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☆ Wells Fargo sees another big stock market gain in 2025 on strong economy, deregulation under Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks are primed for another big stock market gain in 2025 given U.S. economic strength and likely deregulation under President-elect Donald Trump, according to Wells Fargo. The Wall Street bank expects the S & P 500 will advance to 6,600 by the end of 2025. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 Wells Fargo is the latest big firm to release its 2025 S & P 500 year-end target, with virtually all shops thus far anticipating a roughly 10% gain or more for the broad market index. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin this week said he expects the S & P 500 to end next year at 6,500. The S & P 500 surged 24% in 2023, and is up more than 23% this year.

Persons: Donald Trump, Darrell Cronk, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brian Belski, Cronk Organizations: Wells, Investment Institute, BMO, UBS, CNBC, & $ Locations: Wells Fargo, Tuesday's

☆ Widespread high valuations are concerning, says Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWidespread high valuations are concerning, says Morgan Stanley's Mike WilsonMike Wilson of Morgan Stanley discusses the 3 main risks to the markets he is watching out for and says that while they are less optimistic about the market impact of Trump's potential tariffs in the near-term, things could get better by the end of 2025.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Tesla makes up for Nvidia’s dip
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Individual stocks sway indexesOn Monday, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nadaq Composite added 0.6%, mostly spurred higher by Tesla . 'Europe-first' approachEuropean countries should adopt a "Europe-first" approach to technology, especially in response to Trump's protectionist inclinations, tech CEOs told CNBC. But investors should still be wary of certain headwinds, warned the bank's Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Salesforce, Donald, Andy Yen, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson Organizations: CNBC, Tesla, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, BDO, Proton, Chief U.S, Equity Locations: Europe

☆ Geopolitics are finally starting to play a role in stock market action
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 has been drifting lower for a week. Pity the Wall Street strategists Pity the poor Wall Street strategists who are now writing their 2025 outlooks. That is about 10% above the current S & P 500 level. What is the current average yearly return of the S & P 500? The S & P 500 is up 0.3% since the close on Election Day.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Brian Belski, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin Organizations: Bulls, Street, BMO Capital, UBS, ISI, Trump Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Iran

☆ Buy these 39 quality stocks with rising earnings in a market with intriguing but imperfect parallels to the highly volatile fall of 2016
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Here are 39 quality economically sensitive stocks to buy, according to Morgan Stanley. Economically sensitive stocks, including financials and industrials, took off in anticipation of that result and caught fire after it became official. Several parts of the stock market seem to be preparing for another Trump presidency, according to Morgan Stanley. "Markets generally welcomed a reflationary playbook in 2016," Wilson wrote. AdvertisementRegardless of who's in office, Morgan Stanley outlined a list of 39 economically sensitive stocks that should do well.

Persons: Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley, —, Trump, Kamala Harris, It's, Harris, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, it's Organizations: Service, Trump, Consumer, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Locations: Financials

☆ A strong dollar is a key risk to the stock market's big rally, Morgan Stanley CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson says the stock market's bull run could slow if the dollar strengthens again. AdvertisementMorgan Stanley's top stock strategist is eyeing one risk in particular that could threaten the stock market's big rally: a stronger US dollar. According to the firm's chief US equity strategist, Mike Wilson, a dollar re-strengthening could hinder stock gains. The greenback weakened as markets prepared for steep rate cuts, but that move has reversed in recent weeks as strong economic data makes more aggressive policy easing less likely. Wilson's call comes two years into the market's bull rally, with major indexes continuing to hit fresh all-time highs.

Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, —, that's, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Radio, Federal Locations: China, Japan

☆ Financial stocks are still being woefully underappreciated by investors, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Positioning in financial stocks is light relative to other sectors, Morgan Stanley says. AdvertisementInvestors are lingering in defensive trades that don't take advantage of the economy's strength, Morgan Stanley said, highlighting opportunities in underinvested sectors. The firm — which just last week upgraded cyclical stocks to "overweight" relative to defensives — described the financials group as particularly attractive. Morgan Stanley said net exposure to financials was in the bottom 15th percentile of a historical data series that goes back to 2010. Morgan Stanley noted that this weakness lowered earnings-season expectations for investors, making it easier for major lenders to outperform forecasts.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, financials, Mike Wilson, Wells Fargo, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bank, JPMorgan, Utilities, defensives, ISM Locations: Basel

☆ Top Wall Street strategists say a strong jobs report will kick off a rotation into lower-quality stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A strong jobs report would boost low-quality stocks, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley analysts say. AdvertisementInvestor eyes are locked on the upcoming jobs report, due Friday. If it comes in strong, that will be great news for less-loved, lower-quality stocks, analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley say. Morgan Stanley's equity-strategy team is also keyed in on the jobs report. Wilson also highlighted the jobs report as a possible catalyst for rotation towards low quality in the stock market.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, —, David Kostin, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, nonfarm payrolls Organizations: Service, firm's

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns stocks are in their 'third great speculative bubble' in the last 100 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

AdvertisementJohn Hussman, the president of the Hussman Investment Trust who called the 2000 and 2008 market crashes, isn't shy about his characterization of the current market environment. The first piece of evidence Hussman cites is valuation, specifically the total market cap of non-financial stocks to total value added of those stocks. He predicted in 2000 that the S&P 500 would likely see negative total returns over the following decade, which it did. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 32% over the past year.

Persons: John Hussman, —, It's, Mike Wilson, Michael Kantrowitz, Lance Armstrong, Hussman, Armstrong, David Walsh Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Tour de France, Hussman, Intelligence, Labor Locations: Irish

☆ Things are looking up for the economy. So why are consumers still unhappy?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, the economy is heading in the right direction, but consumers aren't buying it . Things seem to be going really well for the economy, right? Consumers aren't feeling bullish about the economy these days. Last time around, pesky inflation was keeping things like groceries and housing costs high, even as the rest of the economy showed improvement. China's stimulus plan to boost its ailing economy sent emerging markets indexes to their highest level since April 2022 .

Persons: —, Rebecca Zisser, We've, Insider's Juliana Kaplan, Spencer Platt, Getty, Tyler Le, We'll, Morgan, Mike Wilson, Steven Blitz, China's, aren't, Chelsea Jia Feng, weren't, Natalie Ammari, that's, Ron Sherman, Gen, Mark Zuckerberg, Dan DeFrancesco, Jack Sommers, Jordan Parker Erb, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Fed, Chelsea, Spotify, Visa, US Justice Department, Prosecutors, Meta Locations: Austin , Texas, New York, London

☆ Morgan Stanley outlines the best-case scenario for stocks in the 4th quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley is now looking ahead at the perfect mixture of conditions for a strong fourth quarter. The firm is squarely focused on an improvement in the labor market driving the best possible returns. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve nailed the rate-cut scenario that Morgan Stanley called its best-case result leading into the decision. Heading into last week's announcement, Morgan Stanley was looking for a 50-basis-point cut that didn't also stoke worries about unnecessary growth. To be sure, job conditions are not the only thing Morgan Stanley is watching.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, —, didn't, Mike Wilson, Wilson Organizations: Federal, Service, Reserve, stoke, Bank of America, Conference Board

☆ Investors are pouring into this defensive corner of the stock market amid fears of an economic slowdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts are increasingly recommending defensive stocks to blunt the impact of an economic slowdown. The S&P 500's consumer staples sector has risen more than 4% in the last month. AdvertisementAmid fears of a recession and increased market volatility, analysts have been pointing to defensive stocks as a safe bet to hedge macro risk. Among defensive sectors — which include things like real estate and financials — investors recently have been pouring into consumer staples in particular. With the Federal Reserve likely to finally cut rates at its meeting this week, defensive stocks could be poised for further growth.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Service, Retailers, Walmart, Target, Bank of America, P Global Semiconductor, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: cyclicals

☆ Morgan Stanley lays out the stock market's best-case scenario for this week's Fed decision — and 2 areas to buy after the cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, —, Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve

☆ Resist the temptation of AI and bet on safe defensive stocks, Wall Street analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

More analysts are recommending "defensive" shares over AI plays as macro conditions change. With some questioning the AI rally, investors could benefit from non-tech growth companies, an analyst said. Similar to BofA's call, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson last week called the AI theme "overcooked" and said investors should shift to defensive shares. But in tune with what others had said, Diton also touted that utilities stocks as one meaningful investment to make right now. As bullish on AI as he may be, he warned that the market has become extremely concentrated in tech's leading names, and investors need to diversify.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brad Conger, Hirtle Callaghan, Conger, Morgan Stanley's Wilson, Eric Diton, Diton Organizations: Service, Nvidia, P Global Semiconductor, Bank of America, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Wealth Alliance, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock

☆ 'We're only in 1996': Why the AI boom is still in its earliest days, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The AI boom is still in its infancy, following the path of the internet in the 1990s, BofA said. AI's impact will be felt sooner than past tech booms, the bank says. Skepticism about AI has mounted recently as investors get impatient to see AI returns. "Skeptics declare that GenAI's revenue potential doesn't justify the current level of AI infrastructure investment," the report says. On Tuesday, Morgan Stanley chief US equity strategist Mike Wilson said the AI investment theme has been "overcooked," and suggested investors should retreat into defensive stocks.

Persons: BofA, —, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson Organizations: Service, Bank of America, ChatGPT

☆ The AI theme is 'overcooked' and investors should take shelter in quality defensive stocks, Morgan Stanley's CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

In the meantime, they should take shelter in quality defensive stocks, Morgan Stanley says. We just got overcooked on the whole AI theme," Wilson said. AdvertisementWith the AI rally fading for now, Wilson says investors are waiting for a new theme to emerge, and taking shelter in "quality defensive stocks" in the meantime. "In our view, a slowing labor market is consistent with a late cycle backdrop and quality + defensive leadership," Wilson wrote. AdvertisementLast month, Wilson's team added three new quality defensive stocks to its "Fresh Money Buy List," which now totals nine stocks.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Wilson, —, they're, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Morgan, We're Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Surveillance, Nvidia, Semiconductor

☆ Why investors should buy industrial stocks now as a valuable market driver deteriorates, Morgan Stanley says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Earnings-revision breadth, cited as a bullish market driver, has deteriorated, Morgan Stanley says. But industrial stocks are still uniquely positioned to outperform, the firm says. AdvertisementA key driver of stock-market bullishness is deteriorating, although there are still opportunities available, Morgan Stanley wrote in new research. The firm is referring to earnings-revision breadth, which enjoyed an increase that coincided with a rally in small-cap stocks in recent weeks. The chart below shows a deceleration in earnings-revision breadth for S&P 500 companies in recent months:Morgan Stanley"This does not offer support for a broad cyclical rotation," Morgan Stanley analysts wrote.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Mike Wilson, Industrials Organizations: Companies, Service, CIO

☆ Stocks are likely to see a 10% correction as earnings weaken and election uncertainty swirls, Morgan Stanley CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Stocks are likely to drop around 10% between now and the November election, Morgan Stanley predicted. That's because corporate earnings look weak and need several catalysts to improve, the bank's Mike Wilson said. Other forecasters have sounded the alarm for a soon-to-come correction as stocks look overvalued. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementStocks are poised to see a double-digit drop, according to Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson.

Persons: Stocks, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, —, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, That's, Wilson Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business

☆ A notorious market bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes shares 3 charts revealing striking similarities between today's market and the most extreme bubbles — and warns of 50-70% downside for the
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

"In contrast, current valuation extremes imply potential downside risk for the S&P 500 on the order of 50-70% over the completion of this cycle." JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic expects the S&P 500 to fall to 4,200, while more extreme forecasts include Jeremy Grantham's estimate in the low 3,000s. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.

Persons: —, Jonathan Golub, Count John Hussman, Hussman, Hussman's, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Jeremy Grantham's Organizations: Service, UBS, Business, Hussman Investment Trust, New York Stock Exchange, Investor Intelligence

☆ A labor slowdown could ruin America's soft-landing hopes and cause a 10% stock correction, Morgan Stanley CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-25 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

A weakening jobs market could trigger a 10% stock correction, says Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson. He told Bloomberg that if non-farm payrolls fall under 100,000, it could break the soft-landing narrative. AdvertisementThe job market could make or break stocks, with any sudden weakness possibly triggering a meaningful correction, Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson told Bloomberg TV. Mike Wilson said. For this reason, current market highs make sense, he told Bloomberg, as investors load in on quality on growth trades.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, — Organizations: Bloomberg, Treasury, Service, Federal Reserve

San Miguel Gate, Tohono O’odham Nation CNN —The thermometer hit 111 Fahrenheit as we rolled up to a battered tent deep in the Tohono O’odham Nation reservation in Arizona. Chairman Verlon Jose, leader of the Tohono O’odham Nation, considered addressing them, and then turned away. CNNPeople wait to be taken in by Border Patrol after crossing the US-Mexico border near the San Miguel gate on the Tohono O'odham reservation, Arizona in June 2024. Evelio Contreras/CNNYou could drive for miles on the sprawling Tohono O’odham reservation without encountering anyone beside the free-ranging cattle. Some Tohono O’odham Nation members put out water or food for the migrants, others are afraid to.

Persons: Verlon Jose, ”, Evelio Contreras, Jose, ” Jose, Katie Hobbs, we’re, Annette Mattia, “ We’re, you’ll, ” Annette Mattia, “, Ariel Mattia, Raymond Mattia's, who’ve, CNN –, ” Norma, You’ve, ain’t, Mike Wilson, ” Wilson, Raymond Mattia, ” “, Mattia, Biden, That’s, Trump, CNN’s Rachel Clarke Organizations: CNN, Patrol, Border Patrol, US Border Patrol, US Customs, Border Protection, CNN CNN, Customs and Border Protection, CBP, San, CNN Migrants, CNN Border Patrol, CNN Security, US, Plymouth Rock Locations: Miguel Gate, Arizona, Pima County , Arizona, Mexico’s, Cortez, Mexico, United States, San Miguel, Arizona’s Tucson, Menagers, , Arizona, Pima County, America, Tucson, Arizona's, illegals, American, Atlanta

☆ Morgan Stanley says economic growth is bigger risk than inflation, gives quality stocks to own in a slowdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The risk of an economic slowdown now outweighs the risk of inflation, according to Morgan Stanley. But Morgan Stanley worries that the poor breadth of the market , measuring the number of advancing stocks against those declining, is a sign that slowing economic growth is becoming a bigger risk than stubbornly high inflation. To be sure, the Morgan Stanley strategist does not expect weak breadth to herald weak returns. Here are some of the quality large-cap and defensive stocks with strong upward earnings revisions that can outperform, according to Morgan Stanley. Burlington shares are higher by 25% this year, and the stock is overweight-rated by Morgan Stanley.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Russell, Bernstein, BURL, Aneesha Sherman, Morgan, Jefferies, HubSpot Organizations: Wall, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Monster Beverage, Beverage, Nvidia Locations: Burlington

☆ Reflecting on a bad market call 25 years ago reminds me to look for what can go right
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

When your job is to write a commentary about the stock market you start with a blank Word document. I bring up this mortifying moment because it reminds me of what happens if you write to extreme. No, nobody's saying, "How wrong Cramer can be, just watch the collapse that occurs now." As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim Cramer on Squawk on the Street, June 30, 2022.

Persons: Cramer, Karen Cramer, bullish, that's, Bob Dylan, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Squawk, Virginia Sherwood Organizations: Cramer & Co, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Water, Hamptons, CNBC Locations: Water, New York City, John

☆ The last bear on Wall Street: Why JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic is sticking by his forecast for a 20% market sell-off
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic sees no reason to turn bullish on the stock market despite record highs. In a Monday note, Kolanovic reiterated his view that the S&P 500 could fall 20% to 4,200. AdvertisementJust one day after Morgan Stanley CIO Mike Wilson abandoned his bearish stock market call, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic is digging his heels in. Kolanovic is the last mega-bank-bear on Wall Street, reiterating his view in a Monday note that the S&P 500 will fall about 20% to 4,200, levels not seen since October. And AI won't save the stock market, either.

Persons: JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, —, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, It's Organizations: Service Locations: Kolanovic

☆ 5 investments Morgan Stanley recommends making as US stocks surge by up to 19% — and why a prominent Wall Street bear just abandoned his downbeat view
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Since then, several major investment firms have lifted their long-term S&P 500 price targets. The firm recommends pairing cyclicals and growth stocks with those attributes so that investors are prepared for stronger or weaker growth. Technology firms using AI need more power, which is a major long-term tailwind for utility companies, Wilson wrote. "We see the recent pullback as an attractive entry point and an opportunity to formally upgrade the sector to overweight," Wilson wrote. "Small-cap valuation is relatively cheap but earnings growth is highly concentrated," Wilson wrote.

Persons: —, Brian Belski, Binky, Morgan Stanley, Long, Mike Wilson, subpar, Wilson, Wilson's, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital, Deutsche Bank, optimist, Consumer, Utilities

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