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3 takeaways from pre-election voting
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Molly English | Ethan Cohen | Matt Holt | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
CNN —Pre-election voting is winding down across the country, with many states wrapping up in-person early voting over the weekend. While overall pre-election voting is down, in some states more voters chose to vote in person early than they did in 2020. However, total pre-election voting in both states was still lower than in 2020 due to significantly fewer people choosing to vote by mail. Republicans grow their pre-election vote shareRepublicans have made up more of the pre-election vote than they did in 2020. The Trump campaign made more of an effort this year to encourage Republicans to vote early and by mail, a major shift from messaging against pre-election voting in 2020.
Persons: it’s, Trump, Catalist, Kamala Harris Organizations: CNN, District of Columbia, Edison Research, Republican, Nevada Republicans, Trump, Republicans Locations: North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Peach State, In Arizona
10 House races to watch on election night (and beyond)
  + stars: | 2024-11-03 | by ( Terence Burlij | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +17 min
With so much at stake, CNN has identified 10 races to watch on Tuesday – grouped into buckets that nod to broader themes across the House landscape. Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger decided against seeking a fourth term, instead launching a campaign for governor in 2025. Democratic Rep. Jared Golden has crafted a moderate profile by challenging his party on issues ranging from spending to immigration. This year she faces a challenge from GOP state Rep. Gabe Evans, a fellow Mexican American and a former Army helicopter pilot and police officer. GOP Rep. Zach Nunn, an Air Force officer, was first elected in 2022 – defeating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne by about 2,000 votes.
Persons: CNN —, Mike Johnson, Hakeem Jeffries, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Eugene Vindman, Derrick Anderson, Abigail Spanberger, Biden, Vindman, Anderson, Trump’s, Alexander –, Volodymyr Zelensky, Jen Kiggans, Missy Cotter Smasal, Don Bacon, Tony Vargas, , Joe Biden, Brad Ashford, Bacon, Vargas, Harris, Jared Golden, Austin Theriault, Golden, Theriault, Elissa Slotkin’s, Curtis Hertel, Tom Barrett –, Barrett, Gretchen Whitmer, Michigan’s, Dan Kildee, Yadira Caraveo, Gabe Evans, Hyoung Chang, Yadira, Evans, Scott Perry, Janelle Stelson, Stelson, Josh Shapiro, Perry, Marc Molinaro, Josh Riley, Sen, Al Franken, Trump, Michelle Steel, Derek Tran, Don Davis, Davis, Laurie Buckhout, Zach Nunn, Cindy Axne, Lanon Baccam, CNN’s David Wright, Matt Holt, Molly English, Renée Rigdon, Andrew Menezes Organizations: CNN, Congress, Republicans, GOP, Louisiana Republican, New York Democrat, White, Republican, Democratic, Labor, Army, National Security Council, NSC, Biden, Nebraska Rep, GOP Rep, Air Force, Democrats, Electoral College, Harris, Capitol, Trump, Marine Corps, Trump voters, NASCAR, Democrats outpacing Republicans, Republican Democratic Rep, Army helicopter, Slotkin, Hertel, CIA, Central Michigan, Colorado Rep, Denver Post, crosscurrents, Colorado, Latina, Caucus, – Trump, MAGA, Empire, Democrats outspending Republicans, District :, US Army, North, North Carolina –, an Air Force, Iowa’s, Dallas County, US Department of Agriculture Locations: Louisiana, Virginia’s, Washington, Virginia, District, Virginia Beach, Omaha, Maine’s, Canada, Lewiston –, AdImpact, Michigan’s, Michigan, Lansing, Central, Denver, exurbs, Mexican, Aurora, Central Pennsylvania, New York, Empire, Hudson, It’s, California’s, District : California, California, Orange, Los Angeles, Korean, North Carolina’s, North Carolina, Alabama, Iowa’s, Des Moines, Laos
Trump’s campaign had received an offer to join the show, according to sources close to the former president, but ultimately decided to pass. The latest ABC News/Ipsos national poll showed Trump trailing Harris among likely female voters by 14-points – a margin that far outpaces his 6-point lead among men. These events will continue through the weekend with popular female Trump supporters, including Arkansas Gov. Trump has also relied on other White men to help reach female voters. An opportunity for HarrisAn appearance on “Call Her Daddy” might not have resolved Trump’s longstanding challenge with female voters.
Persons: Alex Cooper, , , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, ” Cooper, Trump, , “ We’ve, ’ ”, ” Trump, Harris, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, don’t, Charlie Kirk, Kamala, Karoline Leavitt, ” Leavitt, Alex Wroblewski, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Danica Patrick, – Trump, Mark Cuban, ABC’s, Susie Wiles, Kennedy, Roe, Wade, Ohio Sen, JD Vance, Cooper, Theo Vonn, Andrew Schulz, Mark Calaway, Logan Paul, LIV, Bryson DeChambeau, Will Compton, Taylor Lewan, Joe Rogan, Rogan’s, Rogan, hasn’t, Nikki Haley, Haley, recommitted, they’ve, ” Haley, Elizabeth Wagmeister, Ethan Cohen, Matt Holt, Molly English Organizations: CNN, Republican, White, Trump, GOP, ABC, , Getty, Democratic, Arkansas Gov, Fox News, Pew Research Center, Boys, YouTube, NFL, Rogan’s Austin, South Carolina Gov, Madison, New Locations: Green Bay , Wisconsin, Reno , Nevada, North Carolina, Democratic, AFP, Florida, bro, New York
Early voting trends cannot predict the outcome of an election, but they can provide clues about who is voting – at least so far. Early voting in Georgia and North CarolinaWhile preelection turnout is generally down, Georgia is an outlier. Compared with the same point in 2020, early voting turnout is roughly the same – down just 1%, according to Catalist’s data. The state also now doesn’t accept mail ballots that arrive after Election Day, even if they are postmarked before the polls close. There’s also a clear partisan difference in how people are voting early in North Carolina.
Persons: Catalist, Joe Biden, Bill Clinton, it’s, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, There’s, White, , CNN’s Edward Wu Organizations: CNN, District of Columbia, Edison Research, Republican, Republican Party, Republicans, Michigan voters Locations: Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin, Michigan, Wisconsin, Badger
Deep-pocketed Republicans donors also tried to close the gap by boosting a GOP super PAC working to seize the Senate majority. America PAC has taken on a critical supporting role for the Trump campaign, according to its independent expenditure filings, which cover some spending beyond September 30. Tuesday’s filings show other conservative billionaires also plowing extraordinary sums into the effort to reelect Trump. Another leading pro-Trump super PAC, Restoration PAC, also reported a huge haul from a single major donor. Meanwhile, the Congressional Leadership Fund – the main super PAC supporting House Republicans – hauled in more than $81 million in the third quarter.
Persons: , Miriam Adelson, Elon Musk, Donald Trump’s, Adelson, – Musk, Richard Uihlein –, megadonors, Kamala Harris, Harris, Musk, Trump, reelect Trump, Sheldon, Uihlein, Ike Perlmutter, Laura, Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Reid Hoffman, Steve Mnuchin, Dana White, White, Chuck Schumer, JB Pritzker, Eric Schmidt, Reed Hastings, Ken Griffin, Elliott, Paul Singer, Stephen Schwarzman, Republicans –, Timothy Mellon, Montana Sen, Jon Tester, Ohio Sen, Sherrod Brown, Tim Sheehy, Brown, Bernie Moreno, Eric Hovde, Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Baldwin, Colin Allred, Sen, Ted Cruz, Cruz, Nathan L, Democrat Adam Gray, Michelle Steel, Democrat Eugene Vindman, Trump’s, Vindman, Mary Peltola, CNN’s Kristen Holmes Organizations: CNN, Trump, PAC, Federal, Commission, Adelson, Democratic, Republican, GOP, White, House . America PAC, America PAC, Preserve, America, Restoration PAC, FF PAC, FF, New York, LinkedIn, Republican National Convention, Fund, Illinois Gov, Netflix, Citadel, Elliott Management, Blackstone Group, Congressional, Republicans, The New York Times, Democrats, West, Senate, Ohio, – Rep, Democrat, Alaska Rep Locations: Pennsylvania, California, New York, Preserve America, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania , Wisconsin, Georgia, Lago, Florida, Montana, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Arizona, Maryland, Republican, Texas, Virginia’s, District, Alaska
John King talks with Michigan voters Anushka Jalitsagi and Jade Grey in Ann Arbor, Michigan. “If she comes up short in Michigan, I don’t think it’s because of young voters,” said Gray, a former co-president of the University of Michigan College Democrats who graduated in May. They were crucial to Joe Biden’s 2020 Michigan win and in the dramatic state-level gains the party made in 2022. But young voters’ level of support is a big question for 2024 because of anger and disappointment with how the Biden-Harris administration has handled the Israel-Hamas conflict. Read more about young voters in Michigan.
Persons: John King, Anushka Jalitsagi, Jade Grey, Gray, Kamala Harris, , , Joe Biden’s, Harris, ” Gray, Anushka Jalisatgi Organizations: Michigan, CNN, University of Michigan College Democrats, ” Voters, Democratic, Biden, College Democrats Locations: Ann Arbor , Michigan, Michigan, Israel
CNN —While there are still five weeks until Election Day, voting is already underway across the country and a CNN review suggests pre-election voting this year will drop from the pandemic-era highs of 2020. That’s a tiny fraction of the roughly 158 million votes cast for president in the 2020 election. The downtick in interest in early voting so far shouldn’t be surprising. The 2020 election featured historic levels of pre-election voting during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, at the same point in the 2020 election, Democrats accounted for 66% of all ballot requests, while Republicans accounted for 24%.
Persons: Michael Frias, Donald Trump’s, there’s, Catalist’s Frias, It’s, ” Frias, Harris, Organizations: CNN, Edison Research, District of Columbia, of Disease Control, Republicans, Democrats, Black, Trump Locations: Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Georgia , Michigan
CNN —The Biden-Harris campaign on Sunday formally amended filings with the Federal Election Commission to rename its principal committee and declare Kamala Harris a candidate for president. The move means that should she remain on the ticket for the general election, according to the Campaign Legal Center, Harris could assume control of the Biden-Harris campaign account, which had nearly $96 million cash in hand at the end of June. It’s possible the Biden campaign will need to ask the Federal Election Commission for guidance, in the form of an advisory opinion, in the coming weeks, Engle added. That could allow Harris to start a new campaign account, revisit donors who had already maxed out contributions to the Biden-Harris campaign and hit them up again, one election attorney said. “I think the general consensus view is, because Harris’s name is already on the paperwork, she can accept it for the general election.
Persons: CNN —, Harris, Kamala Harris, , Biden, ” Trevor Potter, Joe Biden, , “ Harris, Hans von Spakovsky, Dara Lindenbaum, Lindenbaum, Harris wouldn’t, von Spakovsky, Sean Cooksey, ” Craig Engle, ” Engle, there’s, Engle, Derek Muller, what’s, ” Muller, CNN’s Fredreka Schouten, Matt Holt Organizations: CNN, Biden, Sunday, Federal, Commission, Democratic, Legal, United States, Heritage Foundation, Democratic Party, Fox News, Republican, Democratic National Committee, University of Notre Dame
While the expansion of legal sports betting has made gambling more accessible, it's also helped spot infractions like these. The MLB also said it was tipped off about Marcano's betting activity by a legal sports-betting operator, ESPN reported. There's little data available to show whether gambling violations like these occur more or less often in the age of legal gambling, in part because they weren't easily tracked before 2018. They could be college football players betting on the NFL, or NFL players betting on games their teams weren't playing in. As sports-betting continues to expand in more states and the industry evolves, there may be more gambling scandals to come.
Persons: , Jontay Porter, Tucupita Marcano, Lucas Paqueta, he's, It's, Shohei Ohtani, it's, Sara Slane, Pete Rose, sportsbooks, Matt Holt, Porter, Holt, that's, Slane, They're, Jim Brown, bettors, Brown, Sportradar, they're, IC360 Organizations: Service, NBA, Toronto Raptors, Raptors, San Diego Padres, Premier League, Football Association, Business, University of Alabama, Dodgers, Sports, Major League Baseball, MLB, ESPN, IC360, Alabama baseball, Iowa State University, Leagues, North America, NFL Locations: Slane, Ohio, sportsbooks, North, Sportradar, Colorado
While the expansion of legal sports betting has made gambling more accessible, it's also helped spot infractions like these. The MLB also said it was tipped off about Marcano's betting activity by a legal sports-betting operator, ESPN reported. "When you are operating in the dark, you have no idea what is actually happening — if refs are partaking in illegal betting or players are partaking in betting," Slane said. Many US states where sports betting is legal require gambling companies to work with a licensed independent integrity-monitoring service, like IC360 or Sportradar, to identify suspicious betting activity. They could be college football players betting on the NFL, or NFL players betting on games their teams weren't playing in.
Persons: , Jontay Porter, Tucupita Marcano, Lucas Paqueta, he's, It's, Shohei Ohtani, it's, Sara Slane, Pete Rose, sportsbooks, Matt Holt, Porter, Holt, that's, Slane, They're, Jim Brown, bettors, Brown, Sportradar, they're, IC360 Organizations: Service, NBA, Toronto Raptors, Raptors, San Diego Padres, Premier League, Football Association, Business, University of Alabama, Dodgers, Sports, Major League Baseball, MLB, ESPN, IC360, Alabama baseball, Iowa State University, Leagues, North America, NFL Locations: Slane, Ohio, sportsbooks, North, Sportradar, Colorado
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