The inverted yield curve and The Conference Board's LEI are two indicators that inform his view.
Instead, investors should be paying attention to indicators like the Treasury yield curve, The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, and money growth.
Here's the yield curve.
And the start of a recession typically comes a bunch of of months after the yield curve inverts.
The yield curve didn't invert until less than a year ago.
Persons:
Bob Doll, LEI, Doll, Wall, — Bank of America's Michael Gapen, Michael Feroli —, we're, Louis, It's, Rosenberg Research's David Rosenberg, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Greg Boutle, Tom Lee
Organizations:
Federal Reserve, — Bank of America's, Crossmark Global Investments, BlackRock, Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, Louis Investors, Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg, BNP, Institute for Supply, Institute for Supply Management, of Labor Statistics
Locations:
Wells