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AdvertisementRussia's retaking territory in Kursk, but efforts to drive the Ukrainian forces out of the country will likely only get more difficult. Ukrainian troops invaded the Kursk region in southwestern Russia in August, and at one point, they held roughly 500 square miles of Russian territory. Russia's response to the shock assault was slow, but a larger effort to drive the Ukrainians out is now underway. Michael Bohnert, a warfare expert at RAND Corporation, told BI Ukraine doesn't have to defend Russian cities. Russia's military is larger than Ukraine's, which means that the more resources Russia uses, the harder it will be to defend.
Persons: , William Alberque, Matthew Savill, YAN DOBRONOSOV, Michael Bohnert, it's, Alberque, Vladimir Putin, Ukraine would've, Savill, Russia's, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy Organizations: Kursk ., Service, Stimson Center, Royal United Services Institute, UK Ministry of Defence, Getty, Russia Ukrainian, RAND Corporation, Ukraine, Ukraine's, Korean, Russian Defense Ministry Press, AP Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Kursk, Russian, Ukrainian, Sudzha, AFP, Russia's Kursk, Ukraine Ukraine, Russia's
Ukrainian troops in Russia have an advantage that they haven't had before in this war. Being on foreign soil means less pressure to defend and more strategic options, war experts say. AdvertisementUkrainian troops fighting on Russian soil have a kind of flexibility in combat that they haven't had before in this war. Ukrainian forces surged into the southwestern Russian region of Kursk in August, and at the peak of the incursion, they held about 500 square miles. AdvertisementAlberque said that in Kursk, Ukraine could ask itself: "Where can we actually defend?
Persons: it's, , Ukraine's, Michael Bohnert, KIRILL CHUBOTIN, Libkos, Bohnert, William Alberque, Matthew Savill, Alberque, Ed Ram, they're, haven't, Alexander Ermochenko Organizations: Service, RAND Corporation, Publishing, Getty, Stimson, Royal United Services Institute, UK Ministry of Defence, Washington, REUTERS Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Russian, Kursk, Sudzha, Bakhmut, Crimea, Donbas, Avdiivka, Alexander Ermochenko Ukraine
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Bracing itself for a retaliatory strike for last week’s ballistic missile attack, Iran has been urging its Arab neighbors not to allow Israel to use their airspace as part of any potential attack, two diplomats from Gulf nations told NBC News Friday. Israel has vowed to respond to the strikes and while the nature and timing of the attack remain unclear, Iran warned countries that do help Israel in any way could potentially become part of a war, one of the diplomats said. His death came days after several Hezbollah leaders were killed by exploding pagers and walkie-talkies, an attack which Israel was widely believed to have been behind. Both militant groups are backed by Tehran and Pezeshkian has portrayed Iran as “exercising restraint” because it waited for two months after Haniyeh's death before launching the attack on Israel. NBC News has reached out to the Israel Defense Forces for comment but has not received a response.
Persons: Israel, Masoud Pezeshkian, Abbas Araghchi, Araghchi, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Pezeshkian, Vladimir Putin, Sameh Khadr Hassan Al, Ismail Haniyeh, Hassan Nasrallah, Haniyeh, Nasrallah, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Yoav Gallant, Biden, Rasoul, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, ” Biden, Abu al, Askari, Matthew Savill, wouldn’t, , Israel “ Organizations: NBC, Gulf Cooperation Council, United, United Arab Emirates, U.S, European Union, West Bank, Israel, AFP, Getty, Israeli, Iran’s, Hezbollah, Military Sciences, Royal United Services Institute, NBC News, Israel Defense Forces Locations: DUBAI, United Arab Emirates, Iran, Israel, Jordan, United Arab, Washington, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Ashgabat, Russian, United States, Tehran, Syria's, Damascus, Brig, Gen, Fars, Iraq, U.S, London, Gaza, Lebanon, Beirut, Deir el
One option would be to take out Iran's nuclear sites — something Biden opposes. A hit on Iran's nuclear facilities could, however, create far graver consequences, potentially including a race by Iran to build a nuclear weapon. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden would not support Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in targeting nuclear sites. As The Financial Times noted, there are more than a thousand miles between Israel and Iran's main nuclear bases. And Iran's nuclear sites present a formidable target, sprawling across various sites, with several of the most sensitive located in heavily fortified underground bunkers.
Persons: Biden, , Sabet, Joe Biden, Wisam, Benjamin Netanyahu, Jim Watson, Matthew Savill, Robert Dover, Issam, Filipo, Savill Organizations: Service, Geneva Graduate Institute, New York Times, Getty Images Israel, Brent, Reuters, Getty, Financial Times, US Congressional Research Service, Atomic Scientists, Royal United Services Institute, Hull University, EU, UN, University of Bristol Locations: Israel, Iran, It's, Lebanon, Anadolu, Fordow, London, Dover
ZOUK MOSBEH, Lebanon — When night falls, it's no longer sleep but the humming threat of an Israeli strike that descends on the Lebanese capital. Israel's overnight attacks, which reached the heart of Beirut in the early hours of Thursday, mean that few in the city and beyond are getting any rest. The strike on central Beirut's Bachoura neighborhood was the deepest Israel has attacked into the capital. A man walks amid the rubble of a building leveled in an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the neighborhood of Moawwad in Beirut's southern suburbs Thursday. AFP - Getty ImagesA man stares at a building still smoldering Thursday after it was leveled in an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the neighborhood of Moawwad in Beirut's southern suburbs.
Persons: ZOUK, it's, Hala Kobaissi, Beirut's Salim Salam, , people's, Emilie Madi, ” Hiam Khoury, Israel ramped, Marwan Naamani, Abdel Salam Abdallah, , Rayan Youness, “ They’re, Youness, Dr, Tania Baban, ” Baban, Matthew Savill, shouldn’t, Savill, Mahdi Ghuloom, Khoury Organizations: Residents, NBC News, Reuters, Israel, Getty, AFP, Royal United Services Institute, Israel Defense Forces, Le Beck Locations: ZOUK MOSBEH, Lebanon, Beirut, Israel, Bachoura, Beirut's Bachoura, Hadath, Dahieh, Sidon, Khiam, Illinois, Moawwad, Beirut's, AFP, United States, Iran
But Iran’s strategy underestimated how Israel would respond to the Hamas terrorist attack of Oct. 7 and subsequent cross-border rocket fire from Hezbollah. “Israeli intelligence has restored their aura of deterrence," Hoffman said. However, Yahyah Sinwar, the leader of Hamas, is believed to be alive and hiding in tunnels that Israeli forces have not yet seized. The successful Israeli operations have also forced Iran and Hezbollah to face a vexing question: how and when to retaliate without suffering yet more setbacks? As long as Israeli attacks continue, Hezbollah’s decision-making will be in disarray, but the militia remains a significant force.
Persons: Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, , , Bruce Hoffman, Hoffman, Mohammed Hamoud, Yahyah Sinwar, Matthew Savill, Savill, ” Glenn Corn, Ezzedine, Majdi, Nasrallah, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Karim Sadjadpour, ” Sadjadpour, Marc Polymeropoulos, Rabih Daher, Benjamin Netanyahu, Corn, “ Who’s, Norman Roule, ” Roule Organizations: Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University, , Royal United Services Institute, Defense Ministry, CIA, Institute, Infrastructure Technology, Hamas, Getty, West, Carnegie Endowment, International, Israel, Lebanese Armed Forces, United, Nuclear Locations: Iran, U.S, Tehran, Gaza, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Israel, Sana'a, Iranian, Hodeida, Lebanon, London, Gaza City, , Lebanese, Mahmudiyah, AFP, Beirut, Nuclear Iran
CNN —Next week, an already very public debate over whether Ukraine should be allowed to use long-range Western-supplied missiles on Russian soil will come under an even brighter international spotlight. It was almost exactly a year ago, also during an in-person meeting with Zelensky in the United States, that Biden made the decision to supply the ATACMS to Ukraine. In both cases, Ukraine promised not to use them on Russian territory. Russia recently relocated planes from two bases near the border further east, according to one US official. To really bring mass (equipment), to get 10 to one artillery ratios on Ukraine at the frontline,” he told CNN.
Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Joe Biden, Biden, , Ben Wallace, Zelensky, “ Zelensky, Matthew Savill, “ He’s, Savill, it’s, George Barros, John Hamilton, “ You’ve, , Barros ’, Barros, ATACMS, , There’s, outlast Organizations: CNN, UN, Assembly, Franco, Shadow, Army Tactical Missile Systems, Zelensky, British Storm, NATO, Royal United Services Institute, Washington DC, Army Tactical Missile, White, Russia’s, Military, US ’ Ramstein Air Force Base Locations: Ukraine, New York, United States, Luhansk, Berdiansk, Russia, Poltava, , Kharkiv, London, Russian, Ukrainian, Washington, New Mexico, Rostov, Iranian FATH, Kursk, Germany
Read previewA Ukraine war analyst told Business Insider that while watching this conflict, Russia has continually surprised him with how poorly trained its soldiers are. AdvertisementCaptured Russian soldiers, war experts, Ukrainian troops, and Western intelligence have all pointed to Russian troops being poorly trained and treated as disposable throughout the war. Related storiesRussia's losses have risen recently as Russian troops continue to suffer from deficiencies in training. The UK Ministry of Defence said in July that more than 70,000 Russian troops were likely killed or wounded between May and June. It blamed "an effective Ukrainian defense and a lack of Russian training" as Russia fought in multiple sectors.
Persons: , George Barros, it's, Barros, Vladimir Putin, Matthew Savill Organizations: Service, Business, Russia, Russian Army, Russian Defense Ministry Press Service, AP, UK Ministry of Defence, Royal United Services Institute Locations: Russia, Russian, US, Ukraine, Soviet, Soviet Union, Cuba, Kursk
That figure is more than the amount of territory Russia has seized in Ukraine so far this year. AdvertisementThat's a rate of more than 1,100 casualties a day, and there are indications Russian forces are continuing to take heavy losses. A pair of Ukrainian soldiers walk in the Ukrainian-controlled city of Sudzha in Russia's Kursk region. But he said there's also a danger that Ukraine's forces could get overextended and "get too widely spaced that the Russians can take advantage of it." Furthermore, this unexpected invasion of Russian territory has allowed Ukraine to regain the initiative after months in a grueling defensive position.
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Fabien Nachi, Matthew Savill, David Cohen, Michael Bohnert, Savill, Ed Ram, Mark Cancian, there's, Cancian, Vladimir Putin Organizations: Service, Business, NBC, Getty, Royal United Services Institute, UK Ministry of Defence, Russia, Ukraine, CIA, RAND Corporation, Washington, Marine, Center for Strategic, International Studies Locations: Russia's Kursk, Russia, Ukraine, Kursk, Sudzha, Ukrainian
Read previewUkraine has surprised the world with its attack on Kursk, a rare ground invasion of Russian soil. As of Monday, the Kremlin announced that Ukrainian troops had advanced almost 19 miles into the western Russian region. In a public meeting that afternoon, Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed his military to purge Ukrainian troops from Kursk. Matthew Savill, director of military sciences at the London-based Royal United Services Institute, assessed on Monday that some Russian troops had been moved from within Ukraine, but the scale is unclear. He said this would likely only be incidental to Ukraine's main strategic goal in the Kursk attack.
Persons: , Patrick Bury, Vladimir Putin, We're, Matthew Ford, Ford, Matthew Savill, Savill, Russia's, West, Ukraine —, Bury, we've, they've, Putin, Vladimir, Peter Dickinson Organizations: Service, UK's University of Bath, Kremlin, Business, Agence France, Presse, BI, UK's University of Sussex, Royal United Services Institute, West Ford, Ukraine, Pentagon, Trump, Atlantic, Moscow Times Locations: Ukraine, Kursk, Russian, Russia, Kyiv, London, Kharkiv
AdvertisementRussian strikes have been recorded at multiple Ukrainian bases in recent weeks. This includes Russia claiming to have hit Ukraine's Mirgorod air base, 100 miles from the border with Russia, destroying five Sukhoi Su-27 fighter jets. "I think their belief is that the more Western weaponry Ukraine has of all sorts, the more formidable its military will become," he said. A Ukrainian Air Force official also said in June that Ukraine would store some of its F-16s abroad, so Russia cannot attack them. It's hard to take out airfieldsRobinson said that destroying air bases is not an easy task.
Persons: , it's, Sukhoi Su, Michael Clarke, Jasmonet Holmes, US Air Force Rajan Menon, Columbia University's, Tim Robinson, Matthew Savill, Chanceler, Robinson, Ukraine's, Clarke, Antony Blinken Organizations: Service, Business, Russia, Air Force, Staff, US Air Force, Columbia, Columbia University's Saltzman Institute of War, Peace Studies, UK's Royal Aeronautical Society, Royal United Services Institute, Chanceler Nardone, Ukrainian Air Force Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Denmark, Netherlands, Norway, Belgium, Soviet, Russian, Leiria, Portugal, Chanceler Nardone Ukraine
Read previewUkraine's sustained attacks against Russia's air defenses could make occupied Crimea untenable as a military staging ground, war analysts said. Ukraine has repeatedly hit Russia's air defenses in Crimea over the last few months, with attacks intensifying this week. AdvertisementAccording to reports, one Russian S-400 "Triumf" and two S-300 air-defense missile systems were targeted overnight on Sunday into Monday, with suggestions that Ukraine used US-supplied Army Tactical Missile Systems, known as ATACMS. AdvertisementForbes reached a similar conclusion on Wednesday, saying Russia's S-400 missile systems can't defend nearby Russian troops or even themselves. AdvertisementBut despite Ukraine's recent successes, its campaign of long-range air strikes won't be the silver bullet that ends Russia's occupation of Crimea, military experts told BI.
Persons: , Ukraine's, Forbes, Russia's, Kyrylo Budanov, Keir Giles, Giles, they're, Matthew Savill, James Black, Putin Organizations: Service, Institute for, Business, Army Tactical Missile Systems, Staff of, Armed Forces, Chatham House's, Eurasia Programme, Royal United Services Institute, RAND Europe, Kremlin Locations: Crimea, Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Chatham House's Russia, Eurasia, Ukrainian
Western positions on this issue have softened in the wake of Russia's ongoing offensive in the northeastern Kharkiv region, which began last month. AdvertisementUkrainian gunners firing at Russian positions in the Kharkiv region. AdvertisementGunners from Ukraine's 43rd Separate Mechanized Brigade fire at a Russian position in the Kharkiv region in April. Ukraine can only conduct cross-border strikes in Russian territory right around the Kharkiv region, and it is still barred from conducting longer-range strikes with its most powerful US-provided missiles. "That's exactly what we're doing in response to what we've now seen in and around the Kharkiv region," Blinken told reporters.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin, Stepanov, Ukraine's, Matthew Savill, ANATOLII STEPANOV, Biden, John Kirby, Kirby, it's, Serhii, Antony Blinken, what's, we've, Blinken, we'll Organizations: Service, NATO, Business, Getty, Institute for, Kharkiv City, Gunners, Mechanized Brigade, National Security, MGM, Tactical Missile Systems, Artillery Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kyiv, Kharkiv, Moscow, AFP, Western, Russia's, Ukrainian, Russian, RUSI, Ukraine's, Washington, Prague, Belgorod
Ukrainian servicemen monitor the situation along the front via drones in the direction of Kreminna, Ukraine as Russia-Ukraine war continues on 31 March 2024. Defense analysts argue that while the funding could help breathe new life and morale into Ukraine's beleaguered military campaign, aid and supplies must be sent to Ukraine immediately. "It's unlikely this will create immediate parity with the Russian volume of fire, but it will help close the gap," Savill said. They point out that further U.S. aid is not guaranteed, particularly given the uncertain outcome of the presidential election later this year. One top U.S. general told Congress earlier in April that Russia was firing five artillery shells for every one fired by Ukrainian forces, and that this disparity could double in the coming weeks.
Persons: it's, Joe Biden, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Zelenskyy, DANA, Matthew Savill, Savill, tranche, RUSI's Savill, Chasiv Yar, Roman Pilipey, Donald Trump, Timothy Ash, Ash, Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Ukraine, Republicans, Democratic, U.S, Senate, Defense, London, Pentagon, Kyiv, Spartan, Afp, Chatham House, RBC BlueBay Asset Management Locations: Kreminna, Ukraine, Russia, U.S, Israel, Taiwan, Ukrainian, Washington, Russian, Czech, Bakhmut, Donetsk Oblast, Roman, British, Chasiv, Donetsk, Eurasia, Western, Luhansk, Ocheretyne, Avdiivka
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