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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTake auto loan defaults with a 'grain of salt' in read on overall consumer health, says UBS' MishMatthew Mish, UBS head of credit strategy, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how severe the level of auto delinquencies are, which types of loans may not be as bad, and much more.
Persons: Matthew Mish Organizations: UBS
Investors who are camped out in cash are nabbing sweet yields, but the clock is ticking on that attractive income. Money market fund assets totaled $6.14 trillion as of the week ended July 24, according to the Investment Company Institute . The largest money market funds are offering an annualized 7-day current yield of 5.12%, per the Crane 100 Money Fund Index. "Investors must also remember that the liquid securities held in money market funds have maturities capped at slightly over a year," he said. While these short-term bonds may be an attractive alternative to hiding out in cash, investors should avoid making them the lion's share of their fixed income holdings.
Persons: Daniel Siluk, Janus Henderson, Matthew Mish, Siluk Organizations: Investment Company Institute, Federal, UBS, SEC, BBB, Treasury Bond ETF
Equities could sell off in the coming weeks due to several factors, including weak global growth and poor company earnings, according to UBS strategists. "Growth is weaker than in the investor narrative and much weaker than priced in markets," said UBS strategists led by chief strategist Bhanu Baweja in a note to clients on June 28. One particular issue UBS strategists noted was the health of the credit market. Matthew Mish, head of credit strategy at the bank, noted that UBS' latest research had noticed an uptick in factors that could worsen credit conditions. When asked about indicators to watch ahead of an increase in credit spreads, Mish pointed to a rise in bankruptcy filings, worsening credit ratings, and falling traded prices for defaulted leveraged loans.
Persons: Bhanu Baweja, Matthew Mish, we've, Mish Organizations: UBS, CCC Locations: downgrades
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailClosed for business: UBS finds small business bankruptcy filings hit record paceHosted by Brian Sullivan, “Last Call” is a fast-paced, entertaining business show that explores the intersection of money, culture and policy. Tune in Monday through Friday at 7 p.m. ET on CNBC. Matthew Mish, UBS, joins the show to discuss the sharp increase in small business bankruptcies.
Private bankruptcy filings this year have surpassed a peak set in the early stage of the pandemic, UBS said. So far in 2023, private bankruptcy filings have outstripped a peak set in the early stage of the COVID pandemic by a wide margin. Bankruptcy hot spots include the real estate industry, which has led this year's increase in private bankruptcy filings. The UBS Evidence Lab Corporate Bankruptcy Monitor tracks US corporate chapter 7, 11, and 15 bankruptcy filings. After sifting through data, UBS outlined several takeaways, including that private bankruptcy filings are led by the real estate, chemicals, healthcare, and retail industries.
Medical device makers, like many manufacturers, have faced challenges over the last year from inflationary supply chain costs, staffing shortages and the strong dollar impacting sales overseas. However, since 2007 the device sector ETF has averaged a gain of 14% per year, 6 percentage points better than the broader market index over the same period. More than 60% of analysts rate the shares a buy, with a mean price target implying 34% upside. Nearly 90% of analysts rate the stock a buy, with mean price target of $53, implying more than 30% upside. BTIG analysts Marie Thibault and Ryan Zimmerman think that M & A could be another catalyst for the medical device sector in 2023, with robotic surgery players likely to be of particular interest.
“Credit spreads are too tight, they are not adequately reflecting the risk of recession. Leveraged loans and junk bonds are high-risk corporate debt. Their borrowing rates have been held in check by solid liquidity while default rates are near historical lows and not seen likely to spike significantly near-term. Earnings were better than expected in the second quarter on average, but higher rates and slowing growth are expected to make a bigger dent in profits soon, which could bring rating downgrades and higher default risk. “For now the credit market's still taking comfort from in place fundamentals and a slow pace of deterioration.
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