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The Summary Forecasts for hurricanes Helene and Milton were highly accurate. Nearly five days before Hurricane Milton hit Florida, National Hurricane Center forecasters predicted its track within just 12 miles of where the storm later made landfall. And yet, at a time when hurricane forecasts are at their most accurate, some meteorologists say they’ve never faced so much skepticism, hatred and conspiracy-minded pushback. They take it personally.”Hurricane forecasts have become more accurateHurricane forecasts have improved dramatically over the past 50 years. The National Hurricane Center publishes data each year about how its forecasts have aligned with reality, and the trend shows a decline in track errors since the 1970s.

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The Summary The tornado outbreak that Hurricane Milton spawned in Florida was a leading cause of death and damage from the storm. Hurricane Milton brought an earlier-than-expected dose of chaos before it made landfall this week, as supercell thunderstorms — which feature rotating updrafts and can produce tornadoes — raced across the state. From 1995 through 2023, just five tornadoes produced by tropical storms were rated that high. “With the initial tornadoes, that particular band of showers and storms from Milton seemed to really eject pretty far out in front of the hurricane,” Gallus said. That’s how it played out during Milton, Gallus said: The twisters “occurred right where we see most tornadoes happen.”But in Milton’s case, he noted, the tornadoes were particularly concentrated.

Persons: Milton, Hurricane Milton, “, ”, Donal Harrigan, Harrigan, Giorgio Viera, Ivan, Rita, Harvey, Bill Gallus, Milton “, ” Gallus, we’ve, Gallus, —, Helene Organizations: National Weather Service, Prediction, NWS, Getty, Iowa State University Locations: Florida, South Florida, U.S, Hurricane, Lucie County, Hurricane Milton, Palm Beach, Lake Okeechobee, Miami, Lakewood Park, Fla, Kansas, Milton

☆ The science of how Hurricane Milton became such a monster
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Evan Bush | Evan Bush Is A Science Reporter For Nbc News. | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

The Summary Hurricane Milton intensified at one of the fastest rates in recorded history. At nearly every turn, Hurricane Milton has offered surprises. Milton is the strongest Gulf of Mexico hurricane since Hurricane Rita in 2005. However, Lin said, “that doesn’t make it any less dangerous.”Even with slower winds, Milton is expected to remain a major hurricane until landfall Wednesday night. “That would tie 2024 with 2005 and 2020 for 2nd most Gulf hurricane landfalls on record, trailing only 1886,” meteorologist Philip Klotzbach wrote on X.

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As Hurricane Milton barrels toward Tampa Bay, some residents are saying that the resources needed to evacuate — especially gasoline — are in short supply, despite a mandate to leave the area. Debris from Helene also poses a risk as Milton approaches because the objects can turn into dangerous projectiles. On social media, lines stretching around the block could be seen at the few gas stations in the greater Tampa Bay area that still had fuel. Hurricane Helene had already damaged her family home and she assumes more, if not total damage, will be wrought by Milton. “What’s really sad is seeing people pulling up to gas stations and just staring at pumps that are out of gas,” she said.

Persons: Milton, Ashley Khrais, she's, ” Khrais, ”, Milton “, Hurricane Helene, Helene, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor, ” Castor, Ron DeSantis, “, ” DeSantis, Lindsey Carlson, Carlson, she’s Organizations: National Hurricane Center, FEMA, White, Tampa Mayor, CNN, Milton’s, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, Florida Division, Emergency Management, Gov, “ Fox, Patrol Locations: Tampa Bay, Holiday , Florida, Tampa, Florida, Hurricane, Lauderdale’s Port, Southeast Florida, Plant City, Lakeland, Jacksonville, Milton

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