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Of course, these basic rules of political decorum are ones Donald Trump has rarely followed. He’s been accumulating political capital, and his victory only gives him an opening to accumulate more ... if he chooses to. On some level, I accept the notion that one person’s revenge is another person’s “reform,” so I’m sure Trump could argue he’s appointing reformists. What will ultimately matter is whether these folks can govern like reformers or end up simply as conduits for Trump’s revenge. Here’s the political problem Trump is creating for himself: He’s taking full ownership of the entire bureaucracy now.

Persons: Donald Trump, He’s, Trump, acquiesce, Matt Gaetz, Pete Hegseth, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Tulsi Gabbard, let’s, Nancy Mace's, Hegseth, “, wasn’t, Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, I’ve, didn’t, Barack, Biden’s Organizations: —, Justice Department, Fox, Defense Department, Department of Health, Human Services, GOP, Pentagon, “ DEI, Biden, Democratic, Trump Locations: Russia, Oklahoma, Afghanistan, overreach

☆ Chuck Todd: This Democratic defeat — and the rise of Trump 2.0 — was a decade in the making
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Chuck-Todd-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Chuck Todd | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +21 min

The reality is that both parties learn lessons from losing elections that apply only in the short term — say, from one presidential election to the next midterm or from one midterm to the next presidential election. Not anymore — it’s why Democrats usually overperform in special elections, with more devoted “every election” voters right now. Meanwhile, in the non-battlegrounds, which were more affected by the basic “mood music” of the election, Democrats were shellacked. The seeds of discontent with this version of the Democratic Party can be traced back a decade to Obama’s decision to anoint Hillary Clinton as his successor. Democratic presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., at the CNN Democratic presidential primary debate in New York City on April 14, 2016.

Persons: inbox, It’s, Donald Trump, Devin Yalkin, doesn’t, Karl Rove, Barack Obama, Joe Biden’s, Biden, Bill Clinton, Obama, Clinton, Harris, Court's Dobbs, Dobbs, Trump, I’m, Kamala Harris, Morry Gash, hadn't, misfired, Deb Fischer, Dan Osborn, Osborn, Josh Shapiro, wasn’t, Harris wouldn’t, They’ve, Franklin D, Roosevelt, John F, Kennedy, Lyndon B, Johnson, Hillary Clinton, he’d, Sen, Bernie Sanders, Justin Sullivan, Democratic Party didn’t, Sanders, Bernie Bros, Joe Rogan, —, didn’t, nitpick, ”, Bob Dole, Al Gore, John Kerry, John McCain, Mitt Romney, What's, Elon, MAGA, Michael Dukakis Organizations: NBC, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Biden, GOP, Democrats, Social Security, Senate, Electoral, Massachusetts Democrat, San, San Francisco Democrat, CNN Democratic, Clinton, Obama, Trump bros Locations: West Palm Beach, Fla, Plenty, “, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona , Nevada , Michigan, Wisconsin, Madison, Wis, America, Texas, Massachusetts, San Francisco, New York City, Trump, Iowa, Clinton

From 2008 through 2020, the winning candidate either swept or nearly swept the final six to eight battleground states. Are we still under-sampling Trump voters? Then again, is Trump’s improvement in the polls this cycle an indication the polling community finally got it right on the Trump vote? In 2020, the Trump campaign was the only one knocking on doors during Covid, as the Biden campaign feared scaring its supporters at the doors. The Harris campaign appears invested in doing traditional get-out-the-vote programs in all sorts of places.

Persons: There’s, Donald Trump's, George W, Kamala Harris, Trump, Harris, John Kerry, he’d, Barack Obama, ”, there’s, I’ll, Nikki Haley, you’re, I’ve, Hillary Clinton, “ We’ve, let’s, she’s, Biden, Elon Musk, Charlie Kirk’s, Roe, Wade, Toss, hasn’t Organizations: Trump, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Sun, Democrats, Republican Party, Democratic, North, NBC, GOP, Republican, White, Republicans, Madison Locations: Northern, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina , Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Omaha , Nebraska, Harris, U.S, New Mexico, Ohio, North, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Las Vegas, Omaha, Trump, New York

In the most recent NBC News poll, 54% of respondents say they disapprove of the job Biden is doing. In fact, Biden is now more personally unpopular than either Harris or Trump. Between now and Election Day, I do expect Harris to find more ways to differentiate herself from Biden. If that’s a Biden “hangover” that ends up hurting Trump more than Biden, it means team Harris effectively weaponized his age. In this most recent poll, Trump was losing the core Democratic states by only 13 points.

Persons: Biden, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, —, couldn’t, Biden isn’t, it’s, Let’s, Harris, haven’t, “, ”, John Kerry, Kerry, George W, Trump, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Richard Nixon, Hubert Humphrey, Al Gore, Gore, Humphrey, Nixon, that’s, Nate Cohn Organizations: White House, Biden, NBC, GOP, Democratic, Trump, The New York Times, Electoral College, Electoral Locations: Iraq, George H.W .

It should put a damper on just how much we should expect the next president to accomplish, especially if the divide is between the House and the White House. There’s a big difference in just how divided government becomes, depending on whether the House and the White House are controlled by the same party or different parties. Two words send chills down the spine of any presidents who find the “other” party in control of the House: subpoena power. Both Trump and Joe Biden saw the second halves of their terms (after they lost control of the House) essentially paralyzed by an oppositional House. First, because California House races will determine overall House control, it could take as much as two or three weeks before we know the makeup of Congress in 2025 for sure.

Persons: It’s, There’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, we’ve, Joe Biden, Harris, Harris ’, Biden, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Bush, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Trump, Nixon, it’s, Republicans can’t Organizations: GOP, Senate, White House, White, Democratic, Republican, Trump, nab, House, today’s, Biden, Electoral College, Harris, Democrats, Republicans, Electoral Locations: California, New York, Montana , Ohio, West Virginia, Washington, George H.W .

☆ Chuck Todd: A 'happy warrior' VP debate leaves questions unanswered for the top of the tickets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Chuck-Todd-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Chuck Todd | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

It’s not hard to conclude that former President Donald Trump himself makes it nearly impossible to have the type of debate Vance and Walz participated in Tuesday night. But Trump has never participated in a debate that didn’t devolve into something more pugilistic and even immature and juvenile at times. Going into this debate, I assumed that both vice presidential nominees would be more focused on the tops of the tickets. It's an interesting decision given how it seems as if the Trump campaign team desperately wants to re-attach Biden’s unpopular brand to Harris. I think Trump and his team are convinced Harris needs another debate more than Trump does.

Persons: Dick Cheney, Joe Lieberman, John Edwards, Joe Biden, Sarah Palin, Paul Ryan, JD Vance, Tim Walz, It’s, Donald Trump, Vance, Walz, Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Dan Quayle, Lloyd Bentsen, —, I’m, Biden, it’s, wannabes Organizations: Trump, CBS News, Democratic, Biden, Sunday Locations: China, Taiwan, Ukraine, United States

While it was an asset to Biden in polling against Trump, it appears to be a much bigger advantage for Harris. And in this new NBC poll, Harris’ advantage was just under 20 points. It’s obvious at this point that Trump will win men by close to double digits, ditto with Harris among women. But many voters have seen "Vice President Kamala Harris" as a fresher candidate, including those who previously viewed Trump as a better steward of the economy. That would spell doom for Democrats' Senate majority.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Republican Bill McInturff, Jeff Horwitt, Biden, Clinton, Roe, Wade, Dobbs, George W, Bush, “ Bidenomics, I’d, don’t, it's, It’s, he’s, Trump’s, he’ll, Jim Justice, Joe Manchin, Democratic Sen, Jon Tester, doesn’t, won’t Organizations: Trump, NBC, Republican, Hart Research, NBC News, Biden, Democratic, Republicans, nab, Senate, GOP Gov, Democrat, Democrats, GOP Locations: Trump, Arizona, North Carolina, stoke, Montana, Florida, Texas, Maryland , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Maryland, Maine, Kansas, Alaska, ‘, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire , Colorado, Ohio , Pennsylvania

There’s been an odd numbness in the political ecosystem regarding the apparent second attempt to assassinate former President Donald Trump. The problem with political discourse in America right now is that we are all stuck in a social media funhouse mirror booth. I promise you that the way Americans speak about one another online isn’t the way most Americans behave in person with one another. As social media rose and became the main distributor and facilitator of political information, our politics have become more combative and less collaborative. Right now, our political information ecosystem doesn’t reward incrementalism or nuance, instead punishing both and, more to the point, rewarding those who make up the best stories.

Persons: There’s, Donald Trump, We’ve, Trump, we’ve, isn’t, demonizing, I’m, don’t, It’s, Churchill, here’s, we’ll Organizations: Fox News, Fox, Trump Locations: Butler , Pennsylvania, America, Springfield , Ohio, Miami, Florida, Springfield

☆ Chuck Todd: Harris avoids some big questions, but Trump’s lack of control costs him
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Chuck-Todd-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Chuck Todd | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

It wasn’t until Trump’s closing statement that he tried to effectively pin Vice President Kamala Harris to President Joe Biden’s administration. Not only did Trump fail to connect Harris more directly with the Biden years, but so did the questions. And Harris certainly took advantage of every opportunity to turn many of the questions directed at her or the Biden-Harris administration back on Trump. And Harris also benefited because the moderators didn’t always follow up with her when she didn’t answer their questions directly. (Again, Trump didn’t acknowledge any failures in his administration other than the people he fired, and Harris didn’t seem to hug the Biden-Harris record very much.)

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Don’t, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden’s, Harris, Biden, It’s, goad Trump, Biden’s flameout, Hillary Clinton, didn’t, “, won’t, Biden —, Harris didn’t Organizations: Biden, Trump, Trump Republicans Locations: Harris

This digital ad posted by Republican Senate candidate Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania, about a week before Biden eventually dropped his bid, was the blueprint. Almost immediately, Democrats saw a surge of support — mostly from disillusioned Democratic voters. As of this writing, it’s now Republicans in battleground states and districts who are begging their nominee to change course. As for the GOP, Trump and his allies have done everything they can to mold the GOP in Trump’s image, and anyone who doesn’t share that view has essentially been purged. Of course, the real challenge for both Republicans will be figuring out how to navigate Trump’s appearances in their respective states.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, ” Biden, “, Dave McCormick, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey’s, Kamala Harris, it’s, Donald Trump isn’t, Trump, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump, Harris, Ramaswamy, Hillary Clinton, Nikki Haley, wouldn’t, they’d, —, Sen, Pat Toomey, Toomey, McCormick, Brian Kemp, Larry Hogan, Domenici, Sherrod Brown, Clinton, I’d, Mike Rogers, can’t Organizations: Democrats, CBS News, Democratic, Republican, Senate, Trump, GOP, NPR, Republican Party, Biden, Republicans, White, Democratic Party, Republican Gov, Rogers Locations: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Maryland, New Mexico, Ohio, Trump, Michigan

The GOP-controlled House passes a rules package for 118th Congress with just one GOP defection, NBC’s Kyle Stewart reports. ... President Biden spends his final day in Mexico City at North American Leaders’ Summit. But first: The news that the Justice Department is reviewing Obama Era classified documents found at a think tank tied to President Biden is quite a political gift to Donald Trump. “When is the FBI going to raid the many homes of Joe Biden, perhaps even the White House?” Trump posted on his Truth Social account. 6: The number of shootings recently at or near the homes of New Mexico Democratic political leaders, including the incoming state House speaker.

The new House GOP majority returns to elect a speaker after failing on three votes Tuesday. ... Nancy Pelosi reacts to GOP dysfunction: “As one who loves this institution, I think it’s a sad day.” ... And President Biden appears with Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell to tout the bipartisan infrastructure law. Andy Beshear) all appear at an event in Kentucky promoting a bridge improvement from the bipartisan infrastructure law. 16: How many years Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell has served as Senate GOP leader, making him the longest-serving Senate leader ever, per NBC News’ Frank Thorp. Eyes on 2024: DeSantis takes office amid GOP chaosAs the GOP descended into chaos on Capitol Hill Tuesday, Florida GOP Gov.

Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries may not emerge with the speakership as Republicans remain divided on who they'll elect to lead the House of Representatives, but he's done something that hasn't been done in more than a decade. When the New York congressman secured 212 votes for speaker Tuesday afternoon, it was the first time since 2007 that a Democratic leader has won support from every single member of their caucus. Rep. Pete Aguilar, D-Calif., the new House Democratic Caucus chair, made note of his party's unified stance as he nominated Jeffries again during the second round of voting. We are unified, and we're all gonna support Hakeem Jeffries for speaker, the lead vote-getter in the last ballot," he said. California Democratic Rep. Nancy Pelosi had been the party's leader since 2003 — she stepped down from that leadership post after last year's elections.

But first: The results from five counties will help tell us if Democrat Raphael Warnock is on track to win tonight’s Senate runoff in Georgia. Warnock got 56.9% of the vote in Cobb when he won the Jan. 2021 runoff, and he got just under that last November (56.8%). And in Gwinnett, Warnock got 60.6% of the vote in the 2021 runoff, compared with 58.9% last month against Walker. In rural Chattooga — one of NBC News’ “County to County” counties — Warnock got just 20.5% when he won the 2021 runoff, and he got less than that in the November general election (19.8%). Data Download: The number of the day is … $7.79 billionThat’s how much money was spent on political television, radio and digital ads this entire cycle (starting the day after the 2021 Georgia Senate runoff through today’s runoff), per AdImpact.

WASHINGTON — If it’s Monday ... It’s the last day of campaigning before tomorrow’s Georgia Senate runoff. ... NBC’s Vaughn Hillyard covers the closing messages by Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker. And just looking at the campaigns, which get the biggest bang per advertising buck, it’s Warnock at $25.2 million, versus Walker at $10.1 million. But now it’s $11.8 million — behind Warnock’s $25 million and the $20.3 million from Georgia Honor, a Democratic Super PAC. Runoff watch: Walker accuser speaks to NBC NewsDays after she first revealed an allegation of domestic abuse against Georgia Republican Senate hopeful Herschel Walker, a former girlfriend of his sat down with NBC News to detail those allegations.

In Arizona Senate, Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly is ahead of Republican Blake Masters by 115,000 votes with 80% in. On Dobbs, the national exit poll showed 27% of voters picking abortion as their No. And remember that our final NBC News poll found Trump as one of the most unpopular political figures we measured, especially compared with President Biden. In each state, those Democratic secretaries of state nominees were running against Republicans who cast doubt on the 2020 election result. Two of those five feature Democrat vs. Democrat contests, thanks to the state’s Top 2 primary, so those will stay in the Democratic column.

It’s those two words that best explain what makes Meet the Press, Meet the Press. Nothing is quite so intimidating or humbling than being introduced as the moderator of Meet the Press — the longest-running show on television. Learn more about "Meet the Press" and explore 75 years of history-making interviews. Watch "Meet the Press," Sunday mornings on NBC. Viewers don’t watch Meet the Press to be on the edge of their seats.

This standoff will shift the terrain only by inches, even if it does help change which party has technical control of Congress. As for resolving the larger argument, that’s still a decision that the country makes during presidential elections, not midterms. For Republicans, a populist questionNeither party is currently prepared for the coming 2024 fight because both have unresolved internal issues that the midterm results may put into sharper focus. But the fact of the matter is, they are losing on the crime issue — not by a little, but a lot. But just because the fight is public and ugly, doesn’t mean it isn’t necessary and eventually helpful ahead of 2024.

Every election cycle, the NBC News Political Unit produces our Election Book to assist the network’s anchors, correspondents, producers and reporters in the field for Election Night. It contains essential information on almost every race, historical factoids, timelines, past exit polls, political trends and overarching narratives to help explain the current election cycle. It is our election bible, and we are making it available for you to read. You’ll be reading the material that our anchors, correspondents and producers will be relying on come Nov. 8 — and beyond. And you can keep up to date on the latest midterm elections news with the Meet the Press Blog as well as the NBC News midterm live blog.

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz was the only GOP committee member to oppose the bill. Other numbers to know:155 miles per hour: How fast the maximum sustained winds of Hurricane Ian were as of Wednesday morning, per the National Hurricane Center. 23 percentage points: Democrat Beto O’Rourke’s edge over Republican Gov. Last night, Democratic Gov. Tim.”Oklahoma Senate: Former President Donald Trump endorsed Republican Sen. James Lankford in his Senate bid, after conspicuously not endorsing the GOP incumbent in his primary.

☆ Poll: GOP is winning on the economy, immigration; Democrats are ahead on abortion and health care
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-19 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Chuck-Todd-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Chuck Todd | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +9 min

... And Joe O’Dea pitches himself as pro-abortion rights in Colorado Senate while Democrats push back. The Republican Party holds all-time high advantages on the economy, crime and border security, while the Democrats have an all-time high on abortion and a double-digit edge on health care. Midterm roundup: Trump hits the trail in OhioFormer President Donald Trump traveled to Ohio over the weekend to boost GOP Senate hopeful J.D. Not every GOP Senate candidate is eager to campaign with Trump. It’s a position on abortion that is different from that of his fellow Republican Senate candidates, many of whom favor stricter bans with few exceptions.

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