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Hurricane Rafael has turned to the west after lashing Cuba where it knocked out the country’s electrical grid, leaving its 10 million residents in the dark. Rafael will continue to move away from western Cuba on Thursday and will weaken over the central Gulf of Mexico. “On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next few days,” the National Hurricane Center said. A man walks through a darkened street due to a blackout after the pass of hurricane Rafael in Havana, on Wednesday. I hope all the power will be restored when the storm is over,” Havana resident Mabel Suarez told Reuters.
Persons: Rafael, Yamil Lage, Mabel Suarez Organizations: National Hurricane Center, Locals, Reuters, , The Associated Press Locations: Cuba, Cuban, Artemisa, Key West , Florida, Mexico, , Havana, AFP, Florida, ” Havana
A disturbance in the Caribbean strengthened into Tropical Storm Rafael on Monday afternoon. Rafael is the 17th named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, and will be the 11th hurricane if it strengthens further, as expected. The storm system is expected to approach the United States later in the week, the hurricane center said, and a tropical storm watch was issued Monday afternoon for the lower and middle Florida Keys and for the Dry Tortugas. A hurricane warning has been issued for the Cayman Islands, and a tropical storm warning is in effect for Jamaica. The government of Cuba issued a hurricane watch for a handful of provinces, and a tropical storm watch for other areas.
Persons: Storm Rafael, Rafael Organizations: Storm, Monday, National Hurricane Center, Atlantic, NHC Locations: Caribbean, Kingston , Jamaica, United States, Florida, Gulf, Cayman Islands, Jamaica, Cuba
At least 11 people were injured and around 100 homes were damaged as a result of a weekend of severe weather. On Monday, that same weather system will bring more thunderstorms, damaging winds, large hail and possibly tornadoes to the south-central U.S., according to the National Weather Service. Around 17 million people who live in the area spanning from central Texas to northern Missouri are at risk of experiencing this severe weather. Bryan Terry / The Oklahoman / USA Today via ImagnEastern Oklahoma and surrounding areas have an Enhanced Risk of bearing the brunt of the weather, according to the weather service’s storm prediction center. The severe threat of tornadoes to eastern Oklahoma is expected to increase by late morning.
Persons: Bryan Terry Organizations: Oklahoma, Oklahoma City Fire Department, National Weather Service, Sunday, Tennessee Valleys Locations: Oklahoma, U.S, Texas, Missouri, Oklahoma City, Arkansas, Illinois, Oklahoma , Kansas , Missouri, Arkansa, Mississippi, Arkansas , Louisiana , Texas, Ohio
The Summary The tornado outbreak that Hurricane Milton spawned in Florida was a leading cause of death and damage from the storm. Hurricane Milton brought an earlier-than-expected dose of chaos before it made landfall this week, as supercell thunderstorms — which feature rotating updrafts and can produce tornadoes — raced across the state. From 1995 through 2023, just five tornadoes produced by tropical storms were rated that high. “With the initial tornadoes, that particular band of showers and storms from Milton seemed to really eject pretty far out in front of the hurricane,” Gallus said. That’s how it played out during Milton, Gallus said: The twisters “occurred right where we see most tornadoes happen.”But in Milton’s case, he noted, the tornadoes were particularly concentrated.
Persons: Milton, Hurricane Milton, , , Donal Harrigan, Harrigan, Giorgio Viera, Ivan, Rita, Harvey, Bill Gallus, Milton “, ” Gallus, we’ve, Gallus, , Helene Organizations: National Weather Service, Prediction, NWS, Getty, Iowa State University Locations: Florida, South Florida, U.S, Hurricane, Lucie County, Hurricane Milton, Palm Beach, Lake Okeechobee, Miami, Lakewood Park, Fla, Kansas, Milton
Two rapid-attribution studies released Tuesday found that human-caused global warming made Hurricane Helene stronger and wetter, elements that contributed to the storm's destructive power. A report from ClimaMeter, a consortium that analyzes extreme weather events, found that Helene’s rainfall totals and winds were strengthened by human-driven climate change, with the rainfall up to 20% heavier and winds up to 7% stronger. The consortium noted that elevated temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico — something climate scientists have been warning about for years — likely contributed to Helene's power. "Furthermore, we estimate that the observed rainfall was made up to 20 times more likely in these areas because of global warming," the report added. Copious research has revealed a strong link between climate change and rapidly intensifying and wetter tropical systems because warmer atmosphere allows for heavier rain over land.
Persons: Helene, Organizations: Lawrence Berkeley Lab Locations: ClimaMeter, Gulf, Mexico, Gulf of Mexico, California, Georgia, Carolinas, North Carolina, Appalachia, Busick
A hurricane watch and warnings of storm surges up to 15 feet high were issued Tuesday for almost all of Florida's western coastline as a potential tropical storm moves across the Caribbean Sea and towards the Gulf Coast. The hurricane watch extends from Indian Pass in north-west Florida near Panama City, down to Englewood, and includes Tampa Bay. Hurricane and tropical storm watches are now in effect for the entire western coast of the Sunshine State. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible, and is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated onslaught of tropical-storm-force winds and conditions. Outside of the U.S., a hurricane watch is also in effect for parts of eastern Mexico from Cabo Catoche to Tulum and Pinar del Río in Cuba.
Persons: Helene, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Floridians, Beryl, Debby, Francine Organizations: Grand Cayman, National Hurricane Center, NHC, Sunshine State, Lower, Florida Gov, Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Guard, Florida State Guard, Atmospheric Administration, Climate Central, Northern, Florida Climate Center Locations: Gulf Coast, Florida, Panama City, Englewood, Tampa, Grand, Mexico, Flamingo, Walton, Bay, Bonita Beach, Lower Florida Keys, U.S, Cabo Catoche, Tulum, Pinar del Río, Cuba, Cayman Islands, Tallahassee, Gulfport, Henrico County, Bend, Caribbean, Northern Caribbean, Eastern Gulf of Mexico, Texas, Florida’s Big Bend, South Carolina, Louisiana
The National Hurricane Center calls it Potential Tropical Cyclone 8 and said in forecast updates that the front will weaken as it travels over terrain overnight. Similar volunteer weather stations at other coastal locations, including at Military Ocean Terminal Sunny Point in Southport, reported more than 14 inches of rain, the weather service said. A National Weather Service forecaster said that it was too soon to say whether the amounts were record breakers but that the weather service office in Wilmington is likely to have that answer late Tuesday morning. A flash flood event was confirmed in the community of Kelly, about 38 miles inland from Wilmington, the weather service said. The disturbance was 45 miles west of Cape Fear and traveling north-northwest at 7 mph, the National Hurricane Center said in its latest advisory.
Persons: Roy Cooper’s, Cooper Organizations: ., National Hurricane Center, Weather Service, Carolina, Gov, National Weather Service, North Carolina Transportation Department, Cherry Branch, Emergency, Center, Atmospheric Administration, Carolinas, NBC News, Federal, NBC Locations: North Carolina, Carolina Beach, Wilmington, Southport, New Hanover County, Kelly, Brunswick County, Leland, Isle, Swansboro, Cape Carteret, Cedar, Minnesott, Bayview, Aurora, Sampson, Duplin, Brunswick, New Hanover, Onslow, Pender, Cape Fear, Cape Hatteras, , Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Delaware , New Jersey, New York
An area of heavy rain and thunderstorms off the North Carolina and South Carolina coastlines Monday morning, designated Potential Tropical Cyclone 8 (or PTC 8 for short), is the next potential Atlantic system that may affect the continental United States. Meanwhile, Wilmington, North Carolina recorded a 60mph wind gust earlier on Monday morning. Minor storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is forecast from South Santee River, South Carolina to Oregon Inlet, North Carolina, and along the Neuse, Bay, Pamlico and Pungo Rivers in North Carolina. Six million people are under a Flood Watch from northeast South Carolina up through central North Carolina. For interior North Carolina 2 to 4 inches, with locally higher amounts up to 6 inches, could fall through Tuesday.
Persons: Hurricane Francine, Gordon Organizations: National Weather Service, Carolina, NOAA, North Carolina ., Flood Locations: North Carolina, South Carolina, United States, Charleston , South Carolina, Wilmington, Carolina Beach , North Carolina, Louisiana, Carolina Beach, Pan, , North Carolina, Wrightsville Beach , North Carolina, Wilmington , North Carolina, Charleston, Myrtle Beach, Carolina, Virginia , Maryland, Delaware , New Jersey, New York, South Santee River , South Carolina, Oregon, Pungo Rivers, Myrtle Beach , Wilmington , Cape Hatteras, Raleigh, Virginia
A long-duration ice storm will impact a large swath of the South through Wednesday, with the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area at the center of the threat. The slow-moving storm system is expected to bring freezing rain and accumulating ice to parts of the country extending from Texas to West Virginia. A heavier round of freezing rain is expected to develop Tuesday over central Texas and up through Arkansas into Tennessee. As parts of the South struggle with the winter storm, several cities in the Northeast will continue to wait for snow. Some other notable snowless statsPhiladelphia is quickly approaching its latest first snow on record, which is Feb. 3.
Millions of people in the South and the Southeast are at risk of severe thunderstorms, tornadoes and flash floods Tuesday and Wednesday, while a messy winter storm is expected to hit the Midwest and a separate storm slams California later this week. Threats of severe thunderstorms, flash floodsAs many as 20 million people from southeast Louisiana to south-central Alabama are at risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday that could bring damaging wind gusts, large hail and some strong tornadoes, classified as having winds of more than 111 mph. The thunderstorms are expected to continue through the day and last into the overnight hours. In addition to the severe thunderstorms, flash flooding will also be a threat. St. Louis could see a high in the early 70s Tuesday before expected highs plunge to the high-30s and the mid-40s the rest of the week.
Kathy Hochul on Wednesday directed state agencies to prepare to respond to flooding caused by the snowmelt. And the Buffalo Airport — where nearly 52 inches of snow fell during the storm, according to the weather service — reopened Wednesday. Moderate to heavy snow could also fall across northern Nevada by Friday night, the agency said. On New Year’s Eve, heavy rain will fall in the Southeast up to the Ohio Valley during the day and the mid-Atlantic into the Northeast during the evening, while the West will face a flood risk and continued heavy mountain snow. On New Year's Day, lingering rain showers are expected in New England, above-average temperatures are set for the South and rain and snow are expected in the Southwest.
The Buffalo Airport, which has been closed since Dec. 23, was expected to reopen on Wednesday morning, according to a tweet. A little more than 1,400 energy customers in New York state were without power Wednesday morning — amounting to only 0.02% of the state — according to PowerOutage.us. Storms to batter the West CoastMeanwhile, a total of five separate storm systems will impact the West through next Monday. Oregon State Parks announced emergency closures for Ecola and Cape Meares because of high winds and the potential for falling trees. Colusa and Mendocino counties had 650 and just over 700 power outages as of Wednesday morning, respectively, according to PowerOutage.us.
The storm will begin to organize on Wednesday, bringing snow and wind to the Rockies and northern Plains. On Thursday, heavy snow with strong winds will move into the Midwest, Great Lakes and central Plains. Even the Southeast will experience strong winds. As snow is falling across the Midwest and Great Lakes, the I-95 corridor will be getting lashed with torrential rain and strong winds. Despite the precipitation ending late Friday, strong winds lingering in the first half of Saturday could continue to spark delays until the winds subside.
While the Northeast and New England contend with the winter storm on Friday, parts of the Plains entered their third day in a row of blizzard conditions. The cold won’t stop there. This cold outbreak will last into next week and expand south and east with time. Looking at the week leading up to ChristmasThe week leading up to Christmas could have two big weather stories. The second story, which has the lower confidence but is likely to garner the bigger headlines, is a potential winter storm for the East.
There have been 53 reports of tornadoes since early Tuesday morning in seven states, including three confirmed whirlwinds in Louisiana that killed three people. Reports came in from Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and Florida. Typically, reports are made by citizens or law enforcement who spot the tornadoes or areas of damage. St. Charles Parish President Matthew Jewell said 55 structures were damaged during the storms, 21 of which have been deemed uninhabitable. One family had their home destroyed in Wayne, about 50 miles southeast of Oklahoma City, NBC Montana reported.
A tornado touched down south of Shreveport, damaging several homes and knocking down trees and power lines, according to the sheriff's office. The National Weather Service in Fort Worth said there may have been 12 tornadoes, which will be confirmed by storm surveys. The severe weather in Texas occurred as a major winter storm was also pummeling Louisiana, with more than 10 million people under winter weather warnings or advisories across the Rockies and the northern Plains states. High winds toppled big-rig trucks Tuesday morning in Parker and Wise counties in Texas, according to the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. George Frey / AFP - Getty ImagesWestbound Interstate 70 was closed near the Kansas-Colorado border because of fear of dangerous winter weather, officials in both states said.
A rare subtropical December storm could form in the Atlantic this week, marking the first in nearly a decade. Although the Atlantic hurricane season ended Nov. 30, an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the central tropical Atlantic have a 40% chance of developing into a subtropical storm in two days, and a 50% chance in five days. The last time there was a December subtropical storm was nine years ago in 2013. The next name on the list for a storm is Owen, following Hurricane Nicole which pummeled the east coast of Florida last month. A subtropical storm has a maximum sustained surface wind speed of 39 mph, according to the weather agency.
A cross-country winter storm system is expected to bring severe weather conditions to the South and Northeast. Jackson, Mississippi, is in the center of the severe weather risk area, with other cities to watch being Memphis, Tennessee; New Orleans; Birmingham, Alabama; and Shreveport, Louisiana. The storm system will shift east on Wednesday, bringing strong thunderstorms, heavy rain and wind to the East Coast. Atlanta; Mobile, Alabama; New Orleans; and Tallahassee, Florida, could all see strong storms, especially in the first half of the day. The northern side of this cross-country storm system will bring snow, which will affect the Upper Midwest.
New York residents in Buffalo and other parts of the state are waking up Friday morning to heavy snowfall that officials warn could "paralyze" the hardest hit communities. This has led to an increase in lake effect snow, but that trend is not expected to last. A recent study used a regional climate model to investigate these changes in lake effect snow if our current rate of greenhouse gas emissions continues. By mid-century, the amount of seasonal lake effect snow is projected to increase modestly, as the Great Lakes will remain ice-free longer into the winter. Lake Effect Snow Warnings were in effect early Friday for the Buffalo area and downwind areas of Lake Ontario, the National Weather Service said.
A historic lake effect snow event will blanket swathes of the country in white into the weekend, with up to five feet of snow possible in Buffalo, New York. Kathy Hochul declared a state of emergency for 11 counties Thursday, saying the state and Buffalo area are "prepared" for the brunt of the major "life-threatening" storm. Lake effect snow occurs when arctic air races across the relatively milder water of the Great Lakes every fall. Rather by the late 21st century it is forecast that there will be a shortened lake effect snow season, and rather than peaking in fall and early winter, it'll be pushed back later to January through March. The lake effect snow will continue for areas downwind of the lakes into Sunday.
Nicole on Tuesday was upgraded to a tropical storm and is expected to strengthen, prompting a hurricane warning for parts of east central Florida and the southeast coast, according to the National Hurricane Center. Hurricane conditions including strong winds, rainfall and storm surge are expected in the northwestern Bahamas and along Florida's east coast on Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible in Georgia along the east coast as well. "Dangerous storm surge" anywhere from 3 to 5 feet is also expected along Florida and Georgia's east coast from North Palm Beach to the Altamaha Sound including. The northwest Bahamas can also expect storm surge of 4 to 6 feet above normal tide along the coast. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency on Monday for 34 counties in the path of the storm, including Miami-Dade, Palm Beach, Orange and Sarasota counties.
Florida's east coast was placed under hurricane watch Monday as Subtropical Storm Nicole moved in its direction with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. The storm, currently 520 miles east of the northwestern Bahamas, is expected to approach Florida's east coast by Wednesday night. A hurricane watch has been issued for Florida's east coast along Volusia and Brevard counties all the way south to Hallandale Beach near Miami, according to the National Hurricane Center. There's a storm surge watch for the east coast of Georgia and Florida from the Altamaha Sound to Hallandale Beach. A tropical storm watch for the northwestern Bahamas was upgraded to a hurricane watch Monday.
While nearly two dozen record highs are possible Friday through the weekend, Monday could see as many as 40 record highs from the Southeast to New England. New York's La Guardia Airport could set record highs three days in a row (Saturday, Sunday and Monday). Boston will likely set record highs two days in a row, and is looking at four days in a row with great than 70-degree temperatures. Other cities that could set record highs in the coming days include Washington, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Memphis and Buffalo, New York. The severe risk is expected to be lower compared to Friday.
Due to the cold air mass plunging south before expanding east, southern cities actually woke up colder than northern cities. New York City's Central Park dipped to 42 degrees, the coldest temperature since April 29, and Charlotte's 30-degree reading set its fifth earliest freeze on record. For many locations, the early season snow was also record-setting. While not record-setting, add Chicago to the list of places that recorded the first measurable snow of the season this week. This cold snap will be short-lived, with temperatures expected to rebound beginning Friday and lasting into next week.
A cold blast could bring record freezing temperatures to more than 60 million people across the country this week. Freeze watches and warnings are in effect as far west as Colorado, into the Northeast and south to Florida, according to the National Weather Service. Temperatures of 35 degrees and colder are expected to affect all but a handful of states throughout the week. "This may be the first freeze of the season for many places across the Central Plains, Middle Mississippi Valley and Ohio/Tennessee Valleys which will impact sensitive crops/livestock," according to the National Weather Service. This cold front could break more than 50 record lows by the end of the week, with temperatures as low as 24 degrees in Minneapolis, 27 in St. Louis and 57 in Raleigh, North Carolina.
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