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☆ The market is 'excited' about growth and productivity prospects, says Allianz's Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is 'excited' about growth and productivity prospects, says Allianz's Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor, discusses Republican control of the Senate, Trump's momentum, and more.

Persons: Allianz's Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Senate

☆ Soft landing is 'most likely' outcome, says Allianz' Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSoft landing is 'most likely' outcome, says Allianz' Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the market, the state of the U.S. economy, crude oil's pullback and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Allianz, Erian Locations: U.S

Some critics have felt Harris has largely abandoned the Muslim and Arab American community. He said he hopes the support from religious leaders will make conflicted Muslim voters feel more comfortable voting for Harris, despite some prominent Muslim voices’ intense opposition to her. “The momentum [for Harris] in the community is growing.”The letter is the latest effort in the push on behalf of the Harris campaign to reach out to those voters after she met with Muslim community leaders in Michigan on Friday. Also last week, the vice president’s national security adviser met with Arab and Muslim community leaders in Washington. “Throughout her career, Vice President Harris has been steadfast in her support of our country’s diverse Muslim community, including ensuring that they can live free from the hateful policies of the Trump administration.”

Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Harris “, ”, Donald Trump, “, Jill Stein, Cornel West, Joe Biden’s, Mohamed Elsanousi, ” Elsanousi, Tim Walz, Harris Muslim, ” Nasrina Bargzie, Trump Organizations: NBC News, Democratic, Biden, Trump, Cornel, Israel, Democratic National Convention, Minnesota Gov Locations: Israel, Gaza, Michigan, Lebanon, Amana, Arab, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Washington, Arab American

☆ 'Inflation is not dead': Consumer prices are still in focus for investors despite the Fed's labor-market pivot
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The upcoming inflation report will help determine the Fed's next move. Friday's surprisingly strong jobs data has slashed bets of a half-point rate cut. AdvertisementBut with September's jobs report crushing expectations, concerns may have been premature. AdvertisementHow inflation data could compound these forecasts will be known on Thursday, when the CPI report comes out. Still, with inflation still slightly above the central bank's 2% target , some analysts are cautioning investors not to forget about price pressures.

Persons: Friday's, —, it's, they're, Mohamed El, Erian, Brian Rose, Seema Shah Organizations: UBS, Service, US, Bloomberg, CPI, Fed, Bank of America, Barclays

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with Allianz chief economic advisor Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with Allianz chief economic advisor Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor, joins ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss how the Fed is approaching economy, market response to its recent rate cut, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El, Bell Organizations: Allianz, Erian

☆ The market is expecting too much from the Fed, says Allianz's Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is expecting too much from the Fed, says Allianz's Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss recession fears, Fed rate cuts and his market outlook.

Persons: Allianz's Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz

☆ Stock futures are little changed ahead of key inflation report on Wednesday: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Stock futures were mostly flat on Tuesday evening as Wall Street looks to keep a strong start to the week going with a key inflation report on deck. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also down less than 0.1%. The speed of the rebound is making some Wall Street pros uneasy. The market did get a piece of good news on Tuesday when the producer price index report showed cooler inflation than expected. "I think the inflation risk is much lower than the unemployment risk," El-Erian said.

Persons: Dow, I'm, Mohamed El, Erian Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Allianz Locations: Japan

☆ Why Jay Powell refuses to be bullied by Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The whole episode underscored a fundamental tension between the Fed, which is focused on economic stability, and Wall Street, which is focused on profit. The message from Powell and other policymakers is clear: We won’t be strong-armed by Wall Street. The BOJ’s deputy governor, Shinichi Uchida, citing volatility in financial markets, said the bank would not raise its policy interest rate as long as markets remain unstable. Powell (formerly in finance, hazel eyes, great ties) appears to have a real opportunity to Volcker it up even more in the coming weeks. That gives Wall Street plenty of time to sit in the corner and deal with its feelings.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Summer, Tim Walz’s, Jerome Hayden Powell, Here’s, Powell, ”, Powell’s, It’s, Paul Volcker fanboy, Shinichi Uchida, Mohamed El, “, Volcker, quieting, Powell isn’t Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Finance, Federal, Stock, CNBC, Wall, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg Locations: New York, FiDi, Powell, Japan

☆ Why an emergency rate cut would be a mistake for the Fed, according to Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed would be making a mistake in delivering an emergency rate-cut, Mohamed El-Erian said. Traders see a higher chance the Fed could trim rates over the next week in response to weakening data. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve would be making a mistake if it delivered an emergency rate cut. Amid Monday's sell-off Bloomberg reported that markets see a 60% chance the Fed could issue a cut ahead of its scheduled policy meeting. AdvertisementGiving in to the market's demands to ease monetary policy would constitute another mistake for the Fed, El-Erian said.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, Ben Kirby Organizations: Bloomberg, Traders, Service, Fed, Thornburg Investment Management Locations: El

☆ The Fed should consider cutting in July, says Allianz's Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should consider cutting in July, says Allianz's Mohamed El-ErianMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the Fed's next moves and the economy.

Persons: Allianz's Mohamed El, Erian Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz

☆ The creator of a famed recession indicator says the Fed is 'playing with fire' by not cutting rates now
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Read previewThe Federal Reserve's reluctance to lower interest rates in the near term is a risky gamble that could drive the US towards a recession, Claudia Sahm told CNBC. "But it's a real risk, and I do not understand why the Fed is pushing that risk. At current readings, that likely means just one rate cut in 2024, the Fed said. For this reason, Sahm told CNBC that the Fed should start a gradual cutting cycle now, and take the economy off a path that could require more severe action if not addressed. Markets, meanwhile, remain convinced that the Fed will follow with more than just one cut.

Persons: —, Claudia Sahm, I'm, Sahm, Mohamed El Organizations: Service, CNBC, Business

☆ 'Quiet vacationing' shows how sad America's work culture has become
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. In today's big story, we're looking at why the rise of "quiet vacationing" shows the depressing state of America's work culture . If you're unfamiliar with the distinction, let me introduce you to a new workplace phrase: quiet vacationing . But Business Insider's Emily Stewart argues workers feeling too stressed to fully take time off is a sad example of America's work culture. The irony is that quiet vacationing could arguably put you in a worse position for your job these days.

Persons: —, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Slack, Emily Stewart, Martin Barraud, Wally Pipp, Pipp, Lou Gehrig, Wally Pipped, Alyssa Powell, Steve German, Arizona's, Mohamed El, Erian, China's, Brooks Kraft, They've, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, New York Yankees, American League, Yankees, Getty, Partners, Alfa Bank, YouTube, Foo Fighters, BI, Amazon, Bain & Company, Brooks Kraft LLC, Harvard, Hollywood . Media, Dell Locations: Arizona, Miami, China, Beijing, Shanghai, Russia, Hollywood, New York, London

☆ The Fed could tip the US into recession if it waits too long to cut rates, Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed should not keep waiting to cut rates, Mohamed El-Erian wrote in the Financial Times. He said such a delay could eventually prompt an aggressive cutting cycle, increasing recession risk. El-Erian compares it to when the Fed insisted on not raising rates in 2021, but then had to sharply tighten. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve's holdup in cutting interest rates may be putting the US economy in jeopardy, Mohamed El-Erian wrote in an op-ed for the Financial Times.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, — Organizations: Financial Times, Service, Fed, Business

☆ Why the Fed's rate-cutting agenda could spark a recession, according to top economist Mohamed El Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Read previewThe Federal Reserve's path of rate cuts could be what ends up causing a US recession, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. Elevated interest rates could cut into economic activity and employment, Powell said at a press conference on Wednesday. At this point, the economy faces a bigger risk of recession than rampant inflation, El-Erian suggested. The recession outlook remains mixed, given the cocktail of tight financial conditions and resilient economic growth so far. According to New York Fed economists, the US has a 52% chance of slipping into recession by May next year.

Persons: —, Mohamed El, Erian, Powell Organizations: Service, Business, Fed, Yahoo Finance, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Consumer Locations: El

☆ Ahead of schedule: Why the Fed should cut rates in July, according to Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

The Fed should start cutting interest rates in July, but likely won't, Mohamed El-Erian said. "We've had nothing but negative surprises," he told Fox Business. AdvertisementWhile markets dissect economic data points to determine whether interest-rate cuts will come this fall, Mohamed El-Erian says there's enough to support cuts in July. "We've had nothing but negative surprises," he said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, We've, — Organizations: Fox Business, Service, Federal, Business

☆ America's big stagflation scare is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThe US economy looks to have steered clear of danger after the specter of stagflation spooked markets and put analysts on edge in recent weeks. Further, average hourly earnings unexpectedly declined to 0.2%. And since elevated labor costs are part of the stagflation equation, the dip in average hourly earnings also signaled a period of languid growth will be avoided. It sent alarm bells ringing around stagflation, which occurs when inflation stays high despite a cooling economy.

Persons: —, specter, Marko Kolanovic, Mohamed El, Bank of America's Michael Harnett —, Harnett Organizations: Service, Business, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Bank of America's

☆ 3 issues that could make or break the US economy over the next year, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Mohamed El-Erian named three key risks that will determine where US growth is headed in 2024 through 2025. That includes changes to the Fed's inflation target and low-income consumer spending. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementIf Wall Street was wrong about recession odds in 2023 and 2024, forecasting for next year won't be any easier, Cambridge economist Mohamed El-Erian wrote in Project Syndicate. "Given high interest rates and some creditors' loss of enthusiasm, this cohort's willingness to consume will hinge on whether the labor market remains tight," El-Erian wrote.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, he's Organizations: Service, Project Syndicate, Federal Reserve, El Locations: Cambridge, El

☆ Mohamed El-Erian: Hoping the Fed delivers two rate cuts starting July
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMohamed El-Erian: Hoping the Fed delivers two rate cuts starting JulyMohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor and president of Queens’ College, Cambridge, joins ‘Squawk Box’ to discuss the latest market trends, his expectations from the Fed, and more.

Persons: Mohamed El Organizations: Erian, Allianz, Queens ’ College , Cambridge

☆ The 'misery index' often predicts who'll win the White House — but it may be broken
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

But there are signs the gauge may now be broken, with many people still gloomy about the economy. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . But Main Street has taken a decidedly gloomier view, with recession worries persisting and big-name companies ramping up layoffs. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: it's, —, Paul Krugman, Mohamed El, hasn't Organizations: Service, Business

☆ Small business sentiment is the lowest in over a decade as inflation proves sticky
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Yuheng Zhan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Confidence among US small business owners is at an 11-year low, according to NFIB. High inflation, coupled with hiring woes and tight financial conditions, have dealt a blow to business. AdvertisementUS small business owners' confidence slumped to its lowest level in 11 years in March amid escalating inflationary pressures and sluggish sales expectations, according to the National Federation of Independent Business. The small business optimism index dropped to 88.5, hitting its lowest since December 2012, per NFIB's latest report. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, —, It's Organizations: Service, National Federation of Independent Business, Business

☆ A growing chorus of experts don't think a rate cut is coming in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors are starting to take seriously the idea that the Fed might not cut interest rates in 2024. At this point, investors are viewing economic strength as ultimately good news for the stock market, if that means a recession is delayed. AdvertisementFrom seven, to three, to now potentially zero, projected interest rate cuts in 2024 are quickly going out of style on Wall Street. So a delay in interest rate cuts, on paper, would suggest lower stock prices. And better-than-expected first quarter profits have helped put a floor on a stock market that is trading near record highs, even as talks of interest rate cuts fade.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Kashkari, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Mohamed El, Torsten Slok, Slok, Ken Fisher Organizations: Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Fed, Bank of America

☆ Economist El-Erian says the Fed has turned into a play-by-play commentator
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The U.S. Federal Reserve has become too data dependent and has lost sight of its overall strategy, Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, said Friday. The economist told CNBC that a longer-term, more strategic outlook could see policymakers settle on a new inflation target of closer to 3%. "Rather than be strategic, this Fed is overly data dependent, and has turned into a play-by-play commentator," El-Erian told CNBC's Steve Sedgwick at the Ambrosetti Spring Forum in Italy. "The Fed should be strategic, the Fed should provide a strategic anchor, a stabilizer." The U.S. Federal Reserve did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.

Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, CNBC's Steve Sedgwick, That's Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Allianz, CNBC Locations: Italy

☆ Fed caution may be justified if the labor market starts to deteriorate. Here's why that could happen
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

A strong jobs outlook raises the potential of greater inflation pressures, meaning the central bank might be less eager to ease policy. Indeed, there are some signs that the labor market's strength may not be as robust as the headline nonfarm payrolls numbers indicate. Economists both on Wall Street and at the Fed suspect swelling immigration numbers are playing a role in boosting employment and keeping the labor market so tight. With political clamoring intensifying for the U.S. to tighten its border controls, the resilience of the labor market then could be jeopardized depending on how large a role immigration is playing. "Another strong report raises the potential that the deterioration in labor markets we have been expecting will be avoided.

Persons: nonfarm, Seema Shah, Shah, Mohamed El, There's, Goldman Sachs, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Andrew Hollenhorst Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor, Asset Management, Allianz, Fed, CNBC, Wall, Congressional, Citigroup, Citi Locations: it's, Italy, U.S, South America, Central America, Mexico

☆ This Fed is 'overly data-dependent,' says Allianz chief economic advisor
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis Fed is 'overly data-dependent,' says Allianz chief economic advisorMohamed El-Erian, chief economic advisor at Allianz, says the U.S. Federal Reserve has "turned into a play-by-play commentator—and that's not the role of the Fed."

Persons: Mohamed El, —, that's Organizations: Allianz, U.S . Federal

☆ The Fed's first rate cut is still on pace for June with inflation dropping like a rock, Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed's first rate cut is still on track to come in June, Fundstrat's Tom Lee said. Yet investors are only pricing in a 57% chance of a rate cut by June, per the CME FedWatch tool. AdvertisementThe Fed is still poised to issue its first rate cut in June as the pace of inflation continues to slow, according to Fundstrat's head of research Tom Lee. All that points to a Fed that could be poised to cut rates sooner than markets are expecting, which is good news for stocks. Meanwhile, just 57% of investors are expecting the Fed to issue the first rate cut in June.

Persons: Fundstrat's Tom Lee, —, Tom Lee, Lee, That's, Mohamed El Organizations: Service, Fed, University of Michigan's, France —, Traders Locations: France

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