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State polling misses in presidential elections with Trump Polls underestimated Democrat Republican 2020 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 Iowa Result Poll avg. State polling misses in presidential elections Polls underestimated Democrat Republican 2012 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 S.C. One theory, presented by a report evaluating 2020 polls, is that Trump supporters were less likely to respond to surveys. Past polling misses in presidential elections for battleground states Years in bold indicate those in which the polling leader lost in that state. D+15 D+10 D+5 Even R+5 R+10 R+15 Note: Averages not available for some states in some years.

Persons: it’s, Donald J, Hillary Clinton, Joseph R, Biden, pollsters, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Trump, Mr, Clinton, Obama, Mitt Romney, John McCain, George W, Bush, John Kerry, Al Gore, ”, Chris Jackson, Kamala Harris, Trump’s, “, Berwood Yost, we’ve Organizations: Republican, Mr, Trump Polls, Ohio Texas, Iowa Ohio, Electoral, N.H . Iowa Nev, Nev . Ohio N.M, Nev . Ohio N.M . Iowa Wis, ., . Ohio Mo, Democratic, Ipsos, Biden, Pew Research, Wisconsin Polling, Michigan Polling, Nevada Polling, Carolina Polling, Arizona Polling, Georgia Polling, Franklin & Marshall, Poll of Pennsylvania Locations: Ohio Texas Fla, N.C ., Ariz . Wis, Pa, Nev . Mich . Wisconsin, N.C, Ariz . Fla, Wis, Pa . Mich, N.H, Minn, Nev, Colo, Fla . Ohio Va, N.H . Iowa, Mich, South Carolina, Mont, Mo, Ind, Indiana, Fla, Nev . Ohio, Nev . Ohio N.M . Iowa, Ore, Hawaii, . Ohio, N.H . Fla, Iowa Minn, Wash, Ill, Florida, pollsters, State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Carolina, Arizona, Georgia

☆ RFK Jr. back on Michigan presidential ballot after state Supreme Court ruling
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. makes an announcement on the future of his campaign in Phoenix, Arizona, U.S. August 23, 2024. The Supreme Court overturned the state's Court of Appeals ruling Friday that had removed Kennedy from the state's ballot against the wishes of Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson. "Thus, [Kennedy] has not shown an entitlement to this extraordinary relief," the court majority said in its ruling. The dissenters in their last words underscored how significant the majority ruling could be to the outcome of the presidential race. As in Michigan, Kennedy sued officials in those two other states seeking to drop his name from their ballots.

Persons: Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Kennedy, Michigan, Jocelyn Benson, Harris, Trump, Benson, Brian Zahra, David Viviano, Paul Cox Organizations: Democratic, GOP, Trump, Electoral, —, U.S, Michigan, Natural Law Party, Michigan Supreme, State Locations: Phoenix , Arizona, U.S, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Carolina, In Wisconsin, Arizona , Nevada, Georgia, Nevada

☆ How the polling landscape has changed in the last two weeks: From the Politics Desk
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +7 min

In today’s edition, we report on how the polling landscape has changed since Vice President Kamala Harris took over as the Democratic presidential candidate. But the Trump campaign is rushing to define Harris differently. This week, two ads went up that underscored the war to define Harris. Read more → 📺 The race is on: The race to define Harris is heating up, with the Harris campaign and the Trump team hitting the airwaves. Read more →The race to define Harris is heating up, with the Harris campaign and the Trump team hitting the airwaves.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Yamiche, Yamiche Alcindor, Kamala Harris ’, Joe Biden, Megan Thee, —, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, ” Trump, Brian Hughes, ” Harris, She’s, The, Read, Mark Murray It’s, Biden, 🗞️, J aime H, J ohn, Simone Biles, Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Democratic, Democratic Party, Biden, The Trump, —, New York Times, Siena College, Street, Reuters, NYT, Wall Street, Bloomberg, Trump Locations: Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Arizona , Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan

☆ UAW strike: Biden, Trump seek blue-collar votes in swing state Michigan
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

President Joe Biden is expected to visit a picket line Tuesday in the Great Lake State following a public invitation Friday from UAW President Shawn Fain. UAW members Niko Shinn (front) and Darius Collier (back) walk a picket line on Sept. 25, 2023 outside a Mopar facility owned by automaker Stellantis in Centerline. Fain has appeared with the independent senator from Vermont in Washington, D.C., and during a recent UAW rally in Detroit. Trump led Biden 46% to 43% among union members in an August survey, after Biden led Trump 51 % to 42% in June, according to Bernie Porn, president of EPIC·MRA. "With union members, he has been so supportive of just about everything that union members want.

Persons: Rebecca Cook, Joe Biden, Shawn Fain, Donald Trump, Leah Millis, Trump, Darius Collier, Collier, Stellantis, They've, Biden, Fain, Mark Burton, Gretchen Whitmer, Niko Shinn, Michael Wayland, Whitmer, Debbie Dingell, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Sanders, Fain's, who's, Bernie Porn, Trump's, Jamie Roe, Scott Olson Organizations: GM, United Auto Workers, Louisville Kentucky, Reuters DETROIT, General Motors, Ford Motor, Air Force, Joint Base Andrews, Reuters Biden, Biden, Trump, White, UAW, Michigan Gov, Democrat, Stellantis, CNBC Michigan, U.S . Rep, Washington , D.C, Detroit automakers, GOP, Trump's, Drake Enterprises, Republican, Plant, Getty Locations: Louisville, Detroit , Michigan, Michigan, Great Lake State, Clinton Township , Michigan, U.S, Joint Base Andrews , Maryland, . Michigan, Vermont, Washington ,, Detroit, Macomb County , Michigan, United States, Ford's Wayne, Wayne , Michigan

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