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Where voters place their blame — and specifically whether it falls on Vice President Kamala Harris — could be one of the defining factors of the presidential election. Early polling suggests that Harris won't be able to entirely shed the blame that President Joe Biden has received for inflation. If Harris can avoid some of the blame Biden received for rising prices, it could improve her chances of winning over crucial swing state voters, Traugott said. However, Sarah Foster, a Bankrate analyst, thinks some voters could shift much of their frustrations about rising prices from Biden to Harris. To be sure, it's up for debate how much Biden, Harris, or even Trump are deserving of blame for the rising prices of the past few years.
Persons: , Kamala Harris —, Harris, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, she'd, Michael Traugott, Kamala Harris, Trump, Traugott, Evan Roth Smith, Blueprint's, Semafor, Elizabeth Pancotti, Sarah Foster, It's, Joseph Stiglitz, University of Michigan's Traugott Organizations: Service, Business, Trump, Democratic, University of Michigan, Republicans, Biden —, Roosevelt Institute, New York Times, Biden, FOX Business, University of Michigan's
CNN —The Breakthrough is a project from CNN, Georgetown University, the University of Michigan, SSRS and Verasight. Each week, 1,000 Americans are asked to share what they have seen, read or heard about major presidential candidates in their own words. Results from the two surveys are combined using SSRS’s Encipher Hybrid methodology for blending probability and non-probability samples. Respondents have also been asked the same question about Biden since the start of the project. To develop topics, topic words are manually identified and augmented with words and topics identified using a combination of Noiseless Latent Dirichlet Allocation (NLDA) and Guided Topic-Noise Model (GTM).
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Harris, Biden, Lisa Singh, Josh Pasek, Michael Traugott, Budak, RoBERTa pretrained, Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Edward Wu, Dana Elobaid, Le Bao, Yanchen Wang, Mohamed Ahmed, Akilah Evans, Hope Wilson, Cameron McPhee, Peter K, Enns, Gretchen Streett, Amelia Goranson, Jake Rothschild Organizations: CNN, Georgetown University, University of Michigan, Massive Data, Technical, Science Locations: Verasight
[1/6] Candidate for district party chair for Michigan Republican Party Jon Smith speaks with guests during a fundraiser in Hillsdale, Michigan, U.S., February 8, 2023. "What's going on in Michigan is a microcosm of what is going on with the Republican Party nationally," said Michael Traugott, a professor at the Center for Political Studies at the University of Michigan. The judge declined to intervene, leaving it up to Michigan Republican Party officials to set the rules on delegate selection. The top two candidates for state party chair have both promoted conspiracy theories in support of Trump's false claims about voter fraud. "There's some people that are thinking this is the end of the Republican Party," he said.
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