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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRegional banks are rallying on prospect of reduced financial regulation, says KBW's Chris McGrattyChris McGratty, KBW head of U.S. bank research, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss what's behind the rally in regional bank stocks, how this rally differs from 2016, and more.
Persons: Chris McGratty Chris McGratty
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmaller banks are more dependent on the yield curve, says KBW's Christopher McGrattyChristopher McGratty, KBW head of U.S. bank research, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the bifurcation between bulge bracket banks and the regionals, why the rate environment is more challenging for the regional banks, and more.
Persons: KBW's Christopher McGratty Christopher McGratty
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 7, 2024. Ever since the chaos of last year's regional banking crisis that consumed three institutions, larger banks have mostly fared better than smaller ones. That trend is set to continue, especially as expectations for the magnitude of Federal Reserve interest rates cuts have fallen sharply since the start of the year. On Monday, M&T Bank posts results, one of the first regional lenders to report this period. The focus for all of them will be how the shifting view on interest rates will impact funding costs and holdings of commercial real estate loans.
Persons: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, there's, Christopher McGratty Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, JPMorgan, Bank of America, T Bank Locations: New York City, U.S, KBW
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat New York Community Bancorp's billion dollar lifeline means for the battered stockChris McGratty, KBW Head of Bank Research, joins 'Fast Money' to talk NYCB's recent cash infusion to help it stay afloat and what he expects to see from the bank moving forward.
Persons: Chris McGratty Organizations: York Community, of Bank Research Locations: York
Late Friday, Moody's Investors Service cut the deposit rating of NYCB's main banking subsidiary by four notches, to Ba3 from Baa2, putting it three levels below investment grade. The downgrade could trigger contractual obligations from business clients of NYCB who require the bank to maintain an investment grade deposit rating, according to analysts who track the company. But the figures are from the day before Moody's began slashing the bank's ratings, sparking speculation about possible flight of deposits since then. For instance, while Fitch Ratings cut NYCB's credit ratings to junk last week, it kept the bank's long-term uninsured deposits at BBB-, one level above junk. To replace deposits, NYCB could raise brokered deposits, issue new debt or borrow from the Federal Reserve's facilities, but that would all probably come at a higher cost, McGratty said.
Persons: NYCB, Moody's, Keith Horowitz, Horowitz, John Pinto, Chris McGratty, NYCB didn't, McGratty Organizations: New York Community Bank, New, Community Bank, Moody's, Citigroup, Fitch, BBB, Federal, CNBC PRO Locations: New, Yonkers , New York, Baa2, Moody's
A trio of regional banks face increasing pressure on returns and profitability that makes them potential targets for acquisition by a larger rival, according to KBW analysts. Banks with between $80 billion and $120 billion in assets are in a tough spot, says Christopher McGratty of KBW. The remaining lenders, including East West Bank, Popular Bank and New York Community Bank each have higher returns and could end up as acquirers rather than targets. "Not every bank is as profitable as others and there are scale demands you have to keep in mind." The moves broadly take measures that applied to the biggest global banks down to the level of institutions with at least $100 billion in assets, increasing their compliance and funding costs.
Persons: Banks, Christopher McGratty, McGratty, Zions Organizations: Comerica, Zions, Western Alliance, Webster, East West Bank, Popular Bank, New York Community Bank, Banking
Just as they did during the March regional banking crisis, higher rates are expected to lead to a jump in losses on banks' bond portfolios and contribute to funding pressures as institutions are forced to pay higher rates for deposits. The issue constrains the bank's interest revenue and has made the lender the worst stock performer this year among the top six U.S. institutions. Expectations on the impact of higher rates on banks' balance sheets varied. Still, others including KBW and UBS analysts said that other factors could soften the capital hit from higher rates for most of the industry. There's also concern that higher interest rates will result in ballooning losses in commercial real estate and industrial loans.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Marco Bello, Christopher McGratty, David Konrad, McGratty, Morgan Stanley, Betsy Graseck, Konrad, Gerard Cassidy Organizations: JPMorgan Chase &, Reuters, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, First, Bank of America, Comerica, Fifth Third Bank, KeyBank, UBS, RBC Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Wells Fargo, Silicon, First Republic
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailKBW: Regional banks are beating earnings estimates because the bar has been loweredChristopher McGratty, Head of U.S. Bank Research at KBW, discusses the slew of regional bank earnings out this week.
Persons: Christopher McGratty Organizations: U.S . Bank, KBW
PacWest sells $3.5 billion loan portfolio to asset manager Ares
  + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
June 26 (Reuters) - PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) unveiled a deal on Monday to sell a $3.54 billion lender finance portfolio to asset manager Ares Management (ARES.N), its latest move to strengthen its balance sheet after it was rocked by the U.S. regional banking crisis. The deal, which helped drive up PacWest shares by more than 6%, came after it said in May it was evaluating asset sales. As a result, PacWest turned to asset sales. Reuters GraphicsPacWest said the lender finance portfolio consisted of high-quality, asset-backed loans from a variety of borrowers. PacWest said it fetched $2.01 billion from selling the first part of its lender finance portfolio, with further tranches to close later.
Persons: Ares Management, Paul Taylor, PacWest, Christopher McGratty, Reuters Graphics PacWest, Banks, Blackstone, Ares, Niket, David French, Shinjini Ganguli, Matthew Lewis Organizations: PacWest Bancorp, U.S, Federal, Reuters Graphics, Barclays, Thomson Locations: KBW, Bengaluru, New York
Analysts on Wall Street are optimistic on Western Alliance after the bank's latest deposit update. Shares of Western Alliance popped more than 9% in the premarket. The analyst has a $71 per share price target on Western Alliance, which represents about 125% upside from Tuesday's closing price of $31.59. WAL YTD mountain Western Alliance stock has broken out in recent days, gaining 15% in the last five trading sessions. His price target points to more than 100% upside over the next 12 months.
CNBC Daily Open: Trading on fear, not fundamentals
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Regional bank stocks continued tumbling Thursday; shares of PacWest and Western Alliance were halted more than once. At one point on Thursday, every stock in the KRE traded lower as investors sold off regional banks. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
CNBC Daily Open: Fear, not fundamentals
  + stars: | 2023-05-05 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Regional bank stocks continued tumbling Thursday; shares of PacWest and Western Alliance were halted more than once. At one point on Thursday, every stock in the KRE traded lower as investors sold off regional banks. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
CNBC Daily Open: 10th time's the charm
  + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Jihye Lee | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 03: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting on May 3, 2023 in Washington, DC. The Federal Reserve announced a 0.25 percentage point interest rate increase bringing the key federal funds rate to more than 5%, a 16-year high. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
After an intense few days in which the fate of ailing lender First Republic was finally determined, veteran banking analyst Christopher McGratty was looking forward to some calm. Minutes after the start of regular trading, however, the regional bank stocks he covers for KBW began plunging. "I was like, 'Hey, it's a good day to catch up, it seems like an orderly kind of day,'" McGratty said in a phone interview. "I get back to my desk, and I had 40 emails and 10 voicemails, and my screen was completely red." The sharp selloff in regional banks sparked by the March failure of Silicon Valley Bank resumed Tuesday, catching Wall Street analysts and investors off guard.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeposit, liquidity, and capital levels will be the regional bank focusChristopher McGratty, Head of U.S. Bank Research at KBW, discusses his expectations for regional bank earnings.
The impact of the banking turmoil on the Federal Reserve
  + stars: | 2023-03-22 | by ( Melissa Lee | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe impact of the banking turmoil on the Federal ReserveChris McGratty, KBW head of U.S. bank research, on how bank stocks reacted to today's rate hike. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Karen Finerman, Tim Seymour, Steve Grasso and Guy Adami.
[1/2] A person walks past a First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike SegarMarch 17 (Reuters) - Shares of First Republic Bank (FRC.N) lost almost 33% on Friday, totaling a loss of around 80% in the last 10 sessions, despite a rescue package with $30 billion in deposits injected by large U.S. banks. Founded in 1985, First Republic had $212 billion in assets and $176.4 billion in deposits as of the end of last year, according to its annual report. The rescue package came less than a day after Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CSGN.S) clinched an emergency central bank loan of up to $54 billion to shore up its liquidity. The ratings agency had downgraded its outlook on the U.S. banking system to negative earlier this week.
[1/2] A person walks past a First Republic Bank branch in Midtown Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., March 13, 2023. REUTERS/Mike SegarMarch 17 (Reuters) - Shares of First Republic Bank (FRC.N) extended losses to 32% in afternoon trading on Friday after being briefly halted as $30 billion in deposits injected by large U.S. banks failed to quell investor worries about the beleaguered lender. First Republic suspended its dividend and disclosed it has $34 billion in cash excluding the new deposit injection. Founded in 1985, First Republic had $212 billion in assets and $176.4 billion in deposits as of the end of last year, according to its annual report. The ratings agency had downgraded its outlook on the U.S. banking system to negative earlier this week.
The struggles for regional bank stocks has continued despite the announcement from U.S. regulators over the weekend of additional support. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) has dropped more than 11% this week. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) was down another 1% in premarket trading Thursday. However, the Swiss National Bank struck a deal with Credit Suisse to allow the national bank to borrow up to roughly $54 billion. But while Credit Suisse's struggles could have ripple effects throughout the global banking system, the Swiss bank's problems appear to be unrelated to the U.S. regional banks.
[1/2] A person walks past the Park Avenue location of the First Republic Bank, in New York City, U.S., March 10, 2023. REUTERS/David 'Dee' DelgadoMarch 13 (Reuters) - Shares of U.S. regional banks slumped on Monday, led by losses in First Republic Bank (FRC.N) as news of fresh financing failed to assuage bank contagion fears following the collapse of SVB Financial Group (SIVB.O) and Signature Bank (SBNY.O). The KBW regional banking index (.KRX) slipped 5.4%, and the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) fell 6%. U.S. President Joe Biden vowed to do whatever was needed to address a potential banking crisis after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. Among Wall Street lenders, Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) dropped 3.3%, Citigroup Inc (C.N) and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) slid about 6% each, while lenders in Asia and Europe plunged too.
Some bank stocks remain "safe havens" for investors even after the Silicon Valley Bank collapse , according to Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. The firm recommended 11 stocks that investors should buy "right here, right now" following the sell-off in bank stocks in the wake of SVB's failure, as well as the regulatory response over the weekend, according to a Sunday note. That could spell a buying opportunity for some bank stocks. "We see a potentially significant rebound in several bank stocks, as the market is likely to believe that the Fed and FDIC stuck the landing," analyst Christopher McGratty said to clients on Sunday. Old National Bancorp is a buying opportunity that's also a best idea for 2023, according to the note.
[1/2] A person walks past the Park Avenue location of the First Republic Bank, in New York City, U.S., March 10, 2023. There were multiple trading halts on bank shares as the KBW regional banking index (.KRX) fell 5.4%, and the S&P 500 banking index (.SPXBK) dropped 6%. Hogan said each regional bank has its own exposure to different parts of the market. He added the fate of regional bank stocks will be "case by case" as investors look to see which ones could have the most negative exposure. "First Republic Bank, which has significant exposure to the coastal real estate markets appears to be next on the list".
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