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The global 60/40 strategy has seen a 27% cumulative return since 2022 through Oct. 31, according to Vanguard data. Traditionally, stocks and bonds move in opposite directions, which helps lower the volatility of this traditional portfolio. But that didn't work in 2022, when stocks and bonds both suffered and the 60/40 tanked, which had many declaring the strategy dead. The 60/40 portfolio tends to be shorthand for a balanced, diversified portfolio, with specific allocations based on investors' individual needs. For instance, Morningstar's index that reflects a 60/40 portfolio is up about 15% year to date.
Persons: Todd Schlanger, it's, Dan Lefkovitz, Morningstar, Lefkovitz, doesn't, Amy Arnott, Price, Jared Woodard, Woodard, Morningstar's, Vanguard's Schlanger, Schlanger, Organizations: Vanguard, Morningstar, Commodities, Bank of America, Fund, Bloomberg U.S, U.S .
But the South Korea electronics giant has now fallen behind its long-time rival SK Hynix in next-generation chips that have been key component for AI silicon leader Nvidia . For years, Samsung was the undeniable leader in this technology, ahead of South Korean rival SK Hynix and U.S. competitor Micron . SK Hynix saw this opportunity. SK Hynix posted record quarterly operating profit in the September quarter. "It is fair to say that Samsung has not been able to close the gap with SK Hynix on the HBM development roadmap," Morningstar's Ito said.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho, HBM, Kazunori Ito, Brady Wang, Morningstar's Ito Organizations: Samsung Electronics Co, Bloomberg, Getty, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Nvidia, Samsung, Micron, Morningstar, CNBC, U.S, Counterpoint Research, South Locations: Seoul, South Korea, South Korean, HBM
Investors boosted stocks after Donald Trump won a second term. But investors shouldn't depart from their long-term investing plan, Morningstar's Dave Sekera says. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But even as prices soar, it's important not to get caught up in the mania beyond your normal risk tolerance, warns Morningstar Senior US Market Strategist Dave Sekera. "The small-cap space, even with today's bump, it's still the most undervalued part of the market in our view," he said.
Persons: Donald Trump, shouldn't, Dave Sekera, , Morningstar, Sekera, Trump, aren't, Goldman Sachs, shouldn't overreact, John Rekenthaler, Joe Biden, That's, it's Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, White Locations: bullishness
An outperforming fund manager who previously sold Meta Platforms shares over concerns about the company's virtual reality investments is now bullish on the technology giant's artificial intelligence strategy. This optimistic stance marks a significant shift for Yiu, who revealed that his fund had previously sold out of Meta Platform shares two years ago due to concerns about the company's virtual reality investments. Meta's Reality Labs division, home to the company's virtual reality technologies and projects, took on $13.72 billion in losses in 2022 before Zuckerberg pivoted strategy. Meta is among the top 10 holdings in Yiu's Blue Whale Growth Fund, which itself is up 16.6% in 2024. Yiu's endorsement comes as Meta faces scrutiny over its ambitious AI spending plans, prompting mixed reactions from Wall Street analysts.
Persons: Stephen Yiu, Yiu, CNBC's, Metaverse, Zuckerberg, Meta, Benjamin Black, Black, Nat Schindler, Morningstar, Morningstar's Malik Ahmed Khan, Michael Bloom, Jonathan Vanian, Ari Levy Organizations: Blue, Growth, Meta, Nvidia, Labs, Wall Street, Deutsche Bank
Hollie Adams | Afp | Getty ImagesBritain's Labour government appears poised to raise "sin taxes" in its highly anticipated October budget as it seeks to cash-in on lucrative industries to bolster Treasury revenues. Among a litany of measures, including a major change to the government's fiscal rules, Reeves is reported to be considering a sin tax raid. "Sin stocks are a good place to start. Shares of London-listed gambling stocks fell sharply on the news. A Treasury spokesperson was not immediately available to comment when contacted by CNBC about the prospect of sin taxes in the budget.
Persons: Keir Starmer, Rachel Reeves, Hollie Adams, Reeves, Michael, Britain's, William Hill, Paddy Power, Chris J, Ratcliffe, Bruce Morley, Morley, Morningstar's, Field, Alishia Abodunde Organizations: Britain's, Labour, Afp, Getty, Finance, Michael Field, Morningstar Analysts, Morningstar, CNBC, Guardian, London, Entain Plc, Bloomberg, Department, Environment, Food, Rural Affairs, Treasury, University of Bath, Imperial Brands, American Tobacco, Government Locations: London, Michael Field Europe, Europe, crosshairs, U.S, England, vapes
CEO Kelly Ortberg has vowed to turn around the company and laid out a four-point plan. CEO Kelly Ortberg vowed to "return Boeing to its former legacy" and said the company would focus on changing its culture. However, restoring the traditional defined-benefit pension plan — replaced with a 401(k) in 2014 negotiations — has been a key issue for many on the picket lines. Bank of America analysts estimated that restoring this pension plan would cost up to $400 million annually. Boeing's production has been limited as it faces supply-chain constraints and renewed scrutiny from regulators in the wake of January's Alaska Airlines blowout.
Persons: Kelly Ortberg, , Manuel Valdes, William Blair, Peter McNally, China's, McNally, Morningstar's Nicolas Owens, Ortberg Organizations: Boeing, Service, CNBC, Wall Street, Labor, Seattle Times, Bank of America, Anderson Economic Group, AP, Alaska Airlines, Airbus Locations: Seattle, Pacific Northwest
Apple is cutting Vision Pro production, possibly halting it by year-end, The Information reported. AdvertisementApple is reportedly reducing Vision Pro production, but that doesn't mean it's out of the headset game. Especially if the reports of Apple working on a lower-cost version of the Vision Pro are true. Related stories"This is all heading toward a lower-cost Vision Pro with more features that can scale," Ives said. The Vision Pro was released in February, and few, if any, apps have taken off in popularity.
Persons: William Kerwin, Apple, , Apple hasn't, Apple didn't, Jacob Bourne, EMARKETER, Tim Cook, it's, Cook, Tim Cook's, Dan Ives, Ives, Kerwin, Ming, Chi Kuo, Apple's, Bourne Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Wall Street Journal, Vision, Morningstar . Tech, Wedbush Securities, Bloomberg Locations: Luxshare
Christopher Grigat | Moment | Getty ImagesInvestors can generally reduce their tax losses in a portfolio by using exchange-traded funds over mutual funds, experts said. "You'll have tax efficiency that a standard mutual fund is not going to be able to achieve, hands down," he said. The same concept applies within a mutual fund: Mutual fund managers generate capital gains when they sell holdings within the fund. Large-cap and small-cap "core" stocks also "benefit considerably," with about 85% to 90% of their returns coming from capital gains, Armour said. However, there are instances in which passively managed funds can trade often, too, such as with so-called strategic beta funds, Armour said.
Persons: Christopher Grigat, Bryan Armour, Charlie Fitzgerald III, Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo, Armour, It's, Morningstar, Fitzgerald, Bonds Organizations: North America, Mutual, Taxpayers, CNBC Locations: Orlando , Florida, U.S
"Long-term care costs are completely outside of our health-care system. Medicaid is a needs-based health-care program, and eligibility requirements to receive long-term care under the program vary from state to state. "You might think about the average duration of long-term care along with the average costs to build a long-term care fund." Long-term care insuranceThe middle path involves buying insurance designed to help pay for long-term care. This can include long-term care insurance or whole life insurance with a long-term care rider.
Persons: Christine Benz, Morningstar, Spencer Look, CNBC's, SurveyMonkey, Yusuf Abugideiri, Yeske Buie, they'll, Gerika Espinosa, you'd Organizations: Medicare, Morningstar, Care Survey, Benz, Medicaid, Centers, Services, American, Aging, Administration for Community, American Association for, Care Insurance, CNBC Locations: U.S, Vienna , Virginia, Salt Lake City , Utah
Morningstar has urged investors to shift their focus away from the much-hyped AI chip sector. Instead, the equity research firm highlighted four traditional semiconductor makers it considers undervalued, with two picks potentially offering more than 70% upside. However, the firm's latest research note suggested that investors might find better opportunities outside the AI chip frenzy. Morningstar's top picks include Infineon Technologies and STMicroelectronics : Infineon Infineon Technologies , Germany's largest semiconductor manufacturer, stands to benefit from the increasing electrification of vehicles and the rise of electric cars, according to Morningstar. Morningstar expects Infineon shares to rise by 70% over the next 12 months to 50 euros a share ($54.90).
Persons: Morningstar, we're, Brian Colello Organizations: Nvidia, Infineon Technologies, Infineon Infineon Technologies, Infineon, Morningstar, STM STMicroelectronics, U.S Locations: United States
Contradictory messages about inflation and the labor market have investors on guard. Price growth is slowly falling from its peak, but it exceeded expectations in September after a hot reading in August. AdvertisementInflation is a threat that won't sink the economyWhile there's plenty of economic data to get excited about, persistent price growth is a problem. "If we're going to be data dependent, we have to at least look at the data," Sosnick said. Higher-than-hoped inflation is rarely compatible with an economic downturn, so if price growth does persist, it likely won't be in an earnings-crushing contraction.
Persons: , Steve Sosnick, they've, John Kerschner, Janus Henderson, Sosnick, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Jim Baird, Plante, Baird, Joe Quinlan —, Skyler Weinand, Regan, Weinand, We've Organizations: Service, US, of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Interactive Brokers, Business, Manufacturing, Index, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Equity, Financial, Merrill, Private Bank, Bank of America, Regan Capital, Fed Locations: China
Here are 33 of the firm's favorite stocks heading into a pivotal fourth quarter. Therefore, it's no shock that those growth stocks are responsible for the market's lofty valuation. AdvertisementMorningstar33 top stocks to ownIn Morningstar's fourth-quarter note, the firm designated 33 stocks as its top picks across sectors and groups like cyclicals, defensives, and economically sensitive companies. "To outperform, we think investors will need to look for contrarian investments and story stocks," Sekera wrote. Along with each company is its ticker, market capitalization, group, sector, rating, price target, upside to that target, and selected commentary from Morningstar.
Persons: , Dave Sekera, Morningstar, Sekera Organizations: Morningstar, Service, Stocks
Over the 12-month period ending June, about 2 of 3 active bond managers trounced their average passive counterpart, according to a recent analysis from Morningstar . There were a few tailwinds in active managers' favor. With the Fed recently cutting rates by a half point — and Chair Jerome Powell noting that two more quarter-point cuts could be in the cards this year — a new challenge awaits these active bond funds. As interest rates fall, active managers can position accordingly, said Roger Hallam, global head of rates at Vanguard. "We expect active managers to make a little more, and they should be because they're doing more trades and it costs more to manage active portfolios," said Olmsted.
Persons: , Ryan Jackson, Jerome Powell, it's, Jackson, Paul Olmsted, Roger Hallam, wouldn't, Hallam, Morningstar, Olmsted Organizations: Federal Reserve, Morningstar, Vanguard, Bond Fund, SEC
The strategy is meant to minimize interest rate risks, explained Saraja Samant, a manager research analyst at Morningstar. Wisdom Tree has two Treasury ladder ETFs: a one- to three-year fund and a seven- to 10-year fund. Schwab has Treasury bond ladder strategies in separately managed accounts operated by its Wasmer Schroeder Strategies' team. "They can add to or take from the entire bond ladder all at once, which is challenging to do with an individual bond ladder." The 'comfort' of a ladder To build a Treasury ladder, investors can go to Treasury Direct or use a broker dealer and tailor it to their needs, Samant said.
Persons: you'll, Saraja Samant, Robert Scrudato, Schwab, Schroeder, Barry Glassman, Morningstar's Samant, Samant, Michael Kessler, Glassman, Kessler, he's Organizations: Federal, Morningstar, Treasury, BlackRock, Securities and Exchange Commission, Wealth, Albion Financial, AAA Locations: Vienna , Virginia, Salt Lake City
On a more micro level, many ETF investors can sidestep the fund-level capital gains taxes incurred by many investors who own mutual fund shares, experts said. However, mutual fund managers can also generate capital-gains taxes within a fund itself when they buy and sell securities. Costs are lowThe first ETF was an index fund: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY ). Index funds, also known as passively managed funds, track a market index like the S&P 500 . Investors have equated ETFs with index funds since their inception, even though there are also index mutual funds, experts said.
Persons: Michael McClary, Bryan Armour, Armour, McClary, Morningstar, Michael Iachini, Charles Schwab, Morningstar's, they're, Michael M Organizations: Getty, Exchange, Morningstar, Valmark Financial, Investors, North America, Trust, Financial, Retail, McKinsey, SEC, Securities, Exchange Commission, Stock, New York Stock Exchange, Santiago
Investors have been watching tech stocks keenly in the past year, amid a significant bout of volatility in the sector. Morningstar's top strategist, however, has an underweight on the sector and is staying clear of several Big Tech names. On Oracle, Sekera believes the market is "overestimating the long-term growth for their cloud business." Morningstar has a one star rating on the the stock. 'Hitting on all cylinders' There is one Big Tech stock that Sekera still likes: Microsoft .
Persons: David Sekera, CNBC's, Morningstar, Sekera, — CNBC's Jordan Novet Organizations: Big Tech, U.S . Markets, Tech, Apple, Oracle, IBM, Morningstar, Microsoft, Baidu, Yum Locations: U.S, China, Yum China
AdvertisementLorraine Tan, Morningstar's director of equity research for Asia, also thinks monetary stimulus won't be sufficient. History says their skepticism is warranted, as China's past stimulus efforts have often failed to lead to sustainable gains. Even if this surge holds up, it won't necessarily spark a self-fulfilling prophecy that provides a lasting boost for China's economy. But others like Tan from Morningstar believe this bad news is reflected in Chinese stocks' cheap valuations. The team at UBS Global Wealth Management is also cautiously optimistic about Chinese stocks after this news.
Persons: , they're, Betty Wang, Marcelli, Lorraine Tan, Tan, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Wang, China isn't, Jeff Kleintop, Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Rory Green, Xi Jinping, Biden, Trump, That's, Kleintop, Morningstar, she'd Organizations: Service, Business, People's Bank of, Oxford Economics, UBS Global Wealth Management, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, BI Locations: China, People's Bank of China, Asia, Central, Republic
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. According to a simulated model that factors in things like changes in health, nursing home costs, and demographics, about 45% of Americans who leave the workforce at 65 are likely to run out of money during retirement. When you have more leisure time on your hands, more money goes toward entertainment and travel, especially in the first few years of retirement. The outcome is a higher withdrawal rate, which can push you into a higher tax bracket, he noted. "People don't take into account how expensive things get over time, not realizing that they can live another 40 years in retirement.
Persons: , Spencer Look, they're, JoePat Roop, Roop, Bob, would've, it'll, Gil Baumgarten, Baumgarten, it's Organizations: Service, Morningstar's Center for Retirement, Business, Belmont Capital Advisors, IRA, IRS, Wealth Management Locations: breakeven
The Federal Reserve is set to meet Tuesday and Wednesday — and is is widely anticipated to make its first interest rate cut after embarking on a hiking campaign in March 2022. As it is, stocks are headed for a winning week ahead of the meeting. On Friday, the CME FedWatch tool showed markets were split how big the rate cut would be. Investors will also watch what Fed policymakers will signal in its summary of economy projections regarding future policy moves. He worries that stocks will rally heading into the central bank meeting, with investors possibly selling the news afterward.
Persons: It's, disinflation, Chadha, CNBC's, Dave Sekera, Giuseppe Sette, Sette, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Morningstar's Sekera, Bank Asset Management Group's Bill Northey, Mills, homebuilder Organizations: Federal, Deutsche Bank, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morningstar, U.S, Bank Asset Management Group's, Olive, Darden, FedEx, Index, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, Philadelphia Fed Locations: U.S, Olive Garden, NAHB
The T-Rex 2X Long Nvidia Daily ETF (NVDX) and Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares (NVDU) have also attracted inflows this month and now have more than $1 billion in assets combined. Entering Wednesday, Nvidia was up 159% for the year, and the three leveraged long ETFs had all delivered higher returns. Inverse Nvidia funds also exist, though they have been less popular than their leveraged long counterparts so far. The advent of the single stock funds has come at the same time as the rising demand for short-term options . All three long Nvidia funds have annual expense ratios above 1%.
Persons: Will Rhind, NVDU, there's, Bryan Armour, Scott Acheychek, I've, Acheychek, Rhind, Ed Egilinsky, Egilinsky, Morningstar's Armour, Armour Organizations: Nvidia, North America, Rex Financial Locations: GraniteShares
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Assuming no changes to Social Security benefits, 37% of Gen Z and 44% of millennials could experience retirement shortfalls, coming in below 47% of Gen X and 52% of boomers. One 68-year-old previously told BI that she cannot afford to retire and is living off her Social Security and salary. According to the report, only around 28% of US households would face retirement shortfalls if they retire at 70. "You can delay claiming Social Security and get a bigger benefit and inflation-adjusted benefit."
Persons: , Gen Xers —, Zers, Gen X, X, Spencer, Morningstar, Xers, Gen Organizations: Service, Financial, Morningstar, Social Security, Business, Consumer, Alliance, Lifetime, Pensions
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China's status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits." Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing's capital controls and other restrictions.
Persons: Matt Wacher, William Yuen, Invesco, That's, Steven Sun, Paul Christopher, Morningstar's Wacher, it's, Wacher Organizations: Nasdaq, Nikkei, Morningstar Investment Management, U.S, HSBC, Technology, Shanghai —, Bank of, Federal Reserve, Treasury, HSBC Qianhai Securities, National Bureau, Statistics, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Index Locations: Asia, U.S, Shanghai, China, Pacific, EPFR, Hong Kong, Bank of China, Wells Fargo
Thursday brought more negative news from the jobs market: unemployment insurance claims for the week ending July 27 were up by 14,000 from the previous week to 249,000. Stepping back from last week's weak data, chief investment officers and top strategists say the market is overreacting, and they're using this as a buying opportunity. Related storiesSimilarly, the manufacturing data is not as foreshadowing as it seems on the surface. "But the ISM manufacturing data can be a leading indicator of S&P earnings, particularly the new order number." "If you look at non-US stocks and you look at their valuations, they're trading at about 13 times earnings," Calcagni said.
Persons: Dow, we've, Philip Straehl, Morningstar, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Alicia Levine, Levine, it's, what's, Morningstar's Straehl, Simeon Hyman, Hyman, Donald Calcagni's, Calcagni Organizations: Service, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply, Business, BNY, Big Tech, Mercer Advisors Locations: Americas
It's commonly believed that assets related to real estate, such as REITs, benefit from lower interest rates. A lower interest rate environment also increases the attractiveness of this investment in terms of the higher rental income yield offered by real estate. The rate of office use is set to increase over time , which will in turn lead to a recovery in office real estate demand, he said. "A focus on technology and life sciences market clusters should benefit Kilroy in the long run as we expect buoyant growth in these areas. "The remote work dynamic is probably the biggest source of uncertainty for the office real estate industry.
Persons: Morningstar, Suryansh Sharma, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Kilroy, Sharma, Sekera Organizations: U.S . Federal, Kilroy Realty, Morningstar, Apple Locations: REITs, U.S
GLD 5Y mountain GLD The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is the world's largest, with BlackRock's iShares Gold Trust and iShares Physical Gold ETC the second and third, respectively. Other top physical gold ETFs include the Borse Commodities GmbH Xetra-Gold and the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust . Gold mining ETFs Buying gold mining ETFs — which own shares of multiple gold mining companies — is another way to get exposure to gold, and Meyer described those backed by large banks as "relatively safe," in an email to CNBC. "Even though gold equities respond to changes in gold price, the degree of that response has deteriorated over time," he said, adding that the risks and costs of gold extraction can weigh on miners. A selection of gold bars and one-ounce gold coins at Gold Investments Ltd. bullion dealers in London, UK, on Tuesday, May 21, 2024.
Persons: Tom Price, Price, Berenberg, Robin Bhar, Amy Arnott, John Meyer, Colin Hamilton, BlackRock's, Meyer, Barrick Gold Panmure Liberum, George Milling, Stanley, they're, Morningstar's Arnott, Bhar, Chris Ratcliffe Organizations: CNBC, Panmure, Bank of America, Citi, UBS, Gold, Morningstar, SP, CNBC Pro, Royal Mint, BMO Capital Markets, Borse Commodities, MiniShares, Gold Miners ETF, Miners, Barrick, Resolute Mining, Hochschild, Caledonia Mining, Barrick Gold Panmure, Endeavour Mining, Endeavour, Pan, Resources, State Street Global Advisors, Gold Investments, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Panmure Liberum, U.S . New York, United States, U.S, Hochschild Mining, Zimbabwe, London, West Africa, Berenberg
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