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The Chinese stock market soared after news of a stimulus package but plunged again on Wednesday. Risk remains high in Chinese stocks, which is why investors should exercise caution. The recent volatility in the Chinese market doesn't come as a surprise to Zehrid Osmani, portfolio manager at $21 billion Martin Currie. Valuations are low coming out of the pandemic, creating an attractive entry point into the market, Osmani said. He points to some structural challenges the Chinese economy faces, such as an aging population and a slump in the property sector.
Persons: , Zehrid, Martin Currie, Osmani Organizations: Service, Investor, Bank of America, Companies, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: China, Shanghai, Beijing, Taiwan, Omani
Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at the $21 billion investment manager Martin Currie, has actually increased his recession odds. US-China tensions are escalating over Taiwan, home to the world's largest semiconductor foundry, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Osmani sees what he calls "seismic thematic shifts" in these areas. And Osmani sees potential for parts of the market driving the energy transition, such as alternative energy and electric vehicles. AdvertisementHis top picks include Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), chemical company Linde plc (LIN), and industrial manufacturing company Atlas Copco (ATLKY).
Persons: Martin Currie, , Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Zehrid, Currie, hasn't, Osmani Organizations: Service, Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Semiconductors, Nvidia, Microsoft, Linde, LIN, Atlas, Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust Locations: Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China, Taiwan
Zehrid Osmani, a portfolio manager at Martin Currie, a Europe-based affiliate of Franklin Templeton, is one such investor. Osmani told CNBC that he sees "potential risk of froth" in the AI trade as a whole, but not for Nvidia. "Unlike the basket of AI [stocks] that has seen multiple expansion, Nvidia has actually seen multiple contraction. Nvidia's price-to-earnings ratio, using the projections for the next 12 months, is 32.4, according to FactSet. So there will be a critical element of needing to channel more spend toward AI for a corporate," Osmani said.
Persons: Zehrid, Martin Currie, Franklin Templeton, Osmani Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Microsoft Locations: Europe, Great Britain, OpenAI
But don't confuse Osmani's overall optimism on the AI space for blanket bullishness on AI-adjacent stocks. Many AI stocks, in fact, are detached from fundamentals and are risky, he told Business Insider on Monday. As evidence of this, he cited the performance of a basket of 50 AI stocks his firm monitors. "We like companies that can monetize AI already, which, in effect, these companies are recipients of the sizable spend going on in AI — spend from the hyperscalers, spend from the corporates," he said. Below are five AI stocks that Osmani is betting on for the years to come.
Persons: Zehrid, Martin Currie, Osmani, , he's bullish Organizations: Business, Microsoft, Google, OpenAI, Design Systems Locations: Scotland
The companies in discussion are largely small- to mid-sized, making them achievable targets, as opposed to firms listed on the FTSE 100. 'DRY POWDER'One of the contributing factors for PE firms' abundance of cash, or "dry powder", is the continued buildup of uninvested capital during the pandemic, according to fund managers. During the first five months of 2023, nine listed firms on the London Stock Exchange were approached by PE firms, exceeding the number of targets in the same time period last year, according to Refinitiv data. Among those out shopping for firms, many seem attracted to these lower valuations of small- and mid-cap firms. Though firms listed on the smaller UK indexes are more domestically focused than their larger counterparts, analysts point out that nearly half of their revenue is from their international presence, making them an even more attractive purchase for PE firms.
Persons: Richard Bullas, Martin, Franklin Templeton, John Wood, Bullas, Moodley, Johann M Cherian, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Bank of, Network International Holdings, Hyve, Medica Group, Pharmaceuticals, PE, Martin Currie UK Equity, London Stock Exchange, Apollo, John, John Wood Group, BNP, FTSE, U.S, Thomson Locations: Bank of England, Britain, United States, 10.2x, Europe, U.S, Bengaluru
A Franklin Templeton fund is outperforming 96% of peers with big bets on artificial intelligence. But the fund is avoiding other tech giants like Apple, Alphabet, Meta and Netflix. According to Bloomberg, Franklin Templeton's $158 million FTGF Martin Currie Global Long-Term Unconstrained Fund has outperformed 96% of peers this year. "But you have to look at it through different segments rather than invest across Big Tech." In fact, the fund is avoiding traditional tech heavyweights such as Apple, Alphabet, Meta, and Netflix.
The Inflation Reduction Act does more than buoy U.S. clean energy stocks – it's also an opportunity for emerging markets firms. But the IRA also represents an opportunity for emerging markets firms. "This is a win, win, win," said Paul Desoisa, co-portfolio manager of the Global Emerging Markets strategy at Martin Currie, a specialist investment manager at Franklin Templeton. Here are some places where emerging markets firms stand to benefit. Some possible contenders include Korea's Hanwha Solutions, a multinational with a solar energy business Hanwha Qcells, abrdn's Khwaja said.
Investors see value in property companies regardless of whether their assets are in mainland China or Hong Kong, which reopened at about the same time. Rises in Hong Kong mortgage rates that began last year have compounded troubles for developers and mortgagees. Hong Kong interest rates tailgate those of the U.S. due to the local currency's peg to the dollar. "Hong Kong has a lot more to get us excited than China property companies where their financial data remains weak," said Tim Gibson, co-head of Global Property Equities at Janus Henderson Investors. "We remain positive on Hong Kong and many of its listed real asset companies, across infrastructure, utilities and property," said Fitzgerald.
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