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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMalaysian ringgit will continue to be strong following outperformance: Maybank's SupaatSaktiandi Suppat, Head of FX Research of Maybank, discusses the potential impact of the anticipated Fed interest rate cuts on Southeast Asian currencies.
Organizations: Malaysian, FX Research, Maybank
Economists have long called for an overhaul of the nation's retirement age laws, currently among the world's lowest, which was set in an era of lower life expectancies. Raising the retirement age would help ease local governments' pension pool cash crunch, Sheana Yue, an economist from Oxford Economics said. Still, "more needs to be done to improve retirement adequacy," Maybank's Tay said, while stating that China needs a stronger pension plan and diversified investment avenues to ensure sustainable retirement savings. China's Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security has added a few tools for citizens to check their indicated retirement age on its website and mobile app. China may roll out "another round of delay in the late 2030s, especially if China's pension fund balance is tight," Xu cautioned.
Persons: Erica Tay, Tay, Bruce Pang, Tianchen Xu, Xu, Yue, Maybank's Tay Organizations: Getty, Maybank Investment Banking Group, CNBC, Economist Intelligence Unit, Oxford Economics, Academy of Social Sciences, China's Ministry of Human Resources, Social Security Locations: Fuyang, China, JLL, Beijing
Fertility rates across OECD countries have halved since 1960, according to a new OECD report. He said the three countries are disproportionately impacted by a rapidly aging population, largely due to improved standards of living, which have a "very strong inverse relationship with fertility rates." These improved conditions have led to a greater opportunity cost for having children, Xu said. Shrinking workforceA decline in fertility rate puts pressure on the economy and the society at large as the working population shrinks. China's policy shiftsIn China, policymakers have been putting a big emphasis on "productivity growth," Xu told CNBC.
Persons: Leren Lu, Darren Tay, Erica Tay, Tianchen Xu, Xu, BMI's Tay, Tay, Maybank's Tay Organizations: OECD, BMI, Risk, United Nations, Economist Intelligence, Economic Co, National Bureau of Statistics, CNBC, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: China, Asia, South Korea, Japan, East, Southeast Asia, Maybank
In Maybank Investment's fengshui report for 2024, its head of research Thilan Wickramasinghe, along with fengshui master Ken Koh, take a look at which sectors will outperform and which will face headwinds in the Year of the Dragon. 2024 is the year of the wood dragon and will be "unique," according to the report. Earth, metal and fireSectors under the earth element will also benefit from the dominant fire element, Maybank said, identifying sector winners as waste management, real estate, data warehousing and urban farming. "Despite rising interest rates and inflationary costs, the dominant Earth industries have shown resilience and continue to break new grounds," the Maybank report said. Most notably, in industries under the metal element — such as banking, engineering, mining and automotive — the wood element will be prominent and will bring prosperity to the metal industries.
Persons: Roslan Rahman, Investment's, Ken Koh, Koh, Maybank Organizations: Afp, Getty Locations: Singapore
Chinese Yuan and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The surge in their borrowing from Chinese banks has catapulted the yuan past the euro into becoming the second-biggest currency used in global trade finance, providing a fillip to Beijing's ambitions to internationalize the yuan. "Panda bonds are steadily promoting the renminbi's function as a funding currency", the People's Bank of China (PBOC) said a report last month. German automaker Volkswagen Group (VOWG_p.DE) told Reuters it will use its inaugural 1.5 billion yuan panda bond proceeds only for its onshore China business. ($1 = 7.2421 Chinese yuan renminbi)Reporting by Samuel Shen and Rae Wee Editing by Vidya Ranganathan and Kim CoghillOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Yuan, Dado Ruvic, Fiona Lim, Lim, SWIFT, Mercedes, Yuan internationalisation, Mark Williams, It's, Maybank's Lim, Williams, Samuel Shen, Rae Wee, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, BMW, Crédit Agricole S.A, National Bank of Canada, People's Bank of China, Standard Chartered Bank, Bank of China's, Volkswagen Group, Reuters, Benz Group, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, China, Hong Kong, Asia, Russia, Argentina, Pakistan, Nigeria
Structured certificates are financial instruments issued by a third party, that are based on underlying assets — their returns depend on the performance of the asset, which can be a single stock or an equity index. Singapore began offering listed structured certificates on Aug. 30, with its inaugural issue being one linked to Hong Kong-listed shares of Chinese tech giant Alibaba Group Holding . "So tech names, Hong Kong names, U.S. names, Japanese names. SGX's move to broaden its equity-linked product base "could drive incremental market interest," including offering depository receipts and structured certificates, Wickramasinghe told CNBC. Structured certificates are more more popular in Europe, as investors there are "broadly speaking, very yield focused," Syn told CNBC.
Persons: Roslan RAHMAN, ROSLAN RAHMAN, Roslan Rahman, Thilan Wickramasinghe, Michael Syn, CNBC's, Serene Cai, Tharman, Wickramasinghe, Syn, Adam Reynolds, Reynolds Organizations: Getty, Afp, Singapore Exchange, CNBC, Inside Venture, Saxo Markets Locations: Singapore, AFP, Asia, Hong Kong, SGX, Pacific, Europe
Adek Berry | Afp | Getty ImagesIndonesia has ambitious plans to relocate its capital from Jakarta to Nusantara in East Kalimantan. Nusantara National Capital Authority, a government agency charged with planning and constructing the new capital, did not immediately respond to CNBC's request for comment. The new Presidential Palace under construction at the country's new capital Nusantara. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesA lack of demand for service-led jobs is another challenge Archer predicted. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Persons: Adek Berry, Joko Widodo's, Melinda Martinus, Martinus, Ju Ye Lee, Bagus Saragih, Agung Wicaksono, it's, Wicaksono, Bruno Lanvin, Joko Widodo, Diane Archer, Archer, Lanvin, Maybank's Lee Organizations: Nusantara, Afp, Getty, Indonesia, Cultural Affairs, Yusof, CNBC, Nusantara National Capital Authority, country's Ministry, Public, Agung Wicaksono Nusantara National Capital Authority, Maybank Investment Banking Group, Smart, IMD Business School, Bloomberg, Ciputra, Stockholm Environment Institute, Nusantara . Bloomberg Locations: Jakarta, Nusantara, East Kalimantan, Indonesian, Indonesia, Singapore, Agung Wicaksono, Asia, Pacific, Nusantara ., Stockholm, Diane Archer Stockholm, Kalimantan
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - The yen weakened past the closely watched 145 per dollar level on Friday, keeping traders wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities, while the yuan crept higher as hopes for further stimulus from Beijing gathered steam. The onshore yuan fell to its lowest since November at 7.2615 per dollar shortly after trading opened on Friday, but was last marginally higher at 7.2505 per dollar. "PMIs released... reinforced the need for stimulus support. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, tracked the Chinese currency higher and rose 0.29% to $0.6635. Further clarity on the bloc's inflation outlook will come later on Friday, with June's flash inflation data due to be released.
Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Saktiandi Supaat, PMIs, Christopher Wong, Carol Kong, Sterling, Elwin de Groot, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Japan's Finance, Tokyo perked, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Central Bank, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Beijing, Asia, Tokyo, U.S
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - The yen weakened past 145 per dollar on Friday, a level which kept speculators wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities, while a faltering economic recovery in China also kept pressure on the yuan. Its renewed decline has stoked speculation that intervention by Japanese authorities could be imminent, particularly as the level of 145 per dollar first prompted them to shore up the yen in September. The onshore yuan fell to its lowest since November at 7.2615 per dollar shortly after trading opened on Friday. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, slipped 0.12% to $0.6608. The dollar index steadied at around 103.33 and was heading for a gain of about 0.7% in the second quarter.
Persons: Saktiandi Supaat, Maybank's Supaat, Carol Kong, Sterling, Elwin de Groot, Rae Wee Organizations: Bank of Japan's, People's Bank of China, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Central Bank, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, China, Asia, Tokyo, U.S
The yen weakened past 145 per dollar on Friday, a level which kept speculators wary of potential intervention from Japanese authorities, while a faltering economic recovery in China also kept pressure on the yuan. Its renewed decline has stoked speculation that intervention by Japanese authorities could be imminent, particularly as the level of 145 per dollar first prompted them to shore up the yen in September. The onshore yuan fell to its lowest since November at 7.2615 per dollar shortly after trading opened on Friday. The Australian dollar , often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, slipped 0.12% to $0.6608. The dollar index steadied at around 103.33 and was heading for a gain of about 0.7% in the second quarter.
Persons: Saktiandi Supaat, Maybank's Supaat, Carol Kong, Sterling, Elwin de Groot Organizations: Bank of Japan's, People's Bank of China, New Zealand, U.S, U.S . Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of England, Central Bank, Rabobank Locations: China, Asia, Tokyo, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUncertainty in Europe, Russia could bring more 'safe haven flows' to Singapore, analyst saysThe narrative that Russia is generally stable has "gone out the window" in light of the failed mercenary rebellion, and that may be positive for Asia, especially Singapore, says Maybank's Thilan Wickramasinghe.
Persons: Maybank's Locations: Europe, Russia, Singapore, Asia
Asia stocks slide as growth outlook darkens
  + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) fell 0.7% and is down 3.6% for the week, its worst since March. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) fell 1% as core inflation in Japan hit its fastest pace in more than four decades. Last week the U.S. Federal Reserve surprised markets with a hawkish outlook and central banks in Australia and Canada have delivered unexpected hikes. Two-year Treasury yields rose 9 bps to 4.8% overnight and were steady at 4.7888% in Asia on Friday. Brent crude futures were set for their worst week in nearly two months and fell 0.5% to $73.79 a barrel.
Persons: HSI, Wong Kok Hoong, Henry Russell, Maybank's Wong, Jerome Powell, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Nikkei, Trade, China . Hong Kong, U.S . Federal Reserve, ANZ, U.S, Brent, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China . Hong, Maybank, Singapore, Britain, Norway, Australia, Canada, Europe, United States
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMaybank's ASEAN presence gives it a 'good foundation' to reap the region's opportunities, says CEOKhairussaleh Ramli, CEO of Maybank, discusses the benefits of the bank's presence in 10 ASEAN countries, and says the region's population is "growing in affluence."
Persons: Khairussaleh Ramli Organizations: ASEAN
Speculators have looked instead to the yen, an easier target where their bets on BOJ policy have induced massive swings and historic levels of volatility. BIGGER YEN BETSAnalysts expect bets on the BOJ soon abandoning its yield curve control policy will get bigger and louder, for a number of reasons. James Athey, an investment director at fund manager abrdn, has held a long position on the yen for a while. We had a significant overweight on the Japanese yen, (and) in the aftermath, we took profit on some of our yen position," Athey said. "The debate around the future of BOJ policy is far from settled," said Howard Smith, partner and portfolio manager at Indus Japan Strategies.
The Singapore government had downgrade its 2022 GDP growth forecast range to 3% to 4% from 3% to 5% in August, citing the weakening external demand outlook. Economists are watching to see whether Singapore's official inflation forecast would be revised when the central bank releases its monetary policy statement, which is also due on Friday. Sixteen economists forecast the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to tighten its policy, but are divided on how aggressive it will be and which of its settings will change. Economists, including Maybank's Chua, who expect MAS to tighten only via one lever largely cited the weak growth outlook. The MAS has tightened monetary policy four times in a row, with the latest in July in an out-of-cycle move.
Why bet on the Singapore dollar? "I believe that investors also associate the strong [Singapore dollar] with Singapore's competence and reliability, as a partner and gateway to the region," Wee said. The Singapore dollar is not as widely traded as currencies of larger economies, Maybank's Supaat pointed out. The Singapore currency is not immune to the strength of the U.S. dollar either, said Wee, who warned that the Singapore dollar could lose its footing as Asia's outperformer should there be a global recession. "This is the main risk, or chief risk, for investors seeking [the Singapore dollar] as a haven," Wee added.
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