luis Obispo County , California, Europe

☆ The number of new commercial mortgages plummeted 47% last year
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-13 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Mortgage originations in commercial real estate fell 47% through 2023, Mortgage Bankers Association said. AdvertisementMortgage originations for commercial properties dropped 47% in 2023, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported. The drawdown came as weak confidence bears down on commercial real estate. Despite these obstacles, MBA previously anticipated that commercial mortgage lending would climb into 2024, gaining 29% to an expected volume of $476 billion. Advertisement"2023 is likely to go into the record books as the slowest year for commercial real estate borrowing and lending in roughly a decade," MBA Head of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell said in January's report.

Persons: —, Jamie Woodwell, Woodwell, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Mortgage Bankers Association, Service, Healthcare, Real

☆ Commercial mortgage lending to jump 29% in 2024 after slowest year in a decade, Mortgage Bankers Association says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Commercial mortgage borrowing will rise 29% this year, the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates. AdvertisementCommercial and multifamily mortgage borrowing and lending is forecast to surge 29% from last year's estimated total of $444 billion, the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates. "2023 is likely to go into the record books as the slowest year for commercial real estate borrowing and lending in roughly a decade," MBA Head of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell said in the report. AdvertisementTighter monetary policy since 2022 has pushed up borrowing costs across the commercial real estate market, and resulted in stricter lending standards among mortgage originators. Raichura expects prices to drop off another 10% this year, while a December outlook from NBER outlined that total commercial real estate losses could amount to $160 billion.

Persons: —, Jamie Woodwell, Kiran Raichura, Woodwell Organizations: Mortgage, Association, Service, Real, Federal Reserve

So far this month, mortgage rates have been holding relatively steady after dropping down to an average of 6.43% in December, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. This is good news for mortgage rates — as inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down as well. Fannie Mae researchers expect prices to increase 3.2% in 2024, while the Mortgage Bankers Association expects a 4.1% increase in 2024.

Persons: homebuyers, Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Organizations: Strategic Research, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron

☆ Americans’ debt levels — and delinquencies — are on the rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

The increases in credit card delinquency were the sharpest among borrowers in the range of 30 to 39 years old, according to the New York Fed. Newly delinquent auto loan balances continued to climb, as well, with transitions into serious delinquencies hitting 13-year highs, survey data showed. Still, thanks mostly to higher-quality mortgage loans, overall delinquencies remain below pre-pandemic levels, New York Fed researchers said. Credit card balances, which in the second quarter surpassed the trillion-dollar mark for the first time, continued to grow at historic rates. This year is on pace to have the lowest origination values since 2014, New York Fed data shows.

Persons: ”, Donghoon Lee, “, Mortgage originations Organizations: Minneapolis CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of New, New York Fed, ” New York Fed, Mortgage Locations: Minneapolis, New, New York

☆ Mortgage originations will surge 19% in 2024 as a recession will force rates down, MBA says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

That's because a mild recession will prompt the Fed to ease interest rates, meaning lower mortgage rates. AdvertisementAdvertisementHousing demand will rebound from this year's strained levels, after a mild recession pulls down today's high mortgage rates, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted. These factors will give the central bank leeway to lower interest rate levels over time, which will bring down elevated mortgage levels, MBA said. Many have remained off the market this year, preferring the cheaper mortgage rates they currently hold. Even with lower mortgage rates, homebuyers can still expect high payments, scarce for-sale properties, and less credit availability.

Persons: —, That's, Mike Fratantoni Organizations: Mortgage Bankers Association, Service, Mortgage

☆ Real-estate crowdfunding is a house of cards. PeerStreet's bankruptcy reveals why.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Alex Nicoll | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +21 min

Like many PeerStreet investors who spoke with Insider, Mincher has a strong résumé. Another form of crowdfunding, equity crowdfunding, works a bit like the stock market without the onerous and expensive process of initial public offerings. The PeerStreet investors who spoke with Insider said the outcome of this case could determine whether they stick with real-estate crowdfunding. Others, such as Fundrise, have moved away from crowdfunding in favor of a model for private real-estate investment trusts, similar to the BREIT later offered by Blackstone. Fritton, the former Patch of Land CEO, said Fundrise's fund model was the wave of the future for real-estate crowdfunding.

Persons: Michael Burry, Christian Bale, Burry's, Crowdfunding, Burry, Andreessen Horowitz, they're, Braun Mincher, PeerStreet, who've, Judge Laurie Selber Silverstein, Brew Johnson, he's, Braun, Mincher, —, it's, Michael Burry Astrid Stawiarz, Ian Ippolito, Ippolito, John McNellis, PeerStreet Ippolito, McNellis, El, Marc Andreessen, Phil McCarten, Silverstein, wouldn't, Sean Quinn, Doug Lyon, Lyon, that's, Jason Fritton, Kirk Brett, there's, Brett, iFunding, CrowdStreet, Nightingale's Elie Schwartz, Nightingale, Schwartz, Yieldstreet, Fritton Organizations: CNBC, Main, PeerStreet, Facebook, McNellis Partners, Funding Trust, Fairfield University, Magnetar, Adler, Securities and Exchange Commission, Department of Justice, Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Investors, Blackstone Locations: Delaware, El Segundo , California, crowdfunding, There's

☆ Homeowners are tapping into home equity to get cash
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( Anna Bahney | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

That means homeowners are now collectively sitting on nearly $30 trillion in home equity, according to the St. Louis Federal Reserve. Other reasons that borrowers gave for taking out a HELOC or home equity loan included debt consolidation and emergency cash management. Hidden source of valueA homeowner’s equity in their home can be a tremendous source of wealth. A homeowner’s equity will fluctuate over time as they make payments on their mortgage and real estate market dynamics impact the current value of the home. Mortgage balances stay high because of home equity loansNationally, mortgage balances remain near record highs as some people turn to home equity loans, rather than HELOCs, according to a quarterly report from TransUnion.

Persons: ”, Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, HELOC originations, Joe Mellman, Freddie Mac, Mellman Organizations: DC CNN, Louis Federal Reserve, Equity Lines of, Mortgage, Association, TransUnion, “, refinances Locations: Washington, originations, U.S

Household debt ticked up 0.1% to $17.06 trillion, as mortgage balances - the biggest portion, and typically the biggest driver, of overall household debt - were largely unchanged. But the quarter-to-quarter trend appeared less alarming, with New York Fed researchers noting a leveling out near pre-pandemic levels in the most recent two quarters. New York Fed researchers attributed the decline to the timing of the academic year, as well as to some small forgiveness programs kicking in. Overall mortgage balances ticked down to $12.01 trillion, from $12.04 trillion in the prior quarter, reflecting some changes in credit reporting that are expected to reverse next quarter, New York Fed researchers said. Originations rose about 11% to $179 billion, reflecting the sharp rise in car prices; the number of newly opened loans remains below pre-pandemic levels, the report said.

Persons: Lee Jae, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, New York Federal Reserve Bank, Fed, New York, Reuters, New York Fed, Mortgage, Auto, Thomson Locations: Seoul, U.S

☆ 'Bite of these higher rates is gaining traction almost every day,' KBW CEO Thomas Michaud warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-14 | by ( Stephanie Landsman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A major financial services CEO warns the economy hasn't fully absorbed higher interest rates yet. "The bite of these higher rates is gaining traction almost every day." Michaud delivered the call hours after the Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rates unchanged. According to Michaud, the regional bank rally is a short-term bounce. He sees a shift from adjusting to the new interest rate environment to credit quality in the second half of this year.

Persons: Thomas Michaud, there's, CNBC's, " Michaud, Michaud, Banks, haven't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Regional Banking

☆ Consumer debt passes $17 trillion for the first time despite slide in mortgage demand
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Total consumer debt hit a fresh new high in the first quarter of 2023, pushing past $17 trillion even amid a sharp pullback in home borrowing. A series of Fed rate cuts helped push 30-year mortgage rates to a low around 2.65% in January 2021. The higher rates helped push total mortgage debt to $12.04 trillion, up 0.1 percentage point from the fourth quarter. Despite rising rates, mortgage foreclosures remained low. Delinquency rates for all debt increased, up 0.6 percentage point for credit cards to 6.5% and 0.2 percentage point for auto loans to 6.9%.

To find a good real estate agent, talk to friends and family or go to your bank or credit union. You want a real estate agent that's an experienced professional. How to find a real estate agentHere are some tips for finding the best real estate agent for your needs. Consider a Realtor, not just a real estate agentAs you search for real estate agents, look for candidates who are Realtors. A real estate agent is one of your most useful tools in buying a home.

☆ Top Wall Street analysts expect these five stocks to fetch attractive returns
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-09 | by ( Tipranks.Com Staff | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Meta PlatformsWeakness in digital ad spending due to macro pressures has hit social media giant Meta Platforms (META) over the recent quarters. SoFi TechnologiesNext on our list is fintech firm SoFi Technologies (SOFI), which offers digital financial services to over 5.2 million members. The acquisition is expected to drive SoFi's mortgage growth and operational efficiencies and broaden its mortgage product offerings. (See SoFi Insider Trading Activity on TipRanks)PVHApparel company PVH (PVH), which owns popular brands like Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, delivered better-than-expected results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022. The analyst sees "an attractive risk reward profile" in PVH stock based on the company's earnings growth potential and current valuation.

☆ There’s a Silver Lining for Mortgage Companies in a Bleak Market
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Telis Demos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: +1 min

Mortgage originators such as Rocket Cos. and UWM Holdings have recently reported continuing drops in home-loan volumes for the fourth quarter. There is good news and bad news for big mortgage originators: The market is shrinking. Originators that make mortgages and sell them into the market such as Rocket Cos. and UWM Holdings have recently reported continuing drops in home-loan volumes for the fourth quarter. That was to be expected, as overall U.S. single-family home-mortgage originations dropped from over half a trillion dollars in the third quarter to about $400 billion in the fourth quarter, according to figures compiled by Fannie Mae. And though mortgage rates this year have been below the highs they reached last year, Fannie Mae’s recent forecast still is for under $1.7 trillion in single-family mortgage originations in 2023, versus nearly $2.4 trillion in 2022.

☆ U.S. household debt jumps to $16.90 trillion
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( Lindsay Dunsmuir | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Feb 16 (Reuters) - U.S. household debt jumped to a record $16.90 trillion from October through December last year, the largest quarterly increase in 20 years, as mortgage and credit card balances surged amid high inflation and rising interest rates, a Federal Reserve report showed on Thursday. Household debt, which rose by $394 billion last quarter, is now $2.75 trillion higher than just before the COVID-19 pandemic began while the increase in credit card balances last December from one year prior was the largest since records began in 1999, the New York Fed's quarterly household debt report also said. Mortgage debt increased by $254 billion to $11.92 trillion at the end of December, according to the report, while mortgage originations fell to $498 billion, representing a return to levels last seen in 2019. Meanwhile credit card balances increased by $61 billion in the fourth quarter while auto loan balances rose by $28 billion, the report said. However, younger borrowers appear to be struggling more to make repayments for both credit card and auto loans.

☆ In 2022, UWM became the top US mortgage lender and its CEO bought an NBA team. Against the odds, it expects to grow more.
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Alex Nicoll | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

United Wholesale Mortgage became the country's largest originator in 2022. Mortgage rates soared at their fastest rate in decades, halting refinances and slowing home purchases to a crawl. In a way, UWM's strategy is much more old-fashioned than other mortgage players, including Rocket Mortgage. "The idea that you can go on a computer, click a button, and there's your mortgage, that's foolish," he said. To Rocket Mortgage, that's a fundamental misunderstanding of its business.

☆ Wells Fargo Is Shrinking Its Mortgage Business
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Ben Eisen | Gina Heeb | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Wells Fargo’s decision to reduce its home-lending operations comes after a series of legal and regulatory issues. Wells Fargo & Co. is dramatically shrinking its home-lending business following a string of scandals and a record fine from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Going forward, the bank said it would largely focus on lending to existing customers and minority borrowers. It will no longer work with outside intermediaries who arrange loans on the bank’s behalf. The practice, known as correspondent banking, makes up nearly half of its mortgage originations.

☆ Real-estate tech firms are getting hammered by a cataclysmic reckoning that one VC called a cross between the 2001 dot-com bust and the 2008 market crash
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( Daniel Geiger | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

The proptech sector is battling two challenges at once: a slowing housing market and a tech bust. For almost a decade, a growing group of companies have thrived by introducing tech innovations to a stubbornly analog real-estate industry. "Now we're seeing something that feels like a confluence between the 2001 dot-com bust in the venture-capital world and the 2008 market crash in real estate. Shares of both Opendoor and Redfin, which once drew investor attention to the soaring proptech industry, are worth roughly one-tenth what where they were a year ago. The company hasn't laid off any of its 300-person staff — including a roughly 50-person tech team — and doesn't plan to, Matthews said.

☆ NY Fed: Consumer debt rises in third quarter on strong demand, high inflation
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-15 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

That said, overall mortgage debt during the third quarter rose by $282 billion and hit $11.67 trillion at the end of September, the New York Fed said. The rise in consumer level debt took place in an economy where unemployment was low and consumer demand was high amid the worst levels of inflation seen in 40 years. INFLATION BOOSTS CONSUMER SPENDINGThe New York Fed report said that during the third quarter there was a 15% increase in credit card balances, which was the largest such increase in more than 20 years. The report noted that student loan balances declined slightly during the third quarter and stood at $1.57 trillion. A report from the New York Fed in September said that the president's plan could cancel out just under half a trillion dollars' worth of existing debt.

☆ Household debt soars at fastest pace in 15 years as credit card use surges, Fed report says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-15 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Households increased debt during the third quarter at the fastest pace in 15 years due to hefty increases in credit card usage and mortgage balances, the Federal Reserve reported Tuesday. The increase follows a $310 billion jump in the second quarter and represents a $1.27 trillion annual increase. The biggest contributors to that debt load came from mortgage balances, which rose $1 trillion from a year ago to $11.7 trillion, and credit card debt, which climbed to $930 billion. New York Fed researchers attributed the credit card growth to "very robust" consumption, rising prices and consumers using substantial levels of savings that remain on accounts. Auto loan debt, while posting only a slight increase on a quarterly basis, is up 5.6% from a year ago.

☆ Wells Fargo, Ford and Apple are in the news. Here's our take on the Club stocks
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-02 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Club holdings Wells Fargo (WFC), Ford (F) and Apple (AAPL) are in the news Wednesday, with potential implications for our investment outlook. Wells Fargo The news: Wells Fargo could initiate another round of layoffs at its home mortgage division amid a collapse in homebuyer demand, according to a CNBC report . In its fiscal-third quarter, revenue from Wells Fargo's home lending unit fell 52% year-over-year, due to lower mortgage originations. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. A pedestrian walks by a Wells Fargo home mortgage office in San Francisco.

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